Global Automotive DowAksa current focus

Similar documents
Gabelli Automotive Symposium October 30, Adriane Brown President and CEO Honeywell Transportation Systems

The Future of Mobility. Dhiren Verma VP, Analytics June 22, 2016

Presentation: The Automotive Market & Composite Material Outlook Presented by: Marc Benevento, Industrial Market Insight

Fuel Economy, ACEA 2016 and other challenges for European Passenger Car Oils Richard van den Bulk

R&D: FUTURE-PROOFING THE BMW GROUP. DR. HERBERT DIESS MEMBER OF THE BOARD OF MANAGEMENT OF BMW AG, DEVELOPMENT

BASF s Performance Polymers Delivering sustainable value

On the Role of Body-in-White Weight Reduction in the Attainment of the US EPA/NHTSA Fuel Economy Mandate

Meeting the Challenge EU CO2 Outlook

About Steel Market Development Institute

COST EFFICIENT COMPOSITE PLATFORM WITH INTEGRATED ENERGY STORAGE FOR A HYDRAULIC HYBRID

Higher CAFE Standards Is America Ready? Paul Lacy Technical Research Manager, Americas

Engine encapsulation. A synergic approach to exterior noise and CO 2 emissions reduction. Brussels, 18th December 2012 Maurizio Mantovani - Autoneum

Investor Presentation. March 2017

TAKING THE HIGH (FUEL ECONOMY) ROAD WHAT DO THE NEW CHINESE FUEL ECONOMY STANDARDS MEAN FOR FOREIGN AUTOMAKERS?

AUDI SUSTAINABILITY PROGRAM

Perspectives on the Auto Industry

New Automotive Innovation and Growth Team (NAIGT)

[ futuris in thailand]

FISCAL YEAR MARCH 2018 FIRST HALF FINANCIAL RESULTS

The Global Automotive Industry Challenges and Opportunities

Aftermarket Trends: What will Drive Future Aftermarket Repair Opportunities in North America?

epsilon Structural Design of Body and Battery Housing

Lubrication Needs for Next Generation Gasoline Passenger Car Engine Technology

Overview of Global Fuel Economy Policies

Deep-dive E-Mobility

Michigan Public Service Commission Electric Vehicle Pilot Discussion

Seamless solutions across the entire value chain of electric drive manufacturing

Aluminium penetration in cars

DRIVING WITH FEWER EMISSIONS: how can carmakers meet the 2021 targets for CO 2. emissions?

ArcelorMittal. The leading supplier to the automotive industry in Europe

DEVELOPING VEHICLE FUEL ECONOMY STANDARDS FOR SOUTH AFRICAN PASSENGER VEHICLES

BASF s Polyurethanes Division Driving efficiency, comfort and sustainability

Industry Experts. Experts v3766/ Publisher Sample

DC to DC Converters and Battery Equalizers

Automotive financial services in Germany Motor Finance Summit Europe

Proactive Positioning Seeking Opportunity in a Low Growth Environment

E-mobility opportunities & challenges 1st Green Manufacturing Summit Sectoral Case Automotive. New Dehli, 18 March, 2011

Study of Fuel Economy Standard and Testing Procedure for Motor Vehicles in Thailand

Transportation Systems. Paolo Carmassi VP and GM, Asia Pacific May 8, 2006

Kurt Faller

Mazda Motor Corporation June 17, 2011

OPPORTUNITY AND CHALLENGES FOR AUTOMOTIVE COMPOSITE APPLICATIONS

Aluminum Use in the Auto Industry - Update. November 3, 2016

2015 Interim Results. Levallois, July 23 th, 2015

EV1 RETROSPECTIVE AND THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE REVOLUTION ROBERT DAWSEY VICE PRESIDENT, ENGINEERING AND OPERATIONS FLEX POWER CONTROL INC.

The xev Industry Insider Report

Strategic Analysis of Hybrid and Electric Commercial Vehicle Market in North and South America

PwC Autofacts. The Transformation of the Automotive Value Chain.

Statement Dr. Norbert Reithofer Chairman of the Board of Management of BMW AG Conference Call Interim Report to 30 June August 2014, 10:00 a.m.

Vendor Performance & Announcement April 2018

Technology for a New Energy Future Scott Carlton President, SGL Group North America

The Future of Electric Cars - The Automotive Industry Perspective

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

FISCAL YEAR MARCH 2015 FIRST QUARTER FINANCIAL RESULTS. Mazda Roadster 25 th Anniversary Model

Summary briefing on four major new mass-reduction assessment for light-duty vehicles

BorjaEsteban AN INTEGRATED INDUSTRIAL POLICY FOR THE GLOBALISATION ERA. Madrid, 21 October Institutional Relations Spain

Future Steel Vehicle Advanced Powertrains

MY GHG Standard for Light Duty Vehicles Mass Reduction

THE GLOBAL AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY. Edited by. Paul Nieuwenhuis Cardiff University, UK. Peter Wells Cardiff University, UK. WlLEY

Japan core market for any strategy in Renewable Energy and E-Mobility

Chemistry: Driver for innovation in the automotive industry

THE FUTURE OF AUTONOMOUS CARS

Indian PV Product and Market Analysis ACG. All rights reserved

Electric Vehicles and EV Infrastructure Municipal Electric Power Association

FISCAL YEAR MARCH 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS

VI SMALL CAPS CONFERENCE

Franco-British Lawyers Society Cardiff Colloquium, 2008

epowertrain landscape Outlook 2020

EV Strategy. OPPD Board Commitee Presentation May 2018 Aaron Smith, Director Operations

VEHICLE SALES AND RECESSIONS

Cummins Inc. Investor Relations Presentation February 2009

Opel/Vauxhall Strategic Plan. Michael Lohscheller, CEO Opel Automobile GmbH

POST 2020 VEHICLE CO 2 EMISSIONS POLICY

Fast Charging - a strategic view from E.ON

Adhesives and Sealants as an Enabling Technology for Lightweight, Safe, and High Performing Steel Vehicles Ana Wagner Adhesive & Sealant Council

An automotive perspective on the use of carbon fibres

IHS AUTOMOTIVE Hybrid-EV Portal Hydrogen Fuel-cell Electric Vehicles and Refuelling Infrastructure Market: Now or Never?

International Experience in Improving Fuel Efficiency and Reducing Greenhouse Gases

Automobile Body Sheet /Casting Growth Impact On Scrap. All Raw Materials Consulting 1

Dr. Wilhelm Binder Day

NAACAM Presentation to Portfolio Committee on Trade and Industry. Thursday, 11 th March 2010

EU Light Duty Vehicles and CO 2 Policy

Conference on Regional Integration in Asia and the Emerging Trade Regime

International Automotive Congress CO 2 Technology Strategies for OEM in Europe until Shanghai, December 9 th 2014

Nancy Homeister Manager, Fuel Economy Regulatory Strategy and Planning

Overview. 1. About UQM 2. The market 3. Market strategy 4. Financials

Engineering & Design. Harald J. Wester. April 21, 2010 Fiat Investor Day 1

Swapalease.com Auto Lease Trends Report 4 TH Quarter A snapshot of the auto lease industry

BLOOMBERG INDUSTRIES OUTLOOK 2014

Fuel Efficiencies - A Supplier Perspective. June 4th, 2009

The auto industry and NAFTAlinks between the U.S. and Mexico

Higher Temperature PP-Based Composite Provides Nylon/PA- Level Performance at Lower Weight and Economic Feasibility

C O N S U L T JATO CONSULT CO 2 REPORT EXTRACT [AUGUST 2015] All Rights Reserved JATO Dynamics Ltd 1

Recent Trends and Challenges in Lightweighting for the Automotive Industry

BMW Group Corporate and Governmental Affairs

Global Automotive Strategies

II. New Mid-term Business Plan (Apr to Mar. 2011)

COMPANY PRESENTATION 1H 2007 TEAM WORKING GLOBAL THINKING

The Future By TOYOTA. May 2012 UNION MOTORS LTD.

About LMC Automotive. LMC Automotive the company. Global Car & Truck Forecast. Automotive Production Forecasts

Transcription:

Global Automotive DowAksa current focus

World at a glance

Light weighting is not a new idea

Key Market Driver: Mass Reduction CALIFORNI Mass reduction is vital for car makers to avoid fuel efficiency or emissions legislated penalties

CO 2 Emissions g/km Key Market Driver: Mass Reduction 10% mass reduction = +8-10% fuel efficiency including secondary mass (and cost) reduction of powertrain / chassis Vehicle Mass EU versus AverageEmissions US Car Avg. / Fuel Efficiency US Lt Truck Avg. 23% 330 300 270 US Lt Truck Avg. US Car Average Gasoline car Diesel car Gasoline Hybrid Diesel Hybrid 240 210 Gasoline Vehicles 180 150 EU Car Average Diesel Vehicles EU 2015 target US 2015 target 90 EU 2020 target CA 2020 target 60 30 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 lbs 680 910 1130 1360 1590 1820 2050 2270 2500 Kg Vehicle Mass (lbs) Vehicle Mass Original Source: WorldAutoSteel

OEMs face penalties - exceeding mandated emissions and efficiency standards Driving cycle CO2 emissions of top-10 selling OEMs g CO2/km 163 148 143 140 139 137 68 53 48 45 44 42 136 41 2010 fleet emissions EU target (2020) 132 130 126 37 35 31 Emissions standards are enforced through penalties The top 10 EU OEMs paid $6.2B in penalties in 2010 for exceeding emissions limits -42% -36% -33% -32% -31% -31% -30% -28% -27% -25% 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 Penalties for excess CO2 will increase and tiers will be eliminated for a uniform penalty of 95 Euro per gm / km of CO2 by 2020 Overall % Reduction 1 Emission Penalties $ Billions Penalties per vehicle 1 $ 41.8 35.8 33.3 32.0 31.5 30.6 30.3 27.8 26.9 24.5 18.6 12.4 31.1 14.6 5.0 14.7 9.8 9.8 5.7 6.1 8530 6610 5940 5600 5450 5240 5160 4570 4370 3860 1 Based on current fleet emissions performance numbers SOURCE: European Commission; McKinsey analysis If top 10 OEMs in EU were to maintain their current levels of emissions and car sales, they would pay a combined $127.8B in penalties, or ~$5700 per vehicle sold in 2020

Light weighting value varies by car segment and geography Value to OEMs from 1kg weight reduction $ 21 31 23 23 24 23 22 22 20 20 7 9 8 North America Europe China ROW 4 5 4 2 4 3 39 EU emission regulations and penalties increase the benefits of lightweighting for vehicles sold in the EU Lightweighting electric vehicles benefits by offsetting battery costs required to maintain range and performance Luxury carmakers are able to pass on a larger portion of costs to consumers Luxury Car Upper end mass market Mid range vehicle e.g. Audi A8 e.g. BMW 328 e.g. Honda Accord Low cost vehicle e.g. Toyota Yaris Electric Vehicles (mid market) e.g. Nissan Leaf

DowAksa Solution Portfolio

DowAksa Dow Dow VORAFORCE TM Dow VORAFUSE TM Resin Matrix Systems Tailored Substrate Surface Chemistry for optimal performance Materials Design and Joint Engineering to manage inter-relationship between different substrates Down-engineering of composite components by leveraging adhesive joint Solutions for Body Shop or Trim Shop assembly Dow BETAMATE and BETAFORCE Structural Adhesives Optimization of interface between carbon fiber and resin Ability to create carbon fiber systems tailored for automotive composite applications Adhesive bonding of cavity sections reinforced with structural foam Continuous bondline contains structural foam within the cavity DowAksa AKSACA Carbon fiber and Derivatives Potential to reduce level of carbon fiber in the composite by leveraging reinforcement contribution of structural foam Acoustical contribution of foam in composite body Dow BETAFOAM Structural Foam

BMW ground up CFRP Passenger Life Module Aluminum Skate Board NEW technologies NEW processes NEW design/s vehicle concepts

Ford Democratization Target a part e.g. front seat, B pillar, decklid etc. Commercialize on one vehicle model Extend across platform globally Driven by value of technology vis-à-vis alternative options in achieving target performance

VW parts replacement Identify a part e.g. front seat, bumper, roof panel etc. Design to fit in current assembly process Duplicate in other similar plants Driven by multi material hybrid parts strategy Brands [e.g. Audi] may follow different strategy while Wolfsburg focus on long term

1 Potential Carbon Fiber Composite Targets Example parts High performance Structural Reinforcing or non-structural Monocoque Trunk Hoods Radiator mounts Drive shafts Roof panels Door panels Dashboard X member Bumper beams Suspension components Spoilers Seats Bumpers Fenders Vehicle underbody

Parts Based approach Ref: Rocky Mountain Institute

Multiplication Effects Ref: Rocky Mountain Institute

Potential Supply Chain Ref: Rocky Mountain Institute

Designers/Engineer s Influence Ref: Rocky Mountain Institute

OEMs developing formal partnerships with CF players in order to drive costs of manufacturing CF components downwards JV partnership JDA JDA OEMs/ CF players are forming formal relationships in order to: Vertically integrate to jointly reduce component costs Ensure supply consistency, which is of utmost importance to auto OEMs Several OEMs have yet to form long-term partnerships with CF players Longstanding relationship

Business Drivers Light weighting CO2 regulations in EU, Japan Followed by Asia [China, S and SE Asia and Australia] CAFÉ regulations in US fleet average 54 mpg by 2025 Future CFC [carbon fiber comp] production capacity Concern by Auto OEM that potential demand far exceeds current and projected global supply New capacity is capital intensive All capacity is energy intensive Automotive supply chain CFC based design and part production capability

Risks/Risk mitigations Market/Demand Risk: Demand could be delayed for a variety of reasons including regulation peel back or delay, global economic downturn, unclear price/perf benefit Mitigation: Close collaboraton with Auto OEM. Staying close to decision makers Capital Risk: CF production is capital intensive...additional capacity requires high levels of capital infusion with ROI at risk. Also operation expenses linked to energy costs look for low cost energy geographies to locate CF production Mitigation: Demand guarantee or supply security agreements. Investment strategies in low energy cost locations Technical Risks: Efficient high volume CF composite production and part level cost/peformance. Mitigation: Technical focus Supply Chain Risks: ACN availability, Price of CAN Mitigation: Hedging

Summary Demand driven by Fuel Economy /CO2 emissions regulations which beget light weighting Current CFC capacity easily outstrips automotive market potential Intensive work globally to reduce the part level [piece price] cost of CFC Partnerships / Alignments forming e.g. Ford DowAksa CF capacity rationalization e.g. Toray Zoltek Risk identification and mitigation strategies