Transportation Systems Paolo Carmassi VP and GM, Asia Pacific May 8, 2006
Forward Looking Statements This report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of fact, that address activities, events or developments that we or our management intend, expect, project, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on management s assumptions and assessments in light of past experience and trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other relevant factors. They are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions may differ from those envisaged by our forward-looking statements. Our forward-looking statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties, which can affect our performance in both the near- and long-term. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 2
Honeywell Today APAC China EMEA 36% 34% External Sales $0.6B Total Trade $1.2B Americas 118,000 employees in nearly 100 countries A Fortune 75 company $30 billion in sales in 2006 One of 30 select companies in the DJIA Pie Chart calculated using 2005 Sales 3
HON in China 21 Legal Entities: 11 wholly-owned 10 joint ventures +4,000 employees Investment 1990-2000 Timeline 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 ACS Tianjin Ltd. SH C&K Sinopec JV ACS Sensors TS HTT AERO R&O Sites ACS C&K China TS Friction AERO ECS Parts AERO APU Parts 2001-2005 2002 2003 2005 ACS Fire S&C SM Nylon SM UOP External Sales 2005 $550M 2006E $800M V% 45% Sales by Segment SM Aero TS ACS 4 Rapid Expansion
China s Contribution To Global Growth China represents 4% of world economy but accounts for 11% of global growth China Share of Worldwide Global Rank Absolute size 2004 Growth 1999-2004 Size Growth GDP 4.1% 10.8% 7 2 Capital Expenditure 8.8% 31.0% 3 1 Exports 6.6% 14.1% 3 1 Imports 6.2% 13.8% 3 1 Foreign Direct Investment 8.2% N.M.* 3 1 5 International Reserves** 14.7% 21.0% 2 2 * Global FDI over 1999-2004 declined at 7% annually ** International reserves include foreign currency and gold reserves Source: EIU, World Bank China A Major Growth Engine For The World
Industrial GDP Contribution Half of industrial growth is expected to come from emerging markets 1.4 Real industrial GDP 1999 2015 (1) (US$ trillion) 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.24 1.23 1.19 0.41 0.40 0.38 0.35 0.28 0.18 0 NAFTA China EU South America SEA Japan Russia India Eastern Europe 6 (1) At 1996 prices Source: EIU; World Bank; CIA; BCG estimates Emerging Region China is Leading ERs in Terms of Scale and Speed
Long Term Global Growth Outlook: 2005-2030 12,000 Incremental GDP Created between 2005-2030 ($B) 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 USA China India SE Asia Russia Latin America EU5 Eastcentral Europe Japan 7 Source: EIU, Global Outlook (May 2005) Significant Economic Strength
Transportation Systems Sales ($B) 4.5 4.3 ~4.4 3.7 Revenue Mix Sales by Region Geography Mix Turbo 57% CPG 43% Americas 42% Europe 48% 2003 2004 2005 2006E 2003 2004 2005 2006E Turbo Technologies Consumer Products Group 57% 43% Asia 10% 8 Leader In Key Automotive Segments
Turbo Technologies Sales by Region Europe 58% Asia 12% Americas 30% Sales by Segment Comm l Diesel 33% Passenger Vehicles 67% Turbo Volume ~9M units 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E 9 Priorities Technology leadership Platform wins VPD and HOS as competitive advantage Key Customers: All major OEMs Global Leader In Turbo Technology
Consumer Products Group Sales by Brand Sales by Region FRAM 23% Autolite 10% Prestone-Holts 25% Bendix-Jurid 42% Europe 32% Asia 6% Americas 62% Priorities Win with winners Extend brands Global growth Key Customers: Retailers, WD, OEM 10 6 Strong Brands Focused On Growth In Asia
TS Asia Footprint CPG Friction -Guangzhou -Thailand JV 50% -Malaysia JV 50% -Ballarat JV 51% INDIA MONGOLIA KOREA CHINA THAILAND MALAYSIA JAPAN PHILIPPINES Turbo -China Global Tech Center -Japan Technical center -Korea -India, Opened 4Q05 -Sydney SINGAPORE 11 CPG Holt Lloyd -Japan JV 90% Distribution -SE Asia / China Branches -Australia / New Zealand Distribution INDONESIA AUSTRALIA $450M Sales, 1,500 People NEW ZEALAND
TS Aspirations for China How we think about China: Market Sales Profits Sourcing Employees Assets R&D People 4 Expand into New Markets & Adjacencies 5 Create Global Growth Platform Based on Key Themes 3 Revolutionize Global Cost Structure 1 2 China Business Growth Growth above market Sustain profitability 12 China As A Key Growth Platform
Auto Industry and Drivers - China China s Coastal Area 35.8% of nation s GDP in 2005 30% of nation s real investment in 2005 78% of nation s real usage of foreign investment Hwy Kilometers 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 - Highway Expansion Highway Cargo Transportation Turnover (Bn T) / KM 2005 832 2004 762 2003 710 2002 678 2001 633 2000 613 China 06 GDP Growth: 8% 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 East Central West 2004 2006 2008 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Source: DRI Vehicle Market Demand ( 000) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 HMCV LCV PV 13 Automotive considered pillar industry for the nation Emphasis on energy & environmental protection Coastal area GDP drives demand for private vehicles JVs still only path for foreign OEs to succeed Industry keen to build local brands Overseas expansion: not if but when Third Largest Automotive Market In The World
Automotive Emission Legislation European CO2 Reduction Objectives 180 165g/km CO 2 [g/km] 160 140 120 100 140g/km -15% 120g/km 2002 2008 2012-27% NOx & Particulates PM [g/km] 0.10 Japan Japan 2000 PM [g/km] 0.10 Europe/China Euro II (1996/2004) PM [g/km] 0.10 USA 14 Tier I (1994) 0.05 0.05 Euro III (2001/2007) 0.05 Japan 2005 Euro IV (2005/2010) Tier II (2004) Euro V (2009/Not decided) Tier II (2007) 0.0 0.5 0.8 NOx (g/km) 0.0 0.5 0.8 NOx (g/km) 0.0 0.5 Nox (g/km) 0.8 China Set To Follow European Emission Standard
Automotive Market Dynamic 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Source: DRI YOYGR Diesel Rate Vehicle Market Demand ( 000) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 HMCV LCV PV PV LV CV PV LV CV 2003 2004 2005 2006 71% 15% -5% 0.2% 34% 93% 14% 10% 34% 0.4% 35% 95% 26% 6% -20% 0.9% 36% 95% 16% 5% 11% 1.3% 39% 96% Segment Analysis China headlines, passenger car boom CV segment flat, broad YOY fluctuations LV diesel growth, turbo rate increasing with emission standards PV Diesel on Government agenda Key Enablers: Fuel, Offer, Taxation Benefits of Turbo Diesel Improve engine efficiency: 30% less fuel burned Reduce CO2 emission by 30% Meets most stringent emission standards (Euro IV/V) Improve performance: power and torque Turbo Rate 15 PV LV CV 0.0% 10% 91% 0.1% 16% 92% 0.4% 19% 92% 0.7% 22% 94% Increasing Requirement For Clean Technologies Favors TS Proven and reliable technology available, today
However... There is great disorder under heaven. The situation is excellent! - Chairman Mao The sky is high and the emperor is far! - Anonymous 16 China: You Are Always Learning!
Honeywell Turbo China Location: Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park, Pudong New Area Ownership: Initial Investment: Wholly owned US$27 million Groundbreaking: September, 1994 Land area: 24,500 sq. m. Building area: 8,000 sq. m. Output (2004) 470,000 units Employees: 350 Products: Customers: Turbochargers Major engine manufacturer Successful Business Since 1994 17