8 th EU Hitachi Science & Technology Forum 1 Athens 20-22 May 2005 Mobility & Connectivity in the City of the Future The Seven Deadly Wins A Presentation by Prof. George Hazel OBE 21 May 2005 2 1
3 Win 1 Transport is about people and goods, not vehicles... Action - define what kind of city you want Mobility / connectivity is about what people and businesses need to do, where they need to be and how they get there Aims relate to economic, environmental and quality of life factors not transport measures 4 Win 2 The City is a Place of Exchange Action maximise exchange space Royal Mile, Edinburgh Copenhagen Boston 2
5 Win 2 Edinburgh, Scotland 6 Win 2 Copenhagen, Denmark 3
7 Boston, USA 8 Win 3 The City is a Place of Movement and Connectivity (people & goods) Action maximise movement and connectivity but minimise movement space Edinburgh, Scotland Curitiba, Brazil Rennes, France The ULTra System 4
9 Win 3 Edinburgh, Scotland 10 Win 3 Curitiba, Brazil 5
11 Win 3 Rennes, France 12 Win 3 The ULTra System 6
13 Win 4 The City is a Place of Chairs Action maximise places to sit Edinburgh, Scotland Paris, France Salamanca, Spain Unusual Chairs 14 Win 4 Edinburgh, Scotland 7
15 Win 4 Paris, France 16 Win 4 Salamanca, Spain 8
17 Win 4 Unusual Chairs 18 Win 5 The City is a place to enjoy Action create people places Brisbane, Australia Marbella, Spain Havana, Cuba Toronto, Canada Vancouver, Canada 9
19 Win 5 Brisbane, Australia 20 Win 5 Marbella, Spain 10
21 Win 5 Havana, Cuba 22 Win 5 Toronto, Canada 11
23 Win 5 Vancouver, Canada 24 Win 6 The City is defined by its arrival points Action create great arrival experiences Venice, Italy New York, USA Avignon, France Yokohama, Japan Salamanca, Spain Oslo, Norway Gothenburg, Sweden 12
25 Win 6 Venice, Italy 26 Win 6 New York, USA 13
27 Win 6 Avignon, France 28 Win 6 Yokohama, Japan 14
29 Win 6 Salamanca, Spain 30 Win 6 Oslo, Norway 15
31 Win 6 Gothenburg, Sweden 32 Win 7 The City is a complex system of interactions Action understand these interactions Integrate policy thinking land use, economy, environment, social inclusion and quality of life Embrace change Develop better systems Test concepts against the Sevens Deadly Wins 16
33 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Better movement and connectivity systems Public transit Cycling Walking Better virtual connectivity The wired city Virtual local centres 34 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Better transport information For the whole journey In real time Accessible at home, in vehicle, at work and at the roadside Better traffic management Speed and vehicle control Accident and incident prevention Intelligent transport systems 17
35 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Better Pricing Tolls / HOT lanes Lorry road user charging National road user charging 36 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Proportion of traffic paying each charge 80 70 charge per km 60 50 40 30 20 10 total cost under BSC based road charging expected cost of fuel duty per km in 2010 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Cumulative % of road-users 18
37 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Impact on Traffic and Congestion Relative to the Ten Year Plan England 2010 Change in Traffic Change in Congestion change on 10 year plan 1. Charging by marginal social cost: 75 charges 2. Charging by marginal social cost: 10 charges capped at 80p/km 3 Revenue neutral version of (2) 4 Increasing fuel duty to raise same revenue as (2) 5 10 charges capped at 60p/km 6 9 charges capped at 50p/km 7 9 charges capped at 40p/km 8 9 charges capped at 30p/km 9 8 charges capped at 20p/km 10 Charging in London & conurbations only 11 Charging in all urban areas all roads % -3-4 2-5 -4-4 -3-3 -2-3 -6 urban roads % -9-9 -4-5 -9-9 -8-7 -6-8 -10 interurban roads % 0-2 6-7 -2-2 -1-1 0-2 -5 all roads % -48-46 -41-7 -44-42 -39-35 -28-27 -43 urban roads % -52-52 -48-7 -49-46 -42-36 -29-44 -53 interurban roads % -34-34 -17-15 -34-34 -33-31 -29-10 -18 38 What Kind of Systems will be needed in Agathopolis? Better Logistics Freight delivery Access to markets Inter-modal systems and consolidation centres Better Engine Technology Public and private vehicles Gas, electric, hydrogen? Incentive schemes 19
39 A Guide for Agathopolis? Use Seven Deadly Wins as a foundation test ideas against them Decide what kind of a city you want and how to grow it hierarchical, polycentric or fractal Identify the problems, eg. pollution, and understand their source Integrate with other policy areas Develop solutions based on the Seven Deadly Wins, the agreed city objectives, future growth patterns and new technologies 40 Mobility & Connectivity in the City of the Future The Seven Deadly Wins A Presentation by Prof. George Hazel OBE 20