Background, structure and objectives of the EffShip project

Transcription

1 Background, structure and objectives of the project Per Fagerlund, Bengt Ramne ScandiNAOS AB

2 $/ton Final Seminar, Gothenburg, March 21, 2013 Marine fuel price development 1200,00 HFO 3,5% MGO 0,1% 1000,00 800,00 600,00 400,00 200,00 0,

3 Million tons Final Seminar, Gothenburg, March 21, 2013 Fuel consumption and CO 2 emissions 1400 Annual Emissions / consumption Road traffic 600 Aviation Shipping CO2 (Mt C) Fuel consumption Source: Eyring et al. J Geophys Res 110 (2005) compiled by Erik Fridell IVL 2007

4 Millin tons Final Seminar, Gothenburg, March 21, 2013 NOx, SOx and PM emissions 9 8 8,3 Annual Emissions 7 6 6, Road traffic Aviation Shipping 3 2 2,2 2,1 1, ,71 0,0075 0,001 NOx (Mt N) SO2 (Mt S) PM10 Source: Eyring et al. J Geophys Res 110 (2005) compiled by Erik Fridell IVL 2007

5 Emission legislation g NOx/kWh IMO NOx Technical code NOx Tier II (Global) 12 NOx Tier III (NOx emission control areas) rpm

6 Final Seminar, Gothenburg, March 21, 2013

7 Project Effship is based on the vision of a sustainable and successful maritime transport industry one which is energy efficient and has a minimal environmental impact. Specific project goals to achieve this include improving the efficiency of the ship machinery, introducing alternative marine fuels, using wind energy as complementary propulsion power and investigate transport system designs, as ways to reduce the emissions of CO2/GHG, NOx, SOx and PM in marine transports. The project will result in proposals for solutions with respect to maritime fuels, energy efficiency and emission reduction technology that will contribute to the fulfillment of EU s and the Swedish Government s climate goals of 20% more efficient energy usage, 40% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, a minimum of 10 % renewable energy in the transport sector in year 2020 and to fulfill and exceed upcoming international rules.

8 - Perspectives Short term 2015/2016 SOx, NOx Medium term 2020/2030 SOx, NOx, PM, GHG Long term 2050 and beyond SOx, NOx, PM, GHG, Renewable fuels

9 Workpackages Title WP 1 Project Management WP 2 Present and future marine fuels WP 3 Exhaust gas cleaning WP 4 Heat recovery WP 5 Energy Transformers WP 6 Wind, wave and sun WP 7 Logistic analysis WP 8 Demonstration of findings WP 9 Final Report Future Projects Work Package leader SSPA/ScandiNAOS Wärtsilä DEC Marine S-MAN Wärtsilä SSPA SSPA ScandiNAOS ScandiNAOS

10 Finally After fourty months of work, Effship has identified and described a number of proposals for sutainibility and economy for the shipping industry. Effship also propose a program for industrializing and implementing the proposals. One of the proposals Spireth is already under way and more will come.

11 Order of Magnitude 99.9% marine fuel is oil based Biofuel of 1 st and 2 nd generation have no potential to substitute more than a fraction of the fossil oil used for marine fuel Energy recovery, engine and hull optimization has the potential to reduce marine fuel consumption 5% Sail have a potential to reduce the marine fuel consumption by approx 10% assuming todays fleet and speed Reduced speed has the potential to reduce marine fuel consumption by 60% Energy recovery, engine and hull optimization, sail and reduced speed have the potential to reduce marine fuel consumption by total 70% Energy recovery, engine and hull optimization, sail, reduced speed and the development of carbon neutral fuel will have the potential to make shipping fossil free

12 2,50% 2,00% 1,50% 3,50% 1,00% 1,00% 0,50% 0,00% 0,10% 0,005% 0,001%

13 Where can we find alternatives to HFO? Nuclear 5,06% Solar heat 0,46% Hydro 6,13% Biomass 3,66% Wind 0,27% Global energy use 2008 Total approx TWh Solar photovoltic Geothermal 0,04% 0,18% Biofuels 0,18% Oil - Marine transport fuel 2,73% Oil - Transport (non marine) fuel 19,68% Coal 27,15% Oil - Industry consumption 2,96% Gas 21,97% Oil - Other sectors 5,40% Oil - Non energy use 4,12%

14 North Europe SECA (Baltic Sea, North Sea and English Channel) Estimated Marine Fuel Market 2015 Without SECA rules HFO MDO/MGO With SECA rules Best guess 2010 Assuming 40% of the ships will fit a scrubber Assuming 30% of the ships will change to 0.1% MGO Alternative fuel (LNG, Methanol) Assuming 30% of the ships will change to a clean fuel that is cheaper than MGO Metric Tons fuel oil equivalents

15 North Europe SECA (Baltic Sea, North Sea and English Channel) Estimated Marine Fuel Market 2015 Without SECA rules HFO MDO/MGO With SECA rules Best guess 2013 Approx ships will fit a scrubber Assuming 99% of the ships will change to 0.1% MGO Alternative fuel (LNG, Methanol) Metric Tons fuel oil equivalents 5 ships outside norway will operate on LNG 3 ships will operate on methanol

16 North Europe SECA (Baltic Sea, North Sea and English Channel) Estimated Marine Fuel Market 2025 Without SECA rules HFO MDO/MGO With SECA rules Best guess 2013 Assuming 40% of the ships will fit a scrubber Assuming 30% of the ships will change to 0.1% MGO Alternative fuel (LNG, Methanol) Assuming 30% of the ships will change to a clean fuel that is cheaper than MGO Metric Tons fuel oil equivalents

17 Consequensies of SECA requirements (for Sweden) Cost for bunker fuel in Sweden 2014 (domestic and international) Cost for bunker fuel in Sweden 2015 (domestic and international) Cost increase due to SECA rules For comparison, Swedish budget for environment and nature conservation kr kr kr kr

18 Consequensies of SECA requirements (in SECA area) Cost for bunker fuel in SECA 2014 (domestic and international) Cost for bunker fuel in SECA 2015 (domestic and international) Cost increase due to SECA rules EU budget for environment and climate change

19 Consequensies of SECA requirements for a typical short sea roro vessel Conversion cost LNG; kr Annual fuel cost MGO (2015); kr Annual fuel cost HFO (2014); kr Fuel cost diff ; kr Conversion cost scrubber; kr Conversion cost methanol; kr

20 Sjöfartstidningens nyhetsbrev #13 Finnish fund for investments in exhaust gas cleaning and alternative fuel for 2013 Max 50% government finance

21 Sustainable and successful maritime transport industry one which is energy efficient and has a minimal environmental impact Sail Energy recovery Alternative fuels Exhaust gas cleaning

22 Final Seminar, Gothenburg, March 21, 2013

23 Thank you