WORTHINGTON SCHOOLS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS REPORT JANUARY 25, 2019

JANUARY 25, 2019 PREPARED FOR: Worthington Schools 200 E. Wilson Bridge Rd. Worthington, OH 43085 T 614.450.6000 PREPARED BY: Cooperative Strategies 3325 Hilliard Rome Road Hilliard, OH 43026 T 614.798.8828

Table of Contents Acknowledgements... 2 Executive Summary... 3 Enrollment Projection Methodology... 5 U.S. Census... 8 General Demographics... 9 Estimated School Aged Population Growth 2018-2023... 10 Housing Data... 12 Resident Live Birth Data... 13 Survival Ratios... 16 Historical Enrollment... 17 Projected Enrollment... 19 Enrollment by Boundary... 28 Conclusion... 84

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS On behalf of Cooperative Strategies, we would like to extend our appreciation to the Worthington Schools for the opportunity to assist them in developing this Enrollment Projections Report. As a planning team, we hope that this document will serve the Worthington Schools for years to come. COOPERATIVE STRATEGIES Tracy Richter, President, Partner Ann Hoffsis, REFP, Senior Director Matt Sachs, Associate Director Sean Hayes, Senior Associate 3325 Hilliard Rome Road Hilliard, OH 43026 P. 614.798.8828 www.coopstrategies.com PAGE 2

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The enrollment projections for the Worthington Schools included in this report were developed using the cohort survival methodology and Cooperative Strategies custom enrollment projection software, S.T.E.P. [Student Trends & Enrollment Projections]. This custom software was developed in collaboration with The Ohio State University and is based on industry best practices as well as the national experience Cooperative Strategies has with schools, school districts, and state agencies. The Worthington Schools is a suburban school district located outside of Columbus, Ohio. There are 1 PK school, 11 elementary schools, 3 middle schools, and 2 high schools, and 2 alternative schools serving over 10,000 students. The projections presented in this report are meant to serve as a planning tool for the future, and represent the most likely direction of the District. Enrollment projections were developed using the cohort survival methodology and by analyzing the following data outlined in this report: Live birth data Historical enrollment by elementary boundary, by grade Census data Building permits Enrollment projections by grade were developed based on students living within the current elementary boundaries. Enrollment in the Worthington Schools has increased by 1,180 PK-12 students since the 2012-13 school year (not including unmatched or out-of-district students). Based on the cohort survival methodology, enrollment is projected to increase over the next ten years. 16,000 Historical & Projected Enrollment -Worthington School District 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Historical Projected - Recommended Projected - Moderate Projected - Low Projected - High PAGE 3

As with any projection, the District should pay close attention to the variables associated with determining enrollment projections discussed in this document. Any one or more of these factors can increase or decrease enrollment within the Worthington Schools. It is recommended that the data contained in this report be reviewed on an annual basis to determine how more recent trends will impact both the enrollment and any new housing development. PAGE 4

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION METHODOLOGY Introduction Tracing the landscape of the country s public school enrollment back over the past fifty years reveals demographic, economic, and social changes. The United States as a whole continues to undergo major shifts in public student enrollment, due in large part to past events including the baby boom, the availability and use of birth control, and the development of suburbs. The baby boom of the late 1940s and 50s was followed by the baby bust of the 1960s and 70s. This gave rise to the echo baby boom of the 1980s. 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 U.S. POPULATION - LIVE BIRTH RATE PER 1,000 POPULATION Source: CDC, National Vital Statistics Report Nationwide, districts have experienced the effects of the echo baby bust of the 1990s. From the 1950s to the 1970s, a dramatic downsizing of the family unit occurred. A direct result was the declining school enrollment of the 1970s and 1980s. As of the 2010 Census, the size of a family was at an all-time low of 3.14 persons. The live birth rate increased for the first time in several years in 1998 and increased again in 2000. However, the birth rate resumed a descending pattern in 2001 and reached an all-time low of 11.8 (per 1,000) in 2017. PAGE 5

When projecting future enrollments, it is vital to track the number of live births, the amount of new housing activity, and the change in household composition. In addition, any of the following factors could cause a significant change in projected student enrollment: Boundary adjustments New school openings Changes / additions in program offerings Preschool programs Change in grade configuration Interest rates / unemployment shifts Intra- and inter-district transfer Magnet / charter / private school opening or closure Zoning changes Unplanned new housing activity Planned, but not built, housing School voucher programs School closures Obviously, certain factors can be gauged and planned for far better than others. For instance, it may be relatively straightforward to gather housing data from local builders regarding the total number of lots in a planned subdivision and calculate the potential student yield. However, planning for changes in the unemployment rate, and how these may either boost or reduce public school enrollment, proves more difficult. In any case, it is essential to gather a wide variety of information in preparation for producing enrollment projections. When looking ahead at a school district s enrollment over the next two, five, or ten years, it is helpful to approach the process from a global perspective. For example: How many new homes have been constructed each year? How many births have occurred each year in relation to the resident population? Is housing experiencing a turnover if so, what is the composition of families moving in/out? Are more or less students attending private school or being home-schooled? What has the unemployment rate trend been over the past ten years? What new educational policies are in place that could affect student enrollment figures? The cohort survival methodology is often used to answer these questions and is standard throughout the educational planning industry. The enrollment projections developed for the Worthington Schools were developed using the cohort survival method. PAGE 6

Cohort Survival Method The cohort survival methodology (sometimes referred to as the grade progression ratio method) is a widely used enrollment projection model that is used by many school districts and state and federal agencies to project K-12 enrollment. A cohort is a group of persons [in this case, students]. The cohort survival enrollment projection methodology uses historic live birth data and historic student enrollment to age a known population or cohort throughout the school grades. For instance, a cohort begins when a group of kindergarteners enrolls in grade K and moves to first grade the following year, second grade the next year, and so on. A survival ratio is developed to track how this group of students increased or decreased in number as they moved through the grade levels. By developing survival ratios for each grade transition [i.e. 2nd to 3rd grade] over a ten year period of time, patterns emerge. A projection ratio for each grade transition is developed based on analysis of the survival ratios. The projections are used as a multiplier in determining future enrollment. For example, if student enrollment has consistently increased from the 8th to the 9th grade over the past ten years, the survival ratio would be greater than 100% and could be multiplied by the current 8th grade to develop a projection for next year s 9th grade. This methodology can be carried through to develop ten years of projection figures. Because there is not a grade cohort to follow for students coming into kindergarten, resident live birth counts are used to develop a birth-to-kindergarten survival ratio. Babies born five years previous to the kindergarten class are compared in number, and a ratio can be developed to project future kindergarten enrollments. The cohort survival method is useful in areas where population is stable [relatively flat, growing steadily, or declining steadily], and where there have been no significant fluctuations in enrollment, births, and housing patterns from year to year. The cohort survival methodology inherently considers the net effects of factors such as migration, housing, dropouts, transfers to and from charter schools, open enrollment, and deaths. This methodology does not assume changes in policies, program offerings, or future changes in housing and migration patterns. PAGE 7

U.S. CENSUS According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the population in Worthington, Ohio decreased from 14,125 to 13,575, or approximately 4 percent, between the 2000 and 2010 Census. In terms of school-aged children [5-19], the population decreased by 385, or 13 percent. The under age 5 population increased from 752 to 840, or 12 percent. The median age of a Worthington, Ohio resident is 44.9, an increase of 1.0 year since the 2000 Census. The average household size decreased from 2.42 to 2.35. The average family size decreased from 2.92 to 2.88. The number of total housing units increased in tandem with the number of vacant housing units. The number of occupied housing units remained relatively flat. The table to the right provides a comparison of the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census data. WORTHINGTON CITY, OHIO U.S. CENSUS Subject 2000 2010 Total population 14,125 13,575 SEX AND AGE Male 6,619 6,402 Female 7,506 7,173 Under 5 years 752 840 5 to 19 years 2,914 2,529 20 to 64 years 7,857 7,615 65 years and over 2,602 2,591 Median age (years) 43.9 44.9 RACE One Race 98.8% 98.0% White 94.0% 93.0% Black or African American 1.7% 2.2% American Indian and Alaska Native 0.1% 0.0% Asian 2.8% 2.3% Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 0.0% 0.0% Some Other Race 0.2% 0.5% Two or More Races 1.2% 2.0% Hispanic or Latino 1.0% 1.7% DEMOGRAPHICS Average household size 2.42 2.35 Average family size 2.92 2.88 HOUSING OCCUPANCY Total housing units 5,845 5,940 Occupied housing units 5,692 5,691 Vacant housing units 153 249 Source: U.S. Census PAGE 8

GENERAL DEMOGRAPHICS The following information represents block group estimates and projections created from market research and U.S. Census data obtained from the Environmental Systems Research Institute [ESRI]. ESRI provides a yearly update to their demographic data in increments of five years. To make updates to their demographic data set, they use American Community Survey [ACS] data that takes a series of monthly sample surveys but only from areas with populations of 65,000 or more. One year of ACS data is a period estimate as a twelve-month average, rather than a single point in time. According to the ESRI estimates, the total population of Franklin County, Ohio is projected to increase over the next five years. As illustrated in the table below, the number of children, ages 5-18, is projected to increase by 7,685 children, or approximately 3 percent. 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Age 2018 2023 Ages 0-2 50,296 53,894 Ages 3-4 32,884 34,592 Ages 5-10 97,531 99,687 Ages 11-13 47,674 49,250 Ages 14-18 78,510 82,463 Ages 5-18 223,715 231,400 Total Population 1,294,124 1,375,004 Source: ESRI BIS FRANKLIN COUNTY POPULATION ESTIMATES FRANKLIN COUNTY POPULATION ESTIMATES 0 Ages 0-2 Ages 3-4 Ages 5-10 Ages 11-13 Ages 14-18 2018 2023 PAGE 9

ESTIMATED SCHOOL AGED POPULATION GROWTH 2018-2023 The map on the following page shows school age population change in the U.S. Census block groups within / around the Worthington Schools boundary. Population changes are based on 2018 and 2023 estimates. A block group is defined by the U.S. Census Bureau as, a statistical division of a census tract, generally defined to contain between 600 and 3,000 people and 240 and 1,200 housing units, and the smallest geographic unit for which the Census Bureau tabulates sample data. PAGE 10

PAGE 11

HOUSING DATA Housing development and building permits are tracked to determine their effect on student enrollment. The table below illustrates the number of single and multi-family building permits issued in Worthington since 2000. BUILDING PERMITS WORTHINGTON, OH Year Single-Family Multi-Family 2000 2 4 2001 4 6 2002 6 0 2003 5 0 2004 1 0 2005 0 0 2006 0 8 2007 5 0 2008 1 0 2009 1 0 2010 3 0 2011 2 0 2012 4 0 2013 2 212 2014 3 0 2015 4 0 2016 2 0 2017 5 0 2018* 8 0 Source: SOCDS Building Permits Database *preliminary through October 2018 PAGE 12

RESIDENT LIVE BIRTH DATA Utilization of resident live birth data is recommended when projecting future kindergarten enrollments. This data provides a helpful overall trend. Large bubbles in birth counts, either up or down, can also be planned for or anticipated by the District. In addition, the live birth counts are used in determining a birth-to-kindergarten and birth-to-first grade survival ratio. This ratio identifies the percentage of children born in a representative area who attend kindergarten and first grade in the District five and six years later. The survival ratios for birth-to-kindergarten, birth-to-first grade, as well as grades 1-12 can be found on page 16 of this report. Data is arranged by the residence of the mother. For example, if a mother lives in Worthington but delivers her baby in Cleveland, the birth is counted in Worthington. Live birth counts are different from live birth rates. The live birth count is simply the actual number of live births. A birth rate is the number of births per 1,000 women in a specified population group. The table illustrates live birth counts for zip codes 43016, 43065, 43081, 43085, 43229, and 43235. Resident Live Birth Counts by Zip Code Year 43016 43065 43081 43085 43229 43235 2006 463 569 664 275 931 435 2007 494 477 698 305 906 478 2008 505 510 710 319 909 467 2009 496 438 692 288 927 496 2010 521 490 711 312 904 516 2011 521 435 769 292 914 508 2012 589 428 733 301 897 573 2013 617 441 803 322 946 601 2014 560 455 803 296 1,038 610 2015 629 437 825 349 961 608 2016 621 399 834 316 958 599 2017 612 394 805 317 999 539 Source: Ohio Department of Health PAGE 13

The map on the following page illustrates the elementary boundaries and the zip codes within the Worthington Schools. Based on an analysis of student population and elementary boundaries, zip code 43016 was used to project kindergarten enrollment for the Granby boundary; zip code 43065 was used for the Liberty boundary; zip code 43081 was used for the Slate Hill, Worthington Estates, and Worthington Park boundaries; zip code 43085 was used for the Colonial Hills, Evening Street, Slate Hill, Wilson Hill, and Worthington Estates boundaries; zip code 43229 was used for the Colonial Hills boundary; and zip code 43235 was used for the Bluffsview, Brookside, Granby, Slate Hill, Worthington Estates, and Worthington Hills boundaries. 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 RESIDENT LIVE BIRTH COUNTS BY ZIP CODE 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 43016 43065 43081 43085 43229 43235 PAGE 14

PAGE 15

SURVIVAL RATIOS The chart below demonstrates the ten-year changes in enrollment as students move through the system. Percentages greater than 100 indicate that there are more students than there were in the previous grade the previous year. In other words, there was an increase in student population where new students were added to the system. Percentages less than 100 indicate that there was decline or students left the system. If the exact number of students in 1st grade during the 2012-13 school year were present in 2nd grade for the 2013-14 school year, the survival ratio would be 100 percent. Birth-to-Kindergarten and Birth-to-First Grade: This ratio indicates the number of children born in the area who attend kindergarten and first grade in the District five and six years later. What is important to note is the trend in survival ratios, not necessarily the actual number. Grades 8 to 9: The higher than usual percentage is a result of school district promotion policies. Often in school districts, students are promoted from 8th to 9th grade and after one year in 9th grade do not have sufficient credits to be classified as a 10th grader and are counted again as 9th graders the following year. There may also be students who are attending private or charter schools or are home schooled through grade 8 and then attend public schools for high school education. The following table illustrates the historical survival ratios in the Worthington Schools over the past seven years by grade level. Survival Ratios - District-wide from to Birth to K K to 1 Birth to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 6 6 to 7 7 to 8 8 to 9 9 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 2012 2013 21.99% 105.83% 23.26% 102.05% 98.85% 102.58% 101.31% 101.05% 102.49% 101.19% 103.80% 101.14% 98.37% 102.47% 2013 2014 21.46% 105.32% 23.16% 103.07% 101.21% 100.58% 101.53% 100.72% 104.16% 99.73% 105.60% 99.30% 100.70% 100.66% 2014 2015 20.76% 106.56% 22.86% 102.02% 101.49% 100.66% 101.31% 99.86% 103.28% 101.28% 102.43% 101.12% 98.02% 99.30% 2015 2016 21.17% 106.42% 22.09% 98.69% 100.87% 100.61% 100.53% 103.01% 100.00% 101.66% 100.70% 100.92% 97.38% 100.58% 2016 2017 20.22% 105.77% 22.39% 95.67% 99.73% 97.91% 98.18% 98.43% 103.48% 102.61% 100.54% 100.00% 98.43% 102.27% 2017 2018 22.73% 107.44% 21.73% 98.70% 100.14% 99.33% 102.38% 100.62% 101.86% 100.54% 101.34% 102.16% 101.68% 100.00% mean simple all years 21.39% 106.22% 22.58% 100.04% 100.38% 100.28% 100.87% 100.61% 102.54% 101.17% 102.40% 100.77% 99.10% 100.88% std. dev. simple all years 0.89% 0.75% 0.61% 2.82% 1.00% 1.56% 1.45% 1.50% 1.48% 0.98% 1.98% 1.00% 1.69% 1.25% mean simple 5 years 21.27% 106.30% 22.45% 99.63% 100.69% 99.82% 100.78% 100.53% 102.56% 101.16% 102.13% 100.70% 99.24% 100.56% std. dev. simple 5 years 0.94% 0.81% 0.58% 2.96% 0.73% 1.20% 1.60% 1.66% 1.66% 1.10% 2.08% 1.10% 1.85% 1.10% mean simple 3 years 21.38% 106.54% 22.07% 97.69% 100.25% 99.29% 100.36% 100.69% 101.78% 101.60% 100.86% 101.03% 99.16% 100.95% std. dev. simple 3 years 1.27% 0.84% 0.33% 1.74% 0.57% 1.35% 2.11% 2.29% 1.74% 1.04% 0.42% 1.08% 2.24% 1.18% mean simple 2 years 21.48% 106.61% 22.06% 97.19% 99.94% 98.62% 100.28% 99.52% 102.67% 101.58% 100.94% 101.08% 100.05% 101.13% std. dev. simple 2 years 1.78% 1.18% 0.47% 2.14% 0.28% 1.00% 2.97% 1.55% 1.14% 1.47% 0.56% 1.53% 2.30% 1.60% mean weighted all years 21.65% 106.68% 22.13% 98.45% 100.26% 99.38% 100.91% 100.35% 102.23% 101.26% 101.37% 101.21% 99.85% 100.69% std. dev. weighted all years 1.18% 0.84% 0.50% 2.24% 0.63% 1.19% 1.88% 1.55% 1.29% 1.00% 1.21% 1.07% 1.98% 1.14% mean weighted 5 years 21.76% 106.78% 22.04% 98.23% 100.23% 99.24% 101.00% 100.31% 102.19% 101.22% 101.24% 101.32% 100.09% 100.63% std. dev. weighted 5 years 1.23% 0.85% 0.44% 2.02% 0.54% 1.03% 1.97% 1.52% 1.24% 1.02% 0.97% 1.10% 2.00% 1.12% mean weighted 3 years 22.23% 107.11% 21.86% 98.17% 100.09% 99.14% 101.57% 100.33% 102.07% 100.95% 101.18% 101.73% 100.94% 100.42% std. dev. weighted 3 years 1.20% 0.80% 0.31% 1.41% 0.27% 0.75% 1.97% 1.21% 0.91% 0.98% 0.39% 1.02% 1.75% 1.05% mean weighted 2 years 22.61% 107.36% 21.76% 98.56% 100.12% 99.27% 102.18% 100.52% 101.94% 100.64% 101.30% 102.06% 101.52% 100.11% std. dev. weighted 2 years 0.76% 0.50% 0.20% 0.91% 0.12% 0.43% 1.27% 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.24% 0.65% 0.98% 0.68% PAGE 16

HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT As indicated in the table below, over the past seven years, PK-12 student enrollment in the Worthington Schools has increased by 1,180 students (not including unmatched or out-of-district students). Historical Enrollment - District-wide Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 181 215 227 224 245 288 292 K 738 752 716 717 728 712 848 1 730 781 792 763 763 770 765 2 693 745 805 808 753 730 760 3 699 685 754 817 815 751 731 4 687 717 689 759 822 798 746 5 666 696 728 698 763 807 817 6 724 673 701 727 719 751 812 7 670 742 701 724 727 744 765 8 685 678 740 710 736 746 748 9 702 711 716 758 715 740 756 10 614 710 706 724 765 715 756 11 648 604 715 692 705 753 727 12 659 664 608 710 696 721 753 Grand Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 10,276 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - District-wide Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 181 215 227 224 245 288 292 K - 5 4,213 4,376 4,484 4,562 4,644 4,568 4,667 6-8 2,079 2,093 2,142 2,161 2,182 2,241 2,325 9-12 2,623 2,689 2,745 2,884 2,881 2,929 2,992 K - 12 8,915 9,158 9,371 9,607 9,707 9,738 9,984 Grand Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 10,276 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 17

Historical Enrollment - by Boundary Boundary 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 671 708 722 747 782 808 880 Brookside Boundary 556 551 567 600 618 610 602 Colonial Hills Boundary 627 659 700 715 723 746 777 Evening Street Boundary 902 928 937 1,001 1,020 1,072 1,064 Granby Boundary 834 879 866 888 921 938 957 Liberty Boundary 1,000 1,017 1,002 987 969 972 999 Slate Hill Boundary 895 931 1,001 1,026 999 967 955 Wilson Hill Boundary 948 968 973 977 998 994 983 Worthington Estates Boundary 985 1,020 1,103 1,146 1,154 1,157 1,236 Worthington Hills Boundary 825 861 864 880 912 921 977 Worthington Park Boundary 853 851 863 864 856 841 846 Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 10,276 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 18

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT Cooperative Strategies developed low, moderate, high, and recommended enrollment projections for the Worthington Schools. The moderate enrollment projections are based on a selected average or weighted average of survival ratios (in this case, a 3 year weighted average, by boundary). The low and high enrollment projections are developed using statistical distributional theory, providing the District with a more conservative (low) and more liberal (high) enrollment projection. The recommended enrollment projection is based on a detailed analysis of historical enrollment and resulting survival ratios over the past 10 years. Significant shifts in survival ratio patterns are realized and accounted for in determining projection ratios independently for each grade level. The recommended illustrates the most likely direction of the District based on more recent trends. The range of enrollment projections from low (conservative) to high (liberal) are offered due to the limitations of the cohort survival method in factoring changes to policies, program offerings, and future changes in housing and migration patters. For example, the low enrollment projection might be used if housing declines significantly more than anticipated; the high enrollment projection might be used if housing growth increases at a more rapid rate than seen in recent years. It should be noted that actual live birth counts are available through 2017 and project kindergarten enrollment through 2022-23. To project kindergarten through 2028-29, an average of the last 3 years of live birth counts was used. Projected PK enrollment does not follow the cohort survival method but is based on the current PK enrollment in each boundary with a District-wide total being 292 students. 16,000 Historical & Projected Enrollment - Worthington School District 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Historical Projected - Recommended Projected - Moderate Projected - Low Projected - High PAGE 19

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT RECOMMENDED Based on the recommended projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,276 in 2018-19 to 12,099 students in 2028-29. Projected Enrollment - Recommended - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K 825 863 831 793 828 828 828 828 828 828 1 906 882 918 885 848 884 884 884 884 884 2 760 900 877 913 881 842 878 878 878 878 3 761 762 903 877 915 881 843 878 878 878 4 736 765 771 910 886 922 888 849 889 889 5 759 750 777 782 927 904 938 906 865 904 6 823 762 758 785 792 938 913 947 914 874 7 835 844 782 776 806 811 963 938 974 940 8 779 851 861 797 792 823 829 981 956 994 9 761 793 864 877 814 806 839 845 1,004 979 10 770 778 810 883 894 829 826 858 863 1,028 11 757 773 779 812 886 895 832 828 860 866 12 731 761 777 783 815 891 898 838 832 865 Grand Total 10,495 10,776 11,000 11,165 11,376 11,546 11,651 11,750 11,917 12,099 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K - 5 4,747 4,922 5,077 5,160 5,285 5,261 5,259 5,223 5,222 5,261 6-8 2,437 2,457 2,401 2,358 2,390 2,572 2,705 2,866 2,844 2,808 9-12 3,019 3,105 3,230 3,355 3,409 3,421 3,395 3,369 3,559 3,738 K - 12 10,203 10,484 10,708 10,873 11,084 11,254 11,359 11,458 11,625 11,807 Grand Total 10,495 10,776 11,000 11,165 11,376 11,546 11,651 11,750 11,917 12,099 PAGE 20

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - by Boundary Boundary 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 951 1,010 1,082 1,130 1,202 1,266 1,329 1,384 1,435 1,471 Brookside Boundary 622 621 627 626 630 628 629 628 627 630 Colonial Hills Boundary 824 856 886 917 945 983 984 996 1,000 1,032 Evening Street Boundary 1,088 1,122 1,150 1,170 1,194 1,225 1,234 1,247 1,275 1,279 Granby Boundary 954 986 988 1,008 1,015 1,025 1,018 1,031 1,036 1,050 Liberty Boundary 992 1,005 1,007 998 993 982 961 965 953 956 Slate Hill Boundary 930 937 912 899 900 880 871 859 845 857 Wilson Hill Boundary 957 952 932 911 901 894 898 875 890 897 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,302 1,374 1,446 1,491 1,530 1,559 1,595 1,632 1,673 1,708 Worthington Hills Boundary 1,015 1,057 1,101 1,144 1,187 1,218 1,248 1,248 1,295 1,308 Worthington Park Boundary 860 856 869 871 879 886 884 885 888 911 Total 10,495 10,776 11,000 11,165 11,376 11,546 11,651 11,750 11,917 12,099 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - RECOMMENDED - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 21

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT MODERATE Based on the moderate projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,276 in 2018-19 to 11,953 students in 2028-29. Projected Enrollment - Moderate - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K 821 858 826 789 825 825 825 825 825 825 1 908 880 916 884 846 882 882 882 882 882 2 752 895 868 903 870 833 870 870 870 870 3 762 756 901 872 907 875 835 873 873 873 4 730 758 760 901 875 909 877 838 874 874 5 760 744 772 775 920 891 928 897 854 892 6 821 763 750 777 779 927 900 934 903 860 7 833 841 780 770 798 799 953 923 960 928 8 772 841 851 789 781 813 809 967 940 974 9 757 782 856 864 802 791 826 826 985 957 10 770 775 799 873 882 820 809 846 842 1,009 11 764 777 781 809 885 890 830 818 853 853 12 733 768 784 789 814 895 899 843 824 864 Grand Total 10,475 10,730 10,936 11,087 11,276 11,442 11,535 11,634 11,777 11,953 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K - 5 4,733 4,891 5,043 5,124 5,243 5,215 5,217 5,185 5,178 5,216 6-8 2,426 2,445 2,381 2,336 2,358 2,539 2,662 2,824 2,803 2,762 9-12 3,024 3,102 3,220 3,335 3,383 3,396 3,364 3,333 3,504 3,683 K - 12 10,183 10,438 10,644 10,795 10,984 11,150 11,243 11,342 11,485 11,661 Grand Total 10,475 10,730 10,936 11,087 11,276 11,442 11,535 11,634 11,777 11,953 PAGE 22

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - by Boundary Boundary 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 952 1,013 1,087 1,138 1,213 1,277 1,342 1,403 1,455 1,493 Brookside Boundary 614 604 604 600 599 597 601 595 596 597 Colonial Hills Boundary 836 871 897 933 958 1,001 1,000 1,014 1,010 1,038 Evening Street Boundary 1,069 1,087 1,098 1,105 1,115 1,132 1,130 1,136 1,151 1,147 Granby Boundary 954 985 989 1,006 1,011 1,022 1,015 1,023 1,027 1,038 Liberty Boundary 994 1,011 1,015 1,007 1,005 994 968 971 956 961 Slate Hill Boundary 918 908 873 847 837 811 793 779 758 765 Wilson Hill Boundary 959 955 937 919 910 905 912 891 907 917 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,299 1,370 1,439 1,480 1,512 1,539 1,570 1,606 1,640 1,679 Worthington Hills Boundary 1,023 1,072 1,127 1,177 1,230 1,268 1,303 1,308 1,364 1,381 Worthington Park Boundary 857 854 870 875 886 896 901 908 913 937 Total 10,475 10,730 10,936 11,087 11,276 11,442 11,535 11,634 11,777 11,953 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - MODERATE - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 23

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT LOW Based on the low projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,276 in 2018-19 to 10,602 students in 2028-29. Projected Enrollment - Low- District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K 791 824 794 762 792 792 792 792 792 792 1 887 828 862 832 796 829 829 829 829 829 2 741 859 802 835 804 771 803 803 803 803 3 754 734 853 795 827 799 761 796 796 796 4 720 737 724 840 787 817 788 752 787 787 5 754 727 743 732 850 795 825 797 759 795 6 808 747 723 740 727 844 789 820 791 755 7 819 818 753 730 748 735 856 800 829 802 8 759 815 813 747 728 749 733 854 801 830 9 743 753 814 810 743 722 744 730 852 796 10 758 745 755 813 814 744 728 749 735 857 11 749 750 739 751 810 807 741 722 743 729 12 721 745 747 734 744 805 801 739 715 739 Grand Total 10,296 10,374 10,414 10,413 10,462 10,501 10,482 10,475 10,524 10,602 Projected Enrollment - Low- District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K - 5 4,647 4,709 4,778 4,796 4,856 4,803 4,798 4,769 4,766 4,802 6-8 2,386 2,380 2,289 2,217 2,203 2,328 2,378 2,474 2,421 2,387 9-12 2,971 2,993 3,055 3,108 3,111 3,078 3,014 2,940 3,045 3,121 K - 12 10,004 10,082 10,122 10,121 10,170 10,209 10,190 10,183 10,232 10,310 Grand Total 10,296 10,374 10,414 10,413 10,462 10,501 10,482 10,475 10,524 10,602 PAGE 24

Projected Enrollment - Low - by Boundary Boundary 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 936 982 1,042 1,076 1,130 1,177 1,228 1,269 1,305 1,326 Brookside Boundary 599 584 575 563 556 550 548 541 538 539 Colonial Hills Boundary 818 837 851 874 887 918 908 912 905 925 Evening Street Boundary 1,053 1,054 1,048 1,043 1,042 1,047 1,037 1,035 1,040 1,029 Granby Boundary 938 952 939 942 936 935 916 914 908 911 Liberty Boundary 978 977 969 947 934 911 878 873 853 847 Slate Hill Boundary 904 880 829 797 775 744 723 704 681 683 Wilson Hill Boundary 947 928 900 870 849 835 830 802 809 812 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,270 1,309 1,346 1,356 1,366 1,369 1,379 1,392 1,409 1,429 Worthington Hills Boundary 1,008 1,043 1,083 1,119 1,160 1,187 1,210 1,209 1,253 1,262 Worthington Park Boundary 845 828 832 826 827 828 825 824 823 839 Total 10,296 10,374 10,414 10,413 10,462 10,501 10,482 10,475 10,524 10,602 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - LOW - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 25

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT HIGH Based on the high projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,276 in 2018-19 to 13,468 students in 2028-29. Projected Enrollment - High - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K 853 888 855 820 856 856 856 856 856 856 1 929 935 975 938 900 938 938 938 938 938 2 763 931 937 975 942 899 938 938 938 938 3 773 780 950 955 991 960 916 956 956 956 4 741 780 796 967 971 1,010 975 930 970 970 5 768 763 804 818 996 1,001 1,040 1,004 958 1,001 6 831 783 780 820 834 1,018 1,023 1,062 1,025 977 7 842 861 811 806 853 868 1,056 1,065 1,104 1,066 8 785 868 889 834 834 883 893 1,092 1,097 1,141 9 773 813 900 918 865 865 914 928 1,133 1,144 10 782 801 845 934 957 899 899 953 967 1,186 11 773 802 824 868 964 981 925 925 978 995 12 748 794 826 848 887 995 1,011 960 951 1,008 Grand Total 10,653 11,091 11,484 11,793 12,142 12,465 12,676 12,899 13,163 13,468 Projected Enrollment - High - District-wide PK 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 K - 5 4,827 5,077 5,317 5,473 5,656 5,664 5,663 5,622 5,616 5,659 6-8 2,458 2,512 2,480 2,460 2,521 2,769 2,972 3,219 3,226 3,184 9-12 3,076 3,210 3,395 3,568 3,673 3,740 3,749 3,766 4,029 4,333 K - 12 10,361 10,799 11,192 11,501 11,850 12,173 12,384 12,607 12,871 13,176 Grand Total 10,653 11,091 11,484 11,793 12,142 12,465 12,676 12,899 13,163 13,468 PAGE 26

Projected Enrollment - High - by Boundary Boundary 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 964 1,045 1,136 1,207 1,297 1,384 1,468 1,547 1,618 1,674 Brookside Boundary 623 626 637 638 647 653 657 656 658 663 Colonial Hills Boundary 853 902 945 993 1,031 1,096 1,102 1,126 1,125 1,165 Evening Street Boundary 1,088 1,121 1,150 1,168 1,194 1,223 1,234 1,246 1,272 1,277 Granby Boundary 972 1,020 1,043 1,078 1,095 1,117 1,120 1,143 1,158 1,181 Liberty Boundary 1,011 1,044 1,064 1,069 1,082 1,081 1,066 1,079 1,072 1,084 Slate Hill Boundary 934 937 915 900 900 883 869 857 841 856 Wilson Hill Boundary 971 981 976 971 975 984 1,000 990 1,017 1,039 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,330 1,434 1,538 1,609 1,673 1,723 1,778 1,842 1,907 1,970 Worthington Hills Boundary 1,035 1,101 1,171 1,235 1,302 1,353 1,401 1,415 1,484 1,513 Worthington Park Boundary 872 880 909 925 946 968 981 998 1,011 1,046 Total 10,653 11,091 11,484 11,793 12,142 12,465 12,676 12,899 13,163 13,468 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - HIGH - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 27

ENROLLMENT BY BOUNDARY The following pages illustrate historical and projected enrollment by boundary. Bluffsview Boundary... 29 Brookside Boundary... 34 Colonial Hills Boundary... 39 Evening Street Boundary... 44 Granby Boundary... 49 Liberty Boundary... 54 Slate Hill Boundary... 59 Wilson Hill Boundary... 64 Worthington Estates Boundary... 69 Worthington Hills Boundary... 74 Worthington Park Boundary... 79 PAGE 28

BLUFFSVIEW BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Bluffsview Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 16 17 25 20 22 21 21 K 50 50 49 63 51 70 76 1 56 53 58 52 70 56 90 2 53 58 53 54 60 65 58 3 50 57 60 52 59 62 74 4 50 54 58 58 57 63 69 5 54 53 53 56 61 59 66 6 53 54 54 58 57 62 62 7 41 59 53 59 67 57 65 8 47 46 56 56 59 70 57 9 58 54 50 54 61 55 71 10 39 60 52 54 55 61 55 11 53 38 59 52 51 51 62 12 51 55 42 59 52 56 54 Grand Total 671 708 722 747 782 808 880 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Bluffsview Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 16 17 25 20 22 21 21 K - 5 313 325 331 335 358 375 433 6-8 141 159 163 173 183 189 184 9-12 201 207 203 219 219 223 242 K - 12 655 691 697 727 760 787 859 Grand Total 671 708 722 747 782 808 880 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 29

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 76 76 75 67 73 73 73 73 73 73 1 95 95 94 93 84 90 90 90 90 90 2 92 97 97 96 95 86 92 92 92 92 3 63 101 106 106 106 104 94 101 101 101 4 82 70 111 117 117 117 115 103 112 112 5 72 85 73 116 122 122 122 120 108 117 6 69 75 89 76 121 128 128 127 125 113 7 65 72 79 93 80 127 133 133 133 131 8 66 65 72 79 94 80 128 134 134 134 9 58 66 66 73 80 95 81 129 136 136 10 71 58 66 66 73 80 95 81 129 136 11 55 71 58 66 66 73 80 95 81 129 12 66 58 75 61 70 70 77 85 100 86 Grand Total 951 1,010 1,082 1,130 1,202 1,266 1,329 1,384 1,435 1,471 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 480 524 556 595 597 592 586 579 576 585 6-8 200 212 240 248 295 335 389 394 392 378 9-12 250 253 265 266 289 318 333 390 446 487 K - 12 930 989 1,061 1,109 1,181 1,245 1,308 1,363 1,414 1,450 Grand Total 951 1,010 1,082 1,130 1,202 1,266 1,329 1,384 1,435 1,471 PAGE 30

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 76 76 75 67 73 73 73 73 73 73 1 95 95 94 93 84 90 90 90 90 90 2 92 97 97 96 95 86 92 92 92 92 3 65 103 108 108 108 106 96 103 103 103 4 82 72 114 119 120 119 117 106 114 114 5 72 85 75 119 125 125 125 123 110 119 6 69 75 89 78 124 130 130 130 128 115 7 65 72 79 93 82 129 136 136 136 134 8 66 65 72 79 94 82 130 137 137 137 9 57 66 65 73 79 94 82 131 138 138 10 71 57 66 65 73 80 94 83 131 138 11 55 71 57 66 65 73 79 94 82 131 12 66 58 75 61 70 69 77 84 100 88 Grand Total 952 1,013 1,087 1,138 1,213 1,277 1,342 1,403 1,455 1,493 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 482 528 563 602 605 599 593 587 582 591 6-8 200 212 240 250 300 341 396 403 401 386 9-12 249 252 263 265 287 316 332 392 451 495 K - 12 931 992 1,066 1,117 1,192 1,256 1,321 1,382 1,434 1,472 Grand Total 952 1,013 1,087 1,138 1,213 1,277 1,342 1,403 1,455 1,493 PAGE 31

Projected Enrollment - Low - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 74 74 73 66 71 71 71 71 71 71 1 91 89 89 88 79 85 85 85 85 85 2 90 91 89 89 87 79 85 85 85 85 3 64 98 100 98 97 96 86 93 93 93 4 81 70 107 109 107 106 105 94 102 102 5 72 84 73 112 114 111 111 109 98 106 6 68 75 88 75 116 118 115 115 113 102 7 64 70 77 90 77 119 121 119 118 116 8 65 64 70 77 90 77 119 121 118 118 9 56 64 63 69 75 88 76 117 119 116 10 71 56 64 62 69 75 88 76 117 119 11 54 69 55 62 61 67 74 86 74 114 12 65 57 73 58 66 64 71 77 91 78 Grand Total 936 982 1,042 1,076 1,130 1,177 1,228 1,269 1,305 1,326 Projected Enrollment - Low - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 472 506 531 562 555 548 543 537 534 542 6-8 197 209 235 242 283 314 355 355 349 336 9-12 246 246 255 251 271 294 309 356 401 427 K - 12 915 961 1,021 1,055 1,109 1,156 1,207 1,248 1,284 1,305 Grand Total 936 982 1,042 1,076 1,130 1,177 1,228 1,269 1,305 1,326 PAGE 32

Projected Enrollment - High - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 78 78 76 69 74 74 74 74 74 74 1 98 100 100 98 89 96 96 96 96 96 2 94 103 105 105 103 93 100 100 100 100 3 66 108 117 120 119 118 106 114 114 114 4 82 74 120 130 133 133 131 118 127 127 5 72 86 77 126 137 140 139 137 124 133 6 69 76 91 81 132 144 147 146 144 130 7 66 74 81 96 86 140 152 156 155 153 8 66 67 75 82 98 88 142 155 158 158 9 58 68 68 77 84 100 90 146 158 162 10 71 58 68 69 77 84 100 90 146 159 11 56 72 59 69 70 78 86 102 91 149 12 67 60 78 64 74 75 84 92 110 98 Grand Total 964 1,045 1,136 1,207 1,297 1,384 1,468 1,547 1,618 1,674 Projected Enrollment - High - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 490 549 595 648 655 654 646 639 635 644 6-8 201 217 247 259 316 372 441 457 457 441 9-12 252 258 273 279 305 337 360 430 505 568 K - 12 943 1,024 1,115 1,186 1,276 1,363 1,447 1,526 1,597 1,653 Grand Total 964 1,045 1,136 1,207 1,297 1,384 1,468 1,547 1,618 1,674 PAGE 33

BROOKSIDE BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Brookside Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 18 13 24 14 11 26 25 K 48 44 43 49 42 43 51 1 55 52 51 57 58 45 49 2 42 53 43 54 49 49 42 3 44 40 56 46 50 47 46 4 34 41 39 61 44 49 45 5 44 35 45 41 61 44 50 6 38 45 34 41 47 51 47 7 40 36 47 40 41 46 47 8 41 41 35 51 42 42 42 9 29 39 39 37 53 41 39 10 39 32 39 42 35 48 43 11 43 39 28 39 44 33 47 12 41 41 44 28 41 46 29 Grand Total 556 551 567 600 618 610 602 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Brookside Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 18 13 24 14 11 26 25 K - 5 267 265 277 308 304 277 283 6-8 119 122 116 132 130 139 136 9-12 152 151 150 146 173 168 158 K - 12 538 538 543 586 607 584 577 Grand Total 556 551 567 600 618 610 602 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 34

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K 51 51 51 45 49 49 49 49 49 49 1 58 58 58 57 51 55 55 55 55 55 2 45 53 53 53 52 47 51 51 51 51 3 40 42 50 50 50 49 44 48 48 48 4 44 38 41 48 48 48 47 43 46 46 5 46 45 39 41 48 49 49 48 43 47 6 50 46 45 39 42 49 49 49 48 44 7 46 49 45 44 38 40 47 48 48 47 8 48 46 50 45 44 38 41 48 48 48 9 40 46 44 48 44 43 37 39 46 47 10 40 41 47 45 49 44 44 38 40 47 11 42 39 40 45 44 47 43 43 37 39 12 47 42 39 41 46 45 48 44 43 37 Grand Total 622 621 627 626 630 628 629 628 627 630 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K - 5 284 287 292 294 298 297 295 294 292 296 6-8 144 141 140 128 124 127 137 145 144 139 9-12 169 168 170 179 183 179 172 164 166 170 K - 12 597 596 602 601 605 603 604 603 602 605 Grand Total 622 621 627 626 630 628 629 628 627 630 PAGE 35

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K 51 50 50 45 48 48 48 48 48 48 1 58 57 57 56 51 55 55 55 55 55 2 45 53 52 52 51 46 50 50 50 50 3 40 42 50 49 49 48 44 47 47 47 4 44 38 41 48 47 47 47 42 45 45 5 46 45 39 41 48 48 48 47 43 46 6 52 47 46 40 43 50 50 49 49 44 7 44 48 44 43 37 40 47 46 46 46 8 44 41 45 41 41 35 37 44 43 43 9 40 41 39 43 39 38 33 35 41 41 10 40 40 42 40 43 40 39 34 36 42 11 42 39 39 41 39 42 39 38 33 35 12 43 38 35 36 38 35 39 35 35 30 Grand Total 614 604 604 600 599 597 601 595 596 597 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K - 5 284 285 289 291 294 292 292 289 288 291 6-8 140 136 135 124 121 125 134 139 138 133 9-12 165 158 155 160 159 155 150 142 145 148 K - 12 589 579 579 575 574 572 576 570 571 572 Grand Total 614 604 604 600 599 597 601 595 596 597 PAGE 36

Projected Enrollment - Low - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K 49 49 49 44 47 47 47 47 47 47 1 57 55 55 54 49 53 53 53 53 53 2 44 51 49 49 48 44 47 47 47 47 3 39 41 48 46 46 45 41 44 44 44 4 44 38 39 46 44 44 43 39 42 42 5 46 45 38 40 46 45 45 44 39 43 6 49 45 44 37 39 45 44 44 43 39 7 43 45 41 40 34 36 42 40 40 40 8 43 39 41 37 37 31 33 38 37 37 9 39 40 37 38 35 34 29 30 35 34 10 39 38 39 36 38 34 34 29 30 35 11 41 37 37 38 35 36 33 32 28 29 12 41 36 33 33 33 31 32 29 28 24 Grand Total 599 584 575 563 556 550 548 541 538 539 Projected Enrollment - Low - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K - 5 279 279 278 279 280 278 276 274 272 276 6-8 135 129 126 114 110 112 119 122 120 116 9-12 160 151 146 145 141 135 128 120 121 122 K - 12 574 559 550 538 531 525 523 516 513 514 Grand Total 599 584 575 563 556 550 548 541 538 539 PAGE 37

Projected Enrollment - High - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K 52 52 51 46 50 50 50 50 50 50 1 58 59 59 58 53 57 57 57 57 57 2 46 55 56 55 55 49 53 53 53 53 3 40 43 52 53 52 52 46 50 50 50 4 44 38 42 50 51 51 50 45 48 48 5 46 45 39 43 51 52 52 51 46 49 6 54 50 49 42 46 55 56 56 55 49 7 45 51 47 46 40 44 52 53 53 52 8 45 43 49 45 45 39 42 50 51 51 9 40 43 41 47 43 43 37 40 48 49 10 41 42 46 43 50 46 45 39 42 51 11 42 40 42 45 43 49 45 44 38 42 12 45 40 39 40 43 41 47 43 42 37 Grand Total 623 626 637 638 647 653 657 656 658 663 Projected Enrollment - High - Brookside Boundary PK 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 K - 5 286 292 299 305 312 311 308 306 304 307 6-8 144 144 145 133 131 138 150 159 159 152 9-12 168 165 168 175 179 179 174 166 170 179 K - 12 598 601 612 613 622 628 632 631 633 638 Grand Total 623 626 637 638 647 653 657 656 658 663 PAGE 38

COLONIAL HILLS BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Colonial Hills Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 3 7 13 14 16 19 18 K 58 53 65 46 49 66 75 1 54 67 55 69 53 52 65 2 53 52 73 61 76 53 53 3 45 51 49 72 63 72 51 4 54 49 54 48 75 63 73 5 46 59 49 53 46 72 65 6 30 46 54 50 49 41 72 7 67 31 50 50 49 53 43 8 51 71 34 52 48 49 55 9 45 50 74 34 53 56 52 10 36 47 46 73 37 50 58 11 42 40 46 50 67 34 55 12 43 36 38 43 42 66 42 Grand Total 627 659 700 715 723 746 777 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Colonial Hills Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 3 7 13 14 16 19 18 K - 5 310 331 345 349 362 378 382 6-8 148 148 138 152 146 143 170 9-12 166 173 204 200 199 206 207 K - 12 624 652 687 701 707 727 759 Grand Total 627 659 700 715 723 746 777 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 39

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K 77 76 74 76 75 75 75 75 75 75 1 78 80 79 76 79 78 78 78 78 78 2 66 79 82 80 78 80 79 79 79 79 3 51 64 76 78 77 75 77 76 76 76 4 52 52 65 77 79 78 76 78 77 77 5 73 52 52 65 78 80 78 76 78 78 6 64 71 51 51 63 76 78 76 74 77 7 76 67 75 53 53 66 80 82 80 78 8 44 78 69 77 55 55 68 82 84 83 9 59 47 83 73 82 58 58 73 87 90 10 53 59 48 84 74 83 59 59 74 88 11 59 54 61 49 86 76 85 60 60 75 12 54 59 53 60 48 85 75 84 60 60 Grand Total 824 856 886 917 945 983 984 996 1,000 1,032 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K - 5 397 403 428 452 466 466 463 462 463 463 6-8 184 216 195 181 171 197 226 240 238 238 9-12 225 219 245 266 290 302 277 276 281 313 K - 12 806 838 868 899 927 965 966 978 982 1,014 Grand Total 824 856 886 917 945 983 984 996 1,000 1,032 PAGE 40

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K 77 76 74 76 75 75 75 75 75 75 1 75 77 76 74 76 75 75 75 75 75 2 66 77 79 77 75 78 77 77 77 77 3 51 64 74 76 74 72 75 74 74 74 4 52 52 65 75 77 75 73 76 75 75 5 74 52 52 66 76 78 77 75 77 76 6 64 73 51 51 64 74 76 75 73 75 7 76 67 76 54 54 67 78 80 79 77 8 44 78 69 78 56 56 69 80 83 81 9 59 48 84 74 85 60 60 75 87 89 10 53 61 49 86 76 86 61 61 76 89 11 62 56 64 52 91 80 92 65 65 81 12 65 72 66 76 61 107 94 108 76 76 Grand Total 836 871 897 933 958 1,001 1,000 1,014 1,010 1,038 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K - 5 395 398 420 444 453 453 452 452 453 452 6-8 184 218 196 183 174 197 223 235 235 233 9-12 239 237 263 288 313 333 307 309 304 335 K - 12 818 853 879 915 940 983 982 996 992 1,020 Grand Total 836 871 897 933 958 1,001 1,000 1,014 1,010 1,038 PAGE 41

Projected Enrollment - Low - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K 74 73 71 73 72 72 72 72 72 72 1 74 73 72 70 72 71 71 71 71 71 2 66 74 73 72 70 72 72 72 72 72 3 51 63 71 70 69 67 69 68 68 68 4 51 51 63 71 71 69 68 70 69 69 5 73 51 51 63 71 71 69 68 70 69 6 62 70 49 49 60 68 67 66 64 67 7 75 65 73 51 51 63 71 70 69 67 8 44 76 66 74 52 52 64 72 71 70 9 58 46 80 69 78 55 54 67 76 75 10 52 58 46 81 69 78 55 54 67 76 11 59 53 59 47 82 71 79 56 56 69 12 61 66 59 66 52 91 79 88 62 62 Grand Total 818 837 851 874 887 918 908 912 905 925 Projected Enrollment - Low - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K - 5 389 385 401 419 425 422 421 421 422 421 6-8 181 211 188 174 163 183 202 208 204 204 9-12 230 223 244 263 281 295 267 265 261 282 K - 12 800 819 833 856 869 900 890 894 887 907 Grand Total 818 837 851 874 887 918 908 912 905 925 PAGE 42

Projected Enrollment - High - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K 80 78 76 79 78 78 78 78 78 78 1 77 82 81 78 81 80 80 80 80 80 2 67 79 84 83 81 83 82 82 82 82 3 51 65 77 82 80 78 81 80 80 80 4 52 52 66 78 83 82 80 82 81 81 5 75 54 54 68 81 86 84 82 85 84 6 65 75 54 54 68 81 86 85 82 85 7 76 69 80 57 57 73 86 92 90 87 8 45 79 72 83 59 60 75 89 95 93 9 61 49 88 79 92 65 66 83 98 105 10 54 63 51 91 82 96 68 69 87 103 11 64 60 70 57 101 91 105 75 76 95 12 68 79 74 86 70 125 113 131 93 94 Grand Total 853 902 945 993 1,031 1,096 1,102 1,126 1,125 1,165 Projected Enrollment - High - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 K - 5 402 410 438 468 484 487 485 484 486 485 6-8 186 223 206 194 184 214 247 266 267 265 9-12 247 251 283 313 345 377 352 358 354 397 K - 12 835 884 927 975 1,013 1,078 1,084 1,108 1,107 1,147 Grand Total 853 902 945 993 1,031 1,096 1,102 1,126 1,125 1,165 PAGE 43

EVENING STREET BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Evening Street Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 12 9 15 16 15 14 12 K 77 80 73 91 72 89 97 1 78 82 82 75 95 84 83 2 71 76 82 87 76 94 78 3 76 73 75 88 85 74 95 4 61 79 72 73 93 86 73 5 66 68 78 75 73 94 89 6 65 69 70 79 76 72 91 7 73 67 68 72 79 81 70 8 62 71 63 69 72 80 81 9 67 67 72 68 71 75 77 10 56 67 68 75 70 76 72 11 62 51 70 66 75 76 78 12 76 69 49 67 68 77 68 Grand Total 902 928 937 1,001 1,020 1,072 1,064 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Evening Street Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 PK 12 9 15 16 15 14 12 K - 5 429 458 462 489 494 521 515 6-8 200 207 201 220 227 233 242 9-12 261 254 259 276 284 304 295 K - 12 890 919 922 985 1,005 1,058 1,052 Grand Total 902 928 937 1,001 1,020 1,072 1,064 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 44

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Evening Street Boundary PK 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 K 88 104 94 94 98 98 98 98 98 98 1 99 90 106 96 97 100 100 100 100 100 2 83 99 90 106 96 96 99 99 99 99 3 78 83 99 90 106 96 96 99 99 99 4 95 78 83 99 90 106 96 96 100 100 5 75 98 81 85 102 93 109 99 99 102 6 88 74 97 80 84 101 91 108 98 98 7 92 88 75 97 80 85 101 92 108 98 8 70 92 89 75 98 80 85 101 92 109 9 81 71 92 89 75 98 81 85 102 93 10 78 82 71 93 90 76 99 81 86 103 11 74 80 84 73 96 92 78 102 84 88 12 75 71 77 81 70 92 89 75 98 80 Grand Total 1,088 1,122 1,150 1,170 1,194 1,225 1,234 1,247 1,275 1,279 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Evening Street Boundary PK 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 K - 5 518 552 553 570 589 589 598 591 595 598 6-8 250 254 261 252 262 266 277 301 298 305 9-12 308 304 324 336 331 358 347 343 370 364 K - 12 1,076 1,110 1,138 1,158 1,182 1,213 1,222 1,235 1,263 1,267 Grand Total 1,088 1,122 1,150 1,170 1,194 1,225 1,234 1,247 1,275 1,279 PAGE 45

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Evening Street Boundary PK 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 K 88 104 94 94 98 98 98 98 98 98 1 95 86 102 92 92 95 95 95 95 95 2 78 89 81 96 87 87 90 90 90 90 3 78 78 90 82 96 87 87 90 90 90 4 94 78 78 89 81 96 87 87 90 90 5 75 97 80 80 92 83 98 89 89 92 6 87 73 95 78 78 89 81 96 87 87 7 90 86 72 94 77 77 88 80 95 86 8 70 90 86 73 94 77 77 89 81 95 9 79 69 88 84 71 92 76 76 87 79 10 76 78 67 87 83 70 90 74 74 85 11 75 78 81 70 90 86 72 93 77 77 12 72 69 72 74 64 83 79 67 86 71 Grand Total 1,069 1,087 1,098 1,105 1,115 1,132 1,130 1,136 1,151 1,147 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Evening Street Boundary PK 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 K - 5 508 532 525 533 546 546 555 549 552 555 6-8 247 249 253 245 249 243 246 265 263 268 9-12 302 294 308 315 308 331 317 310 324 312 K - 12 1,057 1,075 1,086 1,093 1,103 1,120 1,118 1,124 1,139 1,135 Grand Total 1,069 1,087 1,098 1,105 1,115 1,132 1,130 1,136 1,151 1,147 PAGE 46