The Future of Energy Intensive Industry

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The Future of Energy Intensive Industry Mike Fuge CEO Refining NZ 1 November 2018 1

KEY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSET Supplies 70% of the country s refined fuel products Operates the multi-product pipeline supplying Auckland Only oil refinery in New Zealand Established 1961 396 employees 200 contractors Processes crude oil on behalf of BP, ExxonMobil and Z Energy (who are also shareholders) to produce petrol, diesel, jet fuel, and bitumen

KEY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSET 58% 67% 85% of the country s petrol of the country s diesel of the country s jet fuel Only oil refinery in New Zealand ~9% of Northland s GDP

DESPITE OUR SIZE WE DO COMPETE Carbon intensity If RNZ improves its energy performance by 5% and the electricity available is 100% from renewable sources, RNZ will have a carbon intensity 2% lower than a modern Asian refinery RNZ Asia RNZ adjusted * *100% renewable electricity supply and 5% improvement in energy efficiency

MY BACKGROUND 30 Years experience 20 years Shell International COO Genesis Energy CEO Pacific Hydro 2014 to 2018 renewable developer and operator Chile, Australia and Brazil now 100% owned by State Power Investment Corporation CEO Refining NZ August 2018 till now

ENERGY INTENSIVE INDUSTRIES IN NZ EITE* Locations 30,000 $2 bn EITE FTE employees Annual employee wages Includes Refining NZ, NZ Steel, NZ Aluminium Smelters, Fonterra, Methanex Significant direct employment Every Refining NZ FTE creates another two in Northland, another six across NZ** Support for local suppliers e.g. Culham Engineering (RNZ supplier since 1964) * Energy Intensive Trade Exposed **Source: The New Zealand Refining Company: Our Contribution. Northtec, 2007

SO WHAT ARE WE GOING TO DO?

DON T LOSE FOCUS: DELIVER THE CORE World class Health & Safety High Performance culture Continue to deliver for investors, employees, customers: Outstanding Health and Safety Performance Outstanding Environmental Performance Climate change isn t the only issue we face Quality and Reliability World class Environmental performance Competitive Operational excellence Strong LEAN culture

CREATE A FUTURE Invest for revenue growth with increased focus on energy efficiency 9 Te Mahi Hou TOYOTA COROLLA 2017 2018 Small Car: Saloon 120,000 tonnes/year CO 2 reduction = 60,000 Toyota Corollas Te Mahi Hou $365 million = $4.6 billion spent on Tesla Model 3s TESLA MODEL 3

CREATE A FUTURE Sulphur solidification keeping NZ fuels clean 10

CREATE A FUTURE Bitumen expansion carbon and sulphur capture in a MARPOL world 11

CREATE A FUTURE Dredging allowing more efficient transportation of crude 12

FIND NEW BOUNDARIES Electricity Biofuel Hydrogen

BIOFUELS Biofuels plant would require Investment in the region of $500m Biodiesel Production Transesterfication An oil price 2-3 times higher than what it is today 1st Generation Wheat, Sugarcane, Corn. Tallow Ethanol Production Fermentation/Distillation 2nd Generation Wood, Waste Grass, Algae Drop-In Fuel Production Pyrolisis / Hydro-processes Gasification / FT etc

BIOFUELS To produce 100% of NZ s jet and diesel fuel needs would require: ~2,000,000 Ha of forests (115% of NZ s current plantation) Or, 70 million m 3 of logs, (equivalent to 4x NZ s 2016 log exports) Note: to meet our jet fuel needs alone would require: ~750,000 Ha of forests (45% of NZ s current plantation) Or, 26 million m 3 of logs, (equivalent to 1.5x NZ s 2016 log exports)

HYDROGEN We are New Zealand s largest producer of purified hydrogen and have the capability to produce more

WHATEVER WE DO WE DO NEED Consistent and bipartisan policy settings that can sustain 30 year investment cycles Chile a good case study Consistent energy policy settings for over 40 years Renewable energy projects under construction*: Solar Wind Hydro Thermal 1,151 MW 508 MW 962 MW 1,441 MW A lot of electricity Heaps of bio feedstock (it s not a hobby) And it has to be cheap *Source: Renewable Energy in Chile. Ministry of Energy, Chile, May 2016.

A BRIGHT FUTURE SUPPORTED BY TECHNOLOGY A low carbon economy will require a mix of energy sources and investment in new technologies But, cost of wind power per kw (for example) has reduced significantly and will continue to fall Further technology advances will allow EITE to adapt and continue to support jobs, national and regional growth, contribution to NZ s emissions reduction targets

The Future of Energy Intensive Industry Mike Fuge CEO Refining NZ 1 November 2018 19