RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) TANKER TRAFFIC STREAM ANALYSIS USING AIS 200-205 CROSSING LINE COUNTS Dr. J. Rene van Dorp and Dr. Jason R.W Merrick April 206 4/5/206 GW-VCU
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) Georgia Strait 5 Cherry Point Buoy J 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Six Departure/ Destination Zones:. Buoy J 2. Puget Sound. Georgia Strait 4. March Point 5. Cherry Point 6. Vendovi Ten AIS Count lines:. Neah Bay 2. Point Roberts. Admiralty Inlet 4. Haro-Strait 5. Boundary Pass 6. Rosario South 7. Rosario North 8. Saddle Bag North 9. Saddle Bag South 0. Bellingham Channel 4/5/206 2 2 Puget Sound
Neah Bay Georgia Strait VTRA 205 Waterway Schematic + AIS s Haro Rosario Point Roberts Bellingham Channel 5 Cherry Point Saddle Bag s 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Buoy J AVERAGE VESSEL COUNT ERROR ATB Cargo Tanker 5 99 2 Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) 4/5/206 ã GW-VCU 4
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) # VESSELS CHANGE FROM 200 80 60 40 20 0-20 -40-60 -80-00 TANKER - DEPARTING FROM LOCATION ZONES 200 20 202 20 204 205 BOUY J PUGET SOUND GEORGIA STRAIT MARCH POINT CHERRY POINT VENDOVI FROM 200 20 202 20 204 205 BOUY J 0 5-7 - -54-78 PUGET SOUND 0-8 -4-54 -4 GEORGIA STRAIT 0-46 -4-40 - -25 MARCH POINT 0 65 2 48 7 2 CHERRY POINT 0 4-2 8 6-7 VENDOVI 0 46 6 57 8 0 Change Threshold From Zone Variable 200 20 202 20 204 205 2 x2 0-6 -7-0 -48-42 x 0-28 -28-25 -25-22 x4 0 4-0 x5r 0 2 5 8-6 -9 x5h 0-5 -6 0-7 -7 0 x6b 0 2 0 7 0 0 0 x6s 0 9 8 27 9 5 x2 0 - - -5 0 x2h 0-8 -9-9 -7-2 0 x2r 0 2 - - - - 0 x24 0 5 6-7 -4-7 0 x25 0 4 - - - - 0 x26b 0-4 -5-5 -4-5 0 x26s 0 0-6 - -2 0 x 0-47 -45-49 -49-46 x2h 0 - - - 0 4 0 x2r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 x4s 0 4 0 8 2 0 0 X4R 0 0 0 0 5 0 x5 0-4 - 9 6 x6 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 x4 0 20 7 6 - -9 0 x42 0 7 0 - - - 0 x4s 0 0 0 7 5 0 x4r 0 - - 0 - - 0 x45s 0 2 5 2 6 0 x45r 0 9-8 6-5 - x46s 0 9 2 0 0 x46r 0 8 4 24 7 9 x5h 0 - -5 0-0 x5r 0 27 0 4 2-9 x52 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 x5 0-2 - 2 6 0 x54s 0 6-8 5 0 x54r 0 7-7 7-0 0 x56 0-6 -6 - -4 0 x6b 0 4 0 x6r 0 6 6 0 x62b 0-2 0-2 -2-0 x62r 0 2 4 0 0 0 0 x6 0 0 0 5 2 0 x64s 0 2 4 8 6 0 x64r 0-2 4 8 5 x65 0 4-7 5 0 0 Vendovi Cherry Point March Point Georgia Strait Puget Sound Buoy J
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) TANKERS TRAFFIC STREAM ANALYSIS USING AIS 200 CROSSING LINE DATA Dr. J. Rene van Dorp and Dr. Jason R.W Merrick April 206 4/5/206 GW-VCU 7
Neah Bay Georgia Strait VTRA 205 Waterway Schematic + AIS s Haro Rosario Point Roberts Bellingham Channel 5 Cherry Point Saddle Bag s 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 8 2 Puget Sound
East West Difference Grand Total MAX ATB 72 66 6 8 72 Cargo 204 2996 208 6200 204 Passenger 265 229 6 494 265 Tanker 599 557 42 56 599 Grand Total 440 848 292 7988 440 X X 5H X 5R X 6S X 6B X 4 X 2 Neah Bay Buoy J Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Buoy J 600 Total 22 Haro Rosario Point Roberts 6 82 42 Admiralty Inlet 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 52 8 6 Vendovi 4 Saddle Bag s March Point 69 4/5/206 9 2 Puget Sound
North South Difference Grand Total MAX ATB 2 20 4 2 Cargo 696 627 69 2 696 Passenger 852 849 70 852 Tanker 75 7 2 48 75 Grand Total 2646 2569 77 525 2646 Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Puget Sound 9 Haro Rosario Line Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 2 5 6 Vendovi 7 Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Admiralty Inlet Buoy J 4/5/206 X 2 X 2H X 2R X 25 X 24 76 total X 26B X 26S 2 Puget Sound 0
East West Difference Grand Total MAX ATB 29 2 6 2 Cargo 222 227 59 448 227 Passenger 00 29 29 229 29 Tanker 244 24 487 244 Grand Total 2585 2675 90 5260 2675 Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Georgia Strait 242 Haro 244 total X 4S X X X 5 2H X 2R X 4R X 6 Rosario Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 0 0 0 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 0 2 Puget Sound
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) Other 200 AIS Data BOUNDARY PASS North South Grand Total Grand Total Average ATB 6 6 28 Cargo 242 245 4498 4487 984 Passenger 99 76 205 75 49 Tanker 265 252 520 57 60 Grand Total 2709 2476 5229 585 266 ROSARIO SOUTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB 79 78 57 78.5 Cargo 66 7 5 7 68.5 Passenger 45 56 0 50.5 Tanker 20 9 6 5.5 Grand Total 50 525 24 026 5 HARO STRAIT North South Grand Total Grand Total Average ATB 6 6 0 Cargo 280 20 4522 4490 228 Passenger 7 8 288 255 0 Tanker 246 27 57 57 202 Grand Total 2566 2702 5 5268 2668 BELLINGHAM CHANNEL North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB 0 4 6 4 7 Cargo 22 48 26 70 5 Passenger 4 47 4 90 45 Tanker 2 20 26 Grand Total 98 02 4 200 00 ROSARIO NORTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB 75 8 6 56 78 Cargo 5 57 4 0 55 Passenger 57 64 7 2 60.5 Tanker 252 270 8 522 26 Grand Total 47 472 5 909 454.5 SADDLEBAGS NORTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB 46 5 77 8.5 Cargo 20 4 6 24 2 Passenger 52 79 27 65.5 Tanker 90 6 29 5 75.5 Grand Total 9 90 8 9.5 SADDLEBAGS SOUTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB 8 6 2 74 7 Cargo 2 5 27.5 Passenger 2 4 2 Tanker 5 55 50 60 0 Grand Total 56 09 5 65 82.5 4/5/206 GW-VCU 2
Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM March Point Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 5 Neah Bay 0 4 0 Rosario X 42 X 4 X 4R 6 5 X 45R X 46R X 46S X 45S X 4S 7 total 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound
Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Cherry Point Point Roberts X 5 X 5H X 5R X 52 X 54R 284 total 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 20 242 Neah Bay X 54S X 56 Haro Rosario 0 5 6 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound 4
Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Vendovi Haro Rosario Point Roberts 44 50 X 65 X 6 X6R X 64R X 62R X 6B X 62B X 64S 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel total 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 5 2 0 2 Puget Sound
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)
RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)