A Gap-Based Approach to the Left Turn Signal Warrant. Jeremy R. Chapman, PhD, PE, PTOE Senior Traffic Engineer American Structurepoint, Inc.

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A Gap-Based Approach to the Left Turn Signal Warrant Jeremy R. Chapman, PhD, PE, PTOE Senior Traffic Engineer American Structurepoint, Inc. March 5, 2019 - The problem: Existing signalized intersection No left turn lane or protected phase Multiple through lanes to cross Currently seldom-used for left turns 1) Drivers likely avoid turns due to delay 2) Drivers take longer alternate route(s) to make right turn in instead 1

This project: - Focused on an alternate method to determine need for a protected left turn phase at an existing signal. - Reviewed existing left turn warrants, and found them lacking for the specific location under study. - Developed an alternate means to determine whether a protected left turn phase might be warranted for the study location. Different sources for warrants exist: 1) MUTCD 2) HCM 3) FHWA 4) ITE 5) Individual states 6) Other sources? 2

Left turn warrants commonalities All the left turn warrants examined for this project found basic commonalities: 1) Volume-based - Requires volumes of both through and turning vehicles 2) Delay-based - Requires delay values for turning vehicles 3) Crash-based - Requires data for turning vehicle-involved crashes MUTCD: - No direct guidance for protected-permitted left turn warrants in the Federal MUTCD - Guidance does exist for installing a left turn lane - Is there anything else in the MUTCD signal warrants that can be used, however? 3

HCM: - HCM has a cross-product procedure where a left-turn phase be implemented when values shown are exceeded: - Requires turning volume be known in addition to the through vehicle volume. - No distinction for random vs. platoon arrivals. FHWA: - Signalized Intersections: Informational Guideprovides expanded guidance: 4

ITE: - Manual of Traffic Signal Design (2E)has 3 suggested guidelines for separate left-turn phases: - Volume: peak hour product >100,000 for 4 lanes, >50,000 for 2 lanes + 2 or more turning vehicles/cycle - Delay: left turn delay >2.0 vehicle-hours in peak hour - Crash History: 4+ in 1 year, 6+ in 2 years Indiana: - IDM: 46-10.04 (Left Turn from the Major Road) - Based on available intersection sight distance-based calculation of time gap (geometric, not operations) - Does not account for available gaps/gap acceptance 5

Left turn warrants commonalities All the left turn warrants examined for this project found basic commonalities: 1) Volume-based 2) Delay-based 3) Crash-based So what do you do if there are nearly zero turning vehicles currently? Introduction A recent project included evaluating a location with an existing signal (to accommodate exiting traffic) where: 1) Occasional left turns in had been observed 2) No left turn lane present 3) No protected phasing present 4) Three conflicting through lanes 6

Introduction Standard practice would be to use the left turn warrants Problem: NONE OF THEM APPLIED!!!! Literature Review Three source areas, covering research into: 1) Driver behavior during permissive phases 2) Critical gap/gap acceptance behaviors 3) Alternate warrants 7

Literature Review Driver Behavior During Permissive Phases Many studies have looked into this Various factors considered: - Age/other driver characteristics - Driver distraction - Weather/environmental conditions - Trip purpose - Vehicle performance - Intersection layout - Pavement/road conditions - Traffic flow conditions Literature Review Driver Behavior During Permissive Phases Basically comes down to available gaps and gap acceptance 8

Literature Review Critical Gap/Gap Acceptance First, what is the critical gap? 1) Not a direct measurement; 2) Falls between a driver s largest rejected gap and the smallest accepted gap; 3) HCM (2000): The critical gap is the minimum time interval between vehicles in a traffic stream that is acceptable for the driver to complete a conflicting maneuver. 4) Not a constant value, even for individual drivers. Literature Review Critical Gap/Gap Acceptance HCM base value for the critical gap for permitted left turns from a major street is 4.1 seconds. - Requires adjustments; - Single deterministic value, needs field verification 9

Literature Review Critical Gap/Gap Acceptance Not a constant value, why? - Number of lanes to be crossed - Speed of oncoming traffic - Oncoming traffic density - Presence/absence of left turn lane - Drivers grow impatient and may ultimately accept a gap smaller than one they previously rejected. Literature Review Alternate Warrant approach Other MUTCD warrants: Gap acceptance? Warrant 5: School Crossing - Uses a gap-based approach to determine if a signal is appropriate to allow pedestrians to cross without significant delay. 10

Project For the project study location, the following information was available: - Hourly through volumes - PHF - Lane widths As noted earlier, no left turn volumes were available. Project Time Hourly Count PHF a b 0:00-1:00 235 0.955 1:00-2:00 188 0.955 2:00-3:00 84 0.955 3:00-4:00 68 0.955 4:00-5:00 113 0.955 5:00-6:00 179 0.955 6:00-7:00 536 0.955 7:00-8:00 1,180 0.955 8:00-9:00 1,749 0.955 9:00-10:00 1,471 0.955 10:00-11:00 949 0.955 11:00-12:00 746 0.955 12:00-13:00 803 0.978 13:00-14:00 855 0.978 14:00-15:00 898 0.978 15:00-16:00 930 0.978 16:00-17:00 1,093 0.978 17:00-18:00 1,190 0.978 18:00-19:00 1,308 0.978 19:00-20:00 1,062 0.978 20:00-21:00 868 0.978 21:00-22:00 745 0.978 22:00-23:00 468 0.978 23:00-24:00 364 0.978 Total 18,082 AM Peak PM Peak 08:00-09:00 1,749 18:00-19:00 1,308 11

Project Gap computation process: 1) Hourly volumes converted to peak 15 minutes using the corresponding PHF 2) The peak 15 minute volumes were then converted to average headways (in sec/veh). 3) Headways were then converted into flow rates (in veh/sec). Project Minimum gap length computation process: 1) The following data were used: - Average estimated turning vehicle speed = 10 mph - Average turning vehicle length = 20 ft - Traversable distance = 36 feet (three 12ft lanes) - Perception/reaction time = 3.0 seconds 2) Computed total travel distance - Sum of vehicle length and traversable distance = 56 feet 12

Project Minimum gap length computation process: 3) Computed travel time using speed and distance = 3.9 seconds 4) Add perception/reaction time to get total travel time = minimum gap (sec) = 6.9 seconds Project 13

Project Study Conclusions IDM warrant specifies that there be sufficient gaps for approximately 60 vehicles per hour to turn. During the AM peak hour, there are likely insufficient adequate gaps for left turning vehicles. If multiple vehicles arrived to make the left turn in a short time, the delay for left turns could be significant (6-10 minutes). 14

Conclusions Lots of variations for the left turn warrant exist. All require: - Turning and opposing volumes; - Left turn delay study; or - Left turn crash history. This methodology enables the computation of available gaps, and thereby the likely necessity of a protected left-turn phase, without knowing any of the information above other than the opposing volume. 15