California Transportation Electrification and the ZEV Mandate Analisa Bevan Assistant Division Chief, ECARS November 2016 1
Air Quality Challenges in California Need for Strong Transportation Measures Transportation mobile sources account for 85% of the NOx emissions today Source: ARB 2016 Mobile Source
Need for ZEVs California is the nation s largest market for passenger cars and light-duty trucks Over 25 million registered vehicles Over 800 million miles driven every day Over 29 million gallons of gasoline consumed each day Widespread adoption of ZEVs necessary to meet California s GHG reduction goals 3 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 80% below 1990 levels by 2050
ZEVs Are A Critical Strategy Current vehicle policies through 2025 Advanced Clean Cars ZEV Regulation: ~15% sales in CA Governor s Office Executive Order: 1.5 million ZEVs +PHEVs ZEV Fueling Infrastructure GO Executive Order: Infrastructure for 1 million ZEVs and PHEVs by 2020 ZEV Expansion beyond 2025 4.3 million ZEV & PHEVs by 2030 100% ZEV & PHEV sales by 2050 4
ZEVs needed to meet emission goals Mobile Source Strategy Scenario: ZEV+PHEV light-duty sales 40% in 2030, and100% in 2050
How The ZEV Regulation Works Requires automobile manufacturers to produce zero emitting passenger vehicles Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) Hydrogen Fuel Cell (FCEV) May substitute some with near-zero emission vehicles Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) Conventional Hybrids * Clean Gasoline Vehicles* * Through MY 2017
ARB ZEV Regulation Likely Compliance Scenario (2012) and Current CA Sales Manufacturers over-complying today to provide buffer for 2018+ requirements New ARB compliance scenario projections to be published later in 2016 7
ZEV sales in California National Cumulative Sales 512,300 CA Cumulative Sales 250,000 Over 30 makes and models available 8
2016 ZEV Action Plan An updated roadmap toward 1.5 million zero-emission vehicles on CA roadways by 2015 9
2012 Executive Order Governor Brown directed state government to accelerate the market for ZEVs in California Calls for 1.5 million ZEVs by 2025 ZEV Action Plan identifies specific actions state government can take to meet this goal 10
2016 ZEV Action Plan Priorities Raising consumer awareness and education about ZEVs Ensuring ZEVs are accessible to a broad range of Californians Making ZEV technologies commercially viable in medium-duty, heavy-duty and freight sectors Aiding ZEV market growth beyond California 11
Groupings of 2016 Actions Achieve mainstream consumer awareness of ZEV options and benefits Make ZEVs an affordable and attractive option for drivers Ensure convenient charging and fueling infrastructure Bolster ZEV market growth outside of CA Lead by example integrating ZEVs in to state government 12
Consumer Outreach and Incentives Searchable database: Technology/fuel type Vehicle category (style) Vehicle make/model Tools and Calculators: Incentives Fuel costs 13 Consumer rebates for: Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles Battery Electric Vehicles Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles
Clean Vehicle Rebate Project Rebate demand and market continues to grow 163,000 rebates at a cost of $350 million since 2010 Includes extensive outreach to low-income households and disadvantaged communities Prioritized rebate payment for low-income applicants Over 35 eligible vehicle models available Higher rebates for lower-income consumers and income cap launched Standard rebate of $5,000 for FCEVs, $2,500 for BEVs, and $1,500 for PHEVs with income cap restrictions Increased rebate of +$2,000 for low-income consumers 14 *https://cleanvehiclerebate.org/eng/rebate-statistics
ZEV Infrastructure Activity Battery Electric Federal, State and local funding for public and workplace charging Over 11,000 public and workplace charging stations available Priorities: Public Charging Multi-Unit Dwellings Workplace 15 Hydrogen State and local funding for hydrogen stations to establish initial fueling network Currently 23 stations in operation 51 stations funded 100 stations needed to launch private investment in stations
Leading by Example Upping state government s ZEV purchases to 50 percent by 2025 Adding approximately 1,500 new ZEVs to the state fleet Expanding the state s vehicle charging station infrastructure to at least 5 percent of workplace parking spaces at state facilities Adding approximately 4,500 new charging stations 16
The role of partnerships State agency coordination and leadership California ZEV Action Plan Multi-State coordination 8-State ZEV MOU Multi-jurisdiction coordination International ZEV Alliance CA public-private partnerships CaFCP and PEVC 17
Next Steps Air Resources Board Mid-term Review Status of ZEV technologies February 2017 Monitor progress of 2016 ZEV Action Plan activities 18