Recent Developments in International Seaborne Trade and Maritime Transport

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1 Recent Developments in International Seaborne Trade and Maritime Transport IFSPA, Hong Kong, 3-5 June 2013 Dr. Vincent F. Valentine Officer-in-Charge, Transport Section Division on Technology and Logistics

2 Research UNCTAD Intergovernmental Technical assistance and capacity building

3 The OECD Industrial Production Index and indices for world GDP, world merchandise trade and world seaborne trade ( ) (1990 = 100) Source: UNCTAD secretariat

4 15 per cent annual growth Elasticity Trade/GDP 10 Exports 5 GDP Exports = 2.5 GDP -15 Source: UNCTAD

5 For a country s GDP to grow, e.g., 5% trade needs to grow 7 12%

6 International Seaborne trade in Cargo ton-miles

7 International Seaborne Trade by cargo type, selected years (Millions of tons loaded) Year Oil trade Gas trade Five main dry bulks Other dry cargoes All cargoes (e) Total miles for all cargo forecast to grow by over 4% in 2013 RMT 2012 and RMT 2013 forthcoming based on Clarkson Research Services e: estimated ton= metric ton, 1000 kg

8 Baltic Dry Index

9 Average Daily Earnings of Bulker Vessels ($ per day) Panamax Capsize Supramax Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Network Timeseries

10 Transport costs as a % of freight rates UNCTAD Secretariat

11 Growth of demand and supply in container shipping, (Annual growth rates) Demand Supply

12 Trade in intermediate goods Source: UNCTAD TD/B/C.I/16, 2011

13 Tanker market summary: clean and dirty spot rates, (Worldscale) Vessel type Routes Percentage 2013 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec change Dec 2012/ Jan Feb Mar Apr Dec 2011 VLCC/ULCC (200,000 dwt+) Persian Gulf Japan % Persian Gulf Republic of Korea % Persian Gulf Caribbean/East Coast of North America % West Africa - China % Suezmax (100, ,000 dwt) West Africa North-West Europe % West Africa Caribbean/East Coast of North America % Mediterranean Mediterranean % Aframax (70, ,000 dwt) North-West Europe North-West Europe % North-West Europe Caribbean/ East Coast of North America Caribbean Caribbean/East Coast of North America % Mediterranean Mediterranean % Mediterranean North-West Europe % Indonesia Far East % Panamax (40,000-70,000 dwt) Mediterranean Mediterranean % Mediterranean Caribbean/East Coast of North America % Caribbean East Coast of North America/Gulf of Mexico % All clean tankers 70,000 80,000 dwt Persian Gulf Japan % ,000 60,000 dwt Persian Gulf Japan % ,000 50,000 dwt Caribbean East Coast of North America/Gulf of Mexico % ,000 35,000 dwt Singapore East Asia

14 1. Leading Maritime Nations Korea and China 74% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

15 Shipbuilding Nations 2012 Source: DRAFT UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2013 (forthcoming), based on data provided by Clarkson Research Services

16 2: Leading Maritime Nations Greece, Japan: 29% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

17 Table 2.4 The 35 Countries and Territories with the Largest Owned Fleets (DWT) as at 1st January 2013 Number of Vessels Deadweight Tonnage Country or Territory of Ownership National Flag Foreign Flag c Total National Flag Foreign Flag c Total Foreign Flag c Total as a as % of Total % of World Greece Japan China Germany Korea, Republic of Singapore United States United Kingdom Norway China, Taiwan Province of Denmark Bermuda Turkey Italy China, Hong Kong SAR India United Arab Emirates Russian Federation Malaysia Netherlands Brazil Switzerland Iran (Islamic Republic of) Indonesia Cyprus France Canada Monaco Belgium Viet Nam Saudi Arabia Kuwait Sweden Oman Thailand Total top 35 countries Other Owners Total of known country of ownership Others, unknown country of ownership World total Source: DRAFT UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2013 (forthcoming), based on data provided by Clarkson Research Services

18 3: Leading Maritime Nations Panama, Liberia, Marshall Islands: 42% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

19 Per cent of foreign flagged fleet (dwt) UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport, various issues

20 Major flags of registration January 2012 (UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2012) Source: DRAFT UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2013 (forthcoming), based on data provided by Clarkson Research Services

21 4: Leading Maritime Nations Denmark and Switzerland 30% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

22 Source: Alphaliner. Data for May 2013

23 Source: Alphaliner. Data for May 2013

24 5: Leading Maritime Nations India, Bangladesh, China, Pakistan 94% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

25 Ship Recycling 2012 Source: DRAFT UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2013 (forthcoming), based on data provided by Clarkson Research Services

26 6-8: Leading Maritime Nations Financial and other services: UK, Scandinavia 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

27 9: Leading Maritime Nations Philippines, Indonesia, 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

28 10: Leading Maritime Nations Hong Kong, Netherlands, Singapore, UAE: 44% 1. Building 2. Owning 3. Registration 4. Operation 5. Scrapping 6. Financing 7. Classification 8. Insurance services (P&I) 9. Seafarers 10. Container terminal operators

29 Source: Lloyd s List Intelligence 31 May 2013 Container Shipping

30 Source: Lloyd s List Intelligence 31 May 2013

31 Source: Lloyd s List Intelligence 31 May 2013

32 Source: Lloyd s List Intelligence 31 May 2013

33

34 Collaboration Civil Society ESPO AAPA IAPH Data UNCTAD s - Network PMAESA PMAWCA Other Ports Review of Maritime Transport Publication Port Training Programme Trade Logistics Branch, DTL/UNCTAD Portal/ Index? Academic Journals Analysis Port Performance Research Network Transport Newsletter UNCTAD Secretariat

35 JOC Port Productivity Index

36 Other Challenges

37 Review of Maritime Transport www. UNCTAD.org/rmt

REVIEW OF MARITIME TRANSPORT 2013

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