April 20, Net Sales at March 31, 2017

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Transcription:

April 20, 2017 Net Sales at March 31, 2017

Q1 2017: 5.6 billion in net sales (up 10%), with strong growth in volumes Generally expanding market environment Sustained OE demand RT demand buoyed by early buying ahead of price increases Rebound in Mining tire demand Q1 volumes up 7.3%, lifted by early dealer buying and the recovery in Mining tire sales The price-mix effect reduced net sales by just 0.1%, a sharp improvement led by: The success of the new tire and services solutions aligned with customer needs The favorable mix effect, primarily reflecting 31% growth in volumes in the premium 18 + segment 2017 guidance confirmed, in line with our 2020 objectives 2

Q1 2017 markets lifted by early buying ahead of RT price increases PASSENGER CAR: +5% TRUCK: +8% SPECIALTY: +9%/+11% Global OE: +4% Global RT: +5% Robust demand in every region Global OE: +9% Global RT: +7% OE: sustained firm growth in China and Europe, declines in North and South America RT: demand boosted by price increases and by favorable global freight conditions Mining tires: rising demand led by the end of destocking RT Agricultural and Infrastructure tires: markets supported by price hikes OE Agricultural: stable Aircraft* and Two-Wheel** tires: continued growth * Commercial aircraft ** Motorcycle tires in Europe, the United States and Japan 3

Net sales lifted by sharply higher volumes YoY change (in millions and %) +128 +6 +9.9% 5,567 +371-3 Price-mix (-0.1%) o/w mix +0.9% Currency effect (+2.5%) Changes in scope of consolidation* (+0.1%) 5,065 Volumes (+7.3%) Q1 2016 Net sales Q1 2017 Net sales * BookaTable 4

Strong growth in volumes vs. a high basis of comparison and price-mix stabilizing ahead of price increases YoY quarterly change (in %) Volumes Price-mix Currency effect Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 2017 7.3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 2017 3.7 4.2 1.4 2.5-0.9-1.3-2.7-1.0-1.9-0.1-1.9-3.7-1.3-0.1 5

Improved Group positions (in millions and % in tonnes) Q1 2017 Q1 2016 RS1 net sales Volume growth 3,201 +8% 2,897 +4% RS2 net sales Volume growth 1,518 +3% 1,430 +3% RS3 net sales Volume growth 848 +14% 738 +0% 6

Passenger car and Light truck tires: solid performance across all brands and in every segment Passenger car and Light truck growth (YoY) +15% +31% +5% +8% +9% +8% Market OE + RT Market 18" RS1 MICHELIN brand Total 18" Other brands Source: Michelin 7

April 20, 2017 Net Sales at March 31, 2017 2017 guidance confirmed 8

Markets in 2017: early-year growth driven by price increases PASSENGER CAR: +2%/+3% TRUCK: +0%/+2% SPECIALTY: +3%/+5% Growth in line with long-term trends Slowing momentum in the North American and European markets Still buoyant demand in China Recovery in the other regions Growth in line with long-term trends China: Return to growth in the world s largest market Europe: Moderate growth North America: Another period of decline in OE and strong demand holding firm in RT Of which Mining tires: +8%/+10% Of which Agricultural tires: stable 9

2017 guidance confirmed: on the road to our 2020 objectives 2017 Volumes Growth in line with the markets Operating income from recurring activities at constant exchange rates Net price-mix/raw materials effect 2016 Non-indexed businesses: neutral Structural FCF* > 900m * Adjusted for the payment in January 2017 of the 193m in interest on the 2017 Océane zero-coupon convertible bonds. 10

2017 scenario*: H1 lifted by volumes and H2 by price increases H1 2017 2017 Impact of raw materials costs Around 900m headwind Currency effect Around a positive 100m Net price-mix/raw materials effect Competitiveness plan gains vs. inflation 100-200m headwind Indexed businesses: negative Non-indexed businesses: neutral Slightly positive * Based on the following prices: natural rubber: $2/kg; butadiene (US and Europe): $1,600/T; brent: $55/bbl; EUR/USD: $1.06 11

Raw materials: a negative impact mainly in H2 140 135 130 125 120 2017 assumptions per half 137 124 133 132 115 Purchase cost 110 105 100 106 100 105 101 P&L cost 95 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 12

Worldwide price increases for Michelin Europe North America South America China ASEAN Up to 8% over the first four months Up to 8% from Feb. to April Up to 3% in January Up to 8% in February Up to 8% in March-April Further price increases have been announced in Europe in the Truck (up 5% to 8% from May), Passenger car and Light truck (up 2% to 3% from June), and Agricultural (up 12% from July) segments. 13

1 st in (the largest number of) essential performances: 1 st in DRY braking (1) 1 st in WET braking (1) 1 st in DRY laptime (1) 1 st in longevity (2) LEGAL MENTIONS (1): Thanks to external tests realized by TÜV SÜD in June and July 2016 in 255/35-19 96 Y XL with BRIDGESTONE Potenza S001, CONTINENTAL SportContact 6, DUNLOP Sport Maxx RT 2, GOODYEAR Eagle F1 Asymmetric 3, and PIRELLI Pzero Nero GT bought on European replacement market in 2016 by TÜV SÜD. (2): Thanks to external tests realized on Michelin request by DEKRA Test Center in June and July 2016 in 255/35-19 96 Y XL with BRIDGESTONE Potenza S001, CONTINENTAL SportContact 6, DUNLOP Sport Maxx RT 2, GOODYEAR Eagle F1 Asymmetric 3, and PIRELLI Pzero Nero GT bought on European replacement market in 2016 by TÜV SÜD. 14

Investor calendar Upcoming events: May 19, 2017: Annual Shareholders Meeting July 25, 2017 after close of trading: First-half 2017 results October 19, 2017 after close of trading: Third-quarter 2017 net sales Dividend dates: May 24, 2017: Ex-dividend date May 25, 2017: Record date May 26, 2017: Payment date 15

April 20, 2017 Net Sales at March 31, 2017 Appendices 16

Sustained shareholder return policy: dividends and share buybacks Share buyback program 750m committed in 2015-2016 and cancellation of 4.5% of outstanding shares 2017: 100m in buybacks planned to offset the dilutive impact of share-based compensation Payout commitment At least 35% of net income before nonrecurring items 2016: 3.25* per share, representing a payout ratio of 36.5% Total Shareholder Return 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 165 120 184 Michelin TSR 185 147 151 221 169 275 184 297 194 100 End-2011 End-2012 End-2013 End-2014 End-2015 End-2016 March 31, 2017 CAC 40, dividends reinvested * Subject to shareholder approval at the Annual Meeting on May 19, 2017 17

PC and Light truck tires: Robust demand in every region and segment, lifted by early dealer buying Passenger car and Light truck market at March 31, 2017 (YoY in %, in number of tires) North America Europe excl. Russia & CIS Europe incl. Russia & CIS +5% +5% +6% +5% +2% +3% China Asia* (excl. India) South America Africa, India, Middle East Global Market +6% +12% +5% +7% 10% +3% +1% +2% +4% +5% * Including China Source: Michelin 18 OE RT

Truck & Bus: rebound in global market fueled by sharp growth in China and sell in pre-buy Truck tire market at March 31, 2017 (YoY in %, in number of new tires) North America Europe excl. Russia & CIS Europe incl. Russia & CIS +14% +9% +13% +9% +13% -8% China Asia* (excl. India) South America Africa, India, Middle East Global Market +22% +12% +16% +9% -4% +7% +2% -3% +9% +8% * Including China Source: Michelin 19 OE RT

Demonstrated ability to pass along sharp price increases in response to surging raw materials costs Price and raw materials effects by half year, 2011-2012; price increases (in millions and % of net sales, YoY) 1,400 1400 Up to +13% year-on-year price 1,200 1200 1,000 1000 800 600 400 200 0-200 -400 842 equ. +10% -848 repositioning 1,233 equ. +13% 942-900 equ. +9% -292 110 equ. +1% +216 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 Price effect ( m) RM effect ( m) 20

Raw materials in 2016 and 2017 Raw material purchases in 2016 ( 4.3bn) 400 in USD/kg 10% Steel cord 8% Textiles 25% Natural rubber /$ exchange rate: Average Q1 16 : 1.102-3.4% Average Q1 17 : 1.065 300 200 100 0 RSS3 TSR20 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 15% Chemicals 150 300 indexed 17% Fillers 25% Synthetic rubber 100 50 0 Brent, in USD 250 200 150 Synthetic rubber Manufacturing BLS 100 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 21

Natural rubber price trend Indexed, at end of March 2017 (per kg, base 100 in Q1 15) TSR20 in $ RSS3 in $ Quarterly average TSR20 in $ & quarterly change in % 180,0 180.0 1.4-5.6% 1.5 +6.7% 1.3-11.6% 1.2-10.6% 1.2-4.0% 1.4 +19.7% 1.3-4.2% 1,7 +26.4% 2.1 +26.8% 2.2 +4.1% 2.0-10.4% 160,0 160.0 140,0 140.0 120,0 120.0 100,0 100.0 80,0 80.0 60,0 60.0 40,0 40.0 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Jan. 17 Feb. 17 Mar. 17 Source : SICOM 22

Brent price trend Indexed, at end of March 2017 (per barrel, base 100 au Q1 15) Brent in $ Quarterly average Brent in $ & quarterly change in % 55 63 51 45 35 47 47 51 56 56 53 140-28.5% +15.0% -19.3% -12.4% -21.7% +33.2% +0.3% +8.8% +8.9% +0.8% -6.1% 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Jan. 17 Feb. 17 Mar. 17 23

Butadiene price trend Indexed, at end of March 2017 (per tonne, base 100 in Q1 15) Butadiene Europe Quarterly average Butadiene in & quarterly change in % 330 608-28% 642 +6% 745 +16% 628-16% 515-18% 618 +20% 670 +8% 773 +15% 940 +22% 1,400 +49% 1,750 +25% 280 230 180 130 80 30 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Jan. 17 Feb. 17 Mar. 17 Source : IHS 24

Disclaimer "This presentation is not an offer to purchase or a solicitation to recommend the purchase of Michelin shares. To obtain more detailed information on Michelin, please consult the documentation published in France by Autorité des Marchés Financiers available from the http://www.michelin.com/eng/ website. This presentation may contain a number of forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that these statements are based on reasonable assumptions at the time of the publication of this document, they are by nature subject to risks and contingencies liable to translate into a difference between actual data and the forecasts made or induced by these statements." 25

Contacts Valérie MAGLOIRE Matthieu DEWAVRIN Humbert de FEYDEAU +33 (0)1 78 76 45 36 27, cours de l île Seguin 92100 Boulogne-Billancourt - France investor-relations@michelin.com 26