1
TABLE A.1 GDP Growth (Constant 2010 U.S. Dollars) Annual estimates and forecasts a Quarterly growth b 2013 2014 00-10 c 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 World 2.8 3.1 2.4 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.2 2.6 2.9 3.3 2.8 1.7 2.3 3.0 High-Income Countries 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 2.0 0.9 1.4 2.2 Euro Area 1.2 1.7-0.7-0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.6-1.5 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.6 OECD Countries (All) 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.7 1.9 1.0 1.4 2.3 Non-OECD Countries (High-income only) 4.6 5.1 3.5 2.4 2.5 0.9 2.4 2.9 1.6 3.0 2.3 4.1 0.9 1.0 1.5 Developing Countries 6.1 6.3 4.7 4.9 4.5 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 3.8 4.6 5.0 East Asia and the Pacific 9.0 8.3 7.4 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.1 7.1 8.2 6.9 5.2 7.4 7.8 Cambodia 8.0 7.1 7.3 7.4 7.2 7.5 7.2 7.0.............. China 10.5 9.3 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 7.7 8.8 7.2 6.0 7.7 8.6 Fiji 1.6 2.7 1.7 3.5 3.7 2.5 2.5 2.6.............. Indonesia 5.2 6.5 6.3 5.8 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.9 5.3 5.4 6.1 4.0 4.9 5.0 Lao PDR 7.1 8.0 8.0 8.5 7.5 6.4 7.0 6.9.............. Malaysia 4.6 5.2 5.6 4.7 5.7 4.7 5.1 5.2-1.2 6.8 7.1 7.6 3.5 7.8 3.6 Mongolia 6.5 17.5 12.4 11.7 6.3 6.0 6.1 6.3 11.1 20.4 14.5 4.4-6.9 2.8.. Myanmar 10.3 5.9 7.3 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.2 8.0.............. Papua New Guinea 3.5 10.7 8.1 5.5 7.5 16.0 5.1 5.4.............. Philippines 4.8 3.6 6.8 7.2 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.3 10.0 5.3 5.7 4.8 6.5 8.6 1.7 Solomon Islands 2.9 10.7 4.9 3.0 0.1 3.5 3.5 3.5.............. Thailand 4.3 0.1 6.5 2.9 0.5 3.5 4.0 4.5-5.2 1.1 3.7 2.7-8.6 4.3 4.4 Timor-Leste 4.3 14.7 7.8 5.6 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.0.............. Vietnam 6.6 6.2 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.8 6.0.............. Europe and Central Asia 4.6 6.3 1.9 3.6 2.4 3.0 3.6 3.9 5.8 5.5 2.3 4.1 3.9-2.0 1.6 Albania 5.5 2.5 1.6 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 4.5 2.0 5.1-6.0 5.7 0.5 1.5.. Armenia 7.9 4.7 7.2 3.5 2.6 3.3 3.7 4.1.............. Azerbaijan 14.9 0.1 2.2 5.8 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.8.............. Belarus 7.4 5.5 1.7 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.0 9.0-3.9-2.4-3.5 15.3-1.7 2.8 Bosnia and Herzegovina 4.1 1.0-1.2 2.5 0.4 1.5 2.5 3.0.............. Bulgaria 4.1 1.8 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.7 2.0 0.4 2.7 2.6 0.5 1.2 1.8 Georgia 6.2 7.2 6.2 3.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 6.3 7.3 3.1 17.3 3.0-3.2 4.5 Hungary 1.9 1.6-1.7 1.5 3.2 2.0 2.5 2.7 3.6 2.7 4.1 3.5 3.7 3.4 1.9 Kazakhstan 8.3 7.5 5.0 6.0 4.1 1.8 3.2 4.7 1.4 9.8 10.1 5.2...... Kosovo 6.2 4.5 2.8 3.4 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5.............. Kyrgyz Republic 4.1 6.0-0.1 10.9 3.0 2.0 4.0 5.0.............. Macedonia, FYR 3.0 2.3-0.5 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0.............. Moldova 5.1 6.8-0.7 8.9 2.0 3.0 3.5 5.0.............. Montenegro 3.6 3.2-2.5 3.3 1.5 3.4 2.9 3.0.............. Romania 4.1 2.3 0.6 3.5 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.9 5.2 5.7 3.7 3.6 3.0-1.5 7.2 Serbia 3.7 1.6-1.5 2.5-2.0-0.5 1.5 2.0.............. Tajikistan 8.3 7.4 7.5 7.4 6.4 4.2 5.3 6.2.............. Turkey 3.9 8.8 2.1 4.1 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.9 7.3 6.7 1.9 3.2 7.3-1.8 1.8 Turkmenistan 13.6 14.7 11.1 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.4 10.6.............. Ukraine 4.3 5.2 0.3 0.0-8.2-2.3 3.5 3.8 4.4 2.3-5.8 14.8-13.9-11.0-8.3 Uzbekistan 6.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.4 8.2 8.1.............. Latin America and the Caribbean 3.3 4.2 2.6 2.5 0.8 1.7 2.9 3.3 2.2 4.7 0.9 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 Argentina e 3.8 8.6 0.9 2.9-1.5-0.3 1.6 3.1 2.0 4.4 1.3-1.2-2.7 3.1-2.1 Belize 4.0 2.1 4.0 0.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8.............. Bolivia 3.8 5.2 5.2 6.8 5.3 4.5 4.3 4.0 5.5 5.7 6.4 9.6 0.9 2.4.. Brazil 3.6 2.7 1.0 2.5 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.7 0.7 8.4-2.0 1.9-0.7-2.4 0.3 Colombia 4.1 6.6 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.3 6.3 8.4 3.0 4.4 10.6-0.5 2.6 Costa Rica 4.4 4.5 5.1 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.5-0.4 7.6 7.2 2.0-1.3 6.8 7.3 Dominica 2.6 0.2-1.1 0.8 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.6.............. Dominican Republic 4.9 2.9 2.6 4.6 5.9 4.9 4.7 4.7.............. Ecuador 4.1 7.8 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.8 4.3 5.0 3.3 8.7 6.4 2.6 0.9 4.0.. El Salvador 1.9 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.9.............. Guatemala 3.3 4.2 3.0 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 6.3 1.7 0.7 5.2 9.9.. Guyana 2.4 5.4 4.8 5.2 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0.............. Haiti 0.1 5.5 2.9 4.3 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.1.............. Honduras 4.1 3.8 4.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.5.............. Jamaica d 0.7 1.7-0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.2 2.5.............. Mexico 1.8 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.1 3.3 3.8 3.8 2.6-4.3 4.7 1.5 1.4 3.6 2.0 Nicaragua e 2.8 5.7 5.0 4.6 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.3.............. Panama 6.3 10.9 10.8 8.4 6.5 6.1 5.8 5.6.............. Paraguay 3.4 4.3-1.2 14.2 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.6 66.4 0.6 2.8-1.0 14.8-2.9 7.3 Peru e 5.6 6.5 6.0 5.8 2.4 4.8 5.5 5.9 4.5 11.0 3.6 9.4-2.6-2.9 3.4 St. Lucia 1.8 1.2-1.6-0.4-1.0-0.6 0.8 1.4.............. St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2.9-0.5 1.2 1.7 1.5 2.6 2.9 3.4.............. Venezuela, RB 3.1 4.2 5.6 1.3-3.0-2.0 0.5 1.5.............. 2
Annual estimates and forecasts a Quarterly growth b 2013 2014 00-10 c 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Middle East and North Africa 4.7 2.7-1.1 0.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.3 11.2-11.9 1.0 4.5 6.5 3.3.. Algeria 3.9 2.8 3.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.5.............. Djibouti 3.9 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.0.............. Egypt, Arab Rep. d 4.8 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 0.8 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.4 5.0.. Iran, Islamic Rep. 5.0 3.9-6.6-1.9 1.5 0.9 1.0 2.2 23.2-25.2 0.6 4.6 13.3-0.4.. Iraq -0.4 10.2 10.3 4.2-2.7 0.9 7.0 5.9.............. Jordan 6.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.0 3.1 3.8 1.7 2.8 4.3 2.5.. Lebanon 5.9 2.0 2.2 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.4 3.6.............. Libya 4.3-62.1 104.5-13.7-21.8 4.3 4.4 6.5.............. Morocco 4.9 5.0 2.7 4.4 3.0 4.6 4.0 4.5-1.8 11.7 1.9 6.5-11.9 14.6 2.9 Tunisia 4.4-0.5 4.7 2.5 2.3 2.7 3.5 4.0 0.9 2.9 1.1 4.5 2.1 3.4 0.9 Yemen, Rep. 3.0-12.7 2.4 4.8 1.9 3.7 3.8 5.2.............. West Bank and Gaza 3.3 12.2 5.9 1.9-3.7 4.4 4.0 4.0.............. South Asia 6.8 7.3 5.0 4.9 5.5 6.1 6.6 6.8 4.8 3.8 6.5 3.6 5.0 8.1 4.9 Afghanistan 12.8 6.1 14.4 3.7 1.5 4.0 5.0 5.1.............. Bangladesh d 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.5 7.0.............. India d 7.5 6.6 4.7 5.0 5.6 6.4 7.0 7.0 4.8 3.7 6.4 3.4 5.0 8.2 4.8 Maldives 7.0 6.5 1.3 4.7 5.0 5.3 4.3 4.3.............. Nepal d 3.9 3.4 4.9 3.8 5.5 5.0 4.7 4.5.............. Pakistan d 4.2 2.7 3.5 4.4 5.4 4.6 4.8 4.9.............. Sri Lanka 5.2 8.2 6.3 7.3 7.8 7.5 6.8 6.5 6.5 7.0 8.7 10.1 4.8 7.8 8.3 Sub-Saharan Africa 5.7 4.3 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.9 5.1 3.8 5.9 3.5 6.0 1.2 5.3 2.9 Angola 11.3 3.9 8.4 6.8 4.4 5.3 5.0 5.2.............. Benin 3.9 3.5 5.4 5.6 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.7.............. Botswana 4.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 4.5 4.6 4.9 5.0 3.5 8.9-0.3 4.5 7.2 6.5 4.4 Burkina Faso 6.0 4.2 9.5 5.3 6.0 5.5 6.5 6.8.............. Cameroon 3.3 4.1 4.6 5.5 5.1 5.1 4.9 5.1.............. Cabo Verde 5.3 4.0 1.2 0.5 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.1.............. Comoros 1.8 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.2 3.0.............. Congo, Dem. Rep. 4.7 6.9 7.2 8.5 8.0 7.8 7.5 7.3.............. Côte d'ivoire 1.1-4.7 9.5 8.7 9.1 8.5 8.2 8.0.............. Eritrea 0.9 8.7 7.0 1.3 3.2 3.0 4.0 4.3.............. Ethiopia 8.6 11.2 8.7 10.4 6.7 6.9 6.6 6.7.............. Gabon 2.0 7.1 5.6 5.9 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.7.............. Gambia, The 3.8-4.3 6.1 5.6 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.6.............. Ghana 5.8 15.0 8.8 7.1 4.7 4.5 5.5 6.0.............. Guinea 2.6 3.9 3.9 2.5 0.5-0.2 2.2 2.5.............. Guinea-Bissau 2.2 5.3-1.5 0.3 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.0.............. Kenya 4.4 6.1 4.5 5.7 5.4 6.0 6.6 6.5.............. Lesotho 4.0 2.8 6.5 5.9 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.4.............. Madagascar 2.5 1.0 2.4 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.8 3.9.............. Malawi 4.5 4.3 1.9 5.0 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.2.............. Mali 6.0 2.7-0.4 2.1 5.0 4.3 4.6 4.8.............. Mauritania 4.9 4.0 7.0 6.7 5.7 5.5 5.6 5.6.............. Mauritius 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.9 3.7 3.7.............. Mozambique 7.8 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.2 8.0 8.1 8.2.............. Namibia 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.1 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.0.............. Niger 4.6 2.3 10.8 3.9 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.3.............. Nigeria 8.9 4.9 4.3 5.4 6.3 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.1 7.9 5.8 7.0 3.5 9.7 4.2 Rwanda 7.9 7.5 7.3 4.6 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.1.............. Senegal 4.1 2.1 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.7.............. Sierra Leone 8.9 6.0 15.2 20.1 4.0-2.0 2.5 2.7.............. South Africa 3.5 3.6 2.5 1.9 1.4 2.2 2.5 2.7 1.4 3.7 1.2 5.1-1.6 0.5 1.4 Sudan 6.3-3.3-10.1-6.0 2.6 2.5 2.8 3.0.............. Swaziland 2.3-0.7 1.9 2.8 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.8.............. Tanzania 7.0 6.4 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.2 6.8 7.0.............. Togo 2.2 4.9 5.9 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.7.............. Uganda 7.5 5.0 4.6 5.9 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.0.............. Zambia 5.6 6.8 7.3 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.5 6.7.............. Zimbabwe -4.7 11.9 10.6 4.5 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.4.............. Source: World Bank, WDI, Haver Analytics, WEO Note: Aggregates include countries with full national accounts and balance of payment data only a. Annual percentage change b. Quarter-over-quarter growth, seasonally adjusted and annualized c. Compound average of the period 2000-10 d. Annual GDP is on fiscal year basis, as per reporting practice in the country e. Preliminary for long-term average. Data was recently rebased; missing data up to 2003 was spliced with the earlier series. 3
TABLE A.2 Current Account Balance (Percentage share of nominal GDP) Annual estimates and forecasts a Recent Quarters b 2013 2014 00-10 c 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 World 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5.. -0.2.. High-Income Countries -0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6.. Euro Area 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 1.9 2.8 2.7 3.5...... OECD Countries (All) -1.1-0.7-0.5-0.1-0.1 0.0-0.1 0.0-0.2 0.1-0.3 0.0 0.0.... Non-OECD Countries (High-income only) 9.3 11.2 10.4 8.8 8.5 8.3 6.3 5.3 7.7 5.6 6.9 6.8 7.6 6.9.. Developing Countries 1.3 0.0-0.2-0.5-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.8-1.1-0.6-0.5-1.0-0.9.. East Asia and the Pacific 4.6 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.6.... Cambodia -4.7-6.8-9.6-10.7-11.3-11.2-9.6-8.7.............. China 5.0 1.9 2.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 1.7 1.8 0.3 3.2 2.9 Fiji -6.6-5.0-1.8-15.5-8.7-9.3-9.7-9.3.............. Indonesia 2.3 0.2-2.8-3.3-3.2-2.8-2.8-2.6-2.7-4.5-4.0-2.1-2.0-4.1-3.1 Lao PDR -10.6-10.3-12.7-11.5-11.2-14.9-15.4-13.8.............. Malaysia 11.7 11.6 5.8 4.0 4.2 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.6 1.1 3.9 5.6 7.7 6.1 2.8 Mongolia d -4.6-26.5-27.4-25.1-11.3-9.0-10.1-13.6-30.7-23.5-23.9-25.3-13.5-15.0-8.9 Myanmar.. -1.9-4.3-5.4-5.3-5.1-5.0-4.9.............. Papua New Guinea 4.5-23.6-53.6-30.8-8.5 12.5 10.8 9.5.............. Philippines 1.4 2.5 2.8 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.4 1.7 3.2 3.3 4.0 4.9 1.2 4.2 4.4 Solomon Islands -16.6-6.9 0.2-8.4-14.7-15.5-14.6-12.0.............. Thailand 3.3 2.6-0.4-0.5 3.4 2.3 1.6 1.9 0.5-6.7 0.5 3.1 8.8-0.4-0.6 Timor-Leste 19.1 40.4 43.5 34.3 32.1 27.0 27.7 27.0.............. Vietnam -3.3 0.2 6.0 5.6 4.1 3.4 2.6 1.2.............. Europe and Central Asia -3.6-4.3-3.5-4.0-2.3-2.2-2.8-2.9-4.0-4.9-4.1-5.3-3.1-3.3.. Albania -7.7-13.4-10.2-10.6-11.9-11.8-11.7-11.5-10.4-13.5-9.4-16.0-13.0-15.9.. Armenia -9.3-10.9-11.2-8.0-9.2-7.2-7.1-6.7-13.9-7.7-2.5-8.1-17.3-6.8.. Azerbaijan 5.1 26.0 21.7 16.5 12.6 9.8 8.1 5.3.............. Belarus -5.5-8.6-2.7-10.2-8.1-6.3-8.5-8.8-15.5-5.5-10.6-11.5-10.0-0.3-0.3 Bosnia and Herzegovina -12.3-9.5-9.3-5.4-9.7-8.6-6.9-6.2.............. Bulgaria -10.3 0.1-0.8 2.1 1.2-0.5 1.9 0.7-4.1 5.4 10.7-3.8-3.4-0.9 8.0 Georgia -11.4-12.7-11.7-5.7-8.5-7.8-7.1-6.7-6.0-4.8-1.5-10.5-8.8-9.4-5.4 Hungary -6.2 0.4 0.9 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 3.1 5.9 3.1 4.7 3.2 5.3 Kazakhstan -1.7 5.4 0.5 0.5 2.0-1.1-1.1 0.0 4.2 0.0-3.9 0.2 13.5 0.7-2.6 Kosovo -7.9-20.3-7.5-6.4-7.7-6.8-6.5-6.1.............. Kyrgyz Republic -3.1-6.5-15.1-13.9-12.4-15.0-13.8-13.1.............. Macedonia, FYR -5.6-2.5-2.9-1.8-2.2-3.0-4.9-5.5-5.9-5.5 6.6-2.7-5.5-4.5 5.5 Moldova -7.7-11.2-6.8 5.0-4.5-4.8-6.6-7.0.............. Montenegro -20.6-17.7-18.7-14.6-15.7-16.3-16.8-17.5.............. Romania -7.1-4.5-4.5-1.4-2.0-2.5-2.5-2.9 0.0 0.3-1.7-2.2-0.5-1.5 0.3 Serbia -9.5-9.1-12.3-6.5-6.1-4.7-4.3-4.1-8.3-4.8-4.7-7.4-6.7-5.9-5.9 Tajikistan -4.4-4.7-1.3-0.7-6.1-5.7-5.2-4.7.............. Turkey -3.5-9.7-6.2-7.9-5.6-4.5-4.9-5.0-7.9-9.8-6.0-8.0-6.0-6.3-3.2 Turkmenistan 5.8 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.6-1.5-1.5-1.7.............. Ukraine 1.8-6.3-8.1-9.2-2.7-2.7-2.9-2.7-7.3-5.1-13.7-11.0-3.3-3.5-3.3 Uzbekistan 5.1 5.8 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.3.............. Latin America and the Caribbean -0.5-1.5-1.8-2.5-2.6-2.8-2.5-2.2-3.3-2.4-2.6-2.9-3.1-2.3.. Argentina e 1.8-0.7-0.2-0.8-1.4-1.2-0.7-0.1-1.4 0.5-1.1-1.1-2.7 0.6-0.5 Belize -11.8-1.1-1.2-4.5-5.3-6.2-6.4-6.5.............. Bolivia 4.0 2.2 7.9 4.3 2.3-0.2-1.3-2.0 8.0 4.2 4.6-1.1...... Brazil -0.9-2.1-2.4-3.6-3.8-3.6-3.4-3.2-4.2-3.2-3.2-3.8-4.7-3.2-3.4 Colombia -1.5-2.9-3.1-3.2-4.0-4.3-4.0-3.7-3.4-2.3-3.8-3.4-4.2-4.2-5.0 Costa Rica -4.8-5.4-5.3-4.9-4.7-4.1-4.0-3.8-4.2-4.7-5.5-5.8-3.3-5.2-4.9 Dominica -18.6-14.5-18.9-16.6-17.0-16.1-15.2-14.0.............. Dominican Republic -3.5-7.9-6.8-4.1-3.4-3.1-2.9-2.8-1.1-4.3-6.6-4.3 1.3.... Ecuador 0.1-0.4-0.4-1.3-0.2-2.9-1.8-0.6-0.7-3.1-0.8-0.8 0.8 1.3.. El Salvador -4.1-4.8-5.4-6.5-5.9-5.8-5.7-5.6-5.9-7.1-7.6-5.4-6.7-4.7-2.2 Guatemala -4.3-3.4-2.6-2.7-2.0-1.9-1.8-1.7-1.1-2.9-3.4-3.4-2.1-1.7.. Guyana -10.1-13.1-11.6-12.9-15.4-15.3-15.0-14.6.............. Haiti 1.3-4.3-5.7-6.7-6.2-6.1-5.9-5.8.............. Honduras -6.6-8.0-8.5-9.5-7.1-6.8-6.6-6.6.............. Jamaica f -9.8-13.4-13.0-11.1-8.4-7.1-5.9-5.0-7.7-8.1-11.3-9.6-4.1-8.6.. Mexico -1.4-1.1-1.3-2.1-2.1-2.4-2.2-2.2-2.4-1.8-1.8-2.4-1.4-2.4-0.8 Nicaragua e -12.4-12.8-12.7-11.4-10.8-9.2-9.5-10.1.............. Panama -5.2-15.9-10.6-11.9-12.3-12.0-11.1-10.0.............. Paraguay 1.5-1.1-0.9 2.1 1.1-1.1-0.6-0.7 0.9 6.3 4.8-3.3...... Peru e -0.9-1.9-3.3-4.5-4.8-4.2-3.9-3.6-5.3-5.1-5.5-2.0-5.5-6.6-4.5 St. Lucia -18.1-18.9-14.2-7.4-7.7-8.6-9.4-10.0.............. St. Vincent and the Grenadines -19.9-29.4-31.1-32.9-33.5-33.0-32.4-31.6.............. Venezuela, RB 9.0 7.7 2.9 2.5 2.0-0.3-0.5-0.6.............. 4
Annual estimates and forecasts a Recent Quarters b 2013 2014 00-10 c 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Middle East and North Africa 3.8 4.4 1.3 0.6-1.0-4.3-4.1-3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0...... Algeria 13.3 10.0 6.1 0.5-3.3-9.1-9.3-9.5.............. Djibouti.. -14.1-18.4-23.7-33.0-36.6-40.6-47.4.............. Egypt, Arab Rep. 0.8-2.6-3.9-2.7-0.9-1.7-1.8-2.0-1.6-2.5 0.8-2.0 0.5-2.6.. Iran, Islamic Rep. 6.3 11.0 6.6 7.5 3.6-2.6-2.1-1.7.............. Iraq.. 12.0 6.7-0.8 2.0-5.3-2.2-1.5.............. Jordan -4.6-10.2-15.2-10.0-11.3-9.4-7.9-6.0-2.7-7.4-17.5-12.9-4.2-15.4.. Lebanon -17.1-10.9-8.1-8.5-8.3-8.0-7.3-7.1.............. Libya.. 9.2 29.1-3.5-24.3-12.5-11.2-9.8.............. Morocco 0.1-8.0-9.7-7.6-5.9-4.2-3.6-2.9-7.9-11.4-6.5-4.5-9.1-5.9.. Tunisia ` -3.0-7.4-8.2-8.4-9.1-8.6-7.3-6.6-7.7-10.7-4.8-10.3-11.6-10.7.. Yemen, Rep. 0.4-3.2-1.9-3.3-3.6-6.5-6.1-5.5.............. West Bank and Gaza.. -32.0-36.4-29.1-37.5-39.7-36.9-34.1.............. South Asia -0.8-3.1-4.1-2.0-1.1-1.2-1.3-1.3-4.5-5.6-1.8-1.2-0.7.... Afghanistan 0.0 3.1 3.9 3.7 4.1 0.3-1.9-1.9.............. Bangladesh 0.6-1.5 0.5 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5.............. Bhutan -13.9-32.6-23.0-25.0-21.9-26.2-26.6-27.9.............. India -0.8-3.4-5.0-2.5-1.3-1.5-1.6-1.6-4.0-4.9-1.2-1.0-0.3-1.7-2.3 Maldives -12.6-18.1-10.6-6.5-8.1-7.3-8.1-7.6.............. Nepal 0.5 2.5 3.9 6.9 5.8 4.9 3.8 2.8.............. Pakistan -1.3-1.0-1.0-1.9-1.2-1.1-1.0-0.9.............. Sri Lanka -3.3-7.8-6.7-3.9-3.6-3.4-3.1-2.9-6.7-6.1-2.6-0.6-3.1-0.7.. Sub-Saharan Africa -0.3-1.3-2.4-2.8-2.9-3.9-4.0-3.8.............. Angola 5.3 12.6 11.9 5.8 2.8-2.0-5.5-5.7.............. Benin -7.1-7.1-6.0-14.4-12.8-12.5-8.0-2.2.............. Botswana 7.1-2.1-7.1 9.5 7.6 6.1 5.1 3.9 7.9 8.3 10.6 14.6 5.1 21.0 15.1 Burkina Faso -8.8-1.5-4.5-7.1-7.5-6.9-5.9-5.1.............. Côte d'ivoire 1.8 13.0-1.7-3.0-2.1-2.5-3.9-5.0.............. Cameroon -2.2-2.8-3.6-3.7-3.6-4.1-4.6-4.9.............. Cabo Verde -11.1-17.3-9.8-4.2-5.0-6.3-5.1-4.6.............. Comoros -13.5-26.2-29.4-27.1-26.6-25.3-25.5-24.8.............. Congo, Dem. Rep. -0.7-5.4-6.2-10.3-9.4-10.1-10.6-10.8.............. Eritrea -19.5 4.9 12.8 2.5-3.1-4.3-7.6-6.8.............. Ethiopia -4.7-2.0-6.2-6.0-7.0-7.5-7.6-7.5.............. Gabon 14.1 11.3 9.1 5.4 3.8 1.4-2.8-2.1.............. Gambia, The -1.6 12.2 6.4 3.3-2.0-1.9-1.3-1.3.............. Ghana -13.5-10.9-11.4-12.0-10.6-10.9-9.9-8.8.............. Guinea -6.9-23.5-19.4-10.9-11.5-15.1-15.4-14.9.............. Guinea-Bissau -0.7 2.6-7.6-8.1-7.8-7.0-6.1-6.3.............. Kenya -2.4-9.1-8.4-8.3-7.4-6.7-5.8-4.7.............. Lesotho 2.7-18.5-25.2-5.5-2.6-2.0-2.2-2.8.............. Madagascar -11.5-7.7-8.4-6.2-8.5-11.0-0.7 1.8.............. Malawi -10.8-13.6-18.9-18.1-17.8-17.4-15.8-14.2.............. Mali -8.5-6.2-2.7-5.4-9.3-9.4-9.8-9.9.............. Mauritania -10.6-0.5-25.8-18.3-20.7-22.1-24.2-25.7.............. Mauritius -3.4-13.4-10.5-12.5-10.8-10.0-9.4-8.7-8.2-8.2-13.0-10.1-5.7-8.5-11.2 Mozambique -14.1-23.9-43.2-36.3-33.9-31.4-31.1-31.2.............. Namibia 4.4-1.2-2.2-7.9-6.5-6.6-5.2-4.1.............. Niger -10.5-18.7-8.4-8.2-11.4-12.0-12.9-13.4.............. Nigeria 13.5 3.0 4.4 4.0 3.7 1.9 2.0 1.8 5.6 3.6 2.8 3.9 3.6 1.1.. Rwanda -5.5-7.5-11.5-7.1-6.0-4.9-4.1-4.5.............. Senegal -7.7-7.9-12.1-10.6-9.6-8.2-7.5-6.4.............. Sierra Leone -6.5-66.6-22.9-10.3-12.5-15.0-15.4-15.7.............. South Africa -2.9-2.3-5.2-5.8-5.6-5.2-4.8-4.5-5.8-5.7-6.9-3.9-4.7-6.3-6.0 Sudan -7.2-1.7-9.7-8.6-11.2-10.9-10.7-10.2.............. Swaziland -3.2-8.2 3.8 3.8 1.8-2.8-3.2-3.3.............. Tanzania -5.1-16.7-12.9-11.4-13.5-13.1-12.9-12.6.............. Togo -9.0-8.2-8.1-11.3-12.6-12.6-13.2-12.5.............. Uganda -4.2-9.8-6.8-7.0-8.7-9.2-10.3-10.9.............. Zambia -6.1 9.2 5.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2.............. Zimbabwe -13.6-29.9-24.4-25.4-23.9-24.2-25.4-25.4.............. Source: World Bank, WDI, IMF-IFS (BPM6 Definition), IMF-WEO October 2014 Note: Quarterly CAB figures from the IFS may differ from the annual figures from the WDI Aggregates include countries with full national accounts and balance of payment data only a. Percentage of GDP in current USD b. Quarterly current account as a share of GDP in current USD c. Simple average of the period 2000-10 d. Mongolia's quarterly CAB figures are based on official data and World Bank calculations e. Preliminary for long-term average. Data was recently rebased; missing data up to 2003 was spliced with the earlier series f. Current account balance is on fiscal year basis, as per reporting practice in the country 5
TABLE A.3 Merchandise Import Growth (Constant 2010 U.S. Dollars) Recent Years 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov World 6.3 9.3 9.0 7.8-4.3 6.2-6.9 0.0 5.1-9.1-8.8 0.0-0.3 5.5 5.1 0.1.. High-Income Countries 3.4 4.5 0.7 1.3 3.6 5.5 3.8 0.0 3.0 1.9-0.3 0.0 0.9 0.7 3.0-0.6.. Euro Area 2.9 3.4-2.8 1.0 3.6 7.0 4.4-5.4 5.3-3.8-7.8-5.4 0.0 1.6 5.3-0.3.. OECD Countries 3.2 4.8 0.6 1.1 3.9 6.0 5.6-0.1 4.4 2.1-0.6-0.1 1.7 1.4 4.4 0.9.. Non-OECD Countries 6.7 6.1 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3-2.5-1.3-1.8 0.2-2.1-1.3-6.1-1.5-1.8 0.5-3.3 Developing Countries 11.4 14.7 17.5 13.5-10.1 6.8-14.9-0.1 6.9-17.3-15.4-0.1-1.3 9.9 6.9 0.7-5.9 East Asia and the Pacific 10.7 6.6 4.7 6.3 4.9 4.4 12.7-15.6 12.0-11.5-29.1-15.6-3.6 17.2 12.0 18.7 13.6 Cambodia.................................. China 13.1 4.9 3.2 6.9 9.3 4.4 20.1-21.2 12.3-13.2-36.5-21.2-5.4 23.5 12.3 16.8 8.8 Indonesia 11.5 17.3 10.5-0.9-17.9 9.7-3.1-3.3-9.7-9.8-12.5-3.3-17.9-9.0-9.7 28.7 17.3 Lao PDR 14.5 18.7 39.2............................ Malaysia 3.6 6.2 5.1 7.7 21.7-1.0 10.8-0.7-0.6-3.1-8.5-0.7-1.0 7.6-0.6 21.5.. Mongolia.................................. Papua New Guinea.................................. Philippines 0.9-2.8 4.1 2.6 22.4-8.1 6.3-16.5 27.9-26.5-17.4-16.5-1.1 10.8 27.9 20.6.. Solomon Islands.................................. Thailand 6.9 12.4 8.0 1.3-19.6 0.3-23.6 0.1 34.0-27.4-10.9 0.1 22.5 6.1 34.0 21.5 54.0 Vanuatu.................................. Vietnam 20.7 12.0 9.8 20.9 5.3 19.8 20.8-0.2 19.5 42.4-5.2-0.2-1.9 17.4 19.5 20.3 35.6 Europe and Central Asia 12.0 18.1 6.4 7.7 15.6 7.1 1.6-11.4 7.6-12.9-16.9-11.4-4.8 0.9 7.6 19.3.. Albania 12.0 5.5-7.8 1.2 20.0 38.6-3.2 14.1-20.4 2.3-6.5 14.1 5.3-5.5-20.4-18.1-11.7 Armenia 12.5-1.4 4.8 0.2 12.1 50.1-56.2 58.3 48.8-6.6 88.6 58.3 36.1-1.5 48.8 0.2.. Azerbaijan 15.4 33.3 23.8............................ Belarus 9.8 12.0 3.0-7.4 8.7-17.9-10.5-2.3 6.0-18.0-9.8-2.3 18.1 1.8 6.0-0.3.. Bulgaria 10.4 18.5 14.6 6.8 25.7-13.7-3.0 2.0 31.9-10.0-13.0 2.0 11.2 28.9 31.9.... Georgia 18.3 20.8 14.0 1.9 25.9 18.3 1.1 16.8-18.3-12.1 5.8 16.8 36.1-7.5-18.3-30.5-8.5 Hungary 8.9 6.9 0.1 5.0 3.0 1.4 13.8 17.9 4.3 18.6 16.4 17.9 18.4 3.7 4.3-12.5.. Kazakhstan 4.0 7.9 34.7 12.6-23.5-12.2-29.4 5.8 17.1-0.7-12.4 5.8-4.9 24.0 17.1 21.2.. Kyrgyz Republic 16.0 20.1 29.0 14.7-0.4-0.5-39.3-2.4 49.4-33.8-21.7-2.4 14.0 31.6 49.4.... Macedonia, FYR 5.7 12.8-5.1 3.9-1.7 18.0 25.0 0.9 18.8 14.7 6.7 0.9 3.8 9.8 18.8.... Moldova 14.3 23.4 2.2 6.9 6.9-11.8-5.4 6.3-5.7 7.4-4.3 6.3 0.2 6.2-5.7-8.4.. Romania 13.3 14.6-6.4 6.0 20.6 17.3 21.5-10.2-9.3 12.4-6.8-10.2-5.5-11.4-9.3-16.6.. Turkey 17.0 26.5 8.2 14.3 14.9 25.4 17.5-21.2 20.1-15.3-24.6-21.2-16.0 5.7 20.1 59.7 43.0 Ukraine 11.8 22.1 4.6-7.4 81.8-24.7-49.5-35.7-40.9-61.0-47.9-35.7-11.5-41.7-40.9.... Uzbekistan 12.7 5.6 10.2............................ Latin America and the Caribbean 6.9 9.7 10.3 6.9 13.6 4.2 21.4-10.6 6.3 13.5-7.9-10.6-7.4-1.0 6.3 3.3-0.9 Argentina 21.1 29.2 2.9 24.9 14.5 13.1 176.2 1.3-17.3 150.9 42.2 1.3-18.1-12.1-17.3-43.3-61.7 Belize 1.3 6.6 8.5 7.5 8.3 1.8 15.8 0.1.. 49.3 24.2 0.1 8.3 0.3...... Bolivia 8.6 30.6 9.5 9.7 9.4 34.0 15.0-20.4 39.6 3.3-8.8-20.4-7.6-4.7 39.6 13.9.. Brazil 7.0 4.0 14.4 19.7 38.0 7.8 15.5-37.0 26.1-12.8-40.1-37.0-14.6 0.7 26.1 25.9 26.0 Colombia 10.2 20.4 10.8 2.5 10.4 17.2 7.9-1.2 22.9 7.6-10.5-1.2 13.5 16.4 22.9-2.2.. Costa Rica 4.8 7.7 9.9 4.4-7.8 3.8-1.3-0.9-24.5 7.9 9.2-0.9-18.3-27.9-24.5-18.3-15.5 Dominica 11.9-18.7 6.1-7.3-30.4 33.8-27.0 62.1.. 158.2 115.4 62.1.......... Dominican Republic 3.2 0.3 3.4-5.6 6.3 21.4-8.9 22.1.. 14.5 51.8 22.1.......... Ecuador 15.3 6.1 5.6 8.0-6.1-17.4 21.4 3.8 8.2 18.0 11.7 3.8 8.5 5.5 8.2 11.9.. El Salvadore 2.2 4.5 4.7 7.0-2.4-5.1 0.1-6.7-11.9-4.1 4.8-6.7-5.1-22.3-11.9-4.1 37.4 Guatemala 5.7 7.9 4.0 5.0-7.9 8.5 5.3 0.7 9.8-3.5-3.6 0.7 8.0 4.9 9.8 3.8.. Guyana 4.5 16.9-1.7............................ Haiti 6.6-1.6-5.3 22.3-68.5 209.0-29.0.................... Honduras 5.5 12.5 3.2-2.1 12.9 17.3-28.5 35.3 9.3-14.5 8.5 35.3 33.2 22.7 9.3.... Jamaica 1.2 4.9-1.1 0.8-7.1 34.5-8.7 0.5.. 0.0-16.9 0.5 8.9........ Mexico 5.4 7.1 10.6 0.0 6.0 0.6 13.6 5.1 7.5 13.8 5.4 5.1 2.4 8.1 7.5 11.2 6.5 Nicaragua 6.5 11.8 14.7-1.4 49.9-26.0-11.8 1.0.. -58.3-41.3 1.0 101.9 144.8...... Panama 7.7 13.0 12.6............................ Paraguay 13.5 12.5-5.6 6.9-25.7 0.7 8.0 4.0 14.6-2.0-12.1 4.0 21.6 30.1 14.6-2.8-11.6 Peru 6.7 11.2 6.2 6.0 25.4-12.9 9.5-6.0-3.7 8.1 3.6-6.0-14.6-10.7-3.7 18.8.. St. Lucia.................................. St. Vincent and the Grenadines.................................. Venezuela, RB 5.9 18.8 20.9-14.9-0.1-11.0-33.6-29.7.. -4.7-16.5-29.7.......... Middle East and North Africa 9.7 6.7 8.0-2.1-7.6 9.9...................... Algeria 10.9-7.5 15.5 10.5 8.2 6.8...................... Egypt, Arab Rep. 10.3-2.2 19.7-14.3-25.4 45.9 43.3-41.6 186.0-2.3-25.6-41.6-18.3 76.5 186.0 180.2.. Iran, Islamic Rep. 12.8 29.8-1.5............................ Jordan 3.7-2.6 9.1 7.8-31.0-29.0-14.3 56.1-24.0-5.5 12.1 56.1 7.2 6.4-24.0 22.4.. Lebanon 7.7 0.7 7.9 1.3-25.6 23.4 18.5-31.7 27.3-16.8-33.3-31.7-21.5 9.5 27.3 39.8-26.6 Morocco 8.3 11.1 2.7 3.1 16.7-4.3 31.4-11.6-20.0 17.7 14.0-11.6-14.8-22.5-20.0-18.0-21.3 Syrian Arab Republic.................................. Tunisia 6.8-3.2 3.4 1.1 2.8-5.8 31.7-18.4 28.4 14.8-3.7-18.4-19.2 17.5 28.4 30.2-26.1 Yemen, Rep. 12.1-13.9 35.2............................ 6
Recent Years 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov South Asia 13.5 11.4 4.9-0.5-24.1-5.6 12.4 5.0 54.5 16.4 23.1 5.0 9.5 29.1 54.5 52.1 55.1 Bangladesh 8.4 15.0-2.1 7.4 25.7 24.6 16.5 10.9 32.0 17.4 20.7 10.9-9.2 26.4 32.0 73.3.. India 14.2 11.1 5.9-1.4-28.2-7.3 8.7 8.5 53.5 18.4 30.8 8.5 16.9 26.3 53.5 40.1 62.7 Nepal.................................. Pakistan 12.9 4.4 4.8 3.4-9.2-15.5 39.1-9.7 57.5 8.5-13.5-9.7-25.1 46.0 57.5 175.5 24.6 Sri Lanka.. 33.5-3.7-3.0-32.8 6.2 28.3-35.3 140.8-6.8-19.7-35.3-6.0 67.0 140.8 65.5.. Sub-Saharan Africa 12.4 18.6 24.9 18.0-16.2 8.2...................... Angola 18.1 2.2 24.8............................ Benin 25.2 27.6-29.2............................ Botswana 7.2 13.2 17.0-20.7 71.0 16.7-34.5 2.3.. -23.2-3.1 2.3-39.8........ Burkina Faso 11.4 3.0 10.7............................ Burundi 16.2-6.3-6.1 13.7 62.4-65.4 275.5-69.8 209.4 111.0 69.6-69.8-1.8 40.6 209.4-11.3.. Cameroon 6.4 11.2 8.8............................ Cabo Verde 9.2 29.2-23.6............................. Chad.................................. Comoros 8.1-1.9 7.8............................ Congo, Dem. Rep. 16.8 19.9 8.2............................ Congo, Rep. 16.4 22.2-0.1............................ Côte d'ivoire 7.1-31.9 35.1............................ Eritrea.................................. Ethiopia 20.2 3.0 30.6............................ Gabon 3.8 20.0 5.2............................ Gambia, The 5.9 23.4-7.5............................ Ghana 12.8 19.5 23.0............................ Guinea 18.9 18.4 12.2............................ Guinea-Bissau 5.4 17.6 2.0............................ Kenya 10.7 10.7 12.1 2.4 13.8 25.6-16.9 69.1 44.9 10.7 24.2 69.1 47.1 27.3 44.9.... Lesotho 6.6-1.4 8.7-15.0-8.2 1.7 5.0-13.4.. 0.1-6.4-13.4.......... Madagascar 11.1 3.5 7.4............................ Malawi 11.8 3.3-2.7 22.3 31.0-9.8 11.4-32.3.. 12.6-24.0-32.3.......... Mali 7.6-3.1.............................. Mauritania 10.8 22.2 13.3............................. Mauritius 4.3 5.9 6.2 2.5 39.9 6.2-34.4 61.8 24.8-14.5 19.2 61.8 58.9 43.6 24.8.... Mozambique 9.9 86.8 11.6............................ Namibia 9.4-4.3 23.0 5.0 42.6-39.1...................... Niger 13.7-10.9-3.1............................ Nigeria 19.1 4.9 8.4 8.2-25.5 21.0...................... Rwanda.................................. Senegal.................................. Seychelles 7.2 3.8 10.5............................ Sierra Leone.................................. South Africa 8.5 14.2 7.4 2.5 0.8-14.5 3.3-13.1 17.2-11.0-8.7-13.1-12.2-5.7 17.2 38.9 23.5 South Sudan.................................. Sudan.................................. Swaziland.................................. Tanzania 14.7 22.9 7.2.. 68.9........................ Togo.................................. Uganda 10.3 3.9 5.6-5.0 2.9-5.2 16.9.... 32.6-1.1............ Zambia 12.5 19.0 25.6 18.5-16.6 8.4-26.8 7.2 2.6-23.5-14.0 7.2 0.1 9.0 2.6-8.8-16.7 Zimbabwe.................................. Source: World Bank, IFS, Haver Analytics a. Year-over-year percent growth b. Quarter-over-quarter percent growth, seasonally adjusted annualized rate c. Three-month-over-three-month moving average of seasonally adjusted annualized growth rate d. Compound average of the period 2000-10 7
TABLE A.4 Merchandise Export Growth (Constant 2010 U.S. Dollars) Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov World 4.4 6.4 1.7 2.7 0.0 6.0 1.5 6.7 2.8-2.1 5.6 6.7 10.8 3.2 2.8-3.6.. High-Income Countries 3.1 6.7 0.7 1.4-2.0 3.6 1.4 4.9 0.2 1.2 3.8 4.9 7.1 1.2 0.2-6.6.. Euro Area 3.2 5.9-0.6 2.0 0.1 2.9 5.1 0.4 0.1-0.3-3.5 0.4 5.0-0.6 0.1-7.6.. OECD Countries 3.0 7.3 0.7 1.7-2.3 3.0 5.3 3.9-1.2 5.1 4.2 3.9 5.1-0.8-1.2-7.0.. Non-OECD Countries 5.2 5.2 4.0 2.1 1.8 8.1-8.8 9.1 5.6-7.0 10.8 9.1 11.4 5.3 5.6-2.4.. Developing Countries 8.5 5.9 4.2 5.7 5.0 12.0 1.7 11.0 9.3-9.5 9.9 11.0 20.1 8.0 9.3 3.9 5.0 East Asia and the Pacific 10.9 4.6 4.1 5.5-0.5 17.1-3.0 19.0 15.0-22.2 14.4 19.0 35.8 14.8 15.0 10.8 10.0 Cambodia 14.2 6.0 22.0............................ China 15.3 4.4 3.4 6.2 0.6 15.8-4.5 23.8 20.2-31.6 17.8 23.8 55.2 21.8 20.2 7.5 6.5 Indonesia 3.3 10.4 0.5 0.5-12.9 43.7-9.2-5.1 8.7-7.3-14.3-5.1-4.2 9.2 8.7 26.0 15.4 Lao PDR 10.5 21.3 16.4............................ Malaysia 3.9 2.3-0.1-0.8-10.5-0.7 17.5 31.1 8.7 19.4 61.4 31.1 16.0-5.2 8.7 20.2.. Mongolia.................................. Papua New Guinea.................................. Philippines 0.2-14.3 9.7 11.3 8.4 56.3-20.8 6.0 22.7-15.7-14.5 6.0 26.4 33.0 22.7 4.8.. Solomon Islands.................................. Thailand 7.4 3.7 6.3 2.6 2.1 12.7-1.3-5.7-6.7-10.5-16.5-5.7-4.1-2.2-6.7 5.5 16.5 Vanuatu.................................. Vietnam 16.6 17.9 25.5 19.3 13.8 23.9 2.5 24.2 1.1 29.3 26.8 24.2-12.0-8.0 1.1 35.1 40.3 Europe and Central Asia 10.4 12.1 5.2 2.7 22.4 10.0 25.1-10.6-0.2 16.4 3.5-10.6-6.6-8.7-0.2.... Albania 15.0 12.5 2.3 20.0 21.3 15.4 4.4 15.2-28.2 7.7 9.0 15.2 1.3-15.8-28.2-22.8-17.6 Armenia 7.7 13.8 10.8 3.2 49.5-13.9-7.4-12.5 66.1-21.4 30.5-12.5 37.4 15.4 66.1 6.6.. Azerbaijan 18.0-1.1-6.1-2.2 11.1 36.1-46.8 29.5.. -38.8-8.7 29.5.......... Belarus 9.5 42.7 13.6-18.3 11.5-6.1 4.9-7.8 3.1-4.2-6.6-7.8 0.5-2.1 3.1 9.4.. Bulgaria 12.1 23.0-3.9 12.7 19.2 2.1-13.2 16.2-0.7-12.4-10.1 16.2 22.9 20.8-0.7.... Georgia.................................. Hungary 10.2 6.8-6.5 6.9 14.1 8.9 11.7 3.2-7.5 8.0 5.5 3.2 10.3-4.3-7.5-33.0.. Kazakhstan 3.6-1.7.............................. Kyrgyz Republic 3.3 5.0-17.8 17.7 175.0 105.3-70.4.................... Macedonia, FYR.. 16.1-8.9 7.1 14.8 33.6 33.3 9.0-0.2 14.2-5.1 9.0 15.1 14.0-0.2-0.3.. Moldova 8.6 30.4-0.4 14.2 44.6-18.6 9.3 11.2-19.9-5.3 9.3 11.2 22.1 1.3-19.9-31.6.. Romania 13.7 15.1-6.7 15.7 24.8 18.8 1.9 0.5 5.2 3.1-8.6 0.5 4.4 4.4 5.2-9.0.. Turkey 20.3 18.5 24.2 5.8 36.0 8.9 87.1-25.1 7.1 52.7 16.9-25.1-22.1-17.2 7.1 5.2 2.2 Ukraine 8.2 18.2 4.5-6.6 2.8 8.2-16.4-10.5-24.9-4.1-10.7-10.5-17.5-25.4-24.9.... Uzbekistan 5.7-16.2 8.9............................ Latin America and the Caribbean 4.9 7.8 11.4 8.8 6.3 7.7 10.9 6.8 2.0 16.6 11.2 6.8 3.5 0.8 2.0-6.3-10.8 Argentina 18.4 9.5 2.8 24.6 23.9 24.9 64.2 37.8 17.9 59.6 36.9 37.8 46.0 61.0 17.9-28.5-56.7 Belize -3.8-2.4-0.4 0.4-28.7-17.4-44.7 118.4.. -2.1 54.7 118.4 28.3 114.4...... Bolivia 9.6 11.4 40.0 10.1-16.1 29.0 29.5 7.6-25.9 45.7 27.7 7.6-1.4-16.2-25.9-30.6.. Brazil 6.0-1.8 16.9 13.9 40.9 9.4 4.4-16.1 12.3-1.2-13.2-16.1-8.3-0.7 12.3-9.9-22.0 Colombia 3.4 16.6 12.1 3.1-7.0 12.7-32.6 8.3 51.2-47.9-31.1 8.3 77.2 58.7 51.2 8.3.. Costa Rica 2.1 0.3 11.7 3.9 12.4-0.5-19.2 10.8 0.4-9.0-6.8 10.8 10.9 15.3 0.4-2.8-27.9 Dominica -6.5-28.2 23.6 9.8 67.9-48.0-3.7 19.5.. 3.4 12.4 19.5.......... Dominican Republic -1.9 10.8 9.2 9.5-3.7 9.3 16.9-18.0.. -16.3-22.6-18.0.......... Ecuador 4.7 4.0 6.2 6.7 16.3 11.2 1.1 4.4 6.5-12.8 7.6 4.4 46.6 14.7 6.5 8.6.. El Salvadore 1.1 4.3 5.5 7.5-9.9-8.1-30.3 23.1-0.1-20.4-7.2 23.1 26.1 13.9-0.1-10.4 2.3 Guatemala 1.5 5.4 4.6 7.3-7.0 14.5-15.7 15.8 33.3-20.1-1.9 15.8 40.9 33.6 33.3 17.6.. Guyana -2.8 4.6 27.0.. 207.5........................ Haiti 3.5 28.2 5.3 10.9-3.5 20.1-4.8.... -15.0.............. Honduras 1.0 9.9 12.2-0.9 0.9 46.4-43.4 22.2 7.9-37.6-16.3 22.2 34.8 26.8 7.9.... Jamaica -3.6 7.6 21.5-1.1 4.6 6.2-13.7-21.2.. -17.5-8.5-21.2-25.6........ Mexico 3.9 13.3 11.5 4.5-13.2 3.3 15.4 17.8-11.6 42.2 38.3 17.8-6.5-17.6-11.6 0.4 17.4 Nicaragua 13.4 2.4 15.5 0.8 34.6 23.8 23.4-40.0.. -50.7-59.0-40.0 78.7 107.8...... Panama -4.5-3.6 5.1 5.6 27.7-22.0-17.2 50.2-16.7-20.5-22.7 50.2 82.4 115.3-16.7-28.6.. Paraguay 4.6-3.4-9.5 36.1-2.3-36.0 93.5 2.1-45.5 86.1 48.1 2.1-46.1-48.6-45.5 3.0 15.2 Peru 6.2 7.5 4.0 0.4 22.8-10.5-17.9-10.5-0.6-17.8-25.8-10.5-13.4 4.6-0.6 11.9.. St. Lucia.................................. St. Vincent and the Grenadines.................................. Venezuela, RB -15.0-12.6-20.8-17.4-74.9 236.2 251.8 0.5.. 110.4 110.7 0.5.......... Middle East and North Africa 3.9-1.3-16.5............................ Algeria 0.3 0.1-24.0............................ Egypt, Arab Rep. 14.5-15.9.............................. Iran, Islamic Rep. 4.0 1.4-20.8............................ Jordan 5.9 1.3-8.4 9.4 24.1 30.4 0.4-12.8-6.2-14.6 18.4-12.8-16.2-11.9-6.2 14.7.. Lebanon 13.9-12.2 4.0-7.0-49.3-32.8-15.9 51.5 23.9 3.9 37.7 51.5 37.8 25.7 23.9 5.2-18.6 Morocco 6.1 10.3 1.1 4.2-4.6 22.9 21.1 24.7-25.9 26.6 34.6 24.7 0.5-18.0-25.9-21.8-18.2 Syrian Arab Republic.................................. Tunisia 7.4-3.0-3.8 1.6-2.8-12.8 12.6-11.5 24.8-6.0-4.6-11.5-7.4 9.0 24.8 19.6 13.3 Yemen, Rep. -2.8-9.9-11.3............................ 8
Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov South Asia 12.7 18.5 1.7 8.3 45.5 2.7-15.0 11.7 14.5-7.5 6.4 11.7 20.1 9.3 14.5 8.4 16.7 Bangladesh.. 16.3 4.6 13.7 72.3-3.1-6.6 7.1 4.8-19.1-8.6 7.1 14.4-2.9 4.8.... India 14.0 19.7 2.0 8.2 43.1 4.0-17.7 17.7 15.8-5.8 11.7 17.7 24.4 11.7 15.8 8.2 11.9 Nepal.................................. Pakistan 5.7 8.4-1.1 4.8 56.6-19.8 6.0-34.2 21.3-16.9-34.1-34.2-14.8-3.0 21.3 18.2 35.0 Sri Lanka.. 17.3-5.2 7.6 24.8 50.1-2.9-3.9-6.3 0.8 20.1-3.9 7.3 5.5-6.3-16.8.. Sub-Saharan Africa 4.0-4.6 1.9 4.0-19.0-1.1-4.2 0.6.. -15.5-19.2 0.6.......... Angola 9.2-5.5 10.7 0.6-45.3-31.1 54.6 19.0-26.7 2.9-40.5 19.0 54.9 38.7-26.7.... Benin 6.8-0.7 26.5............................ Botswana 1.1 15.5 6.1 38.9 122.8 4.7-75.8 175.3.. -38.8 56.8 175.3-10.6........ Burkina Faso 8.5-7.0 27.6............................ Burundi -2.2 3.0 39.5-7.9-58.7 483.4-66.6 86.0-17.0-63.0-20.9 86.0 58.5 6.2-17.0-29.2.. Cameroon -0.1-4.4 10.2............................ Cabo Verde 13.8 29.0 13.6.............................. Chad.................................. Comoros 4.4 43.2 51.5............................ Congo, Dem. Rep. 6.8 6.5 1.7............................ Congo, Rep. 8.5-11.2-3.8............................ Côte d'ivoire 0.7-5.6 6.5............................ Eritrea.................................. Ethiopia 5.4-6.0 31.5............................ Gabon -2.7 11.5 2.5............................ Gambia, The -3.0 54.7-4.0............................ Ghana 2.1 33.7 1.5 17.3 9.6 22.7-45.4 58.6.. -37.3-3.5 58.6.......... Guinea 6.7-18.1-11.0............................ Guinea-Bissau -3.0-2.1-27.1............................ Kenya 7.1 1.7 10.3-1.2-5.5 12.5 8.5 26.0-26.9 19.9 43.1 26.0 1.2-16.5-26.9.... Lesotho 11.1 20.8-15.4-11.4 2.7 74.3 77.3-46.5.. 28.3-14.4-46.5.......... Madagascar -1.2 30.5-1.1............................ Malawi 6.2 27.1-9.7-4.1 267.0-31.9-57.9 76.9.. -20.5 47.3 76.9.......... Mali -0.7-33.7.............................. Mauritania -1.1 19.7 10.5.............................. Mauritius 0.0 2.8 7.1 12.4 23.4 8.7 12.9 35.1 16.4 18.0 25.8 35.1 30.9 24.4 16.4.... Mozambique 13.9 25.7 22.6............................ Namibia 8.7-0.7 0.2 7.9 191.9-55.5-18.5 70.8 4.3 10.6 43.8 70.8 55.1 29.0 4.3.... Niger -0.9 122.3-11.4............................ Nigeria 1.3-7.5 3.0-0.8-36.3 2.7-14.8-19.4.. -20.9-18.4-19.4.......... Rwanda.................................. Senegal.................................. Seychelles 7.4-7.9 19.9............................ Sierra Leone.................................. South Africa 4.0-2.2-0.3 2.7-9.9 11.6 0.9-9.7 3.3-17.3-19.2-9.7-0.8-0.6 3.3 13.6 28.1 South Sudan.................................. Sudan 9.1-45.8-66.2 32.9 227.5-23.6...................... Swaziland.................................. Tanzania 10.6-1.9 17.7.. 38.1........................ Togo.................................. Uganda 11.5-2.5 25.3 9.5-12.5 6.1-22.9-39.4.. -38.7-44.0-39.4.......... Zambia 18.7-20.0-7.7............................ Zimbabwe.................................. Source: World Bank, IFS, Haver Analytics a. Year-over-year percent growth b. Quarter-over-quarter percent growth, seasonally adjusted annualized rate c. Three-month-over-three-month moving average of seasonally adjusted annualized growth rate d. Compound average of the period 2000-10 9
TABLE A.5 Industrial Production Growth (Indexed on constant 2010 US Dollars) Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov World 2.4 4.7 3.0 2.6 4.0 4.5 3.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 2.4 2.7 4.5 High Income Countries 0.3 2.8 0.8 0.5 3.2 3.7 3.1-0.3 0.0 2.1 1.3-0.3-0.7-1.6 0.0 0.3 3.6 Euro Area 0.0 3.3-2.5-0.7 0.1 2.4 0.5 0.6-1.9 0.3 0.5 0.6-1.6-2.4-1.9-1.5.. OECD Countries 0.2 2.4 0.6 0.6 2.7 4.0 3.7-0.4-0.1 2.4 1.5-0.4-1.0-1.8-0.1 0.3.. Non-OECD Countries 2.2 7.3 3.0 0.5 6.9 1.0-1.1 1.8 2.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.1 1.5 2.1 0.7 2.2 Developing Countries 7.2 7.8 6.3 5.5 5.2 5.6 4.1 5.2 5.8 3.8 4.2 5.2 5.2 4.8 5.8 6.1 5.9 East Asia and the Pacific 11.3 11.3 9.0 8.9 10.5 10.1 4.3 8.0 7.1 5.1 6.0 8.0 7.8 6.9 7.1 7.8 8.2 Cambodia.................................. China 14.6 13.7 10.0 9.7 11.8 10.9 5.4 8.1 7.4 6.2 7.1 8.1 8.9 7.5 7.4 6.4 8.7 Indonesia 3.0 4.0 4.1 6.0 2.3 5.4 8.7 0.9 10.0 4.8 1.6 0.9-4.5-0.9 10.0 26.4 5.0 Lao PDR.................................. Malaysia 3.1 2.4 4.2 3.4 2.6 8.2-3.7 17.6-3.8 3.5 6.5 17.6 7.1 4.1-3.8 4.6.. Mongolia e.. 13.6 3.1-3.2.......................... Papua New Guinea.................................. Philippines -0.8 1.4 7.6 13.7 30.5 20.9-32.1 47.5 5.2-17.5-3.4 47.5 37.3 27.0 5.2 9.5.. Solomon Islands.................................. Thailand 6.9-8.5 2.1-3.1-6.8-4.6-6.1-3.4-1.0-7.9-6.9-3.4-3.1-0.1-1.0 2.9-1.9 Vanuatu.................................. Vietnam.................................. Europe and Central Asia.. 13.1 9.1 2.2 7.5 4.0 5.1 1.0 2.1 2.7 1.8 1.0 2.3 0.6 2.1-0.2.. Albania.................................. Armenia 10.5 23.0 12.4 11.5 28.6 32.3-23.6 10.0 35.2-16.3-3.9 10.0 28.4 28.9 35.2 16.4.. Azerbaijan.................................. Belarus.. 108.4 77.2-1.0 14.1-4.6 21.8 5.5 22.7 15.1 10.7 5.5 12.6 15.6 22.7 18.8 11.9 Bulgaria 3.6 6.0-0.3 0.2 14.3 5.1 4.6-7.6-4.3 0.6-4.6-7.6-8.9-8.3-4.3 1.1.. Georgia.................................. Hungary 3.4 5.7-1.3 1.4 10.3 4.8 13.0 13.1-3.6 16.4 15.5 13.1 10.6 3.6-3.6-13.7.. Kazakhstan 10.2 3.4 0.6 1.3 0.8 5.8-5.4-2.8 4.1-4.0-1.4-2.8-3.4-4.0 4.1 4.6 8.5 Kyrgyz Republic.................................. Macedonia, FYR -0.5 3.6-5.2 3.6-8.9 18.7 14.6 0.2-11.7 5.4 0.9 0.2 0.8-15.2-11.7-4.0 33.0 Moldova.................................. Romania 2.5 7.6 2.8 7.0 14.1 11.9 9.7 4.2-4.2 6.3 7.9 4.2 6.9-2.4-4.2-5.3.. Turkey.. 9.6 2.5 3.4 4.6 4.8 4.1 0.0 6.1 0.4-0.5 0.0 1.5 3.2 6.1 2.8.. Ukraine.. 8.0-0.6-4.3 2.5-1.1-13.0-4.5-39.9-13.4-14.0-4.5-12.0-27.3-39.9-39.3-18.7 Uzbekistan.................................. Latin America and the Caribbean 2.4 2.6-0.1 1.0-2.6-3.1 0.1-3.1 0.0 0.2-0.6-3.1-3.4-2.4 0.0 1.1.. Argentina 4.5 6.5-1.2-0.2-6.6-5.8 0.9-1.0-0.8 1.9-3.9-1.0 0.9 4.6-0.8-4.2-6.1 Belize.................................. Bolivia 0.9 2.8 16.4 15.0 3.2 15.0 32.9.................... Brazil.. 0.5-2.7 2.2-2.4-6.6-0.4-7.2-0.9-0.4-1.3-7.2-7.7-5.7-0.9 1.6.. Colombia 2.8 4.9-0.3-1.3-3.3 1.7 1.7-0.9 2.7 3.9-0.6-0.9-2.2-2.5 2.7 0.2 4.0 Costa Rica.................................. Dominica.................................. Dominican Republic.................................. Ecuador 1.9 2.9 1.1 4.2 9.6 7.3 7.3.... 7.1.............. El Salvadore.................................. Guatemala.................................. Guyana.................................. Haiti.................................. Honduras.................................. Jamaica.................................. Mexico 1.0 3.5 2.7-0.5 2.0 1.5 2.3 3.0 1.2 2.2 3.1 3.0 2.5 1.4 1.2 1.4.. Nicaragua 3.5 6.0 2.7............................ Panama.................................. Paraguay.................................. Peru 5.5 5.9-1.1 5.0-2.8 24.1-19.0-10.8-1.5-17.4-11.8-10.8-12.4-9.4-1.5.... St. Lucia.................................. St. Vincent and the Grenadines.................................. Venezuela, RB 1.5 1.8 1.7.. -9.9........................ Middle East and North Africa 2.4-10.1 6.3-7.9-35.6-12.6 14.0 2.4 34.2 4.8-0.5 2.4 13.3 25.7 34.2 35.0 19.3 Algeria 4.1-2.5 1.4-0.5-13.7 2.8-9.7 6.4 12.1-9.8-1.3 6.4 17.3 15.3 12.1 1.9 0.1 Egypt, Arab Rep... -6.7 4.9-7.7-43.1 10.6 49.0 34.7 10.6 17.7 23.4 34.7 34.9 28.9 10.6 23.1.. Iran, Islamic Rep. -0.3 0.2-20.2-10.0 1.2-1.0 8.5-15.9 17.3-4.2-12.0-15.9-9.5 8.1 17.3 19.8 7.0 Jordan 3.5-0.3 0.3 1.5-4.1 10.9-2.0 1.5 0.5 0.7 3.1 1.5-8.7-2.2 0.5 19.3.. Lebanon.................................. Morocco.................................. Syrian Arab Republic.................................. Tunisia 2.9-3.8 2.2 1.8 1.2 2.1-4.6 2.3 5.0 2.5 3.2 2.3-4.1-0.8 5.0.... Yemen, Rep................................... 10
Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov South Asia 7.7 5.4 1.1 1.7 10.1-3.2 6.9 5.3-0.3 3.5 6.0 5.3 1.6-2.9-0.3-7.7.. Bangladesh 7.7 17.1 9.3 8.1 22.9 2.0 2.3 9.6.. -9.8-4.5 9.6.......... India 7.9 4.8 0.5 0.9 10.0-5.3 9.0 5.4-2.7 5.9 8.6 5.4 0.2-5.7-2.7-10.1.. Nepal.................................. Pakistan 5.9 2.7 1.8 6.1 5.9 9.4-9.7 3.1 6.5-9.3-8.3 3.1-0.1 2.9 6.5 13.7.. Sri Lanka.. 8.1-0.3 1.0-4.4 20.0 0.8-3.0 21.8 3.5-2.9-3.0 1.0 10.3 21.8.... Sub-Saharan Africa 0.9 3.4 3.5 0.9-7.3 8.1-5.1-2.1-1.5-8.6-9.4-2.1-6.4-2.8-1.5 15.7.. Angola.................................. Benin.................................. Botswana.................................. Burkina Faso.................................. Burundi.................................. Cameroon.................................. Cabo Verde.................................... Chad.................................. Comoros.................................. Congo, Dem. Rep................................... Congo, Rep................................... Côte d'ivoire.................................. Eritrea.................................. Ethiopia.................................. Gabon 1.3 14.5 28.8-2.5 16.4 4.1-8.2-14.9 32.5-27.4-24.3-14.9 29.9 38.0 32.5 5.6 2.2 Gambia, The.................................. Ghana.................................. Guinea.................................. Guinea-Bissau.................................. Kenya.................................. Lesotho.................................. Madagascar.................................. Malawi.................................. Mali.................................. Mauritania.................................... Mauritius.................................. Mozambique.................................. Namibia.................................. Niger.................................. Nigeria.................................. Rwanda.................................. Senegal.. 6.7-0.5............................ Seychelles.................................. Sierra Leone.................................. South Africa 0.9 2.8 2.3 1.3-8.6 8.3-4.9-1.2-3.2-7.3-8.4-1.2-8.3-4.8-3.2 16.3.. South Sudan.................................. Sudan.................................. Swaziland.................................. Tanzania.................................. Togo.................................. Uganda.................................. Zambia.................................. Zimbabwe.................................. Source: World Bank, IFS, Haver Analytics a. Year-over-year percent growth in total industrial production volume b. Quarter-over-quarter percent growth, seasonally adjusted annualized rate c. Three-month-over-three-month moving average of seasonally adjusted annualized growth rate d. Compound average of the period 2000-10 e. Mongolia's annual IP growth is based on official data and World Bank calculations. The aggregates exclude Mongolia. 11
TABLE A.6 Inflation (Growth in 2010-based consumer price index) Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov World 2.9 4.2 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.1 4.9 3.7 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.1 4.5 3.7 3.1 2.8 High-Income Countries 2.1 2.8 2.0 1.6 2.3 1.1 1.5 3.1 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.0 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.4 Euro Area 2.0 2.6 2.3 1.3 1.8-0.2 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.4-0.1 OECD Countries 2.0 2.6 2.1 1.5 2.3 0.9 1.5 3.0 1.4 1.7 2.2 3.0 3.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 Non-OECD Countries 5.4 5.4 3.8 4.3 3.7 4.6 4.3 6.0 4.2 5.1 6.0 6.0 5.3 4.4 4.2 4.8 6.0 Developing Countries 5.3 7.5 6.5 7.4 7.5 8.3 6.6 8.6 8.5 6.7 8.0 8.6 9.3 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.7 East Asia and the Pacific 2.8 5.6 2.8 3.0 4.1 3.3 1.7 2.4 2.4 1.2 2.0 2.4 3.6 3.1 2.4 1.5 1.8 Cambodia 5.4 5.5 2.9 2.9 5.4 5.7 3.8 4.3 2.2 3.4 3.5 4.3 4.3 3.6 2.2 0.8.. China 2.1 5.5 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.0 0.9 2.2 2.4 0.4 1.5 2.2 3.7 3.1 2.4 1.2 1.1 Indonesia 8.6 5.3 4.0 6.4 14.1 4.3 6.0 4.3 2.9 5.6 5.3 4.3 3.7 2.7 2.9 3.8 7.5 Lao PDR 7.6 7.6 4.3 6.4 7.5 6.7 4.3 0.7 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.5.... Malaysia 2.2 3.2 1.7 2.1 2.7 4.8 3.7 1.9 1.7 3.2 2.5 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.9 Mongolia e........ 9.9 11.9 12.4 14.6 13.0................ Papua New Guinea.................................. Philippines 5.2 4.7 3.2 3.0 3.7 5.6 5.2 3.1 4.7 3.1 2.7 3.1 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.7 2.7 Solomon Islands 8.5 7.5 5.9 5.4 5.1-3.1 10.7 16.6 0.5 16.7 15.8 16.6 9.1........ Thailand 2.6 3.8 3.0 2.2 1.8 3.2 2.9 2.0-0.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.7 0.8-0.1-0.6-0.4 Vanuatu.................................. Vietnam 7.6 18.7 9.1 6.6 6.5 6.4 2.8 3.6 4.4 1.8 1.9 3.6 5.1 6.0 4.4 2.2 0.0 Europe and Central Asia 12.3 8.2 8.7 6.2 6.4 3.5 8.5 11.4 8.6 9.8 10.8 11.4 11.3 10.3 8.6 6.7 5.3 Albania 3.0 3.4 2.0 1.9 0.5 1.1 3.3 1.4 1.3 3.3 2.1 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.6-0.2 Armenia 4.4 7.6 2.5 5.8 14.5-0.7-1.8 2.4 3.3-0.6 0.9 2.4 1.7 2.0 3.3 6.4 7.4 Azerbaijan 7.4 7.9 1.1 2.5 1.2 2.4 0.1 1.7 2.2 0.2 0.1 1.7 1.3 1.5 2.2 3.4 2.7 Belarus 20.0 53.2 59.4 18.3 9.1 14.1 24.9 28.2 15.8 27.2 27.8 28.2 26.0 21.6 15.8 10.9 7.5 Bulgaria 6.0 4.2 3.0 0.9-2.7-1.3-3.1-0.1 1.3-3.4-2.2-0.1 1.3 2.0 1.3 0.4-0.7 Georgia 6.6 8.5-0.9-0.5 0.8 3.5 4.2 2.0 4.8 2.7 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.7 4.8 4.2 2.5 Hungary 5.8 3.8 5.7 1.6 2.2-0.2-2.6-0.4 2.9-2.1-1.3-0.4 1.1 2.5 2.9 1.4-0.9 Kazakhstan 8.6 8.3 5.2 5.8 4.9 4.3 8.3 9.2 6.3 10.7 10.8 9.2 7.3 6.3 6.3 6.6 6.9 Kyrgyz Republic 7.4 16.5 2.7 6.6 5.9 3.7 5.6 17.5 4.0 11.4 16.9 17.5 13.7 8.3 4.0.... Macedonia, FYR 2.1 3.9 3.3 2.8 1.6-0.7-1.3-2.3 3.5-2.9-3.1-2.3 2.2 3.1 3.5-0.4-1.0 Moldova 9.5 7.6 4.6 4.6 3.8 6.9 5.8 4.3 3.2 5.0 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.2 3.4 4.4 Romania 12.0 5.8 3.3 4.0 0.3-0.4 2.2 1.6 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 Turkey 17.5 6.5 8.9 7.5 10.5 4.0 11.0 12.3 9.7 12.1 12.5 12.3 12.3 11.9 9.7 6.7 3.9 Ukraine 11.1 7.9 0.6-0.2 1.8 1.8 6.5 31.9 20.9 12.4 23.6 31.9 32.4 24.2 20.9 21.9 27.6 Uzbekistan.................................. Latin America and the Caribbean 6.9 7.5 6.7 9.8 9.9 14.1 13.8 18.0 16.1 14.9 17.1 18.0 17.6 16.4 16.1 16.8 18.3 Argentina.................................. Belize.. -3.6 1.3 0.7-0.8 3.9-0.2 0.4-0.1-0.4-0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5...... Bolivia 4.6 9.9 4.5 5.7 9.2 7.5 2.9 7.1 6.3 4.6 5.4 7.1 8.7 9.4 6.3 2.0-0.2 Brazil 7.0 6.6 5.4 6.4 1.5 5.9 8.3 8.4 3.2 8.8 9.1 8.4 6.6 4.3 3.2 3.3 4.4 Colombia 5.6 3.4 3.2 2.0 3.2 1.2 2.5 4.5 3.5 3.3 4.2 4.5 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.6 Costa Rica 10.3 4.9 4.5 5.2 3.0 0.4 4.8 8.4 7.7 6.7 8.1 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.7 6.1 4.3 Dominica 2.3 1.7 1.4 0.0 4.0 0.1 0.0 2.2 2.0 0.9 2.6 2.2 2.5 1.6 2.0.... Dominican Republic 12.1 8.5 3.7 4.8 4.5 3.0 1.6 5.4 2.5 3.0 4.5 5.4 4.8 3.6 2.5 2.0 1.5 Ecuador 8.1 4.5 5.1 2.7 2.2 4.0 4.0 3.7 5.0 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.1 3.1 El Salvadore 3.4 5.1 1.7 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.5-0.5 5.2 0.0-0.6-0.5 2.3 4.4 5.2 3.4 1.2 Guatemala 6.8 6.2 3.8 4.3 3.5 3.9 2.7 2.7 4.8 1.8 1.8 2.7 3.9 4.8 4.8 4.4 3.7 Guyana 5.7 5.0 2.4 1.9 3.0 0.4 1.7-1.0.. 0.6-0.5............ Haiti 14.0 8.4 6.3 5.8 2.9 2.7 3.4 6.0 8.2 4.1 5.1 6.0 7.2 8.0 8.2 7.4.. Honduras 7.6 6.8 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.8 9.7 5.0 6.0 7.7 6.2 5.0 6.0 6.3 6.0 5.1 4.6 Jamaica 11.4 7.5 6.9 9.4 8.5 11.7 5.6 6.0 14.0 5.0 6.1 6.0 8.7 10.2 14.0 12.7 9.6 Mexico 4.7 3.4 4.1 3.8 2.1 4.0 4.9 3.3 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 Nicaragua 8.1 8.1 7.2 7.1 4.8 2.3 6.3 7.7 10.6 6.1 5.9 7.7 10.8 12.8 10.6 6.9 4.4 Panama 2.7 5.8 5.7 4.0 4.7 3.1 2.6 3.1 0.2 2.9 2.6 3.1 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.9 1.1 Paraguay 7.8 8.2 3.7 2.7 7.7 7.5 5.1 6.1 0.2 5.3 6.2 6.1 5.1 2.7 0.2-0.4 1.2 Peru 2.4 3.4 3.7 2.8 4.4 2.2 3.8 3.6 2.1 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.1 1.8 2.4 St. Lucia 2.5 2.8 4.2 1.5-3.4 1.4 9.7 8.2 6.1 12.7 12.9 8.2 4.8 3.6 6.1.... St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3.1 3.2 2.6 0.8-1.6 0.0 0.7 0.2 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.4 1.8.... Venezuela, RB 22.0 26.1 21.1 40.6 58.2 66.0 48.9 71.6 67.2 53.5 66.0 71.6 71.3 67.6 67.2 69.1 72.6 Middle East and North Africa 7.3 11.9 14.4 18.6 14.7 9.7 7.3 7.2 16.3 5.4 5.6 7.2 11.1 14.6 16.3 15.5 13.7 Algeria 3.7 5.7 9.7 4.1 1.2 0.4 4.2 6.0 6.8 2.7 3.3 6.0 8.9 9.0 6.8 5.8 7.6 Egypt, Arab Rep. 8.3 9.4 7.8 9.5 6.2 11.8 9.4 6.1 18.1 7.2 6.3 6.1 9.9 15.0 18.1 16.0 11.3 Iran, Islamic Rep. 14.7 20.6 27.4 37.7 30.7 15.5 9.0 10.7 23.7 6.7 7.9 10.7 16.3 20.8 23.7 23.1 20.4 Jordan 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.5 4.5 2.1 4.5 2.0 2.9 5.0 3.9 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.9 2.1 1.6 Lebanon.. 5.0 6.6 5.5-4.6 2.3 4.7 3.9-0.3 3.6 5.0 3.9 3.5 1.5-0.3-2.6-4.0 Morocco 1.8 0.9 1.3 1.9-0.2-0.3 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.9 2.1 Syrian Arab Republic.................................. Tunisia 3.3 3.5 5.6 6.1 4.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 6.0 5.0 5.0 5.8 7.1 6.8 6.0 4.0 3.4 Yemen, Rep. 11.1 19.5 9.9 11.0 0.6 2.4 13.3 10.6.. 16.3 14.7 10.6.......... 12
Recent Years a Recent Quarters b Recent Months c 00-10 d 2011 2012 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov South Asia 6.4 9.8 9.5 9.6 9.2 11.4 4.3 7.2 6.4 4.8 6.9 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.4 4.5 2.6 Bangladesh 6.4 10.3 6.5 7.5 5.5 8.6 9.1 6.0 4.4 7.9 7.0 6.0 5.1 4.3 4.4 4.6 5.1 India 6.1 9.6 9.7 10.1 9.3 11.8 4.0 7.3 6.6 4.6 7.0 7.3 7.3 6.9 6.6 4.6 2.6 Nepal 6.4 9.3 9.4 9.0 10.6 11.7 6.9 9.3 3.1 5.6 7.6 9.3 8.1 5.2 3.1 3.7.. Pakistan 8.6 11.9 9.7 7.7 10.8 11.6 4.1 8.0 6.6 5.2 7.3 8.0 7.5 7.2 6.6 4.3 2.0 Sri Lanka 10.7 6.7 7.5 6.9 6.4 4.0 1.6 2.6 5.6 2.4 2.9 2.6 3.3 4.4 5.6 3.6 0.7 Sub-Saharan Africa f 8.8 10.1 11.3 8.2 7.3 13.5 8.8 9.1 7.8 9.1 9.4 9.1 9.2 8.8 7.8 6.4 5.1 Angola 42.4 13.5 10.3 8.8 7.8 5.5 7.3 7.5 8.0 7.7 8.0 7.5 7.6 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.0 Benin 3.2 2.7 6.8 1.0 1.1-6.3 2.0 0.6-4.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.3-2.8-4.2.... Botswana 8.6 8.5 7.5 5.9 3.7 4.7 6.7 3.3 3.5 6.4 4.7 3.3 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.0 3.7 Burkina Faso 2.9 2.7 3.8 0.5-2.4-1.5 2.6-2.0 0.3-1.3-0.9-2.0 1.2 0.4...... Burundi 9.1 9.8 4.2-60.3-15.2 46.7 31.4-29.3-13.1 2.8-19.4-29.3-29.1-23.3-13.1 0.3.. Cameroon 2.6 2.9 2.9 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.3.. 1.1 1.8 0.3.......... Cabo Verde 2.4 4.5 2.5 1.5.. 1.4 1.0 1.1-4.0-1.0.. -1.5-3.1-4.0-2.7-1.7-1.0-0.7 0.5 Chad 3.3-3.7 14.0 0.2-2.9 11.7-7.0 3.9 11.8-11.2-3.7 3.9 13.7........ Comoros 3.8 1.7 1.7 2.3 16.1-6.8 8.2-11.1.. 1.5-4.8-11.1.......... Congo, Dem. Rep. 30.9 15.3 9.7 1.6 1.7 6.1...................... Congo, Rep. 3.6 1.3 3.9 6.0 4.7 10.2-17.0 7.3.. -4.8 1.7............ Côte d'ivoire 2.9 4.9 1.3 2.6 1.8-0.5-1.3 1.9 2.2-0.5 1.1 1.9 3.4 3.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 Eritrea.................................. Ethiopia 11.1 33.0 22.9 8.1 14.1 10.6 5.1 6.0 4.9 5.0 5.3 6.0 6.1 6.6 4.9 4.7 4.6 Gabon 2.1 1.3 2.7 0.5 5.0 13.9 8.0 0.9-4.8 11.6 6.6 0.9-4.6-4.4...... Gambia, The 7.0 4.8 4.3 5.7 5.9 5.2 5.0 5.4.. 5.8 6.1............ Ghana 16.8 8.7 9.1 11.6 12.2 24.7 14.5 8.6 16.5 11.3 9.7 8.6 10.1 13.4 16.5 23.3 27.1 Guinea.. 21.4 15.2 11.9 10.6 8.4 11.1 9.5 7.9 11.5 10.4 9.5 8.7 8.9...... Guinea-Bissau 2.5 5.0 2.1 0.7 1.6 3.4-8.3-2.4 5.0-7.1-3.8-2.4 0.0........ Kenya 10.3 14.0 9.4 5.7 8.7 6.5 5.9 7.1 10.8 5.4 5.7 7.1 9.6 11.2 10.8 8.1 4.0 Lesotho 7.8 5.0 6.1 4.9 5.3 7.2 5.7 7.0 3.5 6.8 7.0 7.0 6.4 5.3...... Madagascar 10.1 9.5 6.4 5.8 8.0 6.0 2.2 8.8 7.6 3.1 6.6 8.8 9.7 8.5 7.6 6.6.. Malawi 11.9 7.6 21.6 27.1 16.1 25.9 33.0 27.8 9.3 30.0 34.5 27.8 22.9 6.3 9.3 14.4.. Mali 2.7 2.9 5.4-0.6 0.8 2.3 0.0-0.9 2.0-2.5-1.9-0.9 2.0 3.0 2.0.... Mauritania 6.5 5.6 4.9 4.1.. 6.4 2.4 0.5 2.9 7.5.. 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.3 5.6 7.5.... Mauritius 5.8 6.5 3.9 3.5 2.6 5.4 7.3-0.7 1.3 5.5 0.9-0.7-1.4 0.8 1.3 1.0-1.5 Mozambique 10.6 10.3 2.1 4.2 1.4 1.9 3.4 5.8-3.3 6.1 8.0 5.8 2.1-1.9-3.3.... Namibia.. 5.0 6.7 5.6 5.5 4.9 5.4 8.1 3.4 6.5 7.3 8.1 6.9 5.4 3.4 2.7 2.5 Niger 2.5 2.9 0.5 2.3 6.2-4.0-3.3-2.3 0.0-3.8-2.8-2.3-0.4-1.0 0.0.... Nigeria 13.0 10.8 12.2 8.5 7.0 9.1 7.2 8.6 8.9 6.7 7.6 8.6 9.4 9.4 8.9 7.9 7.1 Rwanda 7.9 5.7 6.3 4.2 6.2 5.0 29.9-26.2 5.2 31.9 30.7-26.2-24.7-21.9 5.2 3.7.. Senegal 2.1 3.4 1.4 0.7 1.7 1.3-4.7-3.4 1.9-5.4-4.0-3.4-1.3 0.7 1.9.... Seychelles 7.8 2.6 7.1 4.4 2.5 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.1-0.8-0.9 0.1 0.9 0.9 Sierra Leone.. 16.2 12.9 10.3 7.9 7.5 5.0 6.4 10.5 3.9 4.9 6.4 8.4 10.1 10.5.... South Africa 5.2 5.0 5.7 5.8 6.6 4.9 7.7 7.4 5.4 8.2 7.9 7.4 6.8 6.3 5.4 4.2 3.0 South Sudan.................................. Sudan 9.1 22.1 37.3 30.1 17.4 100.3 27.6 33.4.. 30.4 33.3 33.4.......... Swaziland 7.1 6.1 8.9 5.6 5.4 3.5...................... Tanzania.................................. Togo 3.0 3.6 2.6 1.8-0.7-0.2-2.5 5.3-1.2 3.7 5.5 5.3 2.1 0.7-1.2.... Uganda 6.4 18.7 14.0 5.5 12.2 4.7 4.8 1.4 0.5 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.0-0.5 Zambia 15.4 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.1 8.3 8.6 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.9 8.6 7.8 7.0 6.8 Zimbabwe.. 3.5 3.7 1.6.......................... Source: World Bank, IFS, Haver Analytics a. Year-over-year inflation in Consumer Price Index b. Quarter-over-quarter inflation, seasonally adjusted annualized rate c. Three-month-over-three-month moving average of seasonally adjusted annualized inflation d. Average inflation over the period 2000-10 e. Mongolia's quarterly CPI is National Inflation at end of period, and is based on official data and World Bank calculation. The regional aggregates exclude Mongolia's figures f. Zimbabwe's CPI figures are based on World Bank calculations. Sub-Saharan Africa aggregate excludes Zimbabwe 13