Stifel Nicolaus Transportation Conference
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1 Stifel Nicolaus Transportation Conference February 14, 2012 James A. Squires Executive Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer
2 Norfolk Southern System
3 Norfolk Southern Update Recent Results 4 th Qtr Highlights 4 th Qtr Revenues Full Year Summary Current Status 1 st Qtr-to-date Volumes 1 st Qtr-to-date Service Performance Business Outlook 2012 Capital Budget Shareholder Returns
4 Fourth Quarter Financial Highlights ($ in millions, except per share) 4Q11 vs. 4Q10 Change Revenues $405 17% Income From Ops $158 25% Net Income $78 19% Earnings per Share $ %
5 Railway Volume Fourth Quarter Automotive 21% 1,807 MetCon 12% 1,709 6% Intermodal 11% Coal 3% 1,567 9% Paper Agriculture Chemicals -6% -7% -10% 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 Change in Units 4Q11 vs. 4Q10 Units (000)
6 Coal Market Fourth Quarter 2011 vs Volume of 405,800 units, up 3% Export Strong global demand for steel Lamberts Point up 37% Baltimore up 6% Utility Reduced electric demand from mild temperatures & competition from gas Domestic Met Greater coking availability and continued domestic demand for steel Industrial New business 4Q 2011 Volume (000 s) & y-o-y Percent Change Industrial % Met % Export % Utility (3%) 6
7 Revenue Per Unit Fourth Quarter Coal 21% $1,548 MetCon 17% Chemicals 14% $1,400 11% Agriculture Paper 12% 10% $1,343 4% Automotive 10% Intermodal 6% Change in RPU 4Q11 vs. 4Q10 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 RPU
8 Total Railway Revenues Fourth Quarter Automotive MetCon 34% 31% $2,106 $2,392 17% $2,797 Coal Intermodal 24% 18% 14% Agriculture Paper Chemicals 4% 4% 3% 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 Change in Revenue 4Q11 vs. 4Q10 Revenue in $ Mill.
9 Composite Service Performance By Quarters % 72.2% 76.6% 76.6% 77.9% 78.2% 76.4% 76.3% 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr
10 Productivity Scorecard 4 th Quarter vs Volume +6% Crew Starts +5% Railroad Employees +5% GTMs per Employee +1% GTMs per Gallon +2% GTMs per Train Hour +2%
11 Financial Summary Change vs. Prior Year ($ in millions, except per share) 2011 vs Revenues $1,656 17% Income From Ops $537 20% Net Income $420 28% Earnings per Share $ %
12 Current Railway Volume First Quarter through Week 6 (February 11, 2012) Change in Units QTD12 vs. QTD11 Units (000) Quarter-to-date Automotive MetCon 13% 25% % Intermodal 4% -2% -3% Agriculture Chemicals 714 9% -6% Paper -11% Coal
13 Source: NOAA Average heating degree days within NS region in January. Heating Degree Days in NS Region January 2012 vs. January ,000 Heating Degree Days January 1,500 1,000 (25%)
14 Train Speed 2011 through February 3, NS Train Speed (miles per hour) Better Source: As reported publicly to the AAR
15 Train Speed 2011 through February 3, NS Train Speed (miles per hour) Better Source: As reported publicly to the AAR
16 Train Speed 2011 through February 3, NS Train Speed (miles per hour) Better Source: As reported publicly to the AAR
17 Terminal Dwell 2011 through February 3, NS Terminal Dwell (hours) Better Source: As reported publicly to the AAR
18 2012 Business Outlook Merchandise Project growth in crude oil and waste products Growth in ethanol to terminals Increasing demand for materials in natural gas drilling operations Stronger domestic steel and automotive production
19 2012 Business Outlook Merchandise Project growth in crude oil and waste products Growth in ethanol to terminals Increasing demand for materials in natural gas drilling operations Stronger domestic steel and automotive production Intermodal Increasing opportunities for highway conversion Tightening truck capacity
20 2012 Business Outlook Merchandise Project growth in crude oil and waste products Growth in ethanol to terminals Increasing demand for materials in natural gas drilling operations Stronger domestic steel and automotive production Intermodal Increasing opportunities for highway conversion Tightening truck capacity Coal Impact of mild winter and competition from natural gas New opportunities for Illinois Basin coal Export driven by port capacity improvements, new coal production and new steam coal opportunities
21 2012 Capital Improvement Budget Replacement/Core vs. Growth vs. PTC Total Spending = $2.4 billion Strengthen the franchise 23% Renew the coal fleet Grow Intermodal network 10% 67% Invest in business growth Replacement/Core Growth/Productivity Positive Train Control
22 Annual Dividend Per Share $1.66 Compound annual growth rate of 23% for 2002 through 2011 $0.96 $1.22 $1.36 $1.40 $0.68 $0.26 $0.30 $0.36 $ % +20% +33% +42% +41% +27% +11% +3% +19%
23 Balanced Cash Flow Utilization 2006 through 2011 $8.9 Billion* $9.0 Billion $6.2 Billion $2.7 Billion Dividends Share Repurchases Capital Expenditures * See reconciliation to GAAP of Total Shareholder Distributions posted on our website,
24 Thank You
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