First Trends H2020 vs FP7: winners and losers

First Trends H2020 vs FP7: winners and losers Special focus on EU13 countries by Christian Saublens for EURADA INTRODUCTION Based on data available on the Cordis website on 3 December 2015, it is possible to find out how Member States stakeholders have or haven t been (more) successful in participating in H2020 compared with FP7. The chosen way is to compare the market share (% of beneficiaries) of each Member State at EU28 level or inside the EU13 community for 14 thematic priorities. The 9 main trends observed are: EU13 market share improved by 2 points of percentage in early H2020 vs FP7, The main winners are Slovenia and Spain, The main losers are the UK and France, All EU13 countries have increased their market share or at least maintained it, In EU13, the main winners are Slovenia, Estonia, Cyprus and Latvia, In EU13, the main losers are Poland, Hungary and Romania, In EU13, Slovenia and Latvia increased their market share both in the topics related to Societal Challenges and Industrial Leadership, whilst the Czech Republic lost market shares in both areas. Estonia won market shares in Industrial Leadership and SMEs, but lost some in the Societal Challenges strand, EU13 countries have the higher market share increase in the field of Science in Society (+8), Energy (+5.3) and Health (+4.8). Their losses are in the field of SMEs (-2) and Security (-1), The leadership is rather stable. In EU13, the Top 5 is PL, CZ, SI, HU and RO. At the end of FP7 it was PL, HU, CZ, RO and SI. In EU15, it is now UK, DE, ES, FR and IT as against UK, DE, FR, ES and IT for FP7. 1

I. OVERALL TRENDS The table 1 below presents data regarding the developments in the market share for EU28 Member States, as well as inside the EU15 and EU13 communities. Table 1: Global market share FP7 and H2020 Ʃ FP7 % EU28 % EU15 Ʃ H2020 % EU28 % EU15 EU28 H2020-FP7 EU15 H2020 - FP7 AT 3307 3.2 3.6 514 3.5 4.0 0.3 0.4 BE 5166 5.0 5.6 701 4.7 5.5-0.3-0.1 DE 13272 12.9 14.3 1810 12.3 13.9-0.5-0.4 DK 2682 2.6 2.9 421 2.9 3.2 0.2 0.3 ES 10021 9.7 10.8 1529 10.4 11.8 0.7 1.0 FI 2313 2.3 2.5 365 2.5 2.8 0.2 0.3 FR 10903 10.6 11.7 1339 9.1 10.3-1.5-1.4 EL 3552 3.5 3.8 480 3.3 3.7-0.2-0.1 IE 2110 2.1 2.3 322 2.2 2.4 0.2 0.1 IT 9345 9.1 10.0 1328 9.0 10.2-0.1 0.2 LU 240 0.2 0.3 76 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 NL 7297 7.1 7.8 1053 7.2 8.1 0.1 0.3 PT 2163 2.1 2.3 387 2.6 3.0 0.5 0.7 SE 4028 3.9 4.3 547 3.7 4.2-0.2-0.1 UK 16630 16.1 17.8 2136 14.5 16.4-1.6-1.4 EU15 93029 90.4 100 13008 88.4 % EU13 % EU13 EU13 H2020 - FP7 BG 606 0.6 6.1 98 0.7 5.8 0.1-0.3 CY 484 0.5 4.9 107 0.7 6.3 0.2 1.4 CZ 1307 1.2 13.2 214 1.5 12.6 0.3-0.6 EE 549 0.5 5.5 121 0.8 7.1 0.3 1.6 HU 1478 1.4 14.9 204 1.4 12.0 0.0-2.9 HR 384 0.4 3.9 79 0.5 4.7 0.1 0.8 LT 367 0.4 3.7 63 0.4 3.7 0.0 0.0 LV 274 0.3 2.7 70 0.5 4.1 0.2 1.4 MT 186 0.2 1.8 33 0.2 1.9 0.0 0.1 PL 2082 2.0 21.0 293 2.0 17.2 0.0-3.8 RO 956 0.9 9.6 149 1.0 8.8 0.1-0.8 SK 436 0.4 4.4 94 0.6 5.5 0.2 1.1 SL 809 0.8 8.2 175 1.2 10.2 0.4 2.0 EU13 9918 9.6 1700 11.6 EU28 102947 100 14708 100 2

The main trends are the following: EU13 increased their market share by 2 points of percentage; In EU28, the winners are Spain (+0.7), Portugal (+0.5) and Slovenia (+0.4). The three losers are the UK (-1.6), France (-1.5) and Germany (-0.5). None of the EU13 Member States has lost any % of their market share, but 4 Member States have stagnated: Hungary, Lithuania, Malta and Poland. Inside the EU13 community the winners are Slovenia (+2.0), Estonia (+1.6), Cyprus (+1.4), Latvia (+1.4), Slovakia (+1.1), Croatia (+0.8) and Malta (+0.1). The losers are Bulgaria (-0.3), Czech Republic (-0.6), Romania (-,0.8), Hungary (-2.9) and Poland (-3.8), whilst Lithuania didn t change its market share; Inside the EU15 community, the winners are Spain (+1.0), Portugal (+0.7), Austria (+0.4), Denmark (+3.0), Finland (+0.3), the Netherlands (+0.3), Luxemburg (0.2), Italy (+0.1) and Ireland (+0.1). The losers are the UK (-1.4), France (-1.4), Germany (-0.4), Belgium (-0.1), Greece (-0.1) and Sweden (-0.1). Table 2 below shows for a sample of 14 thematic priorities the market share of EU15 and EU13 as well as changes that have occurred between H2020 and FP7. The main increases for EU13 can be found in Science and Society, Energy and Health. The only losses are noted in the SME Instruments strand. 3

Table 2: EU15 vs EU13 - Thematic priorities FP7 vs 2020 Theme FP7 H2020 Δ EU28 EU15 EU13 EU28 EU15 EU13 H2020 - FP7 Nr Nr % Nr % Nr Nr % Nr % for EU13 Health 8342 7770 93.14 572 6.86 1178 1041 88.37 137 11.63 4.77 KBBE (Food & Bio) 5215 4643 89.03 572 10.97 779 674 86.52 105 13.48 2.51 Energy 2746 2500 91.04 246 8.96 1115 956 85.74 159 14.26 5.3 Environment 4930 4419 89.63 511 10.37 593 511 86.17 82 13.83 3.46 Transport 5478 4931 90.01 547 9.99 829 739 89.14 90 10.86 0.87 Space 2119 1919 90.56 200 9.44 431 385 89.33 46 10.67 1.23 Ʃ Societal Challenges 28830 26182 90.57 2648 9.43 4925 4306 87.55 619 12.46 3.02 ICT 13279 12168 91.63 1111 8.37 1752 1589 90.7 163 9.3 0.93 NMP (Nano. Advanced Manufacturing & Materials) 6876 6220 90.46 656 9.54 1200 1084 90.33 116 9.67 0.13 Ʃ Industrial Leadership 20155 18388 91.05 1767 8.96 2952 2673 90.52 279 9.49 0.53 Ʃ SME 7487 6367 85.04 1120 14.96 1376 1198 87.06 178 12.94-2.02 Ʃ ERC 4722 4612 97.67 110 2.33 968 943 97.41 25 2.59 0.26 Ʃ other themes 10183 8603 84.06 1580 16.94 1849 1509 80.2675 340 19.7325 2.79 Science in Society 1569 1271 81.01 298 18.99 211 153 72.51 58 27.49 8.5 Security 2965 2616 88.23 349 15.77 400 341 85.25 59 14.75-1.02 SSH 2372 1983 83.6 389 16.4 385 311 80.78 74 19.22 2.82 Infrastructure 3277 2733 83.4 544 16.6 853 704 82.53 149 17.47 0.87 Ʃ of the 14 thematic priorities 71377 64152 88.89 7225 11.40 12070 10629 86.56 1441 13.44 2.04 4

II. EU13 COMMUNITY 2.1 Societal challenges The following thematic priorities have been taken into consideration for the analysis: a) H2020: Health, Food, Energy, Environment, Transport, Bio and Space; b) FP7: Health, KBBE, Energy, Environment, Transport and Space. The three winners are Slovenia (3.1), Estonia (2.2) and Latvia (2.0). The three losers are Poland (-4.0), Hungary (-2.4) and Czech Republic (-1.8). Table 3 below shows the trends in market share for the EU13 countries. Table 3: Societal Challenges in EU13 countries - FP7 vs H2020 FP7 H2020 Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 - FP7 BG 169 6.4 34 5.5-0.90 CY 91 3.4 27 4.4 1.00 CZ 366 13.8 74 12-1.80 EE 147 5.6 48 7.8 2.20 HU 384 14.5 75 12.1-2.40 HR 114 4.3 38 6.1 1.80 LT 108 4.1 18 2.9-1.20 LV 87 3.3 33 5.3 2.00 MT 37 1.4 9 1.5 0.10 PL 531 20.1 100 16.1-4.00 RO 274 10.3 58 9.4-0.90 SK 102 3.8 30 4.8 1.00 SL 238 9 75 12.1 3.10 Ʃ EU13 2648 100 619 100 5

Table 4 presents the trends priority by priority. Table 4: Societal Challenges theme - FP7 vs H2020 in EU13 - Market share between EU13 Member States Health Energy FP7 H2020 H2020 FP7 Ʃ % Ʃ % Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 FP7 BG 24 4.2 4 2.9-1.3 18 7.3 15 9.4 2.1 CY 11 1.9 5 3.6 1.7 16 6.5 7 4.3-2.2 CZ 80 14.0 17 12.4-1.6 22 8.9 17 10.7 1.8 EE 54 9.4 12 8.8-0.6 12 4.8 7 4.3-0.5 HU 107 18.7 25 18.2-0.5 25 10.2 12 7.5-2.7 HR 23 4.1 9 6.6 2.5 14 5.7 16 10.1 4.4 LT 24 4.2 0 0.0-4.2 13 5.3 5 3.2-2.1 LV 17 3.0 7 5.1 2.1 13 5.3 12 7.6 2.3 MT 4 0.7 0 0.0-0.7 3 1.2 4 2.5 1.3 PL 111 19.4 24 17.5-1.9 54 22.0 19 12.0-10.0 RO 48 8.4 12 8.8 0.4 17 6.9 17 10.7 3.8 SK 18 3.1 9 6.6 3.5 15 6.1 9 5.7-0.4 SL 51 8.9 13 9.5 0.6 24 9.8 19 12.0 2.2 Ʃ EU13 572 100 137 100 246 100 159 100.00 Transport Environment Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 FP7 Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 FP7 BG 26 4.7 3 3.3-1.4 44 8.6 4 4.9-3.7 CY 19 3.5 3 3.3-0.2 21 4.1 4 4.9 0.8 CZ 87 15.9 12 13.3-2.6 63 12.3 9 11.0-1.3 EE 12 2.2 7 7.9 5.7 21 4.1 7 8.5 4.4 HU 78 14.3 13 14.4 0.1 61 11.9 8 9.8-2.1 HR 24 4.4 3 3.3-1.1 23 4.5 3 3.6-0.9 LT 20 3.6 2 2.2-1.4 18 3.5 4 4.9 1.4 LV 14 2.6 2 2.2-0.4 11 2.2 2 2.4 0.2 MT 7 1.3 1 1.1-0.2 9 1.8 2 2.4 0.6 PL 139 25.4 20 22.2-3.2 80 15.7 11 13.4-2.3 RO 65 11.9 7 7.9-4.0 80 15.7 9 11.0-4.7 SK 21 3.8 2 2.2-1.6 19 3.7 5 6.1 2.4 SL 35 6.4 15 16.7 10.3 61 11.9 14 17.1 5.2 Ʃ EU13 547 100 90 100 511 100 82 100 6

Space Food & Bio Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 FP7 Ʃ % Ʃ % H2020 FP7 BG 14 7.0 3 6.5-0.5 43 7.5 5 4.8-2.7 CY 8 4.0 4 8.7 4.7 16 2.8 4 3.8 1.0 CZ 28 14.0 6 13.0-1.0 86 15.0 13 12.3-2.7 EE 19 9.5 3 6.5-3.0 29 5.1 12 11.4 6.3 HU 24 12.0 2 4.4-7.6 89 15.6 15 14.3-1.3 HR 5 2.5 1 2.1-0.4 25 4.4 6 5.7 1.3 LT 10 5.0 2 4.4-0.6 23 4.0 5 4.8 0.8 LV 8 4.0 3 6.5 2.5 24 4.2 7 6.7 2.5 MT 5 2.5 1 2.1-0.4 9 1.6 1 1.0-0.6 PL 45 22.5 12 26.1 3.6 102 17.8 14 13.3-4.5 RO 19 9.5 3 6.5-3.0 45 7.9 10 9.5 1.6 SK 3 1.5 2 4.4 2.9 26 4.5 3 2.9-1.6 SL 12 6.0 4 8.7 2.7 55 9.6 10 9.5-0.1 Ʃ EU13 200 100 46 99.9 572 100 105 100 2.2 Industrial Leadership The following thematic priorities are taken into account: a) H2020: ICT, Nano, Advanced Materials and Advanced Manufacturing; b) FP7: ICT and NMP. Table 5 below shows that the three main winners are Slovenia (+6.6), Estonia (+3.7) and Latvia (+2.9). The three main losers are Romania (-4.3), Czech Republic (-3.6) and Croatia (-2.1). Table 5: Industrial Leadership - FP7 vs H2020 in EU13 countries FP7 H2020 H2020 - FP7 Ʃ % Ʃ % BG 86 4.9 11 3.9-1.0 CY 82 4.6 17 6.1 1.5 CZ 248 14.0 29 10.4-3.6 EE 55 3.1 19 6.8 3.7 HU 241 13.6 35 12.6-1.0 HR 49 2.8 2 0.7-2.1 LT 56 3.2 7 2.5-0.7 LV 33 1.8 13 4.7 2.9 MT 20 1.1 2 0.7-0.4 PL 413 23.4 60 21.5-1.9 RO 191 10.8 18 6.5-4.3 SK 94 5.3 16 5.7 0.4 SL 199 11.3 50 17.9 6.6 Ʃ EU13 1767 100 279 100 7

Table 6 provides data per field of priorities. Table 6: Details of Industrial Challenges- FP7 vs H2020 in EU13 Member States FP7 ICT H2020 Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 68 6.1 6 3.7-2.4 CY 69 6.2 8 4.9-1.3 CZ 132 11.9 16 9.8-2.1 EE 42 3.8 17 10.4 6.6 HU 165 14.8 25 15.3 0.5 HR 40 3.6 2 1.2-2.4 LT 29 2.6 0 0.0-2.6 LV 19 1.7 7 4.3 2.6 MT 15 1.4 1 0.6-0.8 PL 245 22.1 31 19.1-3.0 RO 111 10.0 13 8.0-2.0 SK 55 5.0 8 4.9-0.1 SL 121 10.8 29 17.8 7.0 EU13 1111 100 163 100 NMP Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 18 2.7 5 4.3 1.6 CY 13 2.0 9 7.8 5.8 CZ 116 17.7 13 11.2-6.5 EE 13 2.0 2 1.7-0.3 HU 76 11.6 10 8.6-3.0 HR 9 1.4 0 0.0-1.4 LT 27 4.1 7 6.0 1.9 LV 14 2.1 6 5.2 3.1 MT 5 0.8 1 0.9 0.1 PL 168 25.6 29 25.0-0.6 RO 80 12.2 5 4.3-7.9 SK 39 5.9 8 6.9 1.0 SL 78 11.9 21 18.1 6.2 EU13 656 100 116 100 8

2.3 SME and ERC The priorities used for the comparison are: a) for FP7 SME and ERC ideas, b) H2020 SME instruments and ERC. For the SME instruments, the three winners are Slovenia (+8.1), Estonia (+5.6) and Poland (+2.6). The three losers are Cyprus (-6.5), Czech Republic (-3.9) and Bulgaria (-2.7). For ERC, the Czech Republic (+10.4), Cyprus (+10) and Romania (+7.1) are the winners. The losers are Poland (-18.2), Hungary (-12) and Bulgaria (-3.6). Table 7: SME and ERC - FP7 vs H2020 in EU13 Member States SME Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 62 5.5 5 2.8-2.7 CY 91 8.2 3 1.7-6.5 CZ 101 9.0 9 5.1-3.9 EE 113 10.1 28 15.7 5.6 HU 180 16.1 29 16.3 0.2 HR 62 5.5 6 3.4-2.1 LT 70 6.3 11 6.2-0.1 LV 18 1.6 6 3.4 1.8 MT 48 4.3 4 2.2-2.1 PL 161 14.3 30 16.9 2.6 RO 104 9.3 14 7.8-1.5 SK 25 2.2 5 2.8 0.6 SL 85 7.6 28 15.7 8.1 EU13 1120 178 ERC Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 4 3.6 0 0.0-3.6 CY 11 10.0 5 20.0 10.0 CZ 15 13.6 6 24.0 10.4 EE 6 5.5 1 4.0-1.5 HU 44 40.0 7 28.0-12.0 HR 3 2.7 2 8.0 5.3 LT 0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 LV 1 0.9 0 0.0-0.9 MT 1 0.9 0 0.0-0.9 PL 20 18.2 0 0.0-18.2 RO 1 0.9 2 8.0 7.1 SK 1 0.9 1 4.0 3.1 SL 3 2.8 1 4.0 1.2 EU13 110 25 9

2.4 Other themes The priority themes looked at are: For H2020: Society, Security, Science & Society and Infrastructure. For FP7: SIS. SSH and Security. The three main winners are the Czech Republic (+2.8), Cyprus (+1.3) and Latvia (+1.0)). The three losers are Poland (-3.8), Hungary (-2.3) and Lithuania (-1.8). Table 8: Other priorities - FP7 vs H2020 Other priorities Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 113 7.3 28 8.2 0.9 CY 82 5.2 22 6.5 1.3 CZ 165 10.4 45 13.2 2.8 EE 90 5.7 21 6.2 0.5 HU 228 14.4 41 12.1-2.3 HR 71 4.5 18 5.3 0.8 LT 62 3.9 7 2.1-1.8 LV 49 3.1 14 4.1 1.0 MT 46 2.9 12 3.5 0.6 PL 320 20.3 55 16.5-3.8 RO 145 9.2 33 9.7 0.5 SK 89 5.6 20 5.8 0.2 SL 120 7.6 23 6.8-0.8 EU13 1580 339 10

Table 9 below provides data for each priority. Table 9: Other themes - FP7 vs H2020 in EU13 countries H2020 Society FP7 H2020 H2020 - FP7 Nr % Nr % BG 28 7.2 7 9.5 2.3 CY 10 2.6 5 6.8 4.2 CZ 34 8.7 8 10.8 2.1 EE 36 9.2 4 5.4-3.8 HU 88 22.6 12 16.2-6.4 HR 14 3.6 4 5.4 1.8 LT 13 3.3 0 0.0-3.3 LV 10 2.6 3 4.0 1.4 MT 10 2.6 2 2.7 0.1 PL 69 17.7 12 16.2-1.5 RO 29 7.5 6 8.1 0.6 SK 19 4.9 4 5.4 0.5 SL 29 7.5 7 9.5 2.0 EU13 389 74 H2020 Science in Society Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 19 6.4 3 5.2-1.2 CY 24 8.1 6 10.3 2.2 CZ 28 9.4 7 12.1 2.7 EE 26 8.7 4 6.9-1.8 HU 31 10.4 6 6.9-3.5 HR 31 10.4 4 6.9-3.5 LT 20 6.7 3 5.2-1.5 LV 6 2.0 2 3.5 1.5 MT 12 4.0 5 8.6 4.6 PL 32 10.7 8 13.8 3.1 RO 20 6.7 4 6.9 0.2 SK 21 7.1 3 5.2-1.9 SL 28 9.4 3 5.2-4.2 EU13 298 58 11

Security Nr % Nr % H2020 - FP7 BG 22 6.3 6 10.2 3.9 CY 17 4.9 5 8.5 3.6 CZ 33 9.5 2 3.4-6.1 EE 18 5.2 7 11.8 6.6 HU 27 7.7 3 5.1-2.6 HR 9 2.6 3 5.1 2.5 LT 12 3.4 0 0.0-3.4 LV 13 3.7 2 3.4-0.3 MT 10 2.8 2 3.4 0.6 PL 95 27.2 12 20.3-6.9 RO 42 12.0 10 16.9 4.9 SK 25 7.2 3 5.1-2.1 SL 26 7.5 4 6.8-0.7 EU13 349 59 2.5 Regional dimension FP7 H2020 in EU13 countries Hereafter is a comparison between FP7: RegPot and RoK H2020: Spreading Excellence and Widening Participation. Table 10 below shows that Croatia, Poland and Bulgaria have a smaller market share in H2020 than in FP7. In this field of support Cyprus, Slovenia and Hungary have increased their market shares. Table 10: Regional Dimension FP7 - H20220 in EU13 countries H2020 Spreading Excellence & Widening Participation FP7 RegPot H2020-FP7 RegPot FP7 Regions of Knowledge H2020-FP7 RoK Nr % Nr % Nr % BG 18 7.2 36 12.5-5.3 8 7.0 0.2 CY 14 12.6 0 0.0 12.6 4 3.5 9.1 CZ 9 82.0 22 7.6 74.4 10 8.8 73.2 EE 12 10.8 26 9.0 1.8 6 5.3 5.5 HU 13 11.7 17 5.9 5.8 16 14.0-2.3 HR 2 1.8 45 15.6-13.8 3 2.6-0.8 LT 4 3.6 11 3.8-0.2 3 2.6 1.0 LV 6 5.4 14 4.9 0.5 4 3.5 1.9 MT 4 3.6 1 0.3 3.3 2 1.8 1.8 PL 15 13.5 72 25.0-11.5 25 21.9-8.4 RO 6 5.4 24 8.3-2.9 15 13.2-7.8 SK 6 5.4 7 2.4 3.0 11 9.6-4.2 SL 12 10.8 13 4.5 6.3 7 6.1 4.7 EU13 121 288 114 12

2.6 Synthesis of main winners and losers Winners Losers Health SK 3.5 LT -4.2 HR 2.5 PL -1.9 LV 2.1 CZ -1.6 Energy HR 4.4 PL -10.0 RO 3.8 HU -2.7 LV 2.3 CY -2.2 Transport SL 10.3 RO -4.0 EE 5.7 PL -3.2 HU 0.1 CZ -2.6 Environment SL 5.2 RO -4.7 EE 4.4 BG -3.7 SK 2.4 PL -2.3 Space CY 4.7 HU -7.6 PL 3.6 EE -3.0 SK 2.9 RO -3.0 Food & Bio EE 6.3 PL -4.5 LV 2.5 CZ -2.7 RO 1.6 BG -2.7 ICT SL 7.0 PL -3.0 EE 6.6 LT -2.6 LV 2.6 BG -2.4 HR -2.4 Nano. Advanced Materials and Advanced Manufacturing SL 6.2 PL -7.9 CY 5.8 CZ -6.5 LV 3.1 HU -3.0 SME SL 8.1 CY -6.5 EE 5.6 CZ -3.9 PL 2.6 BG -2.7 ERC CZ 10.4 PL -18.2 CY 10.0 HU -12.0 RO 7.1 BG -3.6 Security EE 6.6 PL -6.9 RO 4.9 CZ -6.1 BG 3.9 LT -3.4 Infrastructure CZ 6.0 PL -4.8 SK 2.3 HU -1.7 LT 1.6 CY -1.7 SSH (FP7) Society (H2020) CY 4.2 HU -6.4 BG 2.3 EE -3.8 SL 2.0 LT -3.3 13

Science and Society (H2020) SIS (FP7) MT 4.6 SL -4.2 PL 3.1 HR -3.5 CZ 2.7 HU -3.5 Societal Challenges SL 3.1 PL -4.0 EE 2.2 HU -2.4 LV 2.0 CZ -1.8 Industrial Leadership SL 6.6 RO -4.3 EE 3.7 CZ -3.6 LV 2.9 HR -2.1 Other themes CZ 2.8 PL -3.8 CY 1.3 HU -2.3 LV 1.0 LT -1.8 14