Harley Davidson: Great Opportunities in a Trip Through Disruption

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Transcription:

1 Harley Davidson: Great Opportunities in a Trip Through Disruption MATT LOVATICH, CEO HARLEY DAVIDSON WILWAKEE, WISCONSIN AUGUST 1, 2018 SHANNON SNADEN, KATHLEEN BOSKILL, ALE BERMUDEZ, MORGAN HARPER

The word that comes to mind is stewardship. None of us at the company created this great brand. It is an incredible responsibility to preserve and protect the brand, the value and the power of the brand, and the loyalty and respect and the trust of our customer. MATT LEVATICH, CEO OF HARLEY DAVIDSON 2

Problem statement 3 Harley is currently facing a disruptive landscape. How to enter new markets, provide new product lines without alienating Harley s current customers, being a great steward of your iconic brand?

Market positioning 4 Known for: Big engines, big sound Become: Lighter, faster, bolder

Our recommendation 5 1. Enter Indian and Chinese market 2. Enter EV motorcycle segment 3. Build upon great reputation to expand into new target market 4. Bring in virtual reality into showrooms to allow for customization and the «Harley experience»

Executive Summary 6 Issue Where and how do we grow? Focus on electric or autonomous vehicles? What products do we focus on? How to bring touch and feel to Harley physical locations? How to build on 115 th birthday? Recommendation In addition to strategic plan Move into Indian and China markets Focus on electric vehicles as the technology is not there yet and more investigation on legal required for autonomous vehicles. Electric vehicles (Livewire) and under 350cc Virtual reality headsets to design the dream bike and have the Harley experience Dad s and sons/daughters marketing campaign in North America

10,000 Foot View 7 Iconic US brand and history Known for design and customization motorcycles not just transportation Touch and feel is important to customers Declining North American sales 67 countries around the world 2 Branches: Harley Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) & Harley Davidson Financial Services Company (HDFS) Iconoclastic brand with 115 years of excellent reputation

You asked: 8 Is the 10 year plan and accelerated strategy a recipe for success and long-term growth at Harley? What changes should Matt make to Harley s competitive strategy?

You asked: 9 Is the 10 year plan and accelerated strategy a recipe for success and longterm growth at Harley? YES What changes should Matt make to Harley s competitive strategy? Expand into India and China Adjust brand positioning stay in high quality, higher cost - get ready for EV

Assumptions 10 China is a new market best entered through joint-venture and does not require fixed distributors Focus is on testing new markets to find the right mix, learnings can be applied to North America. Already manufacture in China and so no import tariffs to sell motorcyles in China Trans-Pacific Partnership, tariffs, and political climate to remain the same Franchise model is used for dealerships Costs are only for India and China initial roll out with exception of North America marketing campaign Costs are only for new additions to More Roads to Harley Davidson plan

11 Big opportunities, big sound KATHLEEN

Where are we now? 12 Polaris Purchased Indian brand iconic Indian motorcycle Growth in the US Suzuki Partnership with Jiangmen Dachangjiang (JD) Lightweight gas and electric motorcycles 23.5% of the Chinese market Honda JV with Hero Motocorp top motorcycle manufacturer Lightweight and scooters under 500cc Royal Enfield Dominant market force 250-500cc Growing at 23%, decrease in over 350cc but increase of 26% for up to 350cc There is a strong competitive landscape to succeed Harley Davidson needs to differentiate themselves and get in now

10-year plan: 5-point plan for 2027 13 Increase number of new Harley riders 100 high impact motorcycles to market Grow international business to 50% of Harley s annual volume Improving ROI capital - efficiently allocate capital resources and maintain discipline in their future investments Grow business in an environmentally conscious and sustainable way Harley has an ambitious plan need to make sure the new goals do not make you forget about where you are doing well

Decision Criteria 14 Growth Ease of Entry India China Latin America Africa asdfasdf

Why India and China? 15 China and India together represent $16.2 billion of market value in Asia Pacific region Growing middle class Western luxury branded products Fits with EV ambitions Strategic partner in India Go in with under 350cc Largest growth potential and opportunity

DO NOT DO! Latin America and Africa 16 No established partnerships Not as many facilities Large competitive barriers Stop!!! DO NOT DO! No established partnerships

Focus on Electric Vehicle technology 17 Increased demand estimated demand of $22 billion USD Policy and regulation changes Banning of combustion engines in European Countries, India and China potential for others to follow Need to keep quality and not stray from classic stylings of its product line Need to start now or you could be left behind

Our recommendation 18 1. Enter Indian and Chinese market 2. Enter EV motorcycle segment 3. Build upon great reputation to expand into new target market 4. Bring in virtual reality into showrooms to allow for customization and the «Harley experience»

Smoothing the ride into a strong global presence ALE 19

Snap shot 20 Decline in sales of 6.92% from 2016 to 2017 Increase on motorcycle average retail price Increase regulatory policies Increase in operating costs due to aluminum and steal tariff of 15 to 20 million EU tariffs costs increase of 30 to 45 million Expected extra costs of 90 to 100 million 10 year plan to increase revenue Hard market conditions have asdfasdfa increase costs and reduce revenue

Additional costs of recommendation 21 ITEM COSTS Marketing budget 5% of expected revenue Dealerships in India total of 45 in 3 years $5M Dealerships in China - total of 45 in 3 years $5M Chinese consulting firm $3 to $7M Chinese manufacturing facilities $200 to $250M Virtual reality technology in (200) USA showrooms $5 to 10M Total additional costs of implementing our plan $270M Dealerships will be in a franchise model

Roll out plan 22 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Total Chinese consulting firm 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 7 Marketing 2.5 1.75 1.75 5 Chinese dealership 2.5 1.25 1.25 5 Indian dealerships 2.5 1.25 1.25 5 200 USA Virtual Show Rooms 50 50 100 Manufacturing facility or CKD 200 200

Out of the box 23 Joint-venture with BMW and local company to enter into Asian market with a pilot moped and scooter share program Use the learnings to bring in scooter share and bike-share program into Canada

24 More roads to Harley Davidson MORGAN

North America: Growing Sales Domestically 25 Driving with Dad campaign Leverage current aging male customers to grow younger customer base in United States Currently drive the Touring Motorcycles larger, heavier motorcycles 35 year old female and male drivers who are interested in lighter motorcycles that are more fuel efficient or electric powered Advertisements will feature the Dad riding his touring motorcycle and daughter/son on the newer line of products Leverage your current aging customer to attract younger customers and expand your product sales

North America: Digital to Dealerships 26 Harley Davidson s product is seen as a luxury item Customization is important to the Harley Davidson s customers Customers like to touch and feel products, however this is almost impossible with customized products until the item is produced SOLUTION: Virtual Reality! Allows the customer to visualize and experience the product before it is produced Using virtual reality to enhance the customer experience and increase customized product sales

North America: Digital to Dealerships 27 Year 1 Source existing Virtual Reality technology and design in-store experience Year 3 Analyze customized sales performance before expanding to more stores Year 2 Roll out to 200 stores Using virtual reality to enhance the customer experience and increase customized product sales

India Implementation 28 Already have partner with Alta Motors in India Question today is how to grow sales? Need for dealerships in Tier 1 and 2 cities for customers to experience the products Offering traditional product, and focusing on the street motorcycles (under 350 cc) which are meant for urban and city riding

India Implementation Timeline 29 Year 1 Open 25 dealerships Work with local Marketing agency to create campaigns Bollywood film product placement of new EV motorcycle Livewire and lighter motorcycle products Year 3 Open 45 dealerships Continuing to have local marketing campaigns to support sales Year 2 Open 35 dealerships Marketing to continue in Bollywood films and out of home advertisements such as billboards

China Implementation 30 Currently Harley Davidson has no sales in China In China Joint Ventures are needed to enter the market Joint Venture partner will offer Harley Davidson the ability to enter the market and provide valuable knowledge on EV within the Chinese market

China Implementation Timeline 31 Year 1 Hire Consultant to understand how to market works Find a JV partner Year 3 Open 35 dealerships Build a Complete Knock Down plant or manufacturing plant Year 2 Open 25 dealerships Import Harley Davidson product and start to recognize sales in market Year 4 Open 45 dealerships

Risks and mitigations 32 Risk Impact Probability Mitigation Cybersecurity Website, store systems Products especially as products become connected to the Internet of Things H H 2 factor identification Encrypted data Firewalls Regulation/Policy Changes H M Ensuring legal team and local offices stay current on changes Iconic Brand Dilution H L All design and marketing will align with the classic styling of products

33 Journey into the future MORGAN

The word that comes to mind is stewardship. None of us at the company created this great brand. It is an incredible responsibility to preserve and protect the brand, the value and the power of the brand, and the loyalty and respect and the trust of our customer. MATT LEVATICH, CEO OF HARLEY DAVIDSON 34

Executive Summary 35 Issue Where and how do we grow? Focus on electric or autonomous vehicles? What products do we focus on? How to bring touch and feel to Harley physical locations? How to build on 115 th birthday? Recommendation In addition to strategic plan Move into Indian and China markets Focus on electric vehicles as the technology is not there yet and more investigation on legal required for autonomous vehicles. Electric vehicles (Livewire) and under 350cc Virtual reality headsets to design the dream bike and have the Harley experience Dad s and sons/daughters marketing campaign in North America 50% growth of sales in the Asia-pacific market