Annual Oil Statistics

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Transcription:

Annual Oil Statistics Oil Questionnaire Overview Energy Statistics Training International Energy Agency Ana-Luisa Sao Marcos Annual Oil Statistician

Share of oil in Total Primary Energy Supply share of oil in TPES remains the biggest

Oil Questionnaire Collecting Reporting Disseminating

Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

Data Collection Cycle Year Year+1 Year+2 DATA COLLECTION PROCESS DATA PUB COUNTRY IEA x34

Collecting Data National Authority

Multiple Companies National Authority IEA/ESTAT/UNSD

Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

Table 1 Questionnaire Structure Table 2A & 2B Table 3

Year & Country Table 1 Supply of Crude Oil, NGL, Refinery Feedstocks, Additives and Others

Table 1 1. Crude Oil A mineral oil of natural origin comprising a mixture of hydrocarbons and associated impurities. It exists in the liquid phase under normal surface temperature and pressure and its physical characteristics. 2. Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Liquid or liquefied hydrocarbons recovered from natural gas in separation facilities or gas processing plants. 3. Refinery Feedstocks Processed oil destined for further processing. 4. Additives/Oxygenates Non-hydrocarbon compounds added to or blended to modify fuel properties. 5. Other Hydrocarbons Synthetic crude oil.

Crude, NGL & Feedstocks Flows From Other Sources Exports Direct Use Stock Change Production Refinery Imports Backflows from Petrochemical Industry Products Transferred

Table 2A and 2B Table 2A & 2B

Table 2A Supply of Finished Products

Supply of Finished Products IEA data collection Refinery Gas Ethane LPG Naphtha Motor Gasoline Aviation Gasoline Gasoline Type Jet Fuel Kerosene Type Jet Fuel Other Kerosene Gas/Diesel Oil Fuel Oil White Spirit and SBP Lubricants Bitumen Paraffin Waxes Petroleum Coke Other Oil Products Lighter molecules Transport Diesel Heating and Other Gasoil Low Sulphur Fuel Oil High Sulphur Fuel Oil Heavier molecules

Oil Product Flow Chart Refinery Fuel International Marine Bunkers Exports Products Transferred Gross Output Inland Deliveries Refinery Crude Oil Primary Products Receipts Recycled Products Imports Interproduct Transfers Stock Change

Table 2B: Petrochemical Flows Refinery INLAND DELIVERY Petrochemical plant Fertilisers Plastics Feedstock - Ethane - Naphtha - LPG - Gas/Diesel Oil - Other Non Energy Use Synthetic rubber and fiber Pesticides PETROCHEMICAL BACKFLOWS (e.g. pyrolysis gasoline)

Table 3 Table 3

Table 3: Gross Deliveries by Sector Transformation Sector Energy Sector Distribution Loss Transport Sector Gross Inland Deliveries Total Final Consumption Industry Sector Residential Commercial Agriculture Fishing Etc

Transformation & Energy Sectors GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (1) TOTAL TRANSFORMATION SECTOR Main Activity Producer Electricity Plants (2) Autoproducer Electricity Plants (3) Main Activity Producer CHP Plants (2) Autoproducer CHP Plants (3) Main Activity Producer Heat Plants (2) Autoproducer Heat Plants (3) Gas Works (Transformation) Blended Natural Gas Coke Ovens (Transformation) Blast Furnaces Petrochemical Industry Patent Fuel Plants Non Specified (Transformation) TOTAL ENERGY SECTOR Coal Mines Oil and Gas Extraction Coke Ovens (Energy) Blast Furnaces Gas Works (Energy) Power Plants Non Specified (Energy) Quantities of fuel that will be use to produce another energy form Main activity producers: all fuel used for all production Autoproducers: all fuel used for all electricity produced and fuel used for heat sold only Quantities of fuel that will be consumed to support the oil and gas extraction or the transformation activity Distribution Losses

Final Consumption FINAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL TRANSPORT SECTOR International Aviation Domestic Aviation Road Rail Domestic Navigation Pipeline Transport Non Specified (Transport) TOTAL INDUSTRY SECTOR Iron and Steel Chemical (incl. Petrochemical) Non Ferrous Metals Non Metallic Mineral Products Transportation Equipment Machinery Mining and Quarrying Food, Beverages and Tobacco Pulp, Paper and Printing Wood and Wood Products Construction Textiles and Leather Non Specified (Industry) TOTAL OTHER SECTORS Commerce - Public Services Residential Agriculture/Forestry Fishing Non Specified (Other) Oil used for transport activity, regardless of the sector Breakdown International / Domestic Aviation is very important for the CO 2 calculation Oil used in support of primary activities Includes oil consumed for autoproducer heat that is not sold ISIC http://millenniumindicators.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/ Oil used in other sectors Agriculture includes non-highway use in tractors

Gross Deliveries Gross Inland Deliveries Non- Energy Use

Of Which: Non-Energy Use is already included in Gross Deliveries Naphtha Gas / Diesel Oil Lubricant Bitumen Other Products Inland Demand 3000 23200 800 1900 500 Transf. 170 200 Energy Non-Energy Use Transport 16600 300 Industry 2830 3800 490 1900 500 Chemical 2830 900 Others 2600 10 Non- Energy 2830 700 800 1900 500 Use Transport 300 Industry 2830 700 490 1900 500 Chemical 2830 700 Others 10

Table 4 and 5 Table 4 Country of Origin for 102 countries Table 5 Country of Destination for 94 countries Crude Oil, NGL, Additives: country of ultimate origin Refinery Feedstocks, Other Hydrocarbons: country of last consignment

Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire (brief overview) Disseminating Data

Verification of the questionnaire Data are loaded into IEA databases and verified Arithmetically Aggregates LS Fuel Oil + HS Fuel Oil = Fuel Oil Stock Change = Opening - Closing stock levels No breaks in stock levels Opening = Closing of Previous Year Internal consistency e.g. Total imports by origin = Imports on Supply report Comparison with National Publications

Gross Refinery Output Indigenous Production (+) 1 Other Sources (+) 2 Backflows from Petrochemical Industry (2) (+) 3 Products Transferred (3) (+) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Direct Use (includes transfers to consumption) (6) (-) 7 Stock Change (+ or -) (7) (+) 8 REFINERY INTAKE (Calculated) (sum of 1 to 8) (=) 9 Statistical Difference (+ or -) (9 minus 11) (-) 10 REFINERY INTAKE (Observed) (=) 11 MEMO ITEMS: Table 1 Refinery Losses 12 Crude Oil Natural Gas Liquids Refinery Feedstocks Additives (1)/ Oxygenates Of which Biofuels (1) Other Hydrocarbons TOTAL (A to F, excl. E) A B C D E F G 20 000 200 Table 2A Primary Product Receipts (2) (+) 1 Gross Refinery Output (3) (including refinery fuel) (+) 2 Recycled Products (+) 3 Refinery Fuel (-) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Intl. Marine Bunkers (-) 7 Interproduct Transfers (6) (+ or -) (+) 8 Products Transferred (7) (-) 9 Stock Change (+ or -) (8) (+) 10 GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (Calculated) (=) 11 Statistical Difference (9) (-) 12 GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (Observed) (=) 13 TOTAL (A to W excl. H,N) X 19 800 Gr. Ref. Output Ref. Intake 19 800 20 000 Ref. Losses 200

Table 2A Table 1 Table 3 Direct Use/ Primary Product Receipts Crude Oil Addit./ Oxygen. Motor Gasoline Indigenous Production 500 110 5 000 Imports 224 300 190 Exports 600 Direct Use 14 900 100 1 300 Stock Change -3 700-100 NGL Ethane LPG Refinery Intake 206 200 200 3 000 Primary Product Receipts 14 900 100 1 300 Interproduct Transfers -1 300 200 1 100 Gross Inland Deliveries 14 900 2000 200 2 300 Inland Demand 14 900 2 000 200 2 300 Public Electricity Plants 14 900 Road Sector 2 000 300 Chemical Sector 200 2 000

Total Imports and Exports Table 1 Indigenous Production (+) 1 Other Sources (+) 2 Backflows from Petrochemical Industry (2) (+) 3 Products Transferred (3) (+) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Direct Use (includes transfers to consumption) (6) (-) 7 Stock Change (+ or -) (7) (+) 8 REFINERY INTAKE (Calculated) (sum of 1 to 8) (=) 9 Statistical Difference (+ or -) (9 minus 11) (-) 10 REFINERY INTAKE (Observed) (=) 11 Crude Oil Natural Gas Liquids Refinery Feedstocks Additives (1)/ Oxygenates Of which Biofuels (1) Other Hydrocarbons TOTAL (A to F, excl. E) A B C D E F G Table 4: Imports by Origin row 104 Table 5: Exports by Destination row 104 Crude Oil, NGL, Additives: country of ultimate origin Refinery Feedstocks, Other Hydrocarbons: country of last consignment

kilo tonnes Intra-fuel comparison 445 Electricity vs. oil inputs into electricity plants 425 405 385 365 345 AOS ELE 325 305 285 265 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year

Main Problems Timeliness Breaks in time series Statistical Differences Negative Refinery Losses Trade (submissions sometimes very different from one country to another) Inconsistencies between Questionnaires

oct.-07 janv.-08 avr.-08 juil.-08 oct.-08 janv.-09 avr.-09 juil.-09 oct.-09 janv.-10 avr.-10 juil.-10 oct.-10 janv.-11 avr.-11 kilo tonnes Breaks in time series 11000 10500 10000 9500 9000 8500 8000 7500 7000 Crude Oil Stock

Inconsistency between AOS & MOS

Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

Accessing Oil Information

Accessing the Data Data Service Book

Thank you Tianlai Xu oilaq@iea.org