CO emissions (Gt CO /yr)

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 4 38 36 34 32 3 28 26 24 22 Data: CDIAC/GCP/BP/USGS 199 99 +1.1%/yr 2 9 +3.3%/yr Projection 217 36.8 Gt CO 2.% (.8% 3.%) 216: 36.2 Gt CO 199 1995 2 25 21 215

12 Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 1 8 6 4 2 196 197 198 199 2 21 16 China.3% Growth over 215 USA 2.1% EU28.3% India +4.5%

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Data: CDIAC/GCP 196 197 198 199 2 21 17 Projected Gt CO in 217 All others 15.1 2.3% (+.5% to +4.%) China 1.5 3.5% (+.7% to +5.4%) USA 5.3.4% ( 2.7% to +1.9%) EU28 3.5.2% ( 2.% to +1.6%) India 2.5 2.% (+.2% to +3.8%)

CO emissions (tco /person/yr) 25 2 15 1 5 Data: CDIAC/GCP 196 197 198 199 2 21 16 USA 16.5 t/p in 216 China 7.2 EU28 6.9 World 4.2 India 1.8

Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/IMF CO emissions (kgco /USD/yr) 2.5 2. 1.5 1..5 197 198 199 2 21 16 China.53 USA.31 India.3 World.29 EU28.19

16 Data: CDIAC/GCP +1.2%/yr CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 +.7%/yr.6%/yr 1.8%/yr +5.5%/yr China USA EU28 India Rest of World

Data: CDIAC/GCP/IMF 1% 9% Proportion of global total 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % Global Carbon Project MER PPP Cumulative Production Consumption Population GDP 1751 215 215 215 215 215 All others India EU28 USA China

37. Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 36.5 36. 35.5 35. 34.5 India +.11 USA.1 Russia.4 Brazil.4 Others +.22 34. World 215 World 216

4 Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 35 3 25 2 15 Bunkers Rest of Non OECD Russia India China 1 Rest of OECD Japan OECD Europe 5 USA 196 197 198 199 2 21 16

1% Data: CDIAC/GCP Proportion of global total 8% 6% 4% 2% % 188 19 192 194 196 198 2 16 All others Japan Russia India EU28 USA China

Proportion of global total 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% Data: CDIAC/GCP Oceania Middle East South America North America Africa Asia Europe % 188 19 192 194 196 198 2 16

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Data: CDIAC/GCP 196 197 198 199 2 21 16 Coal 14.5 Gt CO in 216 Oil 12.5 Gas 7. Cement 2. 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.%

16 Data: CDIAC/GCP.6%/yr CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 +1.6%/yr +1.5%/yr +2.4%/yr +1.3%/yr Coal Oil Gas Cement Flaring

Energy Consumption (Mtoe/yr) 5 4 3 2 1 Global Carbon Project Data: BP.7%/yr +1.4%/yr +1.5%/yr Annual global energy consumption from 2 216 Annual growth rates from 212 216 +1.5%/yr +2.1%/yr +14.%/yr Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Other Renewables

37. Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 36.5 36. 35.5 35. 34.5 Coal.2 Oil +.22 Gas +.12 Cement +.3 34. Total 215 Total 216

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/IMF/Peters et al. 212 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Dissolution of Soviet Union US savings and loan crisis Oil crisis Asian financial crisis Global financial crisis 217 is projected 196 197 198 199 2 21 17 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Carbon intensity (gco /$US)

Data: CDIAC/GCP/UN Data year: 216 Emissions intensity (kgco /USD).5.4.3.2.1 Global Carbon Project CHN RUS USA IND JPN 1 2 3 4 5 6 GDP PPP (trillion USD) DEU IDN BRA GBR FRA World average.3 kg/usd

Net CO emissions (GtCO ) Net CO emissions (GtCO ) 14 1 5 25 14 1 5 SSP5: Rapid growth Baseline 6. W/m² 4.5 W/m² 3.4 W/m² 2.6 W/m² Adaptation Low challenges SSP1: Sustainability 25 198 22 26 21 Mitigation High challenges SSP2: Middle of the road Mitigation Low challenges SSP3: Regional rivalry SSP4: Inequality Adaptation High challenges 198 22 26 21 <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C

Emissions from fossil fuels and land use change (GtCO /yr) 14 1 5 Data: SSP database (IIASA)/GCP Scenario group Baseline (3 5.1 C) 6. W/m² (3.2 3.3 C) 4.5 W/m² (2.5 2.7 C) 3.4 W/m² (2.1 2.3 C) 2.6 W/m² (1.7 1.8 C) net negative global emissions 25 198 2 22 24 26 28 21 <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C

6 Data: SSP Database (IIASA)/GCP Emissions from fossil fuels and land-use change (GtCO /yr) 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 217 Estimate Historical net-negative global emissions 198 2 22 24 26 28 21

6 12 CO emissions (GtCO /yr) 5 4 3 2 1 1 8 6 4 2 Gross World Product (trillion USD) 199 1995 2 25 21 215

2. Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/BP/IMF Relative growth 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1. GWP CO FFI Energy CO /Energy.8 Energy/GWP 199 1995 2 25 21 215

Per capita CO emissions (tco /p) 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Global Carbon Project Data: CDIAC/GCP/UN USA RUS CHN EU28 1 2 3 4 Population (billions) BRA IDN Data year: 216 IND PAK NGA BGD World average 4.8 t/p

12 Data: CDIAC/GCP/Peters et al 211 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 1 8 6 4 2 Production emissions Consumption emissions China USA EU28 India 199 1995 2 25 21 215

Data: CDIAC/GCP/Peters et al 211 25 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 2 15 1 5 Production emissions Consumption emissions 199 1995 2 25 21 215 Non Annex B Annex B Emissions transfer

9 Data: GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 196 197 198 199 2 21 16

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Data: CDIAC/GCP 196 197 198 199 2 21 16 Fossil fuels and cement Land use change

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Data: CDIAC/GCP Land use change Others Gas Oil Coal 188 19 192 194 196 198 2 16

1% Data: CDIAC/GCP Others Gas Proportion of global total 8% 6% 4% 2% % 188 19 192 194 196 198 2 16 Oil Coal Land use change

4 Data: CDIAC/NOAA ESRL/GCP/Joos et al 213 CO flux (Gt CO /yr) 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 Total estimated sources do not match total estimated sinks. This imbalance reflects the gap in our understanding. Fossil fuels and industry Land use change Ocean sink Land sink Atmosphere 19 192 194 196 198 2 16

CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) CO flux (Gt CO /yr) Data: GCP 4 Fossil fuels and industry 3 2 1 4 3 2 1 Land use change 1 196 197 198 199 2 21 22 2 1 1 Global Carbon Project 196 197 198 199 2 21 22 Budget imbalance 2 196 197 198 199 2 21 22 CO partitioning (Gt CO /yr) 4 3 2 1 Atmospheric growth 1 196 197 198 199 2 21 22 4 3 2 1 Land sink 1 196 197 198 199 2 21 22 4 3 2 1 Ocean sink 1 196 197 198 199 2 21 22

25 Data: NOAA ESRL/GCP CO partitioning (Gt CO /yr) 2 15 1 5 196 197 198 199 2 21 16

15 Data: GCP CO (Gt CO /yr) 1 5 196 197 198 199 2 21 16

CO (Gt CO /yr) Data: GCP 25 Land sink 2 15 1 5 5 1 196 198 2 22 Land use change emissions 196 198 2 22 25 2 15 1 5 5 Total land 1 196 198 2 22

1 Data: GCP Tropics North 2 CO (Gt CO /yr) 5 5 1 196 198 2 22 196 198 2 22 15 1 5 1 8 South 6 4 2 196 198 2 22

15 Data: GCP 1 CO (Gt CO /yr) 5 5 1 15 196 197 198 199 2 21 16

CO concentration (ppm) 6 55 5 45 4 35 3 25 Data: CDIAC/NOAA ESRL/GCP/Joos et al 213 288 ppm Coal +92 ppm Oil +7 ppm Gas +3 ppm Cement +6 ppm Land use +88 ppm 13 ppm Imbalance Land sink 88 ppm Ocean sink 69 ppm 43 ppm 2 Atmosphere in 187 Global Carbon Project Atmosphere in 216

Data: Scripps/NOAA ESRL CO concentration (ppm) 4 38 36 34 32 Monthly mean Seasonally corrected trend 196 197 198 199 2 21 22

45 Data: GCP/Tans & Keeling 217 Carbon dioxide (GtCO /y) 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 198 199 2 21 17 Total emissions Fossil fuels & industry Atmospheric increase

Atmospheric Growth Rate (GtCO /yr) 3 25 2 15 1 5 Observations Reconstructed 2 std. dev. Variability (1 std. dev.) 217 23 196 198 2 22 24 1.%/yr.%/yr 1.%/yr Growth rate of CO emissions

217 216 215 214 213 212 211 21 29 28 27 Data: Tans & Keeling / Scripps January Measured monthly averages Forecast 217 CO concentration by Met Office Hadley Centre Forecast monthly averages Forecast annual average 46.8 December 415 41 45 4 395 39 385 Atmospheric CO at Mauna Loa (ppm)