EV & Electrical System. Patrick GAGNOL. Paris, October 17th University Paris Dauphine

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Transcription:

EV & Electrical System Patrick GAGNOL Paris, October 17th 2016 University Paris Dauphine Confidentiel Date : 02/2016

An increasing need of light duty vehicules Increasing need of light duty vehicule trips Average daily driven distances less than 30 40 km in France Less than 5 km per trip A huge energy impact France : 1/3 energy consumption 80 % account for road transportation 50% for light weight vehicules (individual transportation) 25 % of CO2 emissions 95 % for road transportation 2

EVs : an emerging market Over 1% market share since September 2015 + 60% between 2014 and 2015 +35 % between 2015 and 2016 (9 months) 20 000 EVs sold in 2016 The major carmarkers have developped EV lines-up Mondial Auto 2016 : high B2C visitor interest New models with increased ranges: ZOE, Leaf, e3 Increased battery performances along with price reductions announced National and European incentives Europe: TEN-T/CEF funding frameworks, Directive on alternative fuels National : «Purchase» Bonus TECV law, ADEME program for public charging infrastructure implementation Over 100 000 EVs in France Towards 400 000 EVs in France in 2020? 3

Advantages of e Mobility No noise An electricity cost of less than 2 (w/o tax) per 100 km in France Positive well-to-wheel balance Zero greenhouse gas emissions_( NOx,CO 2, CO, ), no local particulate emission Lowered fossil fuel dependance CO : 0 HC : 0 NOx : 0 Fumées : 0 Odeurs : 0 Energy Mix Diesel / Petrol Electricity 95% N+EnR Electricity 50% N+EnR Electricity 35% N+EnR Puits au Well réservoir to tank + Tank à la to roue wheel = Total emissions 20 à 35 120 à 180 140 à 210 15 à 20 90 à 110 0 0 15 à 20 90 à 110 120 à 140 0 120 à 140 g CO 2 /km 4

EV charging : impact on electrical system No major electricity production issues (Energy) foreseen in France : 2 million EVs (2025 to 2030) => 5 to 6 TWh consumption o 1% of French electricity production 546 TWh produced and 475 TWh used in France in 2015 EV electric water heater in term of yearly electricity consumption Impact on the electrical grid (Power) to take into account but : Limited power capacities likely met at different scales : home, building, city & territories, distribution grid Solutions are available but must be cost efficient and competitive o o o Off peak tariffs Assessing local grid stress to avoid reinforcement, differ investment Smart charging (e.g. defer charge in off-peak period), V2H/V2G to manage power demand 90000 90000 85000 85000 MW 80000 80000 75000 75000 70000 70000 65000 65000 0:30 1:30 2:30 3:30 4:30 5:30 6:30 7:30 8:30 9:30 10:30 11:30 12:30 13:30 14:30 15:30 16:30 17:30 18:30 19:30 20:30 21:30 22:30 23:30 0:30 1:30 2:30 3:30 4:30 5:30 MW 6:30 7:30 8:30 9:30 10:30 11:30 12:30 13:30 14:30 15:30 16:30 17:30 18:30 19:30 20:30 21:30 22:30 23:30 C DC AMOS _2020:typique hiver courbe de charge V E &V HR -horiz on 2020 C DC AMOS _2020:typique hiver courbe de charge V E &V HR -horiz on 2020 Source: ERF R&D, November 2009 5

Charging features Power subscriptions are over 70 % at 6 kw rate at home in France Charging mode Normal Accelerated Fast Power 3kW 7kW 22kW 43kW ou 50kW Charge duration (e.g. ZOE) 4-8h 2 h < 30min (80 %) Equivalence 1h charging 8h charging 40 km 10A 11 km 88 km 3h30 charging 16A 18-20 km 150-160 km 2h charging Locations : Streets Parking lots, gas stations Highways, Features : Fast charging (towards higher power, > 100 kw?) Only a few Expensive 22 kw ( accelerated ) / 50 kw (fast) Normal charging < 8 KW 5% 95% Locations : Home Work Streets Public parking lots Features : Generally 3-4 kw Available everywhere Low cost 90 % 5 % 6

EVs : an opportunity or a burden for the electrical system? A new electrical usage increasing electricity consumption and power demand + 3 kw charging power a minima at home during peak hours 3 MWh a year @ 10000 km/year A battery storage tool which can help manage the power demand Load levelling, Peak shedding, Adjustment mechanisms V2H, V2G Stationnary uses of affordable «second life» EV batteries (backup, buffering, power quality)? Need a customer approach : not only constraints but new business opportunities End customer : Optimised charging spot at home, in co-owned buildings (condominiums), specific prices Cities, emobility operators : public charging infrastructures networks, micro-grids, Energy suppliers : optimization of energy purchase, Distribution system operators (DSOs) : management of the grid and investments Need to match together the mobility request of the end user, the goal of limited impact on the grid, cost reduction and optimised prices ICT solutions help take advantage of the EV charging flexibilities 7

EVs at home and condominiums, in cities or highways Garantee a safe charging installation Dedicated circuit with 30 ma RCD Avoid damages of household appliances (harmonics of EV chargers) Help reduce global energy costs and power demand on the grid Management of the home electricity demand : e.g. SOWEE by EDF o Off peak tariffs, power modulation, o Daily EV range ensured Smart charging and metering o Limited overcost linked to the increase of the power subscription thanks to smart metering and demand side management : e.g. Linky Help develop EV charging spots in condominiums Cost effective charging infrastructures Compliant with the «shared» power subscription (lights, lifts, ) Smart charging : power shedding switch, balanced charging Help reduce the power demand of public charging infrastructure clusters Global power limitation of charger clusters with charging spot balancing : e.g. < 36 kw Power buffering via battery storage : e.g. 150 kw fast charger 8

Utilities : Electricity suppliers, DSOs Opportunity of new integrated services Home management of the electricity demand : e.g Sowee Integrated «EV charging» packages : smart plug, installation, Renewable energy, optimised tariffs Upstream study of sites in term of power connection capacity Opportunity to investigate new technical solutions and business models Smart charging Agregation of the charging flexibility of charging stations clusters V2H, V2G «2d life» EV battery storage Electricity roaming EV is an opportunity more than a threat 9