Environmental Analysis of Waste to Fuel Projects Well to Wheel.. Page: 1

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Environmental Analysis of Waste to Fuel Projects Well to Wheel.. Page: 1

How to look Technology at Well Comparison to Wheel Impacts Part Three Break down assessment into three segments, 1. Well (source of fuel) production and purification, 2. Transport of fuel to vehicle, and 3. Tank to wheel analysis Measuring Environmental Impacts a) Air Pollution (NOx, PMBC/10/2.5, CO2, CO, HC, NMHC). b) Health Impacts c) Climate impacts and Community Perception d) Operator Corporate CSR & access to capital (Discussion). Note: PM Particulate Matter broken into all Black Carbon, under 10µm and under 2.5µm HC All Hydrocarbons, NHMC Non Methane Hydrocarbons 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD 17

Well to Storage Technology Comparison Part Three Impact Diesel CNG CBG Extraction Process Drilling Drilling Digestion Parasitic to factory or digestion at landfill Process Size Large Large Small Intermediate Product Secondary Processing Final Product Energy Density of Final product Crude Oil (various fractions and contaminants) Shipped as crude to refinery to be cracked and refined Diesel (various quality) 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD 17 Bulk Gas (various fractions and contaminants) Refinery to/from pipeline to NG or chilled to LNG for transport overseas Natural Gas (NG) or Compressed Natural gas (CNG) 38.5 MJ/l 9 MJ/l (LNG 22 MJ/l) Biogas (45-65% CH4 with H2S/H2o Contamination) Purification to NG quality and compression Compressed Bio methane Gas (CBG) 9 MJ/ (No Ethane)

Storage Technology to tank Comparison Part Three Impact Diesel CNG CBG Distribution to Depot Typical distance from refining to depot Transport Energy Used Distribution to Buyer Storage Issues Ship, Tanker Ship, Pipeline and Tanker Tanker 1000-9000Km 1000-9000 km <100km High High Very Low Tanker Tanker Tanker Sulphur and tank time Lead/Mercury Contamination Moisture Content if not purified properly 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD 17

Tank to Wheel Technology Comparison Part Three Impact Diesel CNG CBG NOx (g/km) 5-7 1-2 0.05-1 SOx (g/km) 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD 17 Depends on Mix, CBG higher than CNG but lower than poor quality high sulphur diesel in emerging economies. PM10 (g/km) 0.18 0.06 0.06 NMHC (g/km) 0.14 0.02 0.024 CO (g/km) 0.3 0.5 0.6 CO2 (g/km) 1000 800 800 Ames Mutagenicity test (rev/mg/10) TA99-S9, BSC) Source VTT Nyland 2004 with additions. Averaged 200 Averaged 95 Not tested but expected lower due to no ethane in mix and no lead or mercury from bio accumulation in petroleum Products

Particulate matter (PM) Particulate matter, especially PM2.5 are a major health issue. CNG is 1% of diesel emissions of PM2.5 Graph above from Nylund and Koponen 2012 shows cumulative distribution of particulate matter versus the concentration in exponetial (orders of magnitude) scale. Note conflict with numbers on slide 5 - discuss 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD Page: 6

Other Health considerations Mutagenicity is the measure of exposure to certain carcinogens. All Hydrocarbons contain carcinogens including PAH - Poly Aromatic Hydrocarbons (ie Benzene et al). Formaldehyde used in catalysts and a range of other chemicals created in the combustion process are present in exhaust gases. Unburnt hydrocarbons especially Non Methane Hydrocarbons with high carbon numbers are present depending on the efficiency of the engines and the stability of the production process (biogas can produce these). Fuel Quality, test cycles, vehicle type, filter and catalysts all play a part in giving variable outcomes in research. 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD Page: 7

Climate Change Impacts The climate impact of each fuel is measured in Tonnes of CO2 equivalents per kilometer. This is calculated by adding the sum of the following: A. Amount of CO2 exhausted per kilometer, B. Amount of Methane (CH4) exhaust per kilometer time the green house gas impact factor of 34, C. Amount of PM10 multiplied by 0.75 (to convert to Black Carbon Factor) and then multiplied again by the greenhouse gas impact factor of 900. Type Diesel CNG CBG CO2 g/km 1000 800 800 CH4 0.05 8 8 CH4 as CO2e g/km 1.7 272 272 PM10 0.18 0.06 0.05 PM10 as CO2e g/km 162 54 45 total GHG g/km 1163.7 1126 1117 Assuming a carbon price of 2/T CO2e, the cost would be 0.093/km (assuming 20 year horizon in IPCC 2013). 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD Page: 8

Assessing Other Impacts Sweden with the EU developed the ASEC model to measure the cost impact of vehicle emissions. A Dutch group subsequently reviewed the impacts and proposed 0.004/km for Nox, 0.002/km for PM10 and 0.075/km for CO2e giving a total of 0.092/km. These Figures have been used in modelling for CNG/ Bio-methane Buses regionally. The actual health costs will vary from country to country as will the impact of green initiatives on share price. The figures for Holland are unlikely to be applicable to India or Pakistan. Further research is required on the impact of these health and social costs in each country on specific routes and under controlled conditions. 2014 STRATCOn SINGAPORE PTE LTD Page: 9