GUD Holdings Limited Wilsons Rapid Insights Conference 31st May 2018

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Transcription:

GUD Holdings Limited Wilsons Rapid Insights Conference 31st May 2018 Jonathan Ling Managing Director

The GUD group Automotive GUD HOLDINGS Davey Automotive oil, air and fuel filters Heavy duty filters Gaskets Fuel pumps Ignition coils Engine sensors Service and nonservice parts Automotive lighting and accessories Battery maintenance and power products Automotive accessories Household and farm water pumps Water treatment Swimming pool products Page 2

FY18 first half result key points Reported NPAT increased 61% to $28.4 m from $17.7 m previously Discontinued operations contributed a $2.5 m profit in FY18 versus a loss of $4.6 m in FY17 Oates business sale announced in November, completed early January NPAT from continuing operations increased 16% to $25.8 m from $22.3 m previously Strong growth reported in Automotive businesses inclusive of recent acquisitions Acquired AA Gaskets group effective 1 st December 2017 Interim dividend increased to 24 cents per share fully franked from 21 cents previously Safety performance improved in continuing businesses versus last year Page 3

FY18 portfolio management Announced divestment of Oates to Freudenberg Household Products: Sale completed 2 nd January 2018 Total proceeds of $80 m initially directed towards debt reduction Approximate $47 m after tax profit on sale to contribute to second half results Strengthened automotive portfolio with acquisition of AA Gaskets group: Leading business in gasket market in Australia and New Zealand Operating profitably with opportunities for revenue and profit uplift Positioned within the newly established Ryco Group business Page 4

FY18 first half financial summary GUD HOLDINGS FY17 re-stated with Dexion and Oates reclassified as discontinued operations Revenue growth contributions from both Automotive and Davey Organic profit growth from both segments with additional contribution from recent acquisitions Page 5

Cash generation and financial position GUD HOLDINGS Cash conversion continues to improve: 70% measured by operating cash flow less capex and interest divided by NPAT, including Oates cash held in discontinued operations Cash conversion affected by sales growth, longer payment terms to key customers and building inventories to support new products and to preserve market leading customer service levels Improvement expected as effects of these one-off factors flow through and as acquired businesses are integrated Reported net debt to annualised EBITDA 2.3 times, improved to 1.3 times including Oates sale cash Dividend payout ratio 80% on basic EPS from continuing businesses Payable on 2 nd March 2018 Page 6

GUD s portfolio repositioning GUD HOLDINGS Portfolio repositioning completed with recent sale of Oates Since 2015 have disposed of Sunbeam, Dexion, Lock Focus and Oates Since 2015 have acquired BWI, Griffiths Equipment, IM Group and AA Gaskets Remaining businesses are Automotive and Davey with the majority of activity now in the automotive aftermarket The focus now is on improving performance at Davey, maximising the performance of recent automotive acquisitions and continuing to build the Automotive business through further acquisitions Page 7

Vehicle numbers growth underpins parts demand GUD HOLDINGS 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Registered Vehicles Australia* - millions 2003 2007 2011 2014 2015 2016 Consistent annual growth in vehicle numbers: CAGR in units >2% since 2003 Each vehicle requires a range of parts for repair, servicing, functionality and appearance purposes The number and mix of registered vehicles provides visibility on the make up of the aftermarket over the next few years * Passenger Vehicles and SUVs Page 8

The threat from electric vehicles? Vehicle numbers by fuel type Type 2007 2011 2014 2015 2016 Hybrid 11,693 39,577 77,401 89,539 102,164 Electric 0 161 1,836 2,944 3,159 Other - petrol, diesel 11,454,867 12,434,306 13,218,032 13,456,937 13,709,761 Total 11,466,560 12,474,044 13,297,269 13,549,420 13,815,084 Fuel types share of total Type 2007 2011 2014 2015 2016 Hybrid 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% Electric 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Other - petrol, diesel 99.9% 99.7% 99.4% 99.3% 99.2% Electric and hybrid vehicle numbers are increasing, but only represent <1% of the population The overwhelming proportion of passenger and SUV vehicles remain petrol or diesel powered (including hybrids) and represent a market for parts for a prolonged period Page 9

GUD s exposure to internal combustion engines GUD HOLDINGS FY18 Estimated Automotive Segment Sales Split ICErelated 48% Non ICErelated 52% Currently 52% of GUD s automotive segment sales are to non-internal combustion engine applications: Narva - lighting and electrical Projecta most products with the exception of jump starters Ryco and Wesfil cabin air filters GUD retains a positive outlook on both market segments Page 10

Rationale for automotive focus The automotive market is growing in both Australia and New Zealand The automotive aftermarket is not dependent on consumer sentiment and spending cycles, as it is essentially trade-directed GUD has at least five years visibility on market trends The market for parts related to the internal combustion engine will remain substantial for at least the next decade: Electric vehicles are not an imminent threat, but they will become increasingly important over time and still have service requirements Focused on vehicle-specific parts used in servicing and repair These factors translate to growing, more consistent and higher quality earnings over time Page 11

Automotive result FY18 first half $ million H1 FY17 H1 FY18 % Change Sales 124.9 142.4 14% EBITDA 36.4 41.0 13% Depreciation and Amortisation (0.6) (0.8) EBIT 35.8 40.2 12% EBIT/Sales % 29% 28% GUD HOLDINGS Sales growth of 14% consisted of 8% organic growth and the balance from the acquired businesses FY18 sales included 1 month s contribution from AA Gaskets, six months from IM group and six months from Griffiths Equipment compared with 2 months in the pcp Solid 12% EBIT growth with small EBIT/sales reduction to 28%, reflecting the early contribution from acquired businesses Page 12

Automotive structure Automotive Wesfil Ryco Group BWI Ryco Filters IM Group AA Gaskets Narva and Projecta Griffiths Equipment Page 13

Automotive operating performance Ryco Group Ryco Filters achieving organic revenue growth from: Growing the user base through the workshop Conquest program New product introductions filter-related tools, high performance air filters Expanded the range of automotive filters to meet changing demand First year contribution from IM Group: Operational improvements being realised Brand rationalisation in the sensors & engine management category with relaunch of Goss brand Products introduced into New Zealand market First contribution from AA Gaskets: Broadening product offering through range gap identification and filling Operational improvements identified and being acted upon Closer coordination of activities between Australia and New Zealand Page 14

Automotive operating performance Wesfil Wesfil achieving organic growth from product range expansion: Spark plugs IM Group products distributed through Wesfil Diesel particulate filters Specialised cleaning products Further growth to come from establishment of Western Sydney facility: Close-to-market position fundamental to Wesfil s customer service offering Arndell Park facility commenced trading February 2018 Page 15

Automotive operating performance BWI Brown & Watson Increasing contribution from new products launched in FY17 e.g. Ultima215 driving light First contract won in emergency service lighting segment - NZ Police - and remain active in current market tenders First contribution from gaining Philips brand distribution Transport and original equipment business commenced Further non-aftermarket organic growth avenues being evaluated Griffiths Equipment Growth in NZ market through range expansion in automotive accessories Representation established in Australian market to steer growth Page 16

Long term automotive trends Universal shifts in the automotive market: Electric vehicles Shared vehicles IoT and connectivity Driverless/autonomous vehicles GUD s positioning in light of these trends: Build capability and agility Develop thought leadership stance in the industry Assist independent workshops and mechanics to transition Page 17

GUD s initial activities Analyse and identify maintenance and roadworthiness needs of electric vehicles Completed a small investment in Auto Guru An on-line portal for comparing and booking a vehicle service Completed a small investment in Liftango, a start-up providing: A ride sharing program for large corporate customers to offer their employees A bus-on-demand service Concentrating innovation activities in the automotive space Page 18

Davey result FY18 first half $ million H1 FY17 H1 FY18 % Change Sales 51.3 52.3 2% EBITDA 4.9 5.8 18% Depreciation and Amortisation (0.6) (1.1) EBIT 4.3 4.7 9% Underlying EBIT/Sales % 8% 9% Small sales growth from ANZ businesses EBITDA uplift due to margin expansion from lower product costs Continued focus on innovation across a number of targeted market segments particularly non-mains water supply and irrigation applications Page 19

FY18 outlook Improved contributions expected from Davey and Automotive in second half All Automotive businesses expected to continue growing strongly: Organic growth from new products and entry into new market segments Full six month EBIT contribution from AA Gaskets and IM Group Improved contribution from IM Group as it is integrated into Ryco Improvement in Davey anticipated from innovative new products, channel expansion and further product cost reductions Actively assessing further potential acquisitions in automotive industry Expecting full year underlying EBIT of around $90m with 7 months of AA Gaskets and only 6 months of Oates Additional after tax profit contribution from Oates sale of around $47m Page 20

GUD Holdings Limited Wilsons Rapid Insights Conference 31st May 2018