ZEVs Role in Meeting Air Quality and Climate Targets. July 22, 2015 Karen Magliano, Chief Air Quality Planning and Science Division

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1 1 ZEVs Role in Meeting Air Quality and Climate Targets July 22, 2015 Karen Magliano, Chief Air Quality Planning and Science Division

2 2 Meeting Multiple Goals Stable Global Climate 2030 Greenhouse Gas Emission Target Healthy Air Quality for All Californians A2ainment year for revised 8- hour Ozone Standard

3 3 Role of Transportation Sector Role of Transportation Sector Emissions Contribution 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% GHG NOx Diesel PM Other Sectors Transportation Sector

4 4 ZEV Mid-Term Review July 22, 2015 Analisa Bevan, Assistant Division Chief Emissions Compliance, Automotive Regulations & Science Division (ECARS)

5 5 Advanced Clean Cars: ZEV Midterm Review LEV Criteria Air Quality Improvements LEV GHG Greenhouse Gas ReducBons ZEV Technology Advancement

6 ZEV Regulation: Advancing The Market Board Direction: Evaluate ZEV regulation, considering consumer acceptance, charging behavior, and other market factors Number of Vehicles (Thousands) ZEV Amendments: Likely Compliance Scenario ZEVs Plug-in Hybrids (PHEVs) Model Year 6

7 Work in-progress on ZEV Review Technology Emissions/Driving Behavior Consumers Sales Trends Update technical and cost assumptions for ZEV technologies Analyze OEM provided trip and charging data In house PHEV testing Household vehicle usage and charging study New car buyer surveys Examining California s ZEV market factors Used ZEV market and buyer study Continued analysis of various data sources for California and S177 States Infrastructure Evaluation of existing and projected needs for ZEV technologies in California and US 7

8 8 National and International Collaborations July 22, 2015 Catherine Dunwoody, Chief Fuel Cell Program

9 The Role of Multi-State Partners: 3.3 Million ZEVs by 2025 Governors from eight Section 177 ZEV States signed multistate Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to support ZEVs Action Plan adopted focuses on: Increasing consumer awareness Increasing incentives Increasing infrastructure Improving dealership experience 9

10 10 International Cooperation International ZEV Alliance A collaboration of leadership nations and subnational jurisdictions in partnership with the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) Work together on target-setting and action plans Promote ambition for ZEVs and global climate negotiations Additional partnerships with California to accelerate commercialization of zero emission vehicles China-US ZEV Policy Lab Letter of Intent between California and the Netherlands Letter of Intent between California and Québec Province

11 11 Incentive Funding for Transformative Mobile Source Technologies July 22, 2015 Erik White, Chief Mobile Source Control Division

12 12 Incentive Funding for Transformative Mobile Source Technologies Policy Drivers Air quality Climate Petroleum reduction Risk reduction Sources of Funding Air Quality Improvement Program (AQIP) Low Carbon Transportation Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) Investments

13 13 Clean Vehicle Rebate Project (CVRP) Accelerates consumer adoption of zero-emission passenger cars 110,000 rebates to date Early-stage market; public support still needed New for : refinements to improve effectiveness meet SB 1275 requirements Complemented by CEC s infrastructure investments

14 14 Light-Duty Pilot Projects to Benefit Disadvantaged Communities Accelerate introduction of advanced technology vehicles for low and moderate income consumers Projects include: car share, vanpool, retire and replace, financing assistance, and mobility options

15 15 Heavy-Duty Vehicle Investments Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Incentive Project (HVIP) Over 390 zero-emission and 1,720 hybrid trucks and buses since 2010 inception Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Commercial Deployment Projects

16 16 Advanced Technology Demonstrations Advanced zero- and near zero-emission technologies with future commercial viability

17 Supporting Deployment Projects that Benefit Disadvantaged Communities CVRP Vehicle Locations HVIP Vehicle Locations Zero-Emission Hybrid 17

18 18 Low Carbon Fuel Standard Overview PEV Collaborative Member Meeting July 22, 2015 Floyd Vergara, Chief Industrial Strategies Division

19 19 Policy Drivers GHGs and Fuel Use GHGs to1990 levels by 2020 GHGs to 40% below1990 levels by 2030 GHGs to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050 Up to 50% reduction in vehicle petroleum use by 2030 ZEVs and Infrastructure Infrastructure to support 1.0 million ZEVs by 2020 Deployment of over 1.5 million ZEVs by 2025 At least 100 hydrogen fueling stations

20 CI values under the current LCFS rule (does not incorporate proposed changes in the 2015 rulemaking) 20 Carbon Intensity for Gasoline, Diesel, Electricity, and Hydrogen EER-adjusted Carbon Intensity (gco2e/mj gasoline displaced) Gaseous Hydrogen from central reforming of NA-NG CARBOB ULSD Electricity Hydrogen

21 Alt Fuel Diversity is Increasing: 2011 vs LCFS Credits MMT CO2e LCFS Credits MMT CO2e 5% 1% 6% 1% 13% Starch Ethanol Sugar Ethanol Electricity 18% 21% 5% Starch Ethanol Sugar Ethanol Electricity 1% Biodiesel 3% 0% 4% Biodiesel Renewable Diesel Renewable Diesel 73% Fossil Natural Gas Renewable Natural Gas 49% Fossil Natural Gas Renewable Natural Gas 21

22 22 Proposed LCFS Improvements to Further ZEV Deployments ARB (instead of the utilities) calculates credits for non-metered residential charging of EVs Fleet owners and charging service providers may opt in to generate credits; but if no opt-in, utilities now eligible for credits from fleets and public charging stations Almost no fleets or charging service providers have asked for the credits to date Harmonized reporting about IOU LCFS activity with info required to be reported in the CPUC process Added or improved calculations for ZEV forklifts, buses and fixed guideway

23 23 Future Steps Enhance LCFS participation from EV charging & hydrogen service providers Electricity -> improve outreach to public/workplace charging service providers and fleets Hydrogen -> solicit pathway applications from providers and fleets, especially electrolysis from renewable power Potential methods to improve outreach Webinars/workshops Enhanced collaboration with CEC grants & CVRP programs Other suggestions?