DEUTZ Investor Presentation August 2016

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Transcription:

DEUTZ Investor Presentation August 2016

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 2

DEUTZ at a glance World s first engine factory founded in 1864 by N.A. Otto, the developer of the four the stroke engine Independent manufacturer of diesel and gas engines up to 520 kw Profile Engineering and manufacturing company with strong expertise as system integrator Worldwide sales channels and service network Strong brand synonym for leading technology and high-quality products Blue chip customer base Financials 2015 Revenue 1,247.4 million Free Cash Flow 35.0 million Equity ratio 45.5% Board Dr. Helmut Leube (CEO) Dr. Margarete Haase (CFO) Michael Wellenzohn (CSO) 3

Corporate structure DEUTZ Group DEUTZ Compact Engines Liquid-cooled engines of up to 8 litres cubic capacity for on- and offroad applications Large number of modular approaches Joint Venture DEUTZ Dalian (China) DEUTZ Customised Solutions Air-cooled engines for on-road, offroad and marine applications Liquid-cooled engines over 8 litres for all applications Remanufactured (Xchange) engines for all DEUTZ engine series DEUTZ Services (common to both segments) Substantial service business based on existing population of approx. 1.6 million engines in the market Product portfolio mainly comprises genuine DEUTZ spare parts, remanufactured engines and parts as well as oils and lubricants 4

DEUTZ engines for EU Stage IV / US Tier 4 emissions standard Competitive product features: compact size, low fuel consumption, smart exhaust after-treatment DEUTZ engine portfolio will satisfy the next EU emissions standard announced for 2019 Stage V ready Expanding product range for Stage V: New three-cylinder TCD 2.2 engine will create a family platform with four-cylinder TCD 2.9 engine. Both engines will be also available in a gas version (LPG). Engine project TCD 5.0 scheduled to go into production in 2019 to gain market share in the 100-150kW output range 5

DEUTZ customer base Long standing customer relationships (not exhaustive) DEUTZ has a lot of long standing relationships with key customers Customer base extended and diversified with new emission engines New clients & greater share of wallet (not exhaustive) New customers attracted by the compact design and smart exhaust aftertreatment of the Stage IV / Tier 4 engines Cautious Successful optimism extension for of 2012 customer base 6

Successful business development Examples of new applications New customers gained in all regions Greater share of wallet at existing clients New business related to different applications 7

Key applications Typical application Markets benefit from macro trends Mobile Machinery Agricultural Machinery Stationary Equipment Automotive Construction equipment Material handling Ground support Mining equipment Tractors Agricultural equipment Gensets Pumps Compressors Trucks Buses Rail vehicles Wide application range for DEUTZ engines 8

Revenue split by application Automotive 7 % 41.6 million ( 46.6 million) Other 3 % 19.8 million ( 9.8 million) Stationary Equipment 12 % 77.7 million ( 99.7 million) H1 2016 (H1 2015) 644.4 million ( 670.2 million) Mobile Machinery 42 % 272.7 million ( 291.4 million) Agricultural Machinery 14 % 89.8 million ( 82.0 million) Service 22 % 142.8 million ( 140.7 million) Pro-forma Automotive revenue (1) incl. equity-accounted JV DEUTZ Dalian: 188.4 million (corresponding revenue share amounts to 23%) (1) Considering 100% of JV revenue 9

Revenue split by region Africa/Middle East 5 % 29.5 million ( 43.1 million) Asia-Pacific 11 % 71.8 million ( 65.1 million) H1 2016 (H1 2015) 644.4 million ( 670.2 million) Europe (excl. Germany) 47 % 304.6 million ( 314.5 million) Americas 20 % 127.6 million ( 164.4 million) Germany 17 % 110.9 million ( 83.1 million) Pro-forma revenue (1) including equity-accounted Chinese JV DEUTZ Dalian: 809.3 million (-6.3%); corresponding revenue share of Asia-Pacific amounts to 29% (1) Considering 100% of JV revenue 10

Emissions standards drive revenue growth Average sales price per engine (indexed; FY 2011 = 100) 100 104 117 116 126 129 EU Stage IV / US Tier 4 engines require exhaust after-treatment devices Growing share of new emission engines drives revenue growth Positive structural price mix effects are expected to continue in the years to come 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (1) (1) H1 figures annualised Structural growth due to tighter emissions standards 11

Service business million 241.6 250.3 253.7 259.3 278.4 285.6 Further solid service revenue growth Strong resilience of profitable service business through different economic cycles 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (1) (1) H1 figures annualised Continued growth of service revenue 12

DEUTZ activities in China JV DEUTZ Dalian 273.5 245.7 319.1 359.8 339.5 329.8 Challenging capital goods market conditions in China Strategic decision to focus our production in China on our JV DEUTZ Dalian (DDE) which has sufficient capacities 100 89 107 106 75 74 DDE is a 50:50 JV with FAW producing diesel engines for local customer demand 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue ( million) (1) H1 figures annualised (2) At-equity consolidated; not reflected in the revenue of DEUTZ Group (2) Unit sales (thousand) Consolidation of Chinese production activities at DEUTZ Dalian (1) Countrywide sales and service network 13

Site optimisation Cologne-Porz Cologne-Deutz 2016 Cologne-Porz Ulm Übersee (Chiemsee) 2015/17 Ulm Site optimisation measures fully on schedule; first relocation stage to Ulm completed Annual cost savings > 10 million (considerable effects already in 2016; full effects from 2017 onwards) Restructuring costs for site optimisation ( 17.1 million) digested in FY 2014 result Substantial proceeds from sale of property in Cologne-Deutz in the years to come Sustainable efficiency improvement by merging facilities 14

R&D expenditure million 84.6 62.1 52.6 53.1 40.8 45.4 Spending on R&D has been scaled back due to successful market launch of new engine generation Ongoing R&D spending in continuous product innovation 5.5 4.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (1) H1 figures annualised Net R&D expenditure Net R&D expenditure ratio (%) R&D expenditure will remain on a moderate level (1) 15

Unit sales & profitability Thousand units 231 179 184 196 138 139 Volatile market environment requires flexible production Stable EBITDA margin at lower unit sales 10.4 9.4 9.8 9.0 9.0 10.4 Ramp-up phase of new engine generation terminated Higher capacity utilisation most important driver for profitability enhancement 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (1) H1 figures annualised Unit sales EBITDA margin (before one-off items) % Robust numbers in down cycle & high upside potential at market recovery (1) 16

Cash deployment & dividend policy Financial strength Keep equity ratio above 40% Robust financial framework in volatile markets Internal funding Invest in profitable organic growth projects and service Continuous product innovation Dividend policy Stable or growing dividend per share Dividend payout ~30% of earnings over multi year period Stable or growing dividend 17

Summary: DEUTZ key investment highlights Successful extension of customer base Structural growth due to tighter emissions standards Continued growth of service revenue Sustainable efficiency improvement by merging facilities Robust numbers in down cycle High upside potential at market recovery Stable or growing dividend 18

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 19

Key figures million H1 2016 yoy Q2 2016 qoq New orders 677.2 +1.0% 349.9 +6.9% Revenue 644.4-3.8% 344.2 +14.7% EBITDA 66.9-5.0% 35.6 +13.7% EBIT 20.7 +2.0% 13.4 +83.6% Net income 20.0 +19.8% 11.3 +29.9% Free cash flow -17.2-43.4 million 11.7 + 40.6 million Significant operating profit improvement in Q2 20

Sales figures million New orders Unit sales Revenue Units million 1.0% -10.8% -3.8% 78,120 670.7 677.2 6,767 69,706 670.2 644.4 140.7 132.7 4,899 141.9 131.9 530.0 544.5 71,353 64,807 528.3 512.5 H1 2015 H1 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016 H1 2015 H1 2016 Revenue decreased to a lesser extent than unit sales due to favorable price mix effects and license proceeds in Q1 Book-to-bill ratio amounts to 1.05x DEUTZ Compact Engines DEUTZ Customised Solutions 21

Revenue by quarter million 410.7 424.5 352.3 318.1 352.1 268.6 308.6 300.2 344.2 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Advance production of engines ahead of changes to European emissions standards for engines < 130 kw in October 2014 with significant influence on revenue Q2 2016 revenue increased 14.7% quarter-on-quarter 22

Operating profit & net income million H1 2015 H1 2016 70.4 50.1 66.9 46.2 10.5% 20.3 2.1 1.5 10.4% 16.7 20.7 2.0 +1.3 20.0 EBITDA D&A EBIT Net Income Net interest taxes income expense Operating profit benefitted from licence proceeds of 5.5 million in Q1 2016 Stable EBITDA margin development despite lower unit sales Current tax expense more than offset by deferred tax income Net income improved by 3.3 million EBITDA D&A EBIT Net Tax Net interest income income expense xx.x% EBITDA margin 23

EBIT million 20.3 20.7 +0.9-4.6 +4.1 H1 2015 H1 2016 EBIT margin 3.0% 3.2% Slight EBIT margin increase attributable to cost improvements and lower depreciation Operating profit decline at DEUTZ Compact Engines due to lower unit sales and higher R&D costs Licence proceeds at DEUTZ Customised Solutions overcompensated decrease in business volume DEUTZ Compact Engines DEUTZ Customised Solutions Other 24

Segment: DEUTZ Compact Engines million H1 2016 H1 2015 Change in % New orders 544.5 530.0 2.7 Unit sales 64,807 71,353-9.2 Revenue 512.5 528.3-3.0 EBIT 1.9 6.5-70.8 million Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Change in % New orders 285.1 259.4 9.9 Unit sales 35,037 29,770 17.7 Revenue 277.0 235.5 17.6 EBIT 4.2-2.3 -- New orders increased 2.7% year-on-year and 9.9% quarter-on quarter Revenue increased 17.6% quarter-on quarter Operating profit increase in Q2 on the back of higher production volume and cost improvements 25

Segment: DEUTZ Customised Solutions million H1 2016 H1 2015 Change in % New orders 132.7 140.7-5.7 Unit sales 4,899 6,767-27.6 Revenue 131.9 141.9-7.0 EBIT 21.4 17.3 23.7 million Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Change in % New orders 64.8 67.9-4.6 Unit sales 2,557 2,342 9.2 Revenue 67.2 64.7 3.9 EBIT 11.2 10.2 9.8 Unit sales declined year-on-year mainly due to Mobile Machinery (-32.6%) and Stationary Equipment (-32.7%) Revenue share of service business amounts to 44.6% Q1 operating profit benefitted from licence proceeds of 5.5 million EBIT in Q2 increased quarter-on-quarter due to higher production volume, cost improvements and positive mix effects 26

R&D spending & capital expenditure million R&D expenditure Capital expenditure (excl. R&D) Reimbursements 23.3 3.5 24.1 Gross expenditure 0.2 1.4 25.5 30.0 Net expenditure 19.8 22.7 25.3 Net R&D expenditure ratio (1) H1 2015 H1 2016 3.0% 3.5% R&D expenditure remains at moderate level in line with our guidance Proportion of capitalised net R&D expenditure: 2.5 million (H1 2015: 5.0 million) H1 2015 H1 2016 Capital expenditure increase due to new shaft centre, which is an important element of our site optimisation (1) Ratio of net R&D expenditure to consolidated revenue 27

Working capital & operating cash flow million Working capital Operating cash flow 216.4 227.1 53.9 15.4 Working H1 2015 H1 2016 capital ratio (30 June) 15.0% 18.6% Working capital increased by 10.7 million due to higher inventories Higher working capital ratio also related to revenue decline H1 2015 H1 2016 Operating cash flow decline attributable to working capital increase and lower business volume 28

Free cash flow generation & net financial position million 35.0 Free cash flow (1) Net financial position 33.2 13.1-8.4 2015 H1 2016 (LTM) H1 2015 H1 2016 Free cash flow in Q2 2016 amounted to + 11.7 million Net financial position remains in positive territory (1) Free cash flow: cash flow from operating and investing activities less net interest expense 29

Equity ratio & funding million 1,088.1 1,103.8 45.5% 44.8% 495.6 494.5 2015 H1 2016 up to 1 year 160 16 15 35 1 up to 2 years up to 5 years up to 10 years Total assets Equity xx.x% Equity ratio Repayment schedule Duration of credit lines Strong balance sheet Medium- to long-term financing with undrawn facilities available: Duration of 160 million credit line until May 2020 Loan from European Investment Bank repayable until July 2020 30

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 31

Market assessment Unit sales (equipment) (1) Construction equipment Europe Construction equipment North America Construction equipment China 2016-5% to +5% -5% to 0% (previous: -5% to +5%) -20% to -10% Agricultural Machinery Europe Automotive China -5% to 0% -5% to +5% Recovery of key application markets not yet visible US rental companies reluctant to invest in new equipment Chinese construction equipment market expected to remain challenging (1) Numbers refer to end markets. DEUTZ business may differ due advance production of engines 32

Financial outlook million Revenue FY 2015 reported 1,247.4 FY 2016 guidance stagnant or slight increase EBIT margin 0.4% moderate increase R&D expenditure (1) 40.8 slightly above 50 Capex (excl. R&D) (1) 56.2 approx. 55 (1) Net of reimbursements Full year guidance confirmed Revenue and profitability expected to decrease in Q3 2016 qoq Operating profit (EBIT) presumably largely earned in H1 2016 while capacity utilization in H2 2016 will be lower (related to market demand, holiday shutdowns and relocation of shaft centre) 33

Financial calendar & contact details Interim management statement 1 st to 3 rd quarter 2016 8 November 2016 Annual report FY 2016 16 March 2017 Annual general meeting 4 May 2017 Contact details Christian Krupp Tel:+49 (0) 221 822 5400 SVP Finance, Public and Investor Relations Fax:+49 (0) 221 822 15 5400 Ottostrasse 1 Email: krupp.c@deutz.com 51149 Cologne (Porz-Eil), Germany www.deutz.com 34

Disclaimer Unless stated otherwise, all the figures given in this presentation refer to continuing operations. The details given in this document are based on the information available at the time it was prepared. This presents the risk that actual figures may differ from forward-looking statements. Such discrepancies may be caused by changes in political, economic or business conditions, a decrease in the technological lead of DEUTZ's products, changes in competition, the effects of movements in interest rates or exchange rates, the pricing of parts supplied and other risks and uncertainties not identified at the time this document was prepared. The forward-looking statements made in this document will not be updated. 35