Statistics Botswana Consumer Price Index - JULY National Rates of Inflation, January 2011 July 2013

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2 COMMENTARY Section 1: Headline Inflation Section 2: Core Inflation CHARTS 1. National Rates of Inflation, January 2011 July Monthly Changes in the Cost-of-Living Index, January 2011 July Non-Tradable Inflation Rates, January 2011 July Tradable Inflation Rates, January July 2013 TABLES 1. Cost-of-Living Index Series (January 2011 July 2013) 2. National Cost-of-Living Group and Section Indices 3. Cost-of-Living Index by Tradability (January 2011 July 2013) 4. Core Inflation Rates 5. Annual Average Inflation Rates GLOSSARY Consumer Price Index - JULY

3 COMMENTARY Section 1: Headline Inflation The national annual inflation rate was 5.7 percent in July 2013, down from 5.8 percent during the preceding month. The annual rate in July 2013 was lower than the 7.3 percent recorded during the similar month in The major components which contributed to the decline in national annual inflation rate were Transport (3.6 percentage points), Food and Non- Alcoholic Beverages(3.3 percentage points), Housing, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (4.0 percentage points). Comparison of inflation rate among regions from June to July, showed that urban villages went down to 5.5 from 5.8 percent, rural villages dropped to 6.4 percent down from 6.6 percent while cities and towns remained unchanged at 5.5 percent. The July 2013 national Consumer Price Index was 169.4, an increase of 0.2 percent from recorded in June The cities and towns index advanced from to 168.5, recording an increase of 0.2 percent. The Urban villages index realized a rise of 0.1 percent, from to between the two months, while the rural villages index moved from to between June and July, also registering an increase of 0.1 percent. Group indices were stable between June and July, recording changes of less than 1.0 percent. The Clothing & Footwear group index registered an increase of 0.4 percent from in June to in July. This is due to the increase of the section indices such as Cleaning, Repair & Hire (3.6 percent), Clothing (0.5 percent), Other articles of Clothing (0.5 percent) and Footwear (0.2 percent). The Furnishing, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance group index registered an increase of 0.3 percent from in June to in July. All section indices recorded an increase, notably, Furniture & Furnishing (0.8 percent), Household Appliances (0.3 percent). All-Tradable inflation rate recorded a decrease of 0.2 of a percentage point from 6.5 percent in June to 6.3 percent in July. The Imported Tradable inflation rate recorded a drop of 0.2 of a percentage point, from 6.2 percent in June to 6.0 percent in July. The Domestic Tradable inflation went down by 0.1 of a percentage point in July, registering 6.8 percent against 6.9 percent in June, while the Non-Tradable inflation rate went down by 0.1 of a percentage point, from 4.2 percent in June to 4.1 percent in July. The All-Tradable index advanced from in June to in July, recording an increase of 0.2 percent. The Imported Tradable index moved from to 170.1, an increase of 0.3 percent, whereas the Non-Tradable index went up by 0.1 percent, from in June to in July. Section 2: Core Inflation The Trimmed Mean Core Inflation rate stood at 5.5 percent in July, a decrease of 0.2 of a percentage point on the June 2013 rate of 5.7 percent. The Core Inflation rate by exclusion also went down by 0.2 of a percentage point from 5.7 percent to 5.5 percent between June and July Consumer Price Index - JULY

4 A.N. Majelantle Statistician General 15 th August 2013 Consumer Price Index - JULY

5 TABLE 1: COST OF LIVING INDEX (September 2006 =100.0) Food Alcohol and Tobacc o Clothing Housing and Footwear Furniture etc Health Transport Commu nication Rec. & Culture Educati on Rest. & Hotels Miscella neous Weights (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) 2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan % Change on Last month Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Consumer Price Index - JULY

6 TABLE 1: COST OF LIVING INDEX continued_ by Strata All Items Index National Inflation Rate Monthly Change Towns & Cities Index Urban Village Index Rural Villages Index Towns & Cities Annual Inflation Urban Rural Villages % % % % % 2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul % Change on last month Consumer Price Index - JULY

7 Table 2: National Cost-of-Living Group & Section Indices (September 2006 = 100.0) This Last 3 months 6 months 12 months Percentage Change on: Group month month ago ago ago Last 3 months 6 months 12 months Section Weights Jul 2013 Jun 2013 Apr 2013 Jan 2013 Jul 2012 month ago ago ago 1 Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages Bread & Cereals Meat (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen) Fish (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen) Milk, Cheese & Milk Products Oils & Fats Fruit (0.0) Vegetables (1.0) (0.4) Sugar, Jam, Honey, Chocolate & Confectionery Food not else where Classified Coffee, Tea & Cocoa Mineral Waters, Soft Drinks, Fruits & Veg. Juices Alcoholic Beverages,Tobacco & Narcotics Alchoholic Beverages Tobacco Clothing and Footwear Clothing Other articles of Clothing Cleaning, Repair & Hire Footwear Housing, Water, Electr. Gas & Other Fuels Rent paid by Tenants Materials for Maintenance & Repair of dwellings Water Supply & Misc. Services Electricity Gas and other Fuels (0.0) (0.0) Furnishing, H/H Equipment& Routine Maintenance Furniture & Furnishing Carpets & Other Floor Coverings Household Textiles Household Appliances Glassware, Tableware & Household Utensils Small Tools, Miscelaneous Accessories Goods & Services for H/hold Maintanance Consumer Price Index - JULY

8 Table 2: National Cost-of-Living Group & Section Indices (September 2006 = 100.0) (Cont.) This Last 3 months 6 months 12 months Percentage Change on: Group month month ago ago ago Last 3 months 6 months 12 months Section Weights Jul 2013 Jun 2013 Apr 2013 Jan 2013 Jul 2012 month ago ago ago 6 Health Medical Products, App. & Equip Out-patient Services Hospital Services Transport Purchase of Vehicles Operation of Personal Transport Transport Services Communication Postal Services Telephone & Telefax Equipment Telephone & Telefax Services Recreation & Culture Audio Visual, Photographic & Info. Proce. Equip Other Recreational Items & Equip Recreational & Cultural Services Newspapers, Books & Stationary Education Pre-Primary & Primary Education Secondary & Tertiary Education Restaurants & Hotels Restaurants, Cafes and the Like Accommodation Services Miscellaneous Goods & Services Personal Care Personal Effects N.E.C Social Protection Insurance (0.1) (0.8) 12.5 Financial Services (1.4) (0.1) Taxes Licences, Fees All-Items Index Consumer Price Index - JULY

9 TABLE 3: COST-OF-LIVING INDEX BY TRADABILITY (September 2006 = 100.0) All Items Non- Tradable Domestic Tradable Imported Tradable All Tradable Index Inflation Index Inflation Index Inflation Index Inflation Index Inflation Weights Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul % Change on last month (0.0) Consumer Price Index - JULY

10 TABLE 4: Core Inflation Rates by Exclusion and Trimmed Mean Year Month Consumer Price Index (Trimmed Mean) (September 2006 = 100) Core Monthly Inflation Rate (Trimmed Mean) (percentage) Consumer Price Index (Excluding Administered Prices) (September 2006 = 100) Core Monthly Inflation (Excluding Administered Prices) (percentage) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Consumer Price Index - JULY

11 TABLE 5: Average Annual Inflation (September 2006 = 100.0) YEAR Group Weights Food & Non-A lcoholic Beverages A lcoholic Beverages,T obacco & Narcot ics Clot hing and Foot wear Housing, Wat er, Elect r. Gas & Ot her Fuels Furnishing, H/H Equipment& Rout ine Maint enance Healt h T ransport ( 8.4) Communicat ion 3.01 (0.3) ( 0.3) 1.2 ( 3.0) (1.4) 9 Recreat ion & Cult ure Educat ion Rest aurant s & Hot els Miscellaneous Goods & Services A ll-it ems Index Consumer Price Index - JULY

12 Consumer Price Index - JULY

13 Glossary Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an index which measures price changes in goods and services with reference to a base period. Inflation is a measurement of prices movement of goods and services in a particular country. Domestic Tradable refers to the goods and services which a country (Botswana) can export to other countries. Imported Tradable represents the goods and services which a country (Botswana) imports from other countries (trading partners). Non-Tradable refers to the goods and services which a country cannot either export or import to other countries. All Tradable refers to the total of Domestic and Imported tradable. Trimmed Mean Core Inflation- attempts to remove 8 percent (by weight) of the commodity sub-groups with the largest price changes at each of the ends of an ordered series of price changes in any given month. Core inflation by Exclusion is a measure used to remove the volatility inherent in prices that are only adjusted periodically and not always in response to currently prevailing market forces. Consumer Price Index - JULY

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