PV Solar as an Option to complement the Peruvian electrical energy mix in the future. April

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Transcription:

PV Solar as an Option to complement the Peruvian electrical energy mix in the future April 2014 1

Using the power of the sun since hundreds of years Inti or Tayta Inti was the Sun-God and the god of the rainbow. His wife was Mama Killa. His sun Manco Cápac was born out of the froth of the Titicaca lake. Together with his sister Mama Ocllo he was sent to earth equipped with the golden post Tupayawri to improve the world. Arriving on earth they found a copious land were they build the city of Qusqu. April 2014 2

What Inti is providing to us gas oil Annual global solar radiation Annual energy consumption worldwide coal uran April 2014 3

bejulo is a new company established by specialists, with lots of experience working in the renewable market and who are well connected in the international utility scale PV project area. Together with strong partners, we will be able to offer the complete range required for a renewable energy project, from project development to project financing. About bejulo We are focusing on turn key projects, Hybrid Solutions and PPA sales of energy. We handle large scale PV projects, as well as hybrid solutions including short-term / long-term storage. We are also looking after Wind projects. In combination with an intelligent management system controlling the virtual power plant will become real. Please join us for more details about the vision of a renewable energy future. April 2014 4

Financial and Infrastructure A major part of bejulo is owned by a German company in the industry market. Strong financial support will be provided in order to complete large scale renewable energy projects worldwide. Company Structure We operate worldwide with subsidiaries in major countries like Peru, Japan, China, Singapore, Australia, Canada, USA, Europe, South Africa and several smaller countries. Technical service and infrastructure are fully up and running. Expertise Well known management expertise in the renewable energy markets around the world. All major functions in bejulo are held by people, who have 5 to 10 years experience in the renewable energy business. Having worked in different functions and in various companies, we are experienced in acquisition, project development, project management, design, construction and O&M and will be able to provide full support on all levels. Strong investor contacts complete the portfolio. April 2014 5

EPC / Turnkey Projects Business Model EPC / Turnkey Focus is on turnkey solutions. Besides the classic EPC deal, we will provide support in project development, in the permitting process by getting the grid connection licenses, as well as supporting project finance. Parts used in the plant design are of premium quality. Procurement will be done together with the owner of the plant, to make sure that the right level between quality and price is established. In order to find the optimum performance of the plant, a master procurement plan will be provided to the owner. Having the experience of several 100 MWp worldwide, we established a strong team of sub-contractors to carry out the construction work. Whenever possible we will train local people to enable them working in the renewable energy business. Construction management and training will be done by well trained bejulo technicians. Aware of the very different restrictions around the globe, we are strongly focussing on the commissioning. Involving all parties relevant for the commissioning is the key to get it done successfully. Grid connection in foreign countries could be the most difficult part in getting a renewable energy plant up and running. The key to success is a good partnership with the local grid companies and taking care of their specific needs and requirements. April 2014 6

Small and mid-size Off Grid Basic solution with PV Solar connected to the existing infrastructure. The advanced system will include battery and system management together with the PV plant. Hybrid solutions / Fuel Saver By expanding the advanced system with small diesel generators including an intelligent management we will achieve the comfortable solution delivering energy 24/7. Planning, procurement, construction and O&M training are part of the full service offer. Fuel Saver / Hybrid plant Rising Diesel cost will make energy from Gen-Sets expensive. An intelligent solution is to complement the Gen-Sets with solar plants including an intelligent control unit fully able to control the system by taking care of the specifics of the Gen-Sets. Depending on the individual load profile a substitution of more than 50% is possible. Payback time will be 3 to 10 years, depending of the Diesel cost and local characteristics. April 2014 7

100 high Availability of Energy Resources in the upcoming years 90 80 70 60 50 mid 40 30 20 10 0 low 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Solar Energy Wind Energy Biomass Natural Gas Hydropower Others April 2014 8

100 high Cost development for different Energy resources 90 80 70 60 mid 50 40 30 20 10 Solar Energy Wind Energy Biomass Natural Gas Hydropower Others 0 low 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 April 2014 9

100 high Possible Part of the energy mix in Peru in the future 90 80 70 60 50 mid 40 30 20 10 Solar Energy Wind Energy Biomass Natural Gas Hydropower Others 0 low 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 April 2014 10

How a PV plant will be build April 2014 11

Parts of a PV Plant - Mounting Structure (steel or Aluminium) - PV Modules (crystalline or thin film) - Inverter (central or decentralise) Parts of the System - Management- and Monitoring system April 2014 12

Battery Storage for short term and mid term - Plumb based batteries - Lead accumulator - Lead gel battery Option Battery Storage - Lithium based batteries - Lithium-Ion-based - Lithium-Manganese-based - Lithium-(CF)n-based - Lithium-Air-based - etc. - Chemical based batteries - Vanadium-redux-flow-battery - Various other technologies April 2014 13

Possibilities for Long Term Storage April 2014 14

Long Term Storage based on Power-to-Gas renewable energies water electrolyser hydrogen carbon dioxide natural gas grid methane catalyst electricity thermal mobility April 2014 15

Possible business cases for mining companies EPC / Turn Key Projects Options for mining companies Turnkey solutions. Besides the classic EPC deal, we will provide support in project development, in the permitting process by getting the grid connection licenses, as well as project financing. As a turnkey partner, we can provide support with our expertise and strong contacts in the market places. For a MWp system cost will be on a level of 1,100 to 1,150 US$ / kwp installed. PPA The PV plant will be owned by an external investor and he will sell the produced energy to the mining company based on a PPA contract. We do have good contacts to investment companies in the Peruvian market as well as into international investment markets. On a PPA base the cost of energy could be as low as 85 US$ / MWh. Fuel Saver Systems Specifically for companies that need to produce their energy on site with Diesel generators cost could be reduced significantly by using a fully automated system combined with solar energy. bejulo can provide a detailed analysis for the possibilities tailor-made for the necessities in place. Comparing the cost for production of energy with Diesel for approximately 250 US$ / MWh and seeing the possibility to produce solar energy for 85 US$ / MWh the high potential savings get visible. For being able to offer the energy 24/7 it is of course also possible to combine the PV system with other energy producing systems, e.g. biomass or mini-hydro or to install storage systems. April 2014 16

Fuel Saver System for mining applications April 2014 17

18 Cost of PV energy production compared to other energy sources April 2014

Renewables compared to conventional sources 19 How Energy cost will develop in the future April 2014

Cost of PV solar power compared to regular power OPEX in US$ CAPEX in US$ Plant cost in US$ Plant details & financial support current cost of Energy in US$ add. cost EE power in US$ Prozent Inflat value real each kwp total plant period start (year) total each kwp each kwh each kwh lease 0,0% 0,00% 0,00 1,00 5.000 cost 1.249 6.245.000 PV plant 5.650.000 1.130 Size 5000 kwp price per kwh 0,0650 transmission 0,0050 commercial operation 0,5% 0,00% 0,00 0,70 3.500 Equity 30,0% 374,7 1.873.500 0 0 Grid connectio 350.000 70 Degradation 0,25% basic rate 0,0100 contribution 0,0200 O & M 4,0% 0,00% 0,00 7,00 35.000 Dept 70,0% 874,3 4.371.500 20 0 Permits 125.000 25 sp. Earnings 1900 kwh/kwp local exchange rate transmission 0,0050 others 1 0,0000 insurance 1,2% 0,00% 0,00 2,50 12.500 IR Equity 0,0% Project develo 60.000 12 Inflation 0% 1 contribution 0,0050 others 2 repairs 3,0% 0,00% 0,00 5,50 27.500 IR Dept 5,0% Cost of financ 60.000 12 FIT 0,00 US$ / kwh 0,00 others 1 0,0000 w arranty period years 2 0 Taxes Other cost I 0 0 PPA 0,00 US$ / kwh 0,00 others 2 0,0000 other 2,0% 0,00% 0,00 0,00 depreciation Other cost II 0 0 direct Sales 0,00 US$ / kwh 0,00 total 10,7% 0,00 16,70 83.500 others Total cost 6.245.000 1.249 others 0,00 US$ / kwh 0,00 total reg. Cost 0,0850 total add. Cost 0,0250 Cost each kwh in US$ Inflation 0,02 1% total 1249 6.245.000 total 0,00 0,00 Inflation 1% Inflation 1% Tariff Year 0,2000 in US$ kwh/kwp US$ OPEX US$ net Interest Equity Redemption Equity Income in US$ Current cost of energy compared to RE cost of Energy Remaining Equity Interest Dept. 0,1900 1 0,0000 1.900 0,00 16,70-16,70 0,00 0,00 374,70 43,72 43,72 830,59 104,13 0,0250 0,0798 0,0850 0,0052 9,87 94,26 2 0,1800 0,0000 1.895 0,00 16,87-16,87 0,00 0,00 374,70 41,53 43,72 786,87 102,11 0,0253 0,0791 0,0859 0,0067 12,74 89,37 3 0,0000 1.891 0,00 17,04-17,04 0,00 0,00 374,70 39,34 43,72 743,16 100,09 0,0255 0,0784 0,0867 0,0083 15,62 84,48 0,1700 4 0,0000 1.886 0,00 17,21-17,21 0,00 0,00 374,70 37,16 43,72 699,44 98,08 0,0258 0,0778 0,0876 0,0098 18,50 79,58 0,1600 5 0,0000 1.881 0,00 17,38-17,38 0,00 0,00 374,70 34,97 43,72 655,73 96,07 0,0260 0,0771 0,0885 0,0114 21,38 74,68 6 0,0000 1.876 0,00 17,55-17,55 0,00 0,00 374,70 32,79 43,72 612,01 94,05 0,0263 0,0764 0,0893 0,0129 24,27 69,78 0,1500 7 0,0000 1.872 0,00 17,73-17,73 0,00 0,00 374,70 30,60 43,72 568,30 92,04 0,0265 0,0757 0,0902 0,0145 27,17 64,88 0,1400 8 0,0000 1.867 0,00 17,90-17,90 0,00 0,00 374,70 28,41 43,72 524,58 90,03 0,0268 0,0750 0,0911 0,0161 30,07 59,97 9 0,1300 0,0000 1.862 0,00 18,08-18,08 0,00 0,00 374,70 26,23 43,72 480,87 88,03 0,0271 0,0743 0,0920 0,0177 32,97 55,06 10 0,0000 1.858 0,00 18,26-18,26 0,00 0,00 374,70 24,04 43,72 437,15 86,02 0,0273 0,0736 0,0930 0,0193 35,88 50,14 0,1200 11 0,0000 1.853 0,00 18,45-18,45 0,00 0,00 374,70 21,86 43,72 393,44 84,02 0,0276 0,0730 0,0939 0,0209 38,79 45,23 0,1100 12 0,0000 1.848 0,00 18,63-18,63 0,00 0,00 374,70 19,67 43,72 349,72 82,02 0,0279 0,0723 0,0948 0,0226 41,71 40,30 13 0,0000 1.844 0,00 18,82-18,82 0,00 0,00 374,70 17,49 43,72 306,01 80,02 0,0282 0,0716 0,0958 0,0242 44,64 35,38 0,1000 Cost RE/ kwh 14 0,0000 1.839 0,00 19,01-19,01 0,00 0,00 374,70 15,30 43,72 262,29 78,02 0,0285 0,0709 0,0967 0,0259 47,57 30,45 0,0900 15 0,0000 1.835 0,00 19,20-19,20 0,00 0,00 374,70 13,11 43,72 218,58 76,03 0,0287 0,0702 0,0977 0,0275 50,50 25,52 16 0,0000 1.830 0,00 19,39-19,39 0,00 0,00 374,70 10,93 43,72 174,86 Current 74,03 cost 0,0290 0,0695 0,0987 0,0292 53,44 20,59 0,0800 17 0,0000 1.825 0,00 19,58-19,58 0,00 0,00 374,70 8,74 43,72 131,15 / kwh 72,04 0,0293 0,0688 0,0997 0,0309 56,39 15,65 0,0700 18 0,0000 1.821 0,00 19,78-19,78 0,00 0,00 374,70 6,56 43,72 87,43 70,05 0,0296 0,0681 0,1007 0,0326 59,34 10,71 Savings 0,0600 19 0,0000 1.816 0,00 19,98-19,98 0,00 0,00 374,70 4,37 43,72 43,71 68,06 0,0299 0,0674 0,1017 0,0343 62,29 5,77 kwh 20 0,0000 1.812 0,00 20,18-20,18 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 22,36 0,0302 0,0425 0,1027 0,0601 108,97-86,61 0,0500 21 0,0000 1.807 0,00 20,38-20,38 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 Linear 22,56 (Cost RE/ kwh) 0,0305 0,0430 0,1037 0,0607 109,75-87,18 0,0400 22 0,0000 1.803 0,00 20,58-20,58 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 22,77 0,0308 0,0434 0,1048 0,0613 110,53-87,76 23 0,0300 0,0000 1.798 0,00 20,79-20,79 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 22,97 0,0311 0,0439 0,1058 0,0619 111,32-88,35 24 0,0000 1.794 0,00 20,99-20,99 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 23,18 0,0314 0,0444 0,1069 0,0625 112,12-88,94 0,0200 25 0,0000 1.789 0,00 21,20-21,20 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 23,39 0,0317 0,0448 0,1079 0,0631 112,92-89,53 0,0100 26 0,0000 1.785 0,00 21,42-21,42 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 23,60 0,0321 0,0453 0,1090 0,0637 113,73-90,12 27 0,0000 1.780 0,00 21,63-21,63 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 23,82 0,0324 0,0458 0,1101 0,0643 114,54-90,72 0,0000 28 0,0000 1.776 0,00 21,85-21,85 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 24,03 0,0327 0,0462 0,1112 0,0650 115,36-91,32-0,0100 29 0,0000 1 2 3 1.771 4 5 0,00 6 722,07 8 9-22,07 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 0,00 18 19 20 21 0,0022 23374,70 24 25 26 27 28 29 302,19 31 32 330,00 34 35 43,71 24,25 0,0330 0,0467 0,1123 0,0656 116,18-91,93 30-0,0200 0,0000 1.767 0,00 22,29-22,29 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 24,47 0,0334 0,0472 0,1134 0,0662 117,01-92,54 31 0,0000 1.763 0,00 22,51-22,51 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 24,69 0,0337 0,0477 0,1146 0,0669 117,84-93,15-0,0300 32 0,0000 1.758 0,00 22,73-22,73 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 24,92 0,0340 0,0482 0,1157 0,0675 118,68-93,76-0,0400 33 0,0000 1.754 0,00 22,96-22,96 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 25,15 0,0344 0,0487 0,1169 0,0682 119,53-94,38 34 0,0000 1.749 0,00 23,19-23,19 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 25,38 0,0347 0,0492 0,1180 0,0688 120,38-95,01-0,0500 35 0,0000 1.745 0,00 23,42-23,42 Year 0,00 0,00 374,70 2,19 0,00 43,71 25,61 0,0351 0,0497 0,1192 0,0695 121,24-95,63 0,0610 Redemption Dept Remaining Dept. Total cost of plant p.a. add. EE cost kwh Cost RE/ kwh Current cost / kwh Savings kwh Savings in US$ Total savings Cost minus savings April 2014 20

Questions, comments, suggestions.. Questions and Answers April 2014 21

Contact: bejulo GmbH Reinhart Hönsch Dekan-Laist-Strasse 15a +51 (1) 6591047 D-55129 Mainz +51 997511983 info@bejulo.com reinhart.honsch@gmail.com www.bejulo.com April 14 22