WORTHINGTON SCHOOLS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS REPORT FEBRUARY 14, 2018

FEBRUARY 14, 2018 PREPARED FOR: Worthington Schools 200 E. Wilson Bridge Rd. Worthington, OH 43085 T 614.450.6000 PREPARED BY: Cooperative Strategies 3325 Hilliard Rome Road Hilliard, OH 43026 T 614.798.8828

Table of Contents Acknowledgements... 2 Executive Summary... 3 Comparison... 5 Enrollment Projection Methodology... 12 U.S. Census... 15 General Demographics... 16 Estimated School Aged Population Growth 2017-2022... 17 Housing Data... 18 Resident Live Birth Data... 19 Survival Ratios... 22 Historical Enrollment... 23 Projected Enrollment... 25 Enrollment by Boundary... 34 Conclusion... 90

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS On behalf of Cooperative Strategies, we would like to extend our appreciation to the Worthington Schools for the opportunity to assist them in developing this Enrollment Projections Report. As a planning team, we hope that this document will serve the Worthington Schools for years to come. COOPERATIVE STRATEGIES Tracy Richter, President, Partner Ann Hoffsis, REFP, Director of Enrollment Projection Services Lee Hwang, GISP, REFP, GIS Director 3325 Hilliard Rome Road Hilliard, OH 43026 P. 614.798.8828 www.coopstrategies.com PAGE 2

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The enrollment projections for the Worthington Schools included in this report were developed using the cohort survival methodology and Cooperative Strategies custom enrollment projection software, S.T.E.P. [Student Trends & Enrollment Projections]. This custom software was developed in collaboration with The Ohio State University and is based on industry best practices as well as the national experience Cooperative Strategies has with schools, school districts, and state agencies. The Worthington Schools is a suburban school district located outside of Columbus, Ohio. There are 1 PK school, 11 elementary schools, 3 middle schools, and 2 high schools, and 2 alternative schools serving over 9,000 students. The projections presented in this report are meant to serve as a planning tool for the future, and represent the most likely direction of the District. Enrollment projections were developed using the cohort survival methodology and by analyzing the following data outlined in this report: Live birth data Historical enrollment by elementary boundary, by grade Census data Building permits Enrollment projections by grade were developed based on students living within the current elementary boundaries. Enrollment in the Worthington Schools has increased by 930 PK-12 students since the 2012-13 school year (not including unmatched or out-of-district students). Based on the cohort survival methodology, enrollment is projected to increase over the next ten years. 14,000 Historical & Projected Enrollment -Worthington Schools 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Historical Projected - Recommended Projected - Moderate Projected - Low Projected - High PAGE 3

As with any projection, the District should pay close attention to the variables associated with determining enrollment projections discussed in this document. Any one or more of these factors can increase or decrease enrollment within the Worthington Schools. It is recommended that the data contained in this report be reviewed on an annual basis to determine how more recent trends will impact both the enrollment and any new housing development. PAGE 4

COMPARISON Enrollment projections were provided to the Worthington Schools in January 2017. The following tables illustrate the comparison of actual versus projected enrollment for the 2017-18 school year. Overall, the District-wide projected enrollment had an accuracy rate of 99.39% for grades PK-12 and 98.93% for grades K-12. Amongst the K-12 population, the most significant difference was at the 2nd grade level with a difference of 34 students from actual enrollment, or 4.66 percent. Brookside was the boundary with the greatest difference between actual and projected K-12 enrollment with 32 students, or 5.48 percent, fewer students than projected. DISTRICT-WIDE COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 288 245 43 14.93% K 712 713-1 0.14% 1 770 774-4 0.52% 2 730 764-34 4.66% 3 751 757-6 0.80% 4 798 822-24 3.01% 5 807 832-25 3.10% 6 751 775-24 3.20% 7 744 737 7 0.94% 8 746 735 11 1.47% 9 740 750-10 1.35% 10 715 725-10 1.40% 11 753 751 2 0.27% 12 721 707 14 1.94% Grand Total 10,026 10,087-61 0.61% K-12 Total 9,738 9,842-104 1.07% PAGE 5

COMPARISON BY BOUNDARY (K-12) 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) Bluffsview Boundary 787 796-9 1.14% Brookside Boundary 584 616-32 5.48% Colonial Hills Boundary 727 717 10 1.38% Evening Street Boundary 1,058 1,024 34 3.21% Granby Boundary 899 902-3 0.33% Liberty Boundary 913 926-13 1.42% Slate Hill Boundary 946 971-25 2.64% Wilson Hill Boundary 977 980-3 0.31% Worthington Estates Boundary 1,129 1,159-30 2.66% Worthington Hills Boundary 904 922-18 1.99% Worthington Park Boundary 814 829-15 1.84% K-12 Total 9,738 9,842-104 1.07% BLUFFSVIEW BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 21 22-1 4.76% K 70 51 19 27.14% 1 56 57-1 1.79% 2 65 76-11 16.92% 3 62 64-2 3.23% 4 63 63 0 0.00% 5 59 59 0 0.00% 6 62 62 0 0.00% 7 57 65-8 14.04% 8 70 68 2 2.86% 9 55 64-9 16.36% 10 61 63-2 3.28% 11 51 53-2 3.92% 12 56 51 5 8.93% Grand Total 808 818-10 1.24% K-12 Total 787 796-9 1.14% PAGE 6

BROOKSIDE BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 26 11 15 57.69% K 43 43 0 0.00% 1 45 50-5 11.11% 2 49 50-1 2.04% 3 47 48-1 2.13% 4 49 48 1 2.04% 5 44 45-1 2.27% 6 51 62-11 21.57% 7 46 49-3 6.52% 8 42 43-1 2.38% 9 41 44-3 7.32% 10 48 52-4 8.33% 11 33 36-3 9.09% 12 46 46 0 0.00% Grand Total 610 627-17 2.79% K-12 Total 584 616-32 5.48% COLONIAL HILLS BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 19 16 3 15.79% K 66 49 17 25.76% 1 52 55-3 5.77% 2 53 58-5 9.43% 3 72 77-5 6.94% 4 63 65-2 3.17% 5 72 73-1 1.39% 6 41 43-2 4.88% 7 53 48 5 9.43% 8 49 49 0 0.00% 9 56 49 7 12.50% 10 50 56-6 12.00% 11 34 37-3 8.82% 12 66 58 8 12.12% Grand Total 746 733 13 1.74% K-12 Total 727 717 10 1.38% PAGE 7

EVENING STREET BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 14 15-1 7.14% K 89 76 13 14.61% 1 84 75 9 10.71% 2 94 96-2 2.13% 3 74 76-2 2.70% 4 86 85 1 1.16% 5 94 94 0 0.00% 6 72 74-2 2.78% 7 81 76 5 6.17% 8 80 79 1 1.25% 9 75 74 1 1.33% 10 76 73 3 3.95% 11 76 70 6 7.89% 12 77 76 1 1.30% Grand Total 1,072 1,039 33 3.08% K-12 Total 1,058 1,024 34 3.21% GRANBY BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 39 31 8 20.51% K 49 69-20 40.82% 1 84 83 1 1.19% 2 64 73-9 14.06% 3 67 63 4 5.97% 4 61 63-2 3.28% 5 77 77 0 0.00% 6 65 61 4 6.15% 7 75 67 8 10.67% 8 66 63 3 4.55% 9 80 75 5 6.25% 10 58 64-6 10.34% 11 87 80 7 8.05% 12 66 64 2 3.03% Grand Total 938 933 5 0.53% K-12 Total 899 902-3 0.33% PAGE 8

LIBERTY BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 59 41 18 30.51% K 50 67-17 34.00% 1 72 71 1 1.39% 2 62 61 1 1.61% 3 75 74 1 1.33% 4 61 65-4 6.56% 5 87 92-5 5.75% 6 79 72 7 8.86% 7 70 70 0 0.00% 8 73 78-5 6.85% 9 66 65 1 1.52% 10 60 60 0 0.00% 11 88 83 5 5.68% 12 70 68 2 2.86% Grand Total 972 967 5 0.51% K-12 Total 913 926-13 1.42% SLATE HILL BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 21 24-3 14.29% K 77 65 12 15.58% 1 65 67-2 3.08% 2 56 73-17 30.36% 3 89 92-3 3.37% 4 78 92-14 17.95% 5 78 79-1 1.28% 6 80 86-6 7.50% 7 67 75-8 11.94% 8 71 68 3 4.23% 9 88 80 8 9.09% 10 58 59-1 1.72% 11 83 82 1 1.20% 12 56 53 3 5.36% Grand Total 967 995-28 2.90% K-12 Total 946 971-25 2.64% PAGE 9

WILSON HILL BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 17 13 4 23.53% K 48 60-12 25.00% 1 74 74 0 0.00% 2 66 57 9 13.64% 3 57 55 2 3.51% 4 95 91 4 4.21% 5 65 70-5 7.69% 6 72 76-4 5.56% 7 82 85-3 3.66% 8 86 85 1 1.16% 9 83 88-5 6.02% 10 82 79 3 3.66% 11 87 83 4 4.60% 12 80 77 3 3.75% Grand Total 994 993 1 0.10% K-12 Total 977 980-3 0.31% WORTHINGTON ESTATES BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 28 25 3 10.71% K 90 103-13 14.44% 1 97 99-2 2.06% 2 97 86 11 11.34% 3 90 89 1 1.11% 4 90 109-19 21.11% 5 95 101-6 6.32% 6 102 103-1 0.98% 7 94 91 3 3.19% 8 80 71 9 11.25% 9 68 80-12 17.65% 10 75 73 2 2.67% 11 79 79 0 0.00% 12 72 75-3 4.17% Grand Total 1,157 1,184-27 2.33% K-12 Total 1,129 1,159-30 2.66% PAGE 10

WORTHINGTON HILLS BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 17 21-4 23.53% K 79 67 12 15.19% 1 72 75-3 4.17% 2 79 86-7 8.86% 3 52 50 2 3.85% 4 93 83 10 10.75% 5 71 73-2 2.82% 6 66 71-5 7.58% 7 59 54 5 8.47% 8 60 63-3 5.00% 9 62 66-4 6.45% 10 74 77-3 4.05% 11 73 82-9 12.33% 12 64 75-11 17.19% Grand Total 921 943-22 2.39% K-12 Total 904 922-18 1.99% WORTHINGTON PARK BOUNDARY COMPARISON 2017-18 Actual 2017-18 EP Difference % Difference (Absolute) PK 27 26 1 3.70% K 51 63-12 23.53% 1 69 68 1 1.45% 2 45 48-3 6.67% 3 66 69-3 4.55% 4 59 58 1 1.69% 5 65 69-4 6.15% 6 61 65-4 6.56% 7 60 57 3 5.00% 8 69 68 1 1.45% 9 66 65 1 1.52% 10 73 69 4 5.48% 11 62 66-4 6.45% 12 68 64 4 5.88% Grand Total 841 855-14 1.66% K-12 Total 814 829-15 1.84% PAGE 11

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION METHODOLOGY Introduction Tracing the landscape of the country s public school enrollment back over the past fifty years reveals demographic, economic, and social changes. The United States as a whole continues to undergo major shifts in public student enrollment, due in large part to past events including the baby boom, the availability and use of birth control, and the development of suburbs. The baby boom of the late 1940s and 50s was followed by the baby bust of the 1960s and 70s. This gave rise to the echo baby boom of the 1980s. 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 U.S. POPULATION - LIVE BIRTH RATE PER 1,000 POPULATION Source: CDC, National Vital Statistics Report 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 Boom Source: CDC, National Vital Statistics Report U.S. TOTAL LIVE BIRTHS Bust Echo Boom Nationwide, districts have experienced the effects of the echo baby bust of the 1990s. From the 1950s to the 1970s, a dramatic downsizing of the family unit occurred. A direct result was the declining school enrollment of the 1970s and 1980s. As of the 2010 Census, the size of a family was at an all-time low of 3.14 persons. The live birth rate increased for the first time in several years in 1998 and increased again in 2000. However, the birth rate resumed a descending pattern in 2001 and reached an all-time low of 12.4 (per 1,000) in 2015. Echo Bust When projecting future enrollments, it is vital to track the number of live births, the amount of new housing activity, and the change in household composition. In addition, any of the following factors could cause a significant change in projected student enrollment: PAGE 12

Boundary adjustments New school openings Changes / additions in program offerings Preschool programs Change in grade configuration Interest rates / unemployment shifts Intra- and inter-district transfer Magnet / charter / private school opening or closure Zoning changes Unplanned new housing activity Planned, but not built, housing School voucher programs School closures Obviously, certain factors can be gauged and planned for far better than others. For instance, it may be relatively straightforward to gather housing data from local builders regarding the total number of lots in a planned subdivision and calculate the potential student yield. However, planning for changes in the unemployment rate, and how these may either boost or reduce public school enrollment, proves more difficult. In any case, it is essential to gather a wide variety of information in preparation for producing enrollment projections. When looking ahead at a school district s enrollment over the next two, five, or ten years, it is helpful to approach the process from a global perspective. For example: How many new homes have been constructed each year? How many births have occurred each year in relation to the resident population? Is housing experiencing a turnover if so, what is the composition of families moving in/out? Are more or less students attending private school or being home-schooled? What has the unemployment rate trend been over the past ten years? What new educational policies are in place that could affect student enrollment figures? The cohort survival methodology is often used to answer these questions and is standard throughout the educational planning industry. The enrollment projections developed for the Worthington Schools were developed using the cohort survival method. PAGE 13

Cohort Survival Method The cohort survival methodology (sometimes referred to as the grade progression ratio method) is a widely used enrollment projection model that is used by many school districts and state and federal agencies to project K-12 enrollment. A cohort is a group of persons [in this case, students]. The cohort survival enrollment projection methodology uses historic live birth data and historic student enrollment to age a known population or cohort throughout the school grades. For instance, a cohort begins when a group of kindergarteners enrolls in grade K and moves to first grade the following year, second grade the next year, and so on. A survival ratio is developed to track how this group of students increased or decreased in number as they moved through the grade levels. By developing survival ratios for each grade transition [i.e. 2nd to 3rd grade] over a ten year period of time, patterns emerge. A projection ratio for each grade transition is developed based on analysis of the survival ratios. The projections are used as a multiplier in determining future enrollment. For example, if student enrollment has consistently increased from the 8th to the 9th grade over the past ten years, the survival ratio would be greater than 100% and could be multiplied by the current 8th grade to develop a projection for next year s 9th grade. This methodology can be carried through to develop ten years of projection figures. Because there is not a grade cohort to follow for students coming into kindergarten, resident live birth counts are used to develop a birth-to-kindergarten survival ratio. Babies born five years previous to the kindergarten class are compared in number, and a ratio can be developed to project future kindergarten enrollments. The cohort survival method is useful in areas where population is stable [relatively flat, growing steadily, or declining steadily], and where there have been no significant fluctuations in enrollment, births, and housing patterns from year to year. The cohort survival methodology inherently considers the net effects of factors such as migration, housing, dropouts, transfers to and from charter schools, open enrollment, and deaths. This methodology does not assume changes in policies, program offerings, or future changes in housing and migration patterns. PAGE 14

U.S. CENSUS According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the population in Worthington, Ohio decreased from 14,125 to 13,575, or approximately 4 percent, between the 2000 and 2010 Census. In terms of school-aged children [5-19], the population decreased by 385, or 13 percent. The under age 5 population increased from 752 to 840, or 12 percent. The median age of a Worthington, Ohio resident is 44.9, an increase of 1.0 year since the 2000 Census. The average household size decreased from 2.42 to 2.35. The average family size increased from 2.92 to 2.88. The number of total housing units increased in tandem with the number of vacant housing units. The number of occupied housing units remained relatively flat. The table to the right provides a comparison of the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census data. WORTHINGTON CITY, OHIO U.S. CENSUS Subject 2000 2010 Total population 14,125 13,575 SEX AND AGE Male 6,619 6,402 Female 7,506 7,173 Under 5 years 752 840 5 to 19 years 2,914 2,529 20 to 64 years 7,857 7,615 65 years and over 2,602 2,591 Median age (years) 43.9 44.9 RACE One Race 98.8% 98.0% White 94.0% 93.0% Black or African American 1.7% 2.2% American Indian and Alaska Native 0.1% 0.0% Asian 2.8% 2.3% Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 0.0% 0.0% Some Other Race 0.2% 0.5% Two or More Races 1.2% 2.0% Hispanic or Latino 1.0% 1.7% DEMOGRAPHICS Average household size 2.42 2.35 Average family size 2.92 2.88 HOUSING OCCUPANCY Total housing units 5,845 5,940 Occupied housing units 5,692 5,691 Vacant housing units 153 249 Source: U.S. Census PAGE 15

GENERAL DEMOGRAPHICS The following information represents block group estimates and projections created from market research and U.S. Census data obtained from the Environmental Systems Research Institute [ESRI]. ESRI provides a yearly update to their demographic data in increments of five years. To make updates to their demographic data set, they use American Community Survey [ACS] data that takes a series of monthly sample surveys but only from areas with populations of 65,000 or more. One year of ACS data is a period estimate as a twelve-month average, rather than a single point in time. According to the ESRI estimates, the total population of Franklin County, Ohio is projected to increase over the next five years. As illustrated in the table below, the number of children, ages 5-18, is projected to increase by 8,310 children, or approximately 4 percent. 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Age 2017 2022 Ages 0-2 50,571 54,071 Ages 3-4 33,159 34,641 Ages 5-10 97,966 99,937 Ages 11-13 47,240 49,579 Ages 14-18 77,967 81,967 Ages 5-18 223,173 231,483 Total Population 1,283,688 1,360,490 Source: ESRI BIS FRANKLIN COUNTY POPULATION ESTIMATES FRANKLIN COUNTY POPULATION ESTIMATES 0 Ages 0-2 Ages 3-4 Ages 5-10 Ages 11-13 Ages 14-18 2017 2022 PAGE 16

ESTIMATED SCHOOL AGED POPULATION GROWTH 2017-2022 The map below shows school age population change in the U.S. Census block groups within / around the Worthington Schools boundary. Population changes are based on 2017 and 2022 estimates. A block group is defined by the U.S. Census Bureau as, a statistical division of a census tract, generally defined to contain between 600 and 3,000 people and 240 and 1,200 housing units, and the smallest geographic unit for which the Census Bureau tabulates sample data. PAGE 17

HOUSING DATA Housing development and building permits are tracked to determine their effect on student enrollment. The table below illustrates the number of single and multi-family building permits issued in Worthington since 2000. BUILDING PERMITS WORTHINGTON, OH Year Single-Family Multi-Family 2000 2 4 2001 4 6 2002 6 0 2003 5 0 2004 1 0 2005 0 0 2006 0 8 2007 5 0 2008 1 0 2009 1 0 2010 3 0 2011 2 0 2012 4 0 2013 2 212 2014 3 0 2015 4 0 2016 2 0 2017* 5 0 Source: SOCDS Building Permits Database *preliminary PAGE 18

RESIDENT LIVE BIRTH DATA Utilization of resident live birth data is recommended when projecting future kindergarten enrollments. This data provides a helpful overall trend. Large bubbles in birth counts, either up or down, can also be planned for or anticipated by the District. In addition, the live birth counts are used in determining a birth-to-kindergarten and birth-to-first grade survival ratio. This ratio identifies the percentage of children born in a representative area who attend kindergarten and first grade in the District five and six years later. The survival ratios for birth-to-kindergarten, birth-to-first grade, as well as grades 1-12 can be found on the following page of this report. Data is arranged by the residence of the mother. For example, if a mother lives in Worthington but delivers her baby in Cleveland, the birth is counted in Worthington. Live birth counts are different from live birth rates. The live birth count is simply the actual number of live births. A birth rate is the number of births per 1,000 women in a specified population group. The table illustrates live birth counts for zip codes 43016, 43065, 43081, 43085, 43214, 43229, and 43235. Based on an analysis of student population and elementary boundaries, only live birth counts for zip codes 43016, 43065, 43081, 43085, 43229, and 43235 were used for projection purposes. Resident Live Birth Counts by Zip Code Year 43016 43065 43081 43085 43214 43229 43235 2006 463 569 664 275 282 931 435 2007 494 477 698 305 302 906 478 2008 505 510 710 319 294 909 467 2009 496 438 692 288 295 927 496 2010 521 490 711 312 302 904 516 2011 521 435 769 292 309 914 508 2012 589 428 733 301 331 897 573 2013 617 441 803 322 344 946 601 2014 560 455 803 296 336 1,038 610 2015* 629 437 825 349 320 961 608 Source: Ohio Department of Health *preliminary PAGE 19

The map on the following page illustrates the elementary boundaries and the zip codes within the Worthington Schools. Based on an analysis of student population and elementary boundaries, zip code 43016 was used to project kindergarten enrollment for the Granby boundary; zip code 43065 was used for the Liberty boundary; zip code 43081 was used for the Slate Hill, Worthington Estates, and Worthington Park boundaries; zip code 43085 was used for the Colonial Hills, Evening Street, Slate Hill, Wilson Hill, and Worthington Estates boundaries; zip code 43229 was used for the Colonial Hills and Wilson Hill boundaries; and zip code 43235 was used for the Bluffsview, Brookside, Granby, Slate Hill, Worthington Estates, and Worthington Hills boundaries. RESIDENT LIVE BIRTH COUNTS BY ZIP CODE 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* 43016 43065 43081 43085 43229 43235 PAGE 20

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SURVIVAL RATIOS The chart below demonstrates the ten-year changes in enrollment as students move through the system. Percentages greater than 100 indicate that there are more students than there were in the previous grade the previous year. In other words, there was an increase in student population where new students were added to the system. Percentages less than 100 indicate that there was decline or students left the system. If the exact number of students in 1st grade during the 2012-13 school year were present in 2nd grade for the 2013-14 school year, the survival ratio would be 100 percent. Birth-to-Kindergarten and Birth-to-First Grade: This ratio indicates the number of children born in the area who attend kindergarten and first grade in the District five and six years later. What is important to note is the trend in survival ratios, not necessarily the actual number. The following table illustrates the historical survival ratios in the Worthington Schools over the past six years by grade level. Survival Ratios - District-wide from to Birth to K K to 1 Birth to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 6 6 to 7 7 to 8 8 to 9 9 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 2012 2013 21.99% 105.83% 23.26% 102.05% 98.85% 102.58% 101.31% 101.05% 102.49% 101.19% 103.80% 101.14% 98.37% 102.47% 2013 2014 21.46% 105.32% 23.16% 103.07% 101.21% 100.58% 101.53% 100.72% 104.16% 99.73% 105.60% 99.30% 100.70% 100.66% 2014 2015 20.76% 106.56% 22.86% 102.02% 101.49% 100.66% 101.31% 99.86% 103.28% 101.28% 102.43% 101.12% 98.02% 99.30% 2015 2016 21.17% 106.42% 22.09% 98.69% 100.87% 100.61% 100.53% 103.01% 100.00% 101.66% 100.70% 100.92% 97.38% 100.58% 2016 2017 20.22% 105.77% 22.39% 95.67% 99.73% 97.91% 98.18% 98.43% 103.48% 102.61% 100.54% 100.00% 98.43% 102.27% mean simple all years 21.12% 105.98% 22.75% 100.30% 100.43% 100.47% 100.57% 100.61% 102.68% 101.30% 102.62% 100.50% 98.58% 101.06% std. dev. simple all years 0.67% 0.51% 0.50% 3.07% 1.11% 1.66% 1.39% 1.68% 1.61% 1.04% 2.14% 0.82% 1.26% 1.32% mean simple 3 years 20.72% 106.25% 22.45% 98.79% 100.70% 99.73% 100.00% 100.43% 102.25% 101.85% 101.23% 100.68% 97.94% 100.72% std. dev. simple 3 years 0.48% 0.42% 0.39% 3.17% 0.89% 1.57% 1.63% 2.34% 1.95% 0.69% 1.05% 0.60% 0.53% 1.49% mean simple 2 years 20.70% 106.09% 22.24% 97.18% 100.30% 99.26% 99.35% 100.72% 101.74% 102.14% 100.62% 100.46% 97.90% 101.42% std. dev. simple 2 years 0.67% 0.46% 0.21% 2.13% 0.80% 1.91% 1.66% 3.24% 2.46% 0.68% 0.11% 0.65% 0.75% 1.20% mean weighted all years 20.65% 106.01% 22.44% 97.81% 100.30% 99.21% 99.43% 99.97% 102.58% 102.01% 101.19% 100.36% 98.24% 101.39% std. dev. weighted all years 0.56% 0.42% 0.36% 2.93% 0.81% 1.61% 1.55% 2.15% 1.71% 0.87% 1.49% 0.61% 0.84% 1.21% mean weighted 3 years 20.41% 105.91% 22.36% 96.45% 100.00% 98.50% 98.71% 99.29% 102.86% 102.39% 100.65% 100.21% 98.23% 101.86% std. dev. weighted 3 years 0.45% 0.34% 0.19% 1.96% 0.64% 1.36% 1.27% 2.13% 1.62% 0.52% 0.45% 0.48% 0.49% 1.01% mean weighted 2 years 20.27% 105.80% 22.38% 95.82% 99.79% 98.04% 98.29% 98.65% 103.31% 102.57% 100.55% 100.04% 98.38% 102.19% std. dev. weighted 2 years 0.29% 0.19% 0.09% 0.91% 0.34% 0.81% 0.71% 1.38% 1.05% 0.29% 0.05% 0.28% 0.32% 0.51% PAGE 22

HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT As indicated in the table below, over the past seven years, PK-12 student enrollment in the Worthington Schools has increased by 930 students (not including unmatched or out-of-district students). Historical Enrollment - District-wide Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 181 215 227 224 245 288 K 738 752 716 717 728 712 1 730 781 792 763 763 770 2 693 745 805 808 753 730 3 699 685 754 817 815 751 4 687 717 689 759 822 798 5 666 696 728 698 763 807 6 724 673 701 727 719 751 7 670 742 701 724 727 744 8 685 678 740 710 736 746 9 702 711 716 758 715 740 10 614 710 706 724 765 715 11 648 604 715 692 705 753 12 659 664 608 710 696 721 Grand Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - District-wide Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 181 215 227 224 245 288 K - 5 4,213 4,376 4,484 4,562 4,644 4,568 6-8 2,079 2,093 2,142 2,161 2,182 2,241 9-12 2,623 2,689 2,745 2,884 2,881 2,929 K - 12 8,915 9,158 9,371 9,607 9,707 9,738 Grand Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 23

Historical Enrollment - by Boundary Boundary 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 671 708 722 747 782 808 Brookside Boundary 556 551 567 600 618 610 Colonial Hills Boundary 627 659 700 715 723 746 Evening Street Boundary 902 928 937 1,001 1,020 1,072 Granby Boundary 834 879 866 888 921 938 Liberty Boundary 1,000 1,017 1,002 987 969 972 Slate Hill Boundary 895 931 1,001 1,026 999 967 Wilson Hill Boundary 948 968 973 977 998 994 Worthington Estates Boundary 985 1,020 1,103 1,146 1,154 1,157 Worthington Hills Boundary 825 861 864 880 912 921 Worthington Park Boundary 853 851 863 864 856 841 Total 9,096 9,373 9,598 9,831 9,952 10,026 Source: Worthington Schools 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 24

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT Cooperative Strategies developed low, moderate, high, and recommended enrollment projections for the Worthington Schools. The moderate enrollment projections are based on a selected average or weighted average of survival ratios (in this case, a 3 year weighted average, by boundary). The low and high enrollment projections are developed using statistical distributional theory, providing the District with a more conservative (low) and more liberal (high) enrollment projection. The recommended enrollment projection is based on a detailed analysis of historical enrollment and resulting survival ratios over the past 10 years. Significant shifts in survival ratio patterns are realized and accounted for in determining projection ratios independently for each grade level. The recommended illustrates the most likely direction of the District based on more recent trends. The range of enrollment projections from low (conservative) to high (liberal) are offered due to the limitations of the cohort survival method in factoring changes to policies, program offerings, and future changes in housing and migration patters. For example, the low enrollment projection might be used if housing declines significantly more than anticipated; the high enrollment projection might be used if housing growth increases at a more rapid rate than seen in recent years. 14,000 Historical & Projected Enrollment - Worthington Schools 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Historical Projected - Recommended Projected - Moderate Projected - Low Projected - High PAGE 25

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT RECOMMENDED Based on the recommended projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,026 in 2017-18 to 10,965 students in 2027-28. Projected Enrollment - Recommended - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K 788 785 811 792 796 797 798 797 798 798 1 752 830 829 854 835 838 840 840 839 840 2 762 746 821 819 845 825 830 830 831 830 3 733 766 743 823 822 845 826 830 830 830 4 746 731 764 743 821 821 845 826 831 830 5 791 742 727 759 739 815 814 841 820 826 6 803 787 734 725 758 732 813 815 835 819 7 764 816 798 744 739 773 746 827 826 851 8 760 777 830 817 760 754 788 762 846 843 9 756 771 788 845 828 772 767 803 774 860 10 744 762 779 795 851 837 778 776 814 781 11 698 727 748 760 777 832 818 757 760 796 12 769 713 741 761 773 793 847 832 772 773 Grand Total 10,154 10,241 10,401 10,525 10,632 10,722 10,798 10,824 10,864 10,965 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K - 5 4,572 4,600 4,695 4,790 4,858 4,941 4,953 4,964 4,949 4,954 6-7 2,327 2,380 2,362 2,286 2,257 2,259 2,347 2,404 2,507 2,513 9-12 2,967 2,973 3,056 3,161 3,229 3,234 3,210 3,168 3,120 3,210 K - 12 9,866 9,953 10,113 10,237 10,344 10,434 10,510 10,536 10,576 10,677 Grand Total 10,154 10,241 10,401 10,525 10,632 10,722 10,798 10,824 10,864 10,965 PAGE 26

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - by Boundary Boundary 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 847 893 929 973 1,001 1,043 1,075 1,113 1,144 1,170 Brookside Boundary 603 609 601 600 599 594 583 585 581 581 Colonial Hills Boundary 732 757 767 776 789 796 811 806 811 810 Evening Street Boundary 1,103 1,128 1,166 1,199 1,221 1,243 1,275 1,280 1,295 1,322 Granby Boundary 963 964 1,000 1,011 1,033 1,041 1,059 1,057 1,075 1,083 Liberty Boundary 959 915 902 887 863 851 826 790 785 768 Slate Hill Boundary 967 942 945 919 916 916 907 904 904 894 Wilson Hill Boundary 999 995 1,000 999 997 995 999 1,013 992 1,011 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,199 1,235 1,281 1,326 1,357 1,366 1,367 1,372 1,386 1,404 Worthington Hills Boundary 952 975 999 1,033 1,070 1,104 1,134 1,159 1,157 1,201 Worthington Park Boundary 830 828 811 802 786 773 762 745 734 721 Total 10,154 10,241 10,401 10,525 10,632 10,722 10,798 10,824 10,864 10,965 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - RECOMMENDED - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 27

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT MODERATE Based on the moderate projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,026 in 2017-18 to 10,641 students in 2027-28. Projected Enrollment - Moderate - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K 765 763 788 769 775 776 776 776 776 776 1 757 813 813 837 818 821 823 822 822 822 2 747 731 786 783 808 790 793 794 795 793 3 737 752 735 790 788 812 793 797 798 797 4 734 729 744 729 783 784 807 788 792 792 5 788 728 721 735 725 777 774 800 781 786 6 804 785 723 721 740 720 774 771 797 776 7 773 830 810 743 750 765 747 802 800 825 8 766 795 848 829 763 766 787 763 821 820 9 750 769 794 857 833 770 772 792 769 827 10 742 753 773 796 860 840 771 775 800 776 11 698 728 738 760 783 848 822 758 765 787 12 771 715 745 757 775 799 865 837 774 776 Grand Total 10,120 10,179 10,306 10,394 10,489 10,556 10,592 10,563 10,578 10,641 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K - 5 4,528 4,516 4,587 4,643 4,697 4,760 4,766 4,777 4,764 4,766 6-7 2,343 2,410 2,381 2,293 2,253 2,251 2,308 2,336 2,418 2,421 9-12 2,961 2,965 3,050 3,170 3,251 3,257 3,230 3,162 3,108 3,166 K - 12 9,832 9,891 10,018 10,106 10,201 10,268 10,304 10,275 10,290 10,353 Grand Total 10,120 10,179 10,306 10,394 10,489 10,556 10,592 10,563 10,578 10,641 PAGE 28

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - by Boundary Boundary 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 839 875 904 938 963 999 1,025 1,057 1,081 1,102 Brookside Boundary 597 598 584 579 574 568 555 550 544 541 Colonial Hills Boundary 743 779 799 819 839 853 874 869 880 883 Evening Street Boundary 1,118 1,159 1,210 1,251 1,284 1,315 1,355 1,366 1,389 1,425 Granby Boundary 958 955 981 986 1,001 1,001 1,012 996 999 995 Liberty Boundary 961 920 905 889 868 855 834 796 790 774 Slate Hill Boundary 953 912 904 868 849 834 810 793 781 762 Wilson Hill Boundary 994 986 984 976 969 965 963 972 950 965 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,182 1,195 1,219 1,241 1,259 1,251 1,233 1,218 1,217 1,222 Worthington Hills Boundary 946 973 1,004 1,044 1,091 1,134 1,166 1,196 1,206 1,246 Worthington Park Boundary 829 827 812 803 792 781 765 750 741 726 Total 10,120 10,179 10,306 10,394 10,489 10,556 10,592 10,563 10,578 10,641 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - MODERATE - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 29

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT LOW Based on the low projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to decrease from 10,026 in 2017-18 to 9,313 students in 2027-28. Projected Enrollment - Low - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K 724 727 749 731 733 733 736 733 733 733 1 748 762 761 784 765 770 770 771 770 770 2 727 702 716 713 737 721 723 723 723 723 3 724 723 696 710 710 732 714 717 717 716 4 720 706 701 679 690 691 712 694 698 699 5 781 707 691 685 665 678 676 697 680 685 6 791 760 689 679 675 650 663 662 681 666 7 758 800 772 695 690 687 661 674 675 693 8 757 771 810 782 705 697 698 671 684 682 9 735 745 756 800 772 698 692 689 662 674 10 730 728 737 748 793 765 689 685 688 656 11 688 707 703 714 722 769 739 667 662 664 12 761 694 711 710 719 726 772 740 671 664 Grand Total 9,932 9,820 9,780 9,718 9,664 9,605 9,533 9,411 9,332 9,313 Projected Enrollment - Low - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K - 5 4,424 4,327 4,314 4,302 4,300 4,325 4,331 4,335 4,321 4,326 6-7 2,306 2,331 2,271 2,156 2,070 2,034 2,022 2,007 2,040 2,041 9-12 2,914 2,874 2,907 2,972 3,006 2,958 2,892 2,781 2,683 2,658 K - 12 9,644 9,532 9,492 9,430 9,376 9,317 9,245 9,123 9,044 9,025 Grand Total 9,932 9,820 9,780 9,718 9,664 9,605 9,533 9,411 9,332 9,313 PAGE 30

Projected Enrollment - Low - by Boundary Boundary 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 826 846 856 878 888 907 923 942 953 962 Brookside Boundary 583 574 549 533 522 507 490 483 475 468 Colonial Hills Boundary 726 747 750 757 764 767 775 766 768 762 Evening Street Boundary 1,106 1,132 1,170 1,197 1,218 1,236 1,265 1,267 1,275 1,301 Granby Boundary 936 912 920 906 903 887 879 850 839 821 Liberty Boundary 946 891 863 839 809 787 758 719 709 691 Slate Hill Boundary 935 879 854 804 778 753 724 700 681 662 Wilson Hill Boundary 975 949 933 908 881 864 850 845 813 817 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,155 1,148 1,147 1,149 1,148 1,129 1,101 1,073 1,062 1,061 Worthington Hills Boundary 927 939 956 980 1,009 1,041 1,060 1,079 1,083 1,110 Worthington Park Boundary 817 803 782 767 744 727 708 687 674 658 Total 9,932 9,820 9,780 9,718 9,664 9,605 9,533 9,411 9,332 9,313 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - LOW - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 31

PROJECTED ENROLLMENT HIGH Based on the high projected enrollment, the student enrollment in the Worthington Schools is projected to increase from 10,026 in 2017-18 to 12,137 students in 2027-28. Projected Enrollment - High - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K 805 804 828 808 813 813 813 813 813 813 1 768 866 866 890 871 875 875 876 875 875 2 767 761 857 858 885 865 868 868 868 868 3 746 782 773 874 875 900 880 883 885 885 4 752 754 789 783 886 886 912 891 895 896 5 798 750 753 788 787 886 886 912 891 897 6 818 806 758 767 805 795 898 897 923 903 7 787 860 849 796 810 850 838 948 950 976 8 774 818 890 880 823 839 884 866 982 982 9 764 791 833 915 902 847 859 905 891 1,010 10 752 780 809 853 934 921 863 878 929 913 11 710 752 778 808 849 932 916 861 876 925 12 782 737 779 806 834 877 963 944 891 906 Grand Total 10,311 10,549 10,850 11,114 11,362 11,574 11,743 11,830 11,957 12,137 Projected Enrollment - High - District-wide PK 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 K - 5 4,636 4,717 4,866 5,001 5,117 5,225 5,234 5,243 5,227 5,234 6-7 2,379 2,484 2,497 2,443 2,438 2,484 2,620 2,711 2,855 2,861 9-12 3,008 3,060 3,199 3,382 3,519 3,577 3,601 3,588 3,587 3,754 K - 12 10,023 10,261 10,562 10,826 11,074 11,286 11,455 11,542 11,669 11,849 Grand Total 10,311 10,549 10,850 11,114 11,362 11,574 11,743 11,830 11,957 12,137 PAGE 32

Projected Enrollment - High - by Boundary Boundary 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 Trend Bluffsview Boundary 857 908 953 1,005 1,045 1,094 1,137 1,183 1,220 1,256 Brookside Boundary 611 624 620 626 631 630 624 626 626 627 Colonial Hills Boundary 758 814 848 887 920 946 979 983 1,006 1,015 Evening Street Boundary 1,132 1,188 1,250 1,305 1,352 1,398 1,449 1,471 1,505 1,556 Granby Boundary 980 997 1,048 1,072 1,110 1,127 1,155 1,156 1,177 1,194 Liberty Boundary 974 949 945 944 931 928 910 877 877 864 Slate Hill Boundary 974 948 954 931 925 921 906 897 890 879 Wilson Hill Boundary 1,012 1,022 1,041 1,052 1,061 1,075 1,089 1,113 1,103 1,133 Worthington Estates Boundary 1,204 1,242 1,290 1,338 1,376 1,385 1,380 1,377 1,390 1,406 Worthington Hills Boundary 968 1,008 1,055 1,109 1,172 1,234 1,285 1,330 1,349 1,404 Worthington Park Boundary 841 849 846 845 839 836 829 817 814 803 Total 10,311 10,549 10,850 11,114 11,362 11,574 11,743 11,830 11,957 12,137 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 PROJECTED ENROLLMENT - HIGH - DISTRICT-WIDE PAGE 33

ENROLLMENT BY BOUNDARY The following pages illustrate historical and projected enrollment by boundary. Bluffsview Boundary... 35 Brookside Boundary... 40 Colonial Hills Boundary... 45 Evening Street Boundary... 50 Granby Boundary... 55 Liberty Boundary... 60 Slate Hill Boundary... 65 Wilson Hill Boundary... 70 Worthington Estates Boundary... 75 Worthington Hills Boundary... 80 Worthington Park Boundary... 85 PAGE 34

BLUFFSVIEW BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Bluffsview Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 16 17 25 20 22 21 K 50 50 49 63 51 70 1 56 53 58 52 70 56 2 53 58 53 54 60 65 3 50 57 60 52 59 62 4 50 54 58 58 57 63 5 54 53 53 56 61 59 6 53 54 54 58 57 62 7 41 59 53 59 67 57 8 47 46 56 56 59 70 9 58 54 50 54 61 55 10 39 60 52 54 55 61 11 53 38 59 52 51 51 12 51 55 42 59 52 56 Grand Total 671 708 722 747 782 808 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Bluffsview Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 16 17 25 20 22 21 K - 5 313 325 331 335 358 375 6-8 141 159 163 173 183 189 9-12 201 207 203 219 219 223 K - 12 655 691 697 727 760 787 Grand Total 671 708 722 747 782 808 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 35

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 73 74 74 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 1 77 80 81 81 80 81 81 81 81 81 2 57 78 81 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 3 67 59 80 84 85 85 84 84 84 84 4 66 72 63 86 89 91 90 90 90 90 5 65 69 75 65 89 93 94 94 93 93 6 60 66 70 76 66 91 94 96 95 95 7 64 62 68 72 78 68 93 97 98 98 8 59 66 64 71 75 81 70 97 101 102 9 71 60 67 65 72 75 82 71 98 102 10 55 71 60 67 65 72 76 82 72 98 11 59 53 69 58 65 63 70 73 80 69 12 53 62 56 72 61 68 66 73 77 83 Grand Total 847 893 929 973 1,001 1,043 1,075 1,113 1,144 1,170 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 405 432 454 471 498 504 503 503 502 502 6-8 183 194 202 219 219 240 257 290 294 295 9-12 238 246 252 262 263 278 294 299 327 352 K - 12 421 440 454 952 980 1,022 1,054 1,092 1,123 1,149 Grand Total 847 893 929 973 1,001 1,043 1,075 1,113 1,144 1,170 PAGE 36

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 71 72 72 71 72 72 72 72 72 72 1 77 78 79 79 78 79 79 79 79 79 2 54 74 76 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 3 68 56 78 79 80 80 79 79 79 79 4 66 72 60 83 84 85 85 85 85 85 5 65 69 75 62 86 87 88 88 88 88 6 60 67 70 76 64 88 89 90 90 89 7 64 62 69 72 79 66 90 92 93 93 8 59 66 64 71 75 82 68 94 95 97 9 67 57 64 62 68 72 79 65 90 91 10 55 68 57 64 62 69 72 79 66 91 11 57 52 63 53 60 58 64 68 74 62 12 55 61 56 68 57 64 63 69 73 79 Grand Total 839 875 904 938 963 999 1,025 1,057 1,081 1,102 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 401 421 440 451 477 479 479 479 479 479 6-7 183 195 203 219 218 236 247 276 278 279 9-12 234 238 240 247 247 263 278 281 303 323 K - 12 417 433 443 917 942 978 1,004 1,036 1,060 1,081 Grand Total 839 875 904 938 963 999 1,025 1,057 1,081 1,102 PAGE 37

Projected Enrollment - Low - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 68 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 1 77 75 76 76 75 75 75 75 75 75 2 52 71 69 70 70 69 69 69 69 69 3 67 53 72 71 72 72 71 71 71 71 4 65 71 56 77 75 76 76 75 75 75 5 65 67 72 57 79 77 78 78 77 77 6 60 65 68 73 58 79 78 79 79 78 7 62 60 65 68 73 58 79 77 79 78 8 59 64 61 67 70 75 60 82 80 81 9 65 54 59 57 62 65 70 55 76 74 10 55 65 54 59 57 62 65 70 55 75 11 56 51 60 50 54 52 57 60 64 51 12 54 60 54 63 53 57 55 61 63 68 Grand Total 826 846 856 878 888 907 923 942 953 962 Projected Enrollment - Low - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 394 406 414 420 440 438 438 437 436 436 6-8 181 189 194 208 201 212 217 238 238 237 9-12 230 230 227 229 226 236 247 246 258 268 K - 12 411 419 421 857 867 886 902 921 932 941 Grand Total 826 846 856 878 888 907 923 942 953 962 PAGE 38

Projected Enrollment - High - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K 74 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 1 77 82 83 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 2 57 78 83 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 3 69 60 83 87 89 88 88 88 88 88 4 67 74 65 90 95 96 96 95 95 95 5 66 70 77 68 94 99 100 100 99 100 6 61 68 72 80 70 96 101 103 103 102 7 66 65 72 77 85 74 102 108 110 109 8 60 69 68 75 80 89 78 107 113 115 9 70 59 69 67 75 80 88 77 106 112 10 56 71 60 70 68 76 81 90 78 108 11 57 53 67 57 66 64 72 76 84 74 12 56 63 58 73 62 72 71 79 84 93 Grand Total 857 908 953 1,005 1,045 1,094 1,137 1,183 1,220 1,256 Projected Enrollment - High - Bluffsview Boundary PK 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 K - 5 410 439 466 485 518 522 523 522 521 522 6-7 187 202 212 232 235 259 281 318 326 326 9-12 239 246 254 267 271 292 312 322 352 387 K - 12 426 448 466 984 1,024 1,073 1,116 1,162 1,199 1,235 Grand Total 857 908 953 1,005 1,045 1,094 1,137 1,183 1,220 1,256 PAGE 39

BROOKSIDE BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Brookside Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 18 13 24 14 11 26 K 48 44 43 49 42 43 1 55 52 51 57 58 45 2 42 53 43 54 49 49 3 44 40 56 46 50 47 4 34 41 39 61 44 49 5 44 35 45 41 61 44 6 38 45 34 41 47 51 7 40 36 47 40 41 46 8 41 41 35 51 42 42 9 29 39 39 37 53 41 10 39 32 39 42 35 48 11 43 39 28 39 44 33 12 41 41 44 28 41 46 Grand Total 556 551 567 600 618 610 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Brookside Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 18 13 24 14 11 26 K - 5 267 265 277 308 304 277 6-8 119 122 116 132 130 139 9-12 152 151 150 146 173 168 K - 12 538 538 543 586 607 584 Grand Total 556 551 567 600 618 610 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 40

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 1 47 56 57 56 56 56 56 56 56 56 2 39 41 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 3 47 37 39 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 4 46 46 36 38 45 45 45 45 45 45 5 49 46 46 36 38 45 45 45 45 45 6 39 44 41 41 32 34 40 41 40 40 7 51 39 43 41 41 32 34 40 40 40 8 47 52 40 45 42 42 33 35 41 41 9 42 47 52 40 44 42 42 33 34 40 10 39 39 45 49 38 42 39 39 31 33 11 46 37 38 43 47 36 40 38 38 30 12 34 48 39 40 45 49 38 42 40 40 Grand Total 603 609 601 600 599 594 583 585 581 581 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K - 5 279 277 277 275 284 291 291 291 291 291 6-8 137 135 124 127 115 108 107 116 121 121 9-12 161 171 174 172 174 169 159 152 143 143 K - 12 298 306 298 574 573 568 557 559 555 555 Grand Total 603 609 601 600 599 594 583 585 581 581 PAGE 41

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K 46 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 1 47 51 52 52 51 52 52 51 51 51 2 39 41 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 3 47 37 39 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 4 46 46 36 38 41 42 42 41 41 41 5 49 46 46 36 38 41 42 42 41 41 6 39 44 41 41 32 34 37 37 37 37 7 51 39 43 41 41 32 34 36 37 37 8 47 52 40 45 42 42 33 35 38 38 9 42 47 52 40 44 42 42 33 34 37 10 38 38 43 47 37 41 38 38 30 32 11 46 36 37 42 46 35 39 37 37 29 12 34 48 38 38 43 48 37 41 39 39 Grand Total 597 598 584 579 574 568 555 550 544 541 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K - 5 274 268 264 259 263 268 269 267 266 266 6-7 137 135 124 127 115 108 104 108 112 112 9-12 160 169 170 167 170 166 156 149 140 137 K - 12 297 304 294 553 548 542 529 524 518 515 Grand Total 597 598 584 579 574 568 555 550 544 541 PAGE 42

Projected Enrollment - Low - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K 45 46 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 1 46 48 49 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 2 37 38 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 3 46 35 36 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 4 45 45 34 35 36 37 37 37 37 37 5 49 45 45 34 35 36 37 37 36 37 6 36 40 38 37 28 29 30 30 30 30 7 49 35 39 36 36 27 28 29 30 29 8 47 51 36 40 37 37 28 29 30 30 9 41 46 49 35 39 36 36 27 28 29 10 37 37 41 44 32 35 33 32 25 25 11 45 35 35 39 42 30 33 31 30 23 12 34 47 36 36 40 43 31 34 32 31 Grand Total 583 574 549 533 522 507 490 483 475 468 Projected Enrollment - Low - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K - 5 268 257 249 240 242 244 245 245 244 245 6-8 132 126 113 113 101 93 86 88 90 89 9-12 157 165 161 154 153 144 133 124 115 108 K - 12 289 291 274 507 496 481 464 457 449 442 Grand Total 583 574 549 533 522 507 490 483 475 468 PAGE 43

Projected Enrollment - High - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K 48 49 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 1 49 54 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 2 40 43 48 49 48 48 48 48 48 48 3 48 38 42 46 47 47 47 47 47 47 4 47 47 38 41 46 47 47 46 47 47 5 49 47 48 38 42 46 47 47 47 47 6 42 47 45 46 37 40 45 45 45 45 7 52 43 48 46 46 37 40 45 46 46 8 48 54 44 50 47 48 39 42 47 48 9 42 48 54 45 50 48 48 39 42 47 10 38 40 45 51 42 47 45 45 37 40 11 47 38 39 44 50 41 46 44 45 36 12 35 50 40 41 47 52 43 49 46 47 Grand Total 611 624 620 626 631 630 624 626 626 627 Projected Enrollment - High - Brookside Boundary PK 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 K - 5 281 278 279 277 286 291 292 291 292 292 6-7 142 144 137 142 130 125 124 132 138 139 9-12 162 176 178 181 189 188 182 177 170 170 K - 12 304 320 315 600 605 604 598 600 600 601 Grand Total 611 624 620 626 631 630 624 626 626 627 PAGE 44

COLONIAL HILLS BOUNDARY Historical Enrollment - Colonial Hills Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 3 7 13 14 16 19 K 58 53 65 46 49 66 1 54 67 55 69 53 52 2 53 52 73 61 76 53 3 45 51 49 72 63 72 4 54 49 54 48 75 63 5 46 59 49 53 46 72 6 30 46 54 50 49 41 7 67 31 50 50 49 53 8 51 71 34 52 48 49 9 45 50 74 34 53 56 10 36 47 46 73 37 50 11 42 40 46 50 67 34 12 43 36 38 43 42 66 Grand Total 627 659 700 715 723 746 Source: Worthington Schools Historical Enrollment - Colonial Hills Boundary Grade 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PK 3 7 13 14 16 19 K - 5 310 331 345 349 362 378 6-8 148 148 138 152 146 143 9-12 166 173 204 200 199 206 K - 12 624 652 687 701 707 727 Grand Total 627 659 700 715 723 746 Source: Worthington Schools PAGE 45

Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K 62 65 64 63 64 64 64 64 64 64 1 71 67 70 69 68 69 69 69 69 69 2 53 73 68 72 71 70 70 70 70 70 3 51 51 70 66 69 68 67 68 68 68 4 72 51 52 70 66 70 68 68 68 68 5 61 70 49 50 68 64 67 66 65 66 6 66 56 64 45 46 62 59 62 60 60 7 41 66 55 64 45 45 62 58 61 60 8 53 41 66 56 64 45 45 62 58 61 9 51 55 43 69 58 67 47 47 65 61 10 54 50 54 41 67 56 65 46 46 63 11 46 50 46 49 38 61 52 59 42 42 12 32 43 47 43 46 36 57 48 56 39 Grand Total 732 757 767 776 789 796 811 806 811 810 Projected Enrollment - Recommended - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K - 5 370 377 373 390 406 405 405 405 404 405 6-8 160 163 185 165 155 152 166 182 179 181 9-12 183 198 190 202 209 220 221 200 209 205 K - 12 343 361 375 757 770 777 792 787 792 791 Grand Total 732 757 767 776 789 796 811 806 811 810 PAGE 46

Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K 66 69 68 67 68 68 68 68 68 68 1 71 71 75 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 2 53 73 72 76 75 74 75 75 75 75 3 51 51 70 70 73 72 71 72 72 72 4 72 51 52 70 70 74 73 72 72 72 5 61 70 49 50 68 68 71 70 69 70 6 65 55 63 45 45 61 61 64 63 62 7 43 69 58 66 47 47 65 64 68 67 8 53 43 68 57 66 47 47 64 64 67 9 56 60 49 77 65 75 53 53 73 73 10 54 54 58 47 75 63 73 52 52 71 11 46 50 50 54 44 70 58 67 48 48 12 33 44 48 48 51 42 67 56 64 46 Grand Total 743 779 799 819 839 853 874 869 880 883 Projected Enrollment - Moderate - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K - 5 374 385 386 406 427 429 431 430 429 430 6-7 161 167 189 168 158 155 173 192 195 196 9-12 189 208 205 226 235 250 251 228 237 238 K - 12 350 375 394 800 820 834 855 850 861 864 Grand Total 743 779 799 819 839 853 874 869 880 883 PAGE 47

Projected Enrollment - Low - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K 61 65 64 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 1 70 65 68 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 2 52 70 65 68 67 67 67 67 67 67 3 50 49 66 61 65 64 63 63 63 63 4 72 50 49 66 61 65 63 63 63 63 5 60 69 48 47 63 59 62 61 60 60 6 64 54 61 43 42 56 52 55 54 53 7 42 66 55 63 44 43 58 54 57 56 8 52 42 65 54 62 43 42 57 53 56 9 54 57 46 71 60 68 48 47 63 58 10 53 51 54 43 67 56 64 45 44 59 11 45 48 46 49 39 61 51 58 41 40 12 32 42 44 43 45 36 56 47 54 38 Grand Total 726 747 750 757 764 767 775 766 768 762 Projected Enrollment - Low - Colonial Hills Boundary PK 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 K - 5 365 368 360 372 386 385 385 384 383 383 6-8 158 162 181 160 148 142 152 166 164 165 9-12 184 198 190 206 211 221 219 197 202 195 K - 12 342 360 371 738 745 748 756 747 749 743 Grand Total 726 747 750 757 764 767 775 766 768 762 PAGE 48