US Economic Indicators: Durable Goods Orders & Shipments

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1 US Economic Indicators: Durable Goods Orders & Shipments April 27, 18 Dr. Edward Yardeni Debbie Johnson Mali Quintana Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Durable Goods Orders & Shipments 3 Nondefense Capital Goods Orders & Shipments 4 New Orders by Major Industries 5 Machinery Orders 6-8 Unfilled Orders 9 April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

3 Figure 1. Durable Goods Orders & Shipments DURABLE GOODS ORDERS AND SHIPMENTS (trillion dollars, saar) Orders Shipments DURABLE GOODS ORDERS AND SHIPMENTS EXCLUDING TRANSPORTATION (trillion dollars, saar) Orders Shipments NONDEFENSE CAPITAL GOODS ORDERS AND SHIPMENTS EXCLUDING AIRCRAFT (trillion dollars, saar) Orders Shipments Page 3 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

4 Figure 2. Nondefense Capital Goods Orders & Shipments NONDEFENSE CAPITAL GOODS ORDERS EXCLUDING AIRCRAFT (3-month percent change in 3-ma, saar) NONDEFENSE CAPITAL GOODS SHIPMENTS EXCLUDING AIRCRAFT (3-month percent change in 3-ma, saar) NONDEFENSE CAPITAL GOODS EXPORTS EXCLUDING AIRCRAFT (3-month percent change in 3-ma, saar) Page 4 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

5 Figure 3. NEW ORDERS Primary Metals New Orders by Major Industries Electrical Equipment, Appliances, & Components Fabricated Metal Products Motor Vehicles & Parts Nondefense Aircraft & Parts 8 Machinery Computers & Electronic Products All Other Durable Goods Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Page 5 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

6 Machinery Orders Figure 4. US MACHINERY ORDERS & SHIPMENTS Construction Machinery Industrial Machinery 8 7 Orders Shipments Farm Machinery Metalworking Machinery Mining, Oilfield & Gas Machinery Turbines, Generators, and Other Power Transmission Equipment Page 6 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

7 Figure 5. US DURABLE GOODS ORDERS BY MAJOR INDUSTRIES Machinery (39.8) Electrical Equipment, Appliances, & Components (125.) Computers & Electronic Products (29.1) Machinery Orders Motor Vehicles & Parts (693.) All Other Durable Goods (478.2) Figure 6. US MACHINERY ORDERS Construction (29.5) Industrial (35.1) Metalworking (38.6) Page 7 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

8 1 8 Figure 7. Machinery Orders US MACHINERY ORDERS Turbines, Generators, and Other Power Transmission (49.5) Ventilation, Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration (48.2) Material Handling (36.2) Mining, Oil & Gas Field (13.1) Figure 8. US MACHINERY ORDERS Construction + Farm + Mining (79.7) Industrial + Metalworking + Material Handling (11.) Page 8 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

9 Unfilled Orders Figure 9. UNFILLED DURABLE GOODS ORDERS (trillion dollars, sa) Total (1.2) Excluding Defense (1.) Excluding Defense & Civilian Aircraft (.4) Source: Census Bureau Figure 1. US MACHINERY ORDERS Construction + Farm + Mining (79.7) Industrial + Metalworking + Material Handling (11.) Page 9 / April 27, 18 / Durable Goods Orders & Shipments www.

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