Improving the integration of electricity networks: Prospects of the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E)

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Improving the integration of electricity networks: Prospects of the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) 1. Context: ENTSO-E, 10/20/40 year views, network codes 2. The 2012 TYNDP 3. New Infrastructure Priorities Regulation 4. Integration of electricity networks 5. Conclusion Konstantin Staschus, Ph.D. Secretary-General ENTSO-E EURONEST SEMINAR-WORKSHOP EU-Eastern European Partners cooperation in energy 1 security: October achievements, 2012 barriers and prospects

Context: TSOs and ENTSO-E s significant role for European energy and climate change objectives Key activities set out in Regulation 714/2009 (on cross-border electricity trade, part of the 3 rd IEM Package) Deliver network codes binding to all network users (through Comitology ) Deliver network plans European / regional view of system needs ( TYNDP ) Deliver crucial aspects of market integration ( market coupling ) R&D Plan (including the just approved E-Highways 2050 study) Recent important work products: 1 st Network Code on Requirements for Generators delivered for ACER Opinion 14 July prerequisite for the future system with much more RES TYNDP 2012 incl. major improvements in methods, data 41 TSOs from 34 countries; 530 million people; 910 GW gen.; 300 000 km transm. Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 2

Context: The system is changing fast: More fluctuating RES, more distributed gen., more pan- European markets, planning + operational coordination Change is at the core of transmission planning Share of total RES in net gen. capac. 1/2020, scen. EU2020 However scale and speed of change in recent years is unprecedented 2012 320 GW RES 538 GW peak load 3300 TWh demand >50% <45% 2020 TYNDP 2012 536 GW RES 567 GW peak load 3600 TWh demand 2030 visions 2014 TYNDP ehighway 2050 study: strong consortium, 3 years 80-95% reduction in greenhouse gases; higher reduction for electricity Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 3

Many TSO and ENTSO-E efforts necessary for a European system fit for the future incl. joint planning, network codes National grid codes EU-wide Network Code Requirements for Generators National grid codes Comitology should make NC RfG binding ASAP so the system is prepared in time for much more RES Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 4

Network codes: common codes for an integrated market CACM FG Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 5

TYNDP 2012: A stronger grid to answer major challenges Europe-wide 52 300 km: Security of Supply: 21.900 km Renewable Energy Sources Integration: 44.700 km Internal Energy Market: 18.200 km Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 6

TYNDP 2012 main results and approach Thousands of possible situations and overall social economic welfare assessed via regional market studies 5% of generating costs saved by new interconnection Country balances importer rather balanced exporter e Exchanges < 1 TWh < 5 TWh < 10 TWh > 10 TWh Direct connection for 125 GW RES - 170 Mt/y CO 2 emissions savings Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 7

2020 Europe - 100 bottlenecks in the transmission system RES is triggering 80% of assets growth Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 8

2020 Europe 17% increase in infrastructure By end 2016 2017 and beyond Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 9

2020 Europe - About 100 billion in investments 100 billion investment on grids 1.5-2 /MWh in Europe over the 10- year period, 2% of the bulk power prices, less than 1% of the total end-users electricity bill billion billion Austria 1.1 Ireland 3.9 Belgium 1.9 Latvia 0.4 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.0 Lithuania 0.7 Bulgaria 0.2 Luxembourg 0.3 Croatia 0.2 Montenegro 0.4 Czech Republic 1.7 Netherlands 3.3 Cyprus 0.0 Norway 6.5 Denmark 1.4 Poland 2.9 Estonia 0.3 Portugal 1.5 Finland 0.8 Romania 0.7 France 8.8 Serbia 0.2 FYROM 0.1 Slovakia 0.3 Germany 30.1 Slovenia 0.3 Greece 0.3 Spain 4.8 Hungary 0.1 Sweden 2.0 Iceland 0.0 Switzerland 1.7 Italy 7.1 United Kingdom 19.0 Total ENTSOE perimeter 104 Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 10

Status in 2020 and further issues Three major issues after 2020: -Integration of offshore wind generation in the North Seas -Connection of solar generation in Northern Africa to the European continent -Interconnection with Eastern countries Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 11

Energy Priorities Regulation positive for grid development A timely legislative initiative addressing the most urgent issues Big step forward to streamline permitting procedures Positive but unfocused effort to facilitate investments on the transmission grid Cost-allocation is just part of the overall picture cost-benefit analysis not a panacea Incentivizing TSOs to deliver on time should be the priority Regional approach for decision making with TYNDP as the main starting point Projects of Common Interest careful to not lose the advantages of common European system planning! Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 12

Integration of electricity networks: A proven history of studies as bases for detailed conditions, tests, connections tegration of electricity networks can be done either through: AC (alternating current), or DC (direct current) connection. Both alternatives are currently important within ENTSO-E and with neighbors: Existing DC lines within the Continental European system and between the different synchronous areas within ENTSO-E (Nordic, UK, Ireland, Baltic) Baltic countries more DC connections firmly planned in BEMIP and TYNDP; EU financed study on possible synchronous (AC) connection ongoing Maghreb AC connection through Strait of Gibraltar; visions for further connections around the Mediterranean, although 2 synchronous tests failed Turkey ongoing synchronous (AC) trial operation with Continental Europe, and Turkis plans for near-term DC connections with neighbors to the South and East Ukraine/Moldova beginning EU financed study on synchronous (AC) connection TYNDP and network codes provide an even clearer integration framework! Improving the integration of electricity networks 1 October 2012 Page 13

Conclusions Improving the integration of electricity networks Konstantin Staschus Page 14