Cars that can think and act for greater road safety Samantha Cockfield Road Safety TAC
towards zero 20% 45 53 lives saved Strategy impact in 2020 623 703 fewer serious injuries 15%
Megatrends The world is changing Demography Urbanization Energy & climate Connectivity The over-65 age group is growing twice as fast as others Five billion people 60% of the global population live in cities The chances of limiting global warming to 2 C are very slight By 2020, 50 billion things will be connected Courtesy of Bosch Australia
Monthly Serious Injuries Serious Injury Trends in Vic 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Residual Trend With SRIP With SRIP and Vehicle Safety Improvements 0 Jan-04 Oct-06 Jun-09 Mar-12 Dec-14 Sep-17 Jun-20 Mar-23 Dec-25 Month
Automated vehicles offer the possibility of fundamentally changing the transport task and society. It is likely it will improve road safety, mobility, productivity and environmental outcomes. (NTC 2016)
14250 13034 379812 354534 291105 515708 406726 486476 665138 947993 1963477 1665000 2,000,000 Crash trends More automation saves lives -15% 2003 2013 1,500,000 1,000,000 +35% -18% -10-15% +20% -30% 500,000 0 15% reduction in traffic accidents with casualties worldwide 1 within one decade Still approximately 1.3 million traffic fatalities annually 2 1 Selected countries: US (TSF2012), Brazil (DENATRAN), EU27 (Care DB) RUS (Statistics Road Safety Department 2013, India (MORTH 2013), Japan (National Police 2013) 2 WHO report 2013. Slide of Bosch. Courtesy of Bosch Australia
Our Progress Already cars have low level life-saving automated technology Est 37% crashes can be addressed eg AEB & ESC Higher levels soon - commercially deploy self-driving vehicles certain scenarios early 2020s 90% + of all crashes are caused or contributed to by human error The first advanced active safety system (the Electronic Stability Control system) late 1990s Systems, aiming at avoiding or mitigating crashes range of scenarios - taking over the responsibility of correcting a safety critical situation from the driver Systems depend on sensor technologies for vehicle to make decisions e.g. laser systems, radar, cameras and positioning technologies separate or in combination Driver distraction, (esp mobile phone use) & drowsy driving our priority for action.
Automated Driving A revolution coming step by step Bosch Approach Automated valet parking 2018 Remote park assist 2015 Evasive steering support 2015 Highway assist 2018 Integrated cruise assist 2017 Auto pilot >2025 Traffic jam assist 2015 Highway pilot 2020 Traffic jam pilot >2016 Highly and fully automated driving Reduced driver supervision Automatic emergency braking since 2010 Assisted driving Supports the driver Partially automated driving Permanent driver supervision 2 Robert Bosch GmbH 2016. All rights reserved, also regarding any disposal, exploitation, reproduction, editing, distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
So what are the barriers? Current regulations do not adequately support automated road vehicles Australia has complex regulatory framework - regulation Inconsistent across states and territories Coordinated reform required.
Regulatory issues Regulations support vehicles with partial or conditional automation, but control of the vehicle needs to be clarified. Legal barriers to highly and fully automated road vehicles. Supporting on-road trials and demonstrations - no nationally-consistent guidelines or conditions for on-road trials of automated vehicle technology. Supporting automated driving that requires a human driver - unclear who is in control of an automated vehicle when the human driver must monitor the automated driving system and intervene if requested. Interpretation of proper control that requires a human driver to have at least one hand on the steering wheel is likely to become outdated.
Regulatory issues cont. Road rules and other laws, including many compulsory third-party insurance schemes, assume a human driver and would not apply in the same way to vehicles that do not have a human driver. Uncertain how government agencies would access automated vehicle data, and in what circumstances. How privacy law will apply to data collected
Automated Driving Safety scenario demonstration & testing 3 Bosch-TAC 2016
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