Northern Region s Economic Conditions in July 2018

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1 Northern Region s Economic Conditions in July 218 1

2 Farm Income Index 25= Nominal farm income 1 (%QoQ sa, %MoM sa) Agricultural production (QoQ sa, %MoM sa) Agricultural price (QoQ sa, %MoM sa) Note: 1 = Preliminary data (%YoY) H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Jun July Farm Income Production Price Index 25= 1 Index 25= Level, sa 12 MMA Level, sa 12 MMA Level, sa 12 MMA Source: OAE, calculated by Bank of Thailand 2

3 Manufacturing Manufacturing Production Index (MPI) Weight H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul Contr. Jul Beverage Food Electronic Lens & HDD Parts Textiles Non-Metal Metal Leather Tobacco Others MPI %MoM, %QoQ, SA Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Note: -4 Non-Metal ประกอบด วย การผล ตผล ตภ ณฑ อ นท ทาจากไม เซราม กส การผล ตซ เมนต ป นขาว และป นปลาสเตอร, Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Metal ประกอบด วย ผล ตภ ณฑ โลหะข นม ลฐาน การผล ตของม คม เหล กและอะล ม เน ยม Beverage Food Others ประกอบด วย การผล ตเฟอร น เจอร การผล ตเคร องเพชรพลอยและร ปพรรณ และของท เก ยวข อง และอ นๆ ท ไม ได ระบ ไว (กระดาษ) Electronic Lens & HDD parts Textiles & Textile Products Others Source: Customs Department calculated by Bank of Thailand, Northern Region Office Source: Customs Department calculated by Bank of Thailand, Northern Region Office MPI Manufacturing Production Index (MPI) Index (LHS) (RHS) %Contribution to MPI Growth Note: Others = ผลรวมของ Non-Metal, Metal, Leather, Tobacco, Others

4 Export value of the entrepreneurs located in the north of Thailand Jul 218= Mill USD (1.3%YoY) Share H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul Contr. Jul Agriculture 1/ Fruit Rice Tapioca Others Manufacturing Electronics, Electronical Appliances, and Optical appliance and instruments Machinery & Equipment Agro-manufacturing Products Jewellery Apparels and Textile Materials Automotive Ceramic products (tableware, kitchenware, etc.) Others Others Total %MoM, %QoQ (SA) Note: 1/ included Fishery & Forestry Note: 1/ included Fishery and Foresty. 2/ Data have been revised in accordance with the sixth edition of the balance of payment manual and reclassified product groups by the BOT. Source : Compiled from Customs Department s data 4

5 Export Value of Border Trade June 218 = 1,749.5 Mill THB (9.1%YoY) %YoY Share P H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul Contr. Jul Agriculture Fruits Meat of Poultry Manufacturing Agromanufacturing Products Petroleum Products Automotive Apparels & 6.17 Textile Materials Electronics & Electrical Appliances Machinery & Equipment Total Note: Data have been revised in accordance with the sixth edition of the balance of payment manual and reclassified product groups by the BOT. Source : Compiled from Customs Department s data. P = Preliminary data Jul 218 = 9,797.6 Mill THB (2.1%YoY) Million THB 14, 11, 8, 5, 2, -1, -4, -7, Contribution to Growth by Country Myanmar Lao China Other Total 5

6 Import Value of Border Trade Jun 218 = 3,149.5 Mn THB (5.4%YoY) Ex. Electricity = 1,139.3 Mn THB (2.8%YoY) %YoY P= Preliminary data Share Note: Data have been revised in accordance with the sixth edition of the balance of payment manual and reclassified product groups by the BOT. Source : Compiled from Customs Department s data P H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul Contr. Jul Consumer Fruits Vegetables Raw material & Intermediate Capital Others o/w electricity Total excl. electricity Jul 218 = 3,147.2 Bn THB (-8.1%YoY) Ex. Electricity = 1,211.2 Bn THB (-8.7%YoY) Million THB 4, 3, 2, 1, Contribution to Growth by Country Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 MYANMAR CHINA 4-1, -1 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul LAO OTHER (excl.electricity)

7 Tourism %YoY %MoM H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul sa Number of foreign visitors passing through immigration in Chiang Mai airport Number of air passengers Average of hotel occupancy rate (percent) VAT collected from hotels and restaurants E %Contribution, %YoY Number of foreign visitors passing through immigration in Chiang Mai airport (Share in 217) Chinese (65.) Malaysian (7.3) South Korean (5.8) Hong Kong (4.7) Americans (4.) Singaporean (3.1) British (1.1) Australian (1.1) Others (7.9) %YoY Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Source : Ministry of Tourism and Sports 7

8 %YoY %YoY Private Consumption Index weight H1 Q3 Q4 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun R Jul P %MoM SA Car Index Oil Index E.3 Household & Electricity Other Retail Sales Hotel and Restaurant Sales Transportation Sales FMCG Index PCI E E E E Durable 75 PRIVATE PASSENGER CAR, 7 SEATS 5 MOTORCYCLE PRIVATE PICK-UP Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 3 Nielsen Index Other Food Performance Beverage Performance -6 Impulse Performance Household Performance -7 Personal Care Performance BCW Performance Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 8

9 Private Investment Index Index 21 = H1 Q3 Q4 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun July PII %YoY %QoQ MoM Construction %YoY %QoQ MoM Equipment %YoY %QoQ MoM PII Construction Equipment 6 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 Jul 18 Source: Bank of Thailand and National Statistical Office 9

10 Public Expenditure % Contribution Bill Baht Oct-16 FY217 Public Expenditure Jun BnTHB (-1.8% YoY) July BnTHB (- 34.5% YoY) Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 FY218 Capital Current* Total Total July BnTHB (-34.5 %YoY) avg. FY FY217 FY218 Bill Baht Capital Expenditure July BnTHB (-7. %YoY) avg FY217 FY218 Bill Baht Current Expenditure* July BnTHB (-46.1 %YoY) avg. FY FY217 FY218 5 Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug 3 Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Note: * Excluded salary Source: Ministry of Finance 1

11 Inflation % YoY H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul Headline Raw food Energy Core % YoY Headline inflation Raw food (2.6%) Energy (13.%) Core (66.5%) Headline -4. Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Source: NRO s calculation using data from the Trade Policy and Strategy Office Index, 215= Prices of fresh meats and motor fuel Motor fuel - original series Motor fuel - Henderson filter Fresh meats - original series Fresh meats - Henderson filter 5 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Index, 215=

12 Labor % 217 Unemployment rate (sa) 1. (1.) H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul 1.1 (1.) 1. (1.) 1. (1.) 1.1 (1.) 1. (1.).9 (1.) 1. (.9) Million persons Employed persons and non labor force 6. Employed persons (sa) - LHS Employed persons (3mma, sa) - LHS 5.8 Non labor force (sa) - RHS Non labor force (3mma, sa) - RHS 5.6 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Million persons %.4% Million persons Agriculture and non agriculture employed persons Agriculture (sa) Agriculture (3mma, sa) Non-agriculture (sa) Non-agriculture (3mma, sa) 2. Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Million persons Source: NRO s calculation using data from the National Statistical Office of Thailand 12

13 Deposits and Credits of Commercial Banks Billion Baht Commercial Bank s Deposits H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Q1 May Jun Deposits % YoY Billion Baht Commercial Bank s Credits H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Q1 May Jun Credits % YoY Billion Baht % YoY Billion Baht % YoY 8 Deposits % YoY 2 8 Credits % YoY Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17-1 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17-1 Source : Bank of Thailand 13

Monthly Report on the Corporate Goods Price Index ( Preliminary Figures for November 2018 )

Monthly Report on the Corporate Goods Price Index ( Preliminary Figures for November 2018 ) Research and Statistics Department Bank of Japan Report on the Corporate Goods Price Index The Producer Price Index fell 0.3 percent from the previous. The Export Price Index (contract currency ) fell