ADVANCING BUS-BASED PUBLIC TRANSPORT FOR GREEN URBAN MOBILITY IN INDIA

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Transcription:

ADVANCING BUS-BASED PUBLIC TRANSPORT FOR GREEN URBAN MOBILITY IN INDIA

STRUCTURE Introduction Case Studies- Indian and International Lessons learned Discussion Agenda

Urban Transport Scenario in India Rapid urbanization leads to rapid Motorisation Public transport is inadequate Increased air pollution Multiple Authorities Declining share of non-motorized transport More Focus on Supply side Low Investments on PT Sheer neglect of pedestrians, cyclists High road fatalities/injuries Functional responsibilities for urban transport are fragmented among central, state and local level governments where no one seems to be in charge of overall coordination.

City Bus Scenario in India Modal Share of Public Sector Buses Year % 1961 32 1976 45 2012 8 *Source : CIRT report 2015 on DPR for CERT 11/26/2016 4

City Bus Scenario in India Transport Organization % fleet Road Transport Corporations 75 Govt. Companies 17 Municipal Undertakings 4.5 Govt. department undertakings 3.5 11/26/2016 5

City Bus Scenario in India- Evolution of PPP Before 1950 Private Sector RTC Act, 1950 1950-1980 1980 onwards Public Sector Efficacy of public private partnership (PPP) for city bus operations experience from Indian cities, Parashar & Dubey, 2011, European Transport Conference 2005 onwards Public Private Partnership Reasons: 7th Five yr. Plan (1985-90)- Exclusive focus on urban transport Delinking of urban services from rural/inter city services of STUs Urban services an unviable proposition Loss making STUs keep showing interest in rural/inter city services Government Initiatives Policy thrust towards PPP in city bus operations in 2005 National Urban Transport Policy, 2006 Bus-funding scheme & JnNURM 6

Types of PPP Contracts Public Monopoly Less Regulation Gross Cost Contract Less Public Funding Net Cost Contract Franchises Concessions Quantity Licenses Service Contract (Most commonly used in Urban Bus Transport) Competition for the Market Quality Licenses Competition in the Market Para-Transit Open Market 7

City Bus Scenario in India- Legal Framework A statutory body formed within an MV Act, 1988. Company Registered under the Company s Act of 1956, which gives it predefined powers for performing its roles and functions. Registered Society under the Societies Registration Act of 1960 Corporation under the Road Transport Corporation Act of 1950

Challenges in Bus Sector in India Policy - CBS does not come in the priority of the Government while planning for cities Institutional - Multiple institutions with no common plan, agenda and program for Public Transport Infrastructure - lack of bus stops, proper depots and interchanges for the city buses Industry Few manufacturers with limited production capacity and finances 60000 Production and Sale Trend of Buses in India 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 M& HCV's Sale M& HCV's Production LCV Sale LCV Production

Challenges in Bus Sector in India Regulatory - No periodic fare revision system Operator & Service provider Violation of permits and quality of service is not proper. Capacity Building- Inadequate Technical staff Planning- Lack of Comprehensive planning Skewed Taxation- Buses have more taxes than private vehicles

City Bus Scenario in India- Government Initiatives Policy: NUTP 2006 National transport Development Policy Committee (NTDPC) 12 th Five year Plan Urban Bus Specification (I and II) Service level benchmark for Urban Transport in India Program JNNURM FAME India Smart city AMRUT SUTP supported by world bank-gef-undp-moud

City Bus Scenario in India- Outcome of Government Initiatives Funding of buses under JNNURM Implementation of BRTS in 11 cities and Intelligent Transport System Implementation of Bus Sector reforms

Study Objectives Market Assessment: To assess the market in terms of International and Indian urban bus sector, technologies used, different institutional arrangements employed (i.e. public, private, PPP) and financial viability of different systems. Investment Proposal: to work out a proposal which shall be made indicating which bus technologies and associated infrastructure that could be adopted in India context.

International Case Studies OLEV, Seoul, Korea: public transport system using a "recharging road which is an electric vehicle using electromagnetic induction BYD electric bus, China: BYD ebus, called K9 powered with its self-developed Ironphosphate battery, featuring the longest drive range of 250 km (155 miles) on one single charge Tindo, Adelaide, Australiathis vehicle is the world s first 100% solar-powered electric bus

Lessons Learnt Factors Policy Financial support Implementing Institution Infrastructure Environment O & M Integration with other modes Planning Capital cost (includes infrastructure) Adelaide, Australia Promoting Green Travel Adelaide City Council- Mayor Solar based charging facilities PPP Torrens Transit Fixed route 3.5 crores Gumi and Daejeon, South Seoul Deploying electric vehicles by 2020 High subsidies provided by the government KAIST Shaped Magnetic Fields in Resonance Environmental friendly KIAST Yes Fixed Route with charging infrastructure 3.4 crores 2.7 crores per station Shenzhen, China Target to replace the complete fleet with electric buses by 2017 Shenzhen Municipal Transport Commission Charging stations 3 operators with SMTC share Special areas demarcated for 3 different operators 2.6 crores 1.7 crores per station

Bus Cost is high. Allied infrastructure is complex and expensive. Patented Technology No open market. Inference

Indian Case Studies City Population Operational Model Type of fuel used Bangalore 8,443,675 BMTC Diesel Pune 31,24,458 PMPML and private CNG & Diesel Lucknow 30,38,996 LCTSL Diesel Ludhiana 16,18,879 SPV and Private Diesel Ahmedabad 55,77,940 ANMARG & AMTS CNG & Diesel

What we have Lessons Learnt Policies/Schemes-NEMMP 2020, FAME, NGT, Bureau of Energy Efficiency, National Auto Fuel Policy 2003, Auto Fuel Vision & Policy 2025, NUTP 2006, AMRUT, Smart City Mission, MV Act, Subsidies regulators and manufacturers UBS II- Bus Manufacturing guidelines PPP- Model contract Initiatives by cities DTC, BMTC, Navi Mumbai, Nagpur International fund GEF 5, KfW Capacity Building-LUTP, SUTP, UMI Implementation of Policy at city level Cost effective subsidy to be provided for bus and ancillary infrastructure Coordination between authorities Strengthening of SPV- legal Backing R & D in alternative fuels Open market for technology Strengthening of PPP model Comprehensive Planning & implementation Skilled Manpower at all levels What we need

Bus Fuel A Comparative Picture Parameters Diesel CNG Bio fuel Hybrid Electric Power Source Diesel CNG Derived from Power Generator organic materials Electricity+ fuel (Diesel or CNG) IC engine IC engine IC engine IC engine + battery Electricity battery Range (kms) 484(AC Volvo) and 260-390 NA 286-520 240 560 (Tata) Bus Cost (INR) 20-88 lakhs 20-88 20% higher than > 3 crores 2.6 crores lakhs standard diesel buses. Fuel efficiency 2.2-3.3 km/l 2-3 km/kg 3.3 miles/edge (Source: US dept of Energy 2012) 2.4 km/l 1.5 kwh /km Life cycle of 8 years 8 years NA 10 years (Source: Shenzhen Bus buses Company) Return on 4 years NA NA 5-7 years* 5-7 years*

Bus Fuel A Comparative Picture Parameters Diesel CNG Bio fuel Hybrid Electric Emissions Infrastructure Requirement Infrastructure cost Operational readiness/market response CO2, Nox and CO and HC levels Significant savings Low (less CO2, Zero emissions black carbon are higher on CO2 emissions, NOX, SOX and from tailpipe levels are PM emissions are NMHC) higher negligible with up to 30% lower 30%-80% reduction in NOX compared to diesel Existing New refuelling Expensive,new No special Expensive, new infrastructure infrastructure to be infrastructure infrastructure to infrastructure and safety developed required. be developed modifications $ 8,625 / bus $ 1,55,000 per 5-8 per cent higher 400,000 US $ per (Source: MTA bus (Source: MTA than diesel (Source: bus (Source: BYD) New York City New York City Stockholm) Transit) Transit) Established market well similar to CNG; Cost is 50% more immature market developed makeover is easier.( than standard technology with Nagpur) diesel buses. high cost. (Bangalore and Delhi)

Way Forward Central Government Creating wider awareness and acceptance level at Political and Administrative level for promoting bus based advance technology State Government Priority cities need to be identified to run CBS on non conventional fuel bus technology City authority Comprehensive planning for Operation and Management and develop ancillary infrastructure including ITS Manufacturers- Should undertake R&D on priority basis to switch over to new technology. Government should provide incentives Operator- Made aware about the benefits of technology

Discussion Agenda 1. Integrating the private and public sector in urban public transport - What are models for integrating the private bus sector? - What is effectiveness of different institutional arrangements for managing bus systems? (e.g. transport department, SPV, Municipal Corporation, Private Operator with Service-level agreements (such as DIMTS))

Discussion Agenda 2. Integration of different transport modes (NMT, metro, LRT, bus, ferry...) - How to link integration with SMART city plans? - What are the observed best practices of Bus Sector in India? - What is role of intelligent transport systems / other IT-based innovations for improved integration like Kochi-1 app? - How important is integrated time schedule and ticketing systems?

Discussion Agenda 3. Facilitating fuel technology policy changes - What are the new fuel technologies and hybrid technologies? - How can suitable innovation in fuel technology be introduced? - What is the need of favourable initial financial support for newer technologies?

Discussion Agenda 4. Bridging the financial viability gaps - On what basis does or should government programs subsidize bus transport? - How to improve revenue streams and expand sources? - What is role of UMTAs in achieving balanced sustainable financing?

Thank You!!!!!

Pros Cons Gross Cost Pros and Cons Easy bid process and contract management Risk of revenue leakage borne by public entity Flexibility in changing schedules based on needs Flexibility in changing fares No incentive for high ridership Need effective monitoring Flexibility in changing in services Financial commitments of public authority can be high Limited potential for disputes Higher cost of staffing, monitoring operation & revenues Better integration between modes/services Avoid discrimination against concession fare passengers 27

Case Study Ahmedabad, BRTS SPV-JanMarg contracts and monitors Buses procured by operator and operating on gross cost + incentives basis Minimum guaranteed kms committed by SPV (72,000 kms per annum) SPV has financial as well as manpower support from MC Fare revision linked with change in fuel price & WPI, periodic revision on 1st April of every year (automatic and free from political interference) Cost/km revision wrt change in fuel & WPI Incentives/penalties linked with pre-defined performance parameters Change in schedule, fleet size at the discretion of SPV System sustainability: profit 28

Pros Cons Net Cost Pros and Cons Risk of revenue leakage borne by operator Risk of passenger capture techniques being adopted Effective incentive for high ridership Need to specify fares and other details upfront Financial commitments of public entity are low Complex tendering and contracting process Difficult to make changes (route, schedule, fleet size) during contract period Potential for disputes high Cut-corner in services for maximising the profit 29

Case Study - Bhopal SPV contracts and monitors for 8 years extendable for 2more years Moratorium period 4 months Hand holding support by UMTC Buses procured by SPV (funded under JnNURM) and contracted to private operator on net cost basis No subsidy from SPV Rationalization of the routes including IPT Exclusivity provided on routes initially but not enforced Automatic fare revision formula but not implemented System sustainability: breaking even 30