Evolution of HDV GHG / Fuel Economy Standards: The Importance of US HDV Rule

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Evolution of HDV GHG / Fuel Economy Standards: The Importance of US HDV Rule Asilomar Conference: Rethinking Energy and Climate Strategies for Transportation Drew Kodjak, Ben Sharpe & Martin Campestrini September 1, 2011 Pacific Grove, California

Country/R egion Japan United States Regulation Type Fuel economy GHG/Fuel efficiency Global Regulatory Landscape 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Regulation implemented starting MY 2015 Standard proposal Final rule Regulation implemented starting MY 2014 ( mandatory DOT program starts MY 2016) Canada GHG/Fuel efficiency Standard proposal Final rule Regulation implemented starting MY 2014 China European Union California Fuel consumption GHG End-user purchase requirements Test procedure finalized Industry standard proposal Technical studies Standard proposal Requirements for tractors and trailers (MY 2011+) Final rule Test procedure finalized Regulation implemented starting MY 2015 Mandatory efficiency reporting and regulatory development Additional reqs. for existing tractors and trailers (<MY 2010) Additional reqs. for existing trailers and reefers (<MY 2010) 2

US Technology Assessment National Academy of Sciences Report (March 2010) found 35 50% improvement could be achieved in the 2015 to 2020 timeframe National Academy of Sciences (2010) FIGURE S-1 Comparison of 2015-2020 New Vehicle Potential Fuel Savings Technology for Seven Vehicle Types: Tractor Trailer (TT), Class 3-6 Box (Box), Class 3-6 Bucket (Bucket), Class 8 Refuse (Refuse), Transit Bus (Bus), Motor Coach (Coach), and Class 2b Pickups and Vans (2b). Also, for each vehicle class, the fuel consumption benefit of the combined technology packages is calculated as follows: % FCpackage = 1 (1 - %FCtech 1)(1 - %FCtech2)(1 - %FCtech N) where %FCtech x is the percent benefit of an individual technology. SOURCE: TIAX (2009) ES-4. Slide 3

Elements of US Rule: Three Vehicle Categories Class 7/8 Tractors Class 2B/3 Pickup Trucks and Vans Everything Else! Slide 4

US HDV GHG / Fuel Economy Rule US program is 4 rules bundled together: Engine, Tractor, Vocational, Pickups and Vans. Largest reductions and regulatory attention focus on the vehicle categories that use the most fuel. In HD sector, combination tractors and pickup trucks use about ¾ of the fuel. Slide 5

Baseline Engine + Vehicle (MY2010) Slide 6

Compliance Example: Working with the GEM Determined by testing yes/no parameters Slide 7

Compliance Example: Tractor #1 Classic style Drag inducing features: flat grill and bumper, protruding elements Frontal area Drag coefficient Step 1: coastdown testing to determine C d * A C d * A = 7.7 this tractor belongs to Bin I Slide 8

Compliance Example: Tractor #1 Step 2: select C d values in table below based on Bin #, as determined by coastdown testing Enter 0.75 into aerodynamic coefficient field in GEM simulation model Slide 9

Compliance Example: Tractor #2 SmartWay style Drag reducing features: smoothed front grill and bumper, roof fairing, chassis fairings, side extenders, etc. In the coastdown test, Tractor #2 will have a lower drag result than Tractor #1 because of all of these aerodynamic enhancements C d * A = 6.1 this tractor belongs to Bin III Slide 10

Compliance Example: Tractor #2 Step 2: select C d values in table below based on Bin #, as determined by coastdown testing Enter 0.60 into aerodynamic coefficient field in GEM simulation model Slide 11

Compliance Example: Tractor #1 Step 3: fill in rolling resistance coefficients (C RR ) for steer and drive tires. C RR values are determined using the ISO 28580:2009 test procedure. Slide 12

Compliance Example: Tractor #1 Step 4: manufacturers will get weight reduction credit for using aluminum and high strength steel. For places where these materials are used on the vehicle, weight reduction credits will be given based on the default values in the tables below. Slide 13

Class 8 Tractor Sleeper Cab High Roof Compliance Pathway 94 g CO2 /Ton-mile 94 g CO2 23% Reduction 0.76 2.19 5.0 0.31 5.64 72 g CO2/ton-mile (MY2017 Std) Overlap with Aero 6.86 Slide 14

Class 8 Sleeper Cab High Roof Standards Predicated on: Aero - Aggressive aerodynamic technology penetration (10% Bin II, 70% Bin III, 20% Bin IV). Steer and Drive Tires RR - Does not require 100% penetration of low rolling resistance tires, predicated penetration rates vary by application. Weight Reduction 400 lbs weight reduction. Extended idle reduction Credit is 5 g CO2 for extended idle reduction + 5 minute automatic engine shut off. Only for tractor sleeper cabs. Engine Standards 6% improvement in 2017. Vehicle Speed Limiter Not predicated in final standards. Only available for combinations tractors (not vocational). Slide 15

Closing Thoughts HDV GHG / fuel economy standards are a critically important area of regulatory development for the US and globally. The search for continually improving upon regulatory design (metric, cycle, test method, etc) will continue for the next 5 to ten years at least. Important questions remain: Simulation Modeling v. Chassis Dyno Performance v. Technology Standards Test method accuracy and repeatability Incorporating trailers Hybrid technology development and incorporation Opportunities for global alignment of programs Slide 16