Transportation Laboratory/Energy Sustainability Forum (IR3S) International Workshop on Sustainable Transportation and Energy University of Tokyo The future of Aviation and the Environment: Advanced Technologies and Innovation BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Copyright 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved. Duane Oda Product Development Chief Boeing Commercial Airplanes 6 August 2009
Key Messages Challenges Plan and Commitment Pioneering new technologies Alignment of technologies to Products
Long-term demand for new airplanes remains strong 40,000 Units 35,800 30,000 16,900 Growth 20,000 19,000 29,400 10,000 12,500 Replacement 0 6,400 Retained Fleet 2007 2027
Boeing Product Strategy Market-Driving Products and Services 2009-2028 Regional jets Single-aisle Twin-aisle 747 and larger 7% 2% 44% 47% Full market coverage from 100-500 seats Environmentally progressive Operational commonality Long-range, fast, reliable Low operating cost Standardization Passenger experience Lifecycle solutions 3.2 trillion delivery dollars* *In year 2008 dollars
Airlines will need more than 29,400 new airplanes valued at $3.2 trillion Deliveries by Region 2008 to 2027 North America 29% Asia-Pacific 31% Market Value by Region Latin America 6% Europe and CIS 27% Middle East 5% Africa 2% 2008 to 2027 North America 23% Latin America 4% Asia-Pacific 38% Europe and CIS 25% Africa 2% Middle East 8% 7/29/2009
Aviation: currently small, but without further action CO 2 emissions will increase Emissions by sector, 2000-2030 Mt CO 2 /year 60,000 3% of total 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 2% of total Air Other transport Power Industrial Buildings Forestry Agriculture & waste 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: McKinsey & Co. /WBCSD Mobility 2030 model; IPCC
Key drivers of emissions reductions Carbon Neutral Timeline 2050 Ongoing Fleet Renewal / Technology Development ATM Investments / Improvements CO 2 Emissions Baseline Low Carbon Fuels Forecasted Emissions Growth w/o Reduction Measures Presented to ICAO GIACC/3 February 2009 by Paul Steele on behalf of ACI, CANSO, IATA and ICCAIA
Building on a strong record of continuous innovation MORE FUEL Early Jet Airplanes HIGHER DECIBELS Relative fuel use 90% Reduction in Noise Footprint 70% Fuel Improvement and Reduced CO2 Noise db LESS FUEL LOWER DECIBELS EVEN LESS 1950s Noise footprint based on 85 dba. New Generation Jet Airplanes 1990s EVEN LOWER D906Q3946
Our plan and commitments Relentlessly pursue manufacturing and life cycle improvements Improve performance of worldwide fleet operations Deliver progressive new products and services Pioneer new technology 100% 25% 15% 75% Use ISO 14001 continuous improvement plan for 100% of BCA manufacturing sites Maximize Lean and recycling Focus on 25% efficiency improvements in worldwide fleet fuel use and CO2 emissions by 2020 Improve CO2 emissions and fuel efficiency by at least 15% Devote more than 75% of R&D toward benefiting environmental performance D906Q3946
Innovative technologies for improved performance Materials research Advanced aerodynamics Noise reduction technologies Renewable energy sources D906Q3946 D906Q3946
Researching next-generation materials Advancing both materials and manufacturing techniques to make structures lighter and more fuel efficient D906Q3946
The 787 advanced smooth-wing design adds unmatched efficiency All new state-of-the-art aerodynamic wing design Cruise optimization Droopable Spoiler High aspect ratio Advanced composites Single Slotted Flap Simple plain trailing edge flap system Advanced multifunction spoilers Variable camber cruise optimization Advanced raked wing tips Small flap track fairings D906Q3946
Actively pursuing noise reduction technologies Recent Research Chevrons 2001: Quiet Technology Demonstrator 1 (QTD1) 2005: Quiet Technology Demonstrator 2 (QTD2) New innovations in noise reduction technology Variable Area Fan Nozzle Smart Materials Chevron Core Nozzle with Microjets D906Q3946
Actively pursuing renewable energy sources ENERGY HARVESTING TECHNOLOGIES Electrodynamic: Powering light switches with your finger. Thermoelectric: Using temperature gradients to power dimmable windows. Piezoelectric: A vibration-powered wireless sensor The Spectrolab solar cell: Concentrating solar power to make it cost-effective FUEL CELLS The Boeing Fuel Cell Demonstrator, achieved the first manned mission where straight-level flight was powered solely by a hydrogen fuel cell. D906Q3946
Electrodynamics convert finger pressure into electrical power Eliminating wires between the seat and the PSU saving weight which translates to fuel and emissions reductions D906Q3946
Thermoelectric devices convert a temperature gradient into electrical power Recaptures the energy used to warm the cabin air Provides power to dimmable window reducing electric demand D906Q3946
Piezoelectric harvesters convert vibrations into electrical energy Uses airplane vibrations to power small electrical demand applications such as a wireless sensor to monitor structural health of the airplane D906Q3946
Boeing Fuel Cell Airplane Demonstrator Fuel Cell Controller Motor Controller 20kW PEM Fuel Cell (from Intelligent Energy) Electric Motor Battery Pack 5,000 psi Gaseous Hydrogen Copyright 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved.
Roadmapping Focusing on the right Technologies Passengers Airlines Mother Nature Product Offerings Engine Systems Materials Aero Engine Systems Materials Today MARKET ROADMAP (What the World Wants) PRODUCT ROADMAP (Needed Capabilities) Speed and Efficiency TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS (Pull Solutions) & Time Low Fares, Enhanced Flying Experience, Point to Point Service Lower operating cost, more revenue Few Emissions, Quieter, Longer lasting Potential Future Products and Services Less fuel usage, Higher Reliability, Lower Noise & Emission Passenger Pleasing Environment, Lower Acquisition Cost, Enhanced Safety Lighter, lower cost Alignment of Technology Solutions to Product Needs and Market Requirements with the Right Timing Future Aero (Push Disruptive Game Changing Possibilities) Boeing Proprietary Product Development Sensitive
The 787 Dreamliner uses advanced technologies to improve environmental efficiency Innovative Systems Technologies Enhanced Flight Deck Advanced Wing Design Composite Primary Structure Advanced Engines and Nacelles Cleaner, quieter and more efficient 20%* Reduction in fuel and CO 2 28% Below 2008 industry limits for NO x 60%* Smaller noise footprint *Relative to the 767
The 747-8 uses advanced technologies to improve environmental efficiency New Wing Design Enhanced Flight Deck Advanced Materials Advanced Nacelles and Chevron Nozzles 787 Dreamliner Technology High-bypass Engines Cleaner, quieter and more efficient 16%* Reduction in fuel and CO 2 28% Below 2008 industry limits for NO x 30%* Smaller noise footprint *Relative to the 747-400
Environmental Technology Demonstrator Program Objective: Reduce emissions and noise by enhancing efficiency of wing, propulsion system, and take-off and landing flight procedures Smart Wing Elements System Improvements for efficiency (i.e. fuel cells) New FMS Concepts Tailored Departures Way-point cut-back Quiet Nose Gear Variable Area Fan Nozzle Low Power Electric Deice Engine Improvements Copyright 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved.
Successful flight test program demonstrated sustainable biofuel viability Identified sustainable biofuel sources Demonstrated technical feasibility on various engine / airframe combinations Promoted development of viable commercial markets 20% Coconut & Babassu 50% Jatropha 50% Algae & Jatropha 50% Camelina, Jatropha & Algae Feb 2008 Dec 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2009 Increasing level of test objectives
Our plan and commitments Relentlessly pursue manufacturing and life cycle improvements Improve performance of worldwide fleet operations Deliver progressive new products and services Pioneer new technology 100% 25% 15% 75% 100% of Boeing major manufacturing sites will maintain ISO 14001 certification. Focus on 25% efficiency improvements in worldwide fleet fuel use and CO2 emissions by 2020. Improve CO2 emissions and fuel efficiency by at least 15% Devote more than 75% of R&D toward benefiting environmental performance
Looking to the Future What is being done today and what is the future?