X PLICIT. Key Economic Indicators December Member of HVB Group. Banking for success.
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1 Member of HVB Group Business Information X PLICIT Key Economic Indicators December 2002 Banking for success.
2 ECONOMIC FORECASTS FOR AUSTRIA* Percentage change over previous year GDP GDP Private consumption Investment in machinery & equipment Investment in construction Exports of goods & services Imports of goods & services Consumer prices Current account balance in EUR billion in % of GDP Unemployment rate in % (Eurostat) Unemployment rate preliminary figures 2 Bank Austria Creditanstalt forecast 3 real, based on 995 prices 4 nominal 5 national definition GROWTH OF REAL GDP IN AUSTRIA* Percentage change over previous year, since 988 calculated in accordance with ESA preliminary figures and 2003 Bank Austria Creditanstalt forecast
3 AUSTRIA S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)* In Euro billion. Gross value added (at current prices) Agriculture, forestry Mining, manufacturing Energy & water supply Construction Wholesale/retail Restaurants, hotels Transport, communication Finance, insurance Real estate and business services Government services Other service activities Imputed bank services charges ( ) Taxes less subsidies on products (+) Gross Domestic Product (nominal) In Euro billion. Expenditures (at current prices) Private consumption Public consumption Gross fixed capital formation Stockbuilding, statistical discrepancy Total domestic demand plus exports of goods & services less imports of goods & services Gross Domestic Product (nominal) *Economic data are computed in accordance with the European System of Integrated Economic Accounts (ESA 95). rounding-off errors
4 AUSTRIA Annual or monthly averages, change over previous year Industrial- Retail Exports production nominal May June July Aug TOURISM IN AUSTRIA Foreign currency receipts and expenditures, in Euro million Receipts Expendit. Balance Overnight 999 0,354 8,623,730 2, ,752 9,26,536 3, ,297 9,922,374 5, April , May , June , July,096, , Aug.,35, ,494 overnight stays (Austrians and foreigners) in thousand AUSTRIA S LABOUR MARKET Annual average or end-of-month value, in thousand Employed Unemployed Joblessrate 999 3, % , % 200 3, % 2002 June 3, % 2002 July 3, % 2002 Aug. 3, % 2002 Sept. 3, % 2002 Oct. 3, % national definition. monthly figures not seasonally adjusted
5 AUSTRIA S FOREIGN TRADE 200 Imports: Total Euro billion Africa, Australia and Oceania.7% Latin America 0.7% North America 5.8% Asia 9.2% Eastern Europe 2.8% EFTA and other European countries 3.7% Other EU countries 4.5% Euro area 60.9% AUSTRIA S FOREIGN TRADE 200 Exports: Total 74,25 Euro billion Africa, Australia and Oceania.6% Latin America.2% North America 6.% Asia 6.5% Eastern Europe 7.% EFTA and other European countries 6.0% Other EU countries 6.6% Euro area 54.2%
6 REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Percentage change over previous year 5 3 USA OECD Euro 2 Austria forecast 3-MONTH INTEREST RATES In percent, monthly averages Switzerland Japan GB USA Euro
7 CONSUMER PRICES Percentage change over previous year Euro 2 Japan Germany USA Austria measured by HICPs BOND YIELDS (SECONDARY MARKET) In percent, 0-year government obligations Switzerland Japan Germany USA Austria
8 SHARE PRICE INDICES January, 2000 = ATX Euro Stoxx Dow Jones Industrial Nikkei NASDAQ Nemax
9 REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Percentage change over previous year Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan preliminary figures 2 Bank Austria Creditanstalt forecast LEADING INDICATORS Percentage change over previous year and over previous month Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan March April May June July Aug Sept CONSUMER PRICES Percentage change over previous year Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan measured by HICPs 2 Bank Austria Creditanstalt forecast
10 UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In percent, annual or monthly averages Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr EU countries are computed pursuant to the Eurostat method 2 BA-CA forecast BUDGET DEFICIT/SURPLUS In percent of GDP Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan preliminary figures 2 forecast CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES In percent of GDP Austria Germ. Euro 2 USA Japan preliminary figures 2 forecast
11 MEAN EXCHANGE RATE OF THE EURO In currency for one euro, annual or monthly averages USD JPY GBP CHF SEK RUB April May June July Aug Sept Oct PLN CZK SKK HUF SIT HRK April May June July Aug Sept Oct Reference rates of the ECB, national statistics KEY INTEREST RATES Rate prevailing on last change Nov. 9, 2002 since in % points Euro 2 (repo) 3.25% Nov USA (fed funds).25% Nov Japan (discount) 0.0% Sept Switzerland (SNB targetbandmiddle) 0.75% July UK (base rate) 4.00% Nov
12 You will also find economic analyses on Bank Austria Creditanstalt s homepage: under Analyses & Research in the section Economic Research Published by Bank Austria Creditanstalt 030 Vienna, Vordere Zollamtsstrasse 3 00 Vienna, Am Hof 2 Edited by Economics Department Bernhard Sinhuber, telephone +43 (0) /4964 ( economic.research@ba-ca.com) Production: Public Relations Department Printed by Holzhausen Graphics: Hans Ljung Photo: Buenos Dias Sources: Bank Austria Creditanstalt, EZB, OECD, OeNB, ÖSTAT, Reuters, WIFO, Datastream Closing Date: November 20, 2002
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