Quant Briefing: Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

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1 Quant Briefing: Revenues, Earnings, & Margins February 19, 2018 Dr. Edward Yardeni Joe Abbott Please visit our sites at blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Tables S&P 500 Sectors Revenues, Earnings, & Margins 3 S&P 500 Sectors Contribution to S&P S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Revenue Growth 5 S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Earnings Growth 6 S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Profit Margin 7 February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

3 S&P 500 Sectors Revenues, Earnings, & Margins Figure A: S&P 500 Projected Sales, Earnings, & Profit Margin (as of February 15, 2018) Y/Y Sales Growth (%) 1-month % change in Sales Forecast 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 12-Month 2018E 2019E 2020E FW S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities S&P 500 ex-energy S&P 500 ex-financials Y/Y Earnings Growth (%) 1-month % change in EPS Forecast 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 12-Month 2018E 2019E 2020E FW S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities S&P 500 ex-energy S&P 500 ex-financials Operating Profit Margin (%) 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 12-Month S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities S&P 500 ex-energy S&P 500 ex-financials Page 3 / February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

4 S&P 500 Sectors Contribution to S&P 500 Figure B: S&P 500 Sectors % Contribution to Sales & Earnings (as of February 15, 2018) % of S&P 500 Sales 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 12-Month S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities % of S&P 500 Earnings 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 12-Month S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities Figure C: S&P 500 Sectors $ Contribution to Sales & Earnings (as of February 15, 2018) $ Contribution to S&P 500 Sales 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 12-Month S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities $ Contribution to S&P 500 Earnings 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 12-Month S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Real Estate Telecommunication Services Utilities Page 4 / February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

5 S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Revenue Growth Figure D: Consensus Expected Revenue Growth (pct. change, as of February 15, 2018) Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward S&P Consumer Staples Consumer Discretionary Agricultural Products Advertising Brewers Apparel & Accessories Distillers & Vintners Apparel Retail Drug Retail Auto Parts & Equipment Food Distributors Automobile Manufacturers Food Retail Automotive Retail Household Products Broadcasting Hypermarkets & Super Centers Cable & Satellite Packaged Foods Casinos & Gaming Personal Products Computer & Electronics Retail Soft Drinks Consumer Electronics na 1.7 Tobacco Department Stores Energy Distributors Integrated Oil & Gas Footwear Oil & Gas Drilling General Merchandise Stores Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Home Furnishings Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Home Improvement Retail Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Homebuilding Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation Hotels Financials Household Appliances Asset Management & Custody Banks Housewares & Specialities Consumer Finance Internet & Direct Marketing Retail Diversified Banks Leisure Products Financial Exchanges & Data Motorcycle Manufacturers Insurance Brokers Movies & Entertainment Investment Banking & Brokerage Publishing & Printing Life & Health Insurance Restaurants Multi-Line Insurance Speciality Stores Multi-Sector Holdings na 2.5 Specialized Consumer Services na 1.0 Property & Casualty Insurance Tires & Rubber Regional Banks Health Care Reinsurance Biotechnology Real Estate Health Care Distributors Health Care REIT's Health Care Equipment Hotel & Resort REIT's Health Care Facilities Industrial REITs Health Care Services Office REITs Health Care Supplies Real Estate Services Health Care Technology Residential REITs Life Sciences Tools & Services Retail REITs Managed Health Care Specialized REITs Pharmaceuticals Information Technology Industrials Application Software Aerospace & Defense Communications Equipment Agricultural & Farm Machinery Data Processing & Outsourced Services Air Freight & Couriers Electronic Components Airlines Electronic Equipment & Instruments Building Products Electronic Manufacturing Services Construction & Engineering Home Entertainment Software Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks Internet Software & Services Diversified Support Services na 8.8 IT Consulting & Other Services Electrical Components & Equipment Semiconductor Equipment Environmental & Facilities Services Semiconductors Human Resource & Employment Services Systems Software Industrial Conglomerates Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industrial Machinery Materials Railroads Commodity Chemicals Research & Consulting Services Construction Materials Trading Companies & Distributors Copper Trucking Diversified Chemicals Telecommunications Services Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals Alternative Carriers Gold Integrated Telecommunication Services Industrial Gasses Utilities Metal & Glass Containers Electric Utilities Paper Packaging Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders Speciality Chemicals Multi-Utilities Steel Water Utilities na = not available. Page 5 / February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins Yardeni Research, In

6 S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Earnings Growth Figure E: Consensus Expected Earnings Growth (pct. change, as of February 15, 2018) Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward S&P Consumer Staples Consumer Discretionary Agricultural Products Advertising Brewers Apparel & Accessories Distillers & Vintners Apparel Retail Drug Retail Auto Parts & Equipment Food Distributors Automobile Manufacturers Food Retail Automotive Retail Household Products Broadcasting Hypermarkets & Super Centers Cable & Satellite Packaged Foods Casinos & Gaming Personal Products Computer & Electronics Retail Soft Drinks Consumer Electronics na 3.1 Tobacco Department Stores Energy Distributors Integrated Oil & Gas Footwear Oil & Gas Drilling +/- neg -/ General Merchandise Stores Oil & Gas Equipment & Services -/ Home Furnishings Oil & Gas Exploration & Production -/ Home Improvement Retail Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Homebuilding Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation Hotels Financials Household Appliances Asset Management & Custody Banks Housewares & Specialities Consumer Finance Internet & Direct Marketing Retail Diversified Banks Leisure Products Financial Exchanges & Data Motorcycle Manufacturers Insurance Brokers Movies & Entertainment Investment Banking & Brokerage Publishing & Printing Life & Health Insurance Restaurants Multi-Line Insurance Speciality Stores Multi-Sector Holdings Specialized Consumer Services na -6.4 Property & Casualty Insurance Tires & Rubber Regional Banks Health Care Reinsurance Biotechnology Real Estate Health Care Distributors Health Care REIT's Health Care Equipment Hotel & Resort REIT's Health Care Facilities Industrial REITs Health Care Services Office REITs Health Care Supplies Real Estate Services Health Care Technology Residential REITs Life Sciences Tools & Services Retail REITs Managed Health Care Specialized REITs Pharmaceuticals Information Technology Industrials Application Software Aerospace & Defense Communications Equipment Agricultural & Farm Machinery Data Processing & Outsourced Services Air Freight & Couriers Electronic Components Airlines Electronic Equipment & Instruments Building Products Electronic Manufacturing Services Construction & Engineering Home Entertainment Software Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks Internet Software & Services Diversified Support Services na 24.7 IT Consulting & Other Services Electrical Components & Equipment Semiconductor Equipment Environmental & Facilities Services Semiconductors Human Resource & Employment Services Systems Software Industrial Conglomerates Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industrial Machinery Materials Railroads Commodity Chemicals Research & Consulting Services Construction Materials Trading Companies & Distributors Copper Trucking Diversified Chemicals Telecommunications Services Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals Alternative Carriers Gold Integrated Telecommunication Services Industrial Gasses Utilities Metal & Glass Containers Electric Utilities Paper Packaging Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders Speciality Chemicals Multi-Utilities Steel Water Utilities /- = a loss is expected, -/- = forecasted loss is larger, neg = forecasted loss is smaller, -/+ = forecasted earnings are now positive, na = not available. Page 6 / February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

7 S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Annual Profit Margin Figure F: Consensus Expected Profit Margin (percent, as of February 15, 2018) Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward Sector/Industry Group 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Forward S&P Consumer Staples Consumer Discretionary Agricultural Products Advertising Brewers Apparel & Accessories Distillers & Vintners Apparel Retail Drug Retail Auto Parts & Equipment Food Distributors Automobile Manufacturers Food Retail Automotive Retail Household Products Broadcasting Hypermarkets & Super Centers Cable & Satellite Packaged Foods Casinos & Gaming Personal Products Computer & Electronics Retail Soft Drinks Consumer Electronics na 18.1 Tobacco Department Stores Energy Distributors Integrated Oil & Gas Footwear Oil & Gas Drilling General Merchandise Stores Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Home Furnishings Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Home Improvement Retail Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Homebuilding Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation Hotels Financials Household Appliances Asset Management & Custody Banks Housewares & Specialities Consumer Finance Internet & Direct Marketing Retail Diversified Banks Leisure Products Financial Exchanges & Data Motorcycle Manufacturers Insurance Brokers Movies & Entertainment Investment Banking & Brokerage Publishing & Printing Life & Health Insurance Restaurants Multi-Line Insurance Speciality Stores Multi-Sector Holdings na 9.2 Specialized Consumer Services na 16.3 Property & Casualty Insurance Tires & Rubber Regional Banks Health Care Reinsurance Biotechnology Real Estate Health Care Distributors Health Care REIT's Health Care Equipment Hotel & Resort REIT's Health Care Facilities Industrial REITs Health Care Services Office REITs Health Care Supplies Real Estate Services Health Care Technology Residential REITs Life Sciences Tools & Services Retail REITs Managed Health Care Specialized REITs Pharmaceuticals Information Technology Industrials Application Software Aerospace & Defense Communications Equipment Agricultural & Farm Machinery Data Processing & Outsourced Services Air Freight & Couriers Electronic Components Airlines Electronic Equipment & Instruments Building Products Electronic Manufacturing Services Construction & Engineering Home Entertainment Software Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks Internet Software & Services Diversified Support Services na 10.2 IT Consulting & Other Services Electrical Components & Equipment Semiconductor Equipment Environmental & Facilities Services Semiconductors Human Resource & Employment Services Systems Software Industrial Conglomerates Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industrial Machinery Materials Railroads Commodity Chemicals Research & Consulting Services Construction Materials Trading Companies & Distributors Copper Trucking Diversified Chemicals Telecommunications Services Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals Alternative Carriers Gold Integrated Telecommunication Services Industrial Gasses Utilities Metal & Glass Containers Electric Utilities Paper Packaging Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders Speciality Chemicals Multi-Utilities Steel Water Utilities na = not available. Page 7 / February 19, 2018 / Revenues, Earnings, & Margins

8 Copyright (c) All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on, blog.yardeni.com, and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any product, service, report, or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of, blog.yardeni.com, and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s s, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on request. requests@yardeni.com

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