Second Quarter 2009 Results
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1 1 Second Quarter 2009 Results
2 Second Quarter 2009 Results Donald W. Seale Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer
3 Railway Operating Revenue Second Quarter 2009 vs Revenue Total $1.86 Billion Down $908 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Coal $511 (34%) Intermodal $368 (31%) Merchandise $978 (33%) Components of Revenue Variance Volume ($711) Fuel Revenue ($348) Mix ($53) Price $204 Total Change ($908) Rev. $Millions
4 Revenue Per Unit Second Quarter 2009 vs Q 2009 vs. 2Q 2008 Rev/Unit Abs. % Chg. Agriculture $2,125 $48 2% Declining fuel related revenue MetCon $1,460 ($215) (13%) Chemicals $3,047 ($48) (2%) Paper $2, ($22) (1%) Automotive $1,798 ($156) (8%) Merchandise $2,093 ($22) (1%) Intermodal $600 ($98) (14%) Negative mix and RCAF-U impact 7% pricing gain Coal $1,538 ($191) (11%) Total $1,315 ($140) (10%)
5 Railway Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Q 2009 vs. 2Q 2008 Units Abs. % Chg Agriculture 135,037 (21,597) (14%) MetCon 117,199 (93,172) (44%) Chemicals 80,501 (23,395) (23%) Paper 74,077 (28,320) (28%) Automotive 60,852 (55,472) (48%) Merchandise 467,666 (221,956) (32%) Intermodal 612,765 (150,308) (20%) Coal 331,911 (116,401) (26%) Declines across all business units Very weak integrated steel and automotive traffic Falling consumer demand & associated Intermodal volume Weak export met coal Weak domestic met and utility coal Total 1,412,342 (488,665) (26%)
6 Coal Variance Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs (11%) (26%) (34%) Revenue Carloads Rev/Car 2Q Q 2008 Change Revenue ($Millions) $511 $775 ($264) Volume 331, ,312 (116,401) Rev/Car $1,538 $1,729 ($191)
7 Coal Markets Second Quarter 2009 vs Steel 24,848 (50%) Export 22,238 (62%) Industrial 17,780 (19%) Total 331,911 Units Down 116,401 Units, 26% vs. 2Q 2008 Lower electricity demand & higher stockpiles Utility 267,045 (16%) Competition from natural gas Decline in domestic & global steel production Volume
8 Intermodal Variance Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs (20%) (14%) (31%) Revenue Units Rev/Unit 2Q Q 2008 Change Revenue ($Millions) $368 $532 ($164) Volume 612, ,073 (150,308) Rev/Unit $600 $698 ($98)
9 Intermodal Markets Second Quarter 2009 vs Total 612,765 Units Triple Crown 69,057 (17%) Premium 48,215 (18%) Domestic 258,145 (2%) Down 150,308 Units, 20% vs. 2Q 2008 Excess truck supply Continued highway diversions International 237,348 (34%) Global recession continues to impact International volume Volume
10 Intermodal Network Enhancements Second Quarter 2009 Mechanicville Bethlehem Boston New Services Harrisburg NY/NJ Philadelphia Savannah, GA Rutherford, PA Columbus, OH Croxton, NJ Memphis Huntsville East Tennessee Charlotte Huntsville, AL Titusville, FL EMP expanded to Toledo, OH Meridian Speedway Shreveport Meridian Atlantat Birmingham Reefer Trailer Service from California to Atlanta New Orleans
11 Merchandise Variance Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs (1%) (33%) (32%) Revenue Carloads Rev/Car 2Q Q 2008 Change Revenue ($Millions) $978 $1,458 ($480) Volume 467, , (221,956) Rev/Car $2,093 $2,115 ($22)
12 Merchandise Revenue & Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Total - $978 Million Down $480 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Total 467,666 Units Down 221,956 Units, 32% vs. 2Q 2008 Automotive $110 (52%) Agriculture $287 (12%) MetCon $171 (51%) Paper $165 (29%) Chemicals $245 (24%) Agriculture 135,037 (14%) Paper 74,077 (28%) Automotive 60,852 (48%) Chemicals 80,501 MetCon (23%) 117,199 (44%) Rev. $Millions Volume
13 Merchandise Revenue & Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Total - $978 Million Down $480 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Total 467,666 Units Down 221,956 Units, 32% vs. 2Q 2008 Automotive $110 (52%) Agriculture $287 (12%) MetCon $171 (51%) Chemicals $245 (24%) Paper $165 (29%) Automotive 60,852 (48%) Agriculture 135,037 (14%) MetCon 117,199 (44%) Paper 74,077 (28%) Chemicals 80,501 (23%) Rev. $Millions Volume
14 Merchandise Revenue & Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Total - $978 Million Down $480 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Total 467,666 Units Down 221,956 Units, 32% vs. 2Q 2008 Automotive $110 (52%) Agriculture $287 (12%) MetCon $171 (51%) Paper $165 (29%) Chemicals $245 (24%) Agriculture 135,037 (14%) Paper 74,077 (28%) Automotive 60,852 (48%) MetCon 117,199 (44%) Chemicals 80,501 (23%) Rev. $Millions Volume
15 Merchandise Revenue & Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Total - $978 Million Down $480 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Total 467,666 Units Down 221,956 Units, 32% vs. 2Q 2008 Automotive $110 (52%) MetCon $171 (51%) Agriculture $287 (12%) Paper $165 (29%) Chemicals $245 (24%) Agriculture 135,037 (14%) Paper 74,077 (28%) Automotive 60,852 (48%) Chemicals 80,501 MetCon (23%) 117,199 (44%) Rev. $Millions Volume
16 Merchandise Revenue & Volume Second Quarter 2009 vs Total - $978 Million Down $480 Million, 33% vs. 2Q 2008 Total 467,666 Units Down 221,956 Units, 32% vs. 2Q 2008 Automotive $110 (52%) Agriculture $287 (12%) MetCon $171 (51%) Paper $165 (29%) Chemicals $245 (24%) Agriculture 135,037 (14%) Paper 74,077 (28%) Automotive 60,852 (48%) Chemicals 80,501 MetCon (23%) 117,199 (44%) Rev. $Millions Volume
17 Outlook Merchandise Weak, but improving Automotive volumes Continued ramp-up of ethanol network Increased fertilizer traffic Firming up of steel order books New fly ash unit train business Restocking in plastics Ongoing impact of weak housing market Continued volume declines year-over-year
18 Outlook Intermodal No obvious peak season Continued product development and network enhancement Weak International volume Coal Mild weather results in high utility stockpiles Competition from low priced natural gas Some improvement in export and domestic So e poe et epotaddo estc metallurgical coal
19 Outlook 1,901,007 2Q Q 2009 Volume 1,895,292 1,725,177 Bottom of the economy at hand 1,455,567 1,412,342 Weak year-over-year volumes in 2 nd half Strong comps from Q Q Q Q Q 2009 Continued favorable pricing trend
20 Second Quarter 2009 Results Mark Manion Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
21 2 Rail Industry Safety 6 Months 2009 Preliminary (Injury Ratio per 200,000 Employee-Hours)
22 Road & Yard Crew Starts By Quarters 2009 vs Change from Prior Period: -14% -20% Road Trains Change from Prior Period: -11% -19% Yard Assignments 178, , , , , ,569 61,818 54,864 62,880 51,177 63,213 58,
23 Train & Engine Employees By Quarters 2009 vs Change from Prior Period: - 8% - 14%
24 Composite Service Performance By Quarters 2009 vs Change from Prior Period: +4 pts. +5 pts. 5
25 Service Metrics Percent Improvement (2 nd Qtr 2009 over 2 nd Qtr 2008) Train Performance 14.7% Connection Performance 0.9% Plan Adherence 37% 3.7% 6
26 Train Speed & Terminal Dwell Quarterly Comparison to 2009 Change from Prior Period: Train Speed +6% +13% Terminal Dwell Change from Prior Period: +4% +2%
27 Car Hire Days per Carload By Quarters 2009 vs Change from Prior Period: -1.0% + 0.8%
28 Cars Stored Merchandise (offline) 922 Coal 10,525 Merchandise (online) 18,011 Intermodal 1,283 Automotive 4,301 9 Total: 35,042
29 Locomotives Stored January 2008 June Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 10
30 Locomotive Fuel Consumption By Quarters 2009 vs Change from Prior Period: -19% -26%
31 Going Forward Safety, Service, and Operating Efficiency Keep all employees focused on safety Monitor traffic volumes and business expectations to correctly size the operating plan Maintain network velocity Drive for service improvement Align asset base with business demand 12
32 Second Quarter 2009 Results James A. Squires Executive Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer 1
33 Operating Results Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Second Qtr 2009 Second Qtr 2008 Favorable (Unfavorable) $ % Railway Operating Revenues $ 1,857 $ 2,765 $ (908) (33%) 2
34 Operating Results Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Second Qtr 2009 Second Qtr 2008 Favorable (Unfavorable) $ % Railway Operating Revenues $ 1,857 $ 2,765 $ (908) (33%) Railway Operating Expenses 1,389 1, % Income From Railway Operations $ 468 $ 799 $ (331) (41%) Railway Operating Ratio (3.7) (5%) 3
35 Railway Operating Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Fuel Compensation and Materials and Other Purchased Services and Rents Benefits + $8 Depreciation - $70 - $66 - $111 - $338 4 Net Decrease $ 577 Million / 29%
36 Locomotive Fuel Consumption 2008 vs Comparison -19% -26% Total Fuel Consumption Savings ($ Millions) 1Q $70 2Q $126 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr
37 Fuel Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) $ $ $ 212 $ 153 Second Qtr Decreased Lower Second Qtr 2008 Consumption Prices
38 Locomotive Diesel Fuel Average Prices $3.50 $3.58 $3.59 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $1.69 $1.98 $2.18 $2.56 $2.79 $2.19 $1.39 $1.55 $0.50 $0.00 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 7
39 Railway Operating Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Fuel Compensation and Materials and Other Purchased Services and Rents Benefits + $8 Depreciation - $70 - $66 - $111 - $338 8 Net Decrease $ 577 Million / 29%
40 Compensation and Benefits Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Increase (Decrease) T&E and Other Volume-Related Payroll $ (66) Stock-Based and Incentive Compensation (58) Payroll Taxes (13) Wage Rates 12 Pension 11 Medical Benefits 7 Other (4) Net Decrease $(111) 9
41 Crew Starts and T&E Volume-Related Savings 2008 vs Comparison T&E Volume-Related Savings ($ Millions) 1Q $29 16% 2Q $41 22% -13% -20% 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr Road and Yard Crew Starts
42 Railway Operating Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Fuel Compensation and Materials and Other Purchased Services and Rents Benefits + $8 Depreciation - $70 - $66 - $111 - $ Net Decrease $ 577 Million / 29%
43 Materials and Other Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) (Decrease) Materials $ (20) Casualties and Other Claims (21) Other (29) Total Decrease $ (70) 12
44 Railway Operating Expense Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Fuel Compensation and Materials and Other Purchased Services and Rents Benefits + $8 Depreciation - $70 - $66 - $111 - $ Net Decrease $ 577 Million / 29%
45 Purchased Services and Rents Analysis Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) (Decrease) Intermodal $ (19) Transportation Services and Operations (16) Equipment Rents (14) Mechanical (5) Other (12) Total Decrease $ (66) 14
46 Other Income Net Second Quarter 2009 vs ($ Millions) Second Qtr 2009 Second Qtr vs Favorable (Unfavorable) Gains on Property Sales $ 2 $ 17 $ (15) Interest on Tax Deficiencies 5 9 (4) Interest Income 3 5 (2) Corporate-Owned Life Insurance 7 (7) 14 All Other (3) Other Income net $ 36 $ 46 $ (10) Interest Expense on Debt $ 113 $ 112 $ (1) 15
47 Income Before Income Taxes Second Quarter ($ Millions) $ 733 $ Change vs. Prior Period - 47%
48 Income Taxes Second Quarter ($ Millions) $ 280 $ Change vs. Prior Period - 49% 17
49 Net Income and Diluted Earnings per Share Second Quarter ($ Millions except per share) Net Income Diluted Earnings per Share $ 453 $ 1.18 $ 247 $ Change vs. Prior Period - 45% - 44%
50 19
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