Post-Brexit Scottish Attitudes Poll
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- Brice Reynolds
- 6 years ago
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Transcription
1 Post-Brexit Scottish Attitudes Poll
2 Methodology
3
4 Table 1 Q1. rmal weightings Q1. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in June 2016, or did you not vote in that referendum? Base: All Respondents 18+ Page 4 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted Can't remember Did not vote Refused Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 22.2% 26.7% 18.0% 17.9% 19.5% 28.1% 32.4% 15.9% 15.1% 25.6% 17.7% 25.0% 21.7% 13.6% 100.0% % 25.4% 21.7% 16.2% 21.0% 26.0% 21.1% 21.9% % 56.1% 61.5% 61.2% 60.1% 56.0% 57.4% 76.7% 76.9% 63.2% 37.6% 59.5% 64.8% 46.0% % % 61.2% 58.5% 69.3% 54.6% 49.0% 58.6% 58.4% * * * - 0.9% * 0.5% % * % % 1.3% - 0.7% % 12.2% 10.8% 18.7% 11.2% 6.2% 4.9% 5.5% 8.0% 8.7% 39.4% 11.7% 8.3% 34.9% % 13.9% 11.8% 8.9% 9.0% 13.6% 16.3% 9.5% 11.7% % 4.5% 9.2% 2.2% 8.4% 9.3% 4.7% 1.9% - 2.5% 5.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% % 1.6% 10.9% 5.5% 9.6% 7.3% 10.8% 7.3% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 4
5 Table 2 Q2. rmal weightings Q2. Following the result of the UK's referendum on membership of the European Union, where the UK voted to leave, do you think? Base: All Respondents Page 5 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted should hold a second independence referendum 41.9% 44.6% 39.3% 59.8% 38.8% 29.9% 15.5% 25.8% 26.1% 70.9% 41.9% 63.1% 22.8% 38.8% 26.6% 48.5% 50.5% 43.9% 57.2% 39.9% 42.1% 43.7% 36.4% 36.5% 34.2% should not hold a second independence referendum 44.7% 43.9% 45.4% 29.0% 46.6% 56.0% 77.4% 61.0% 51.7% 19.2% 38.2% 26.7% 65.6% 34.6% 65.0% 37.7% 31.6% 42.4% 35.8% 46.4% 41.4% 44.0% 47.2% 45.5% 57.0% Don't know Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 13.4% 11.5% 15.3% 11.2% 14.6% 14.1% 7.1% 13.3% 22.3% 9.9% 19.9% 10.2% 11.6% 26.6% 8.5% 13.8% 17.9% 13.7% 7.0% 13.7% 16.6% 12.3% 16.4% 18.0% 8.8% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 5
6 Table 3 Q3. rmal weightings Q3. If there was a referendum on taking place tomorrow, how likely do you think you would be to vote on a scale of 0 to 10? Base: All Respondents Page 6 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted (would definitely vote) (would definitely not vote) Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 80.6% 84.1% 77.2% 80.6% 82.3% 78.8% 90.1% 81.4% 79.2% 87.5% 61.0% 85.7% 82.7% 56.0% 81.0% 84.8% 60.7% 80.2% 86.7% 82.9% 81.5% 85.2% 74.9% 79.4% 71.8% % 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% - 2.1% 3.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 2.0% - 2.0% 1.7% 6.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% % 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 1.4% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 2.3% 3.5% 6.5% 3.3% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 2.8% 5.3% 6.7% 0.7% 1.2% 3.1% - 6.3% 3.2% 4.3% % 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 0.6% 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 1.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 2.6% 1.4% 2.9% 0.8% 3.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 2.4% 0.6% 2.4% * * - 0.6% * * 0.5% - 0.7% % - * 1.6% 0.5% * % 0.5% % % 2.9% 6.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 1.1% 4.6% 5.2% 3.3% 9.4% 3.3% 3.0% 10.6% 3.7% 4.2% 9.1% 2.8% 1.5% 7.1% 4.6% 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% * - 0.5% 0.7% - * - 0.7% - * - - * 1.4% * * % % * * % % * - - * - 0.7% % * * * * 0.7% % % * * 1.4% 0.6% - 1.8% - 1.0% % % * * - * * - - * % % 5.5% 7.3% 4.4% 6.7% 7.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 1.6% 16.2% 2.9% 6.1% 25.0% 5.8% 4.2% 13.8% 7.2% 3.4% 3.4% 6.7% 6.6% 8.8% 6.6% 9.8% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 6
7 Table 4 Q4. rmal weightings Q4. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should be an Independent country?", how would you vote? Base: Likely to Page 7 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted Undecided Would not vote Refused Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 47.0% 49.0% 45.1% 64.2% 43.8% 35.3% 13.5% 25.4% 33.4% 80.9% 49.7% 72.1% 20.7% 52.6% 33.7% 51.6% 62.8% 52.9% 57.2% 48.0% 46.6% 46.8% 49.5% 42.0% 33.1% % 40.2% 42.1% 27.7% 40.7% 53.3% 79.8% 60.0% 50.2% 12.9% 36.9% 21.0% 67.0% 39.8% 59.1% 37.1% 30.6% 40.4% 34.8% 41.3% 41.4% 40.2% 33.4% 46.7% 48.6% % 8.7% 11.2% 7.5% 12.0% 10.1% 6.1% 13.5% 16.4% 6.1% 11.4% 6.7% 11.7% 7.5% 6.9% 10.6% 6.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 10.7% 10.4% 14.5% 10.6% 14.4% * * * 0.5% * - - * % % 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 3.5% 1.0% - 1.2% % * * - * 0.6% - 0.7% 0.7% 3.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 0.6% 3.2% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 7
8 Table 5 Q4. rmal weightings & likelihood to vote Q4. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should be an Independent country?", how would you vote? Base: Likely to Page 8 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted Undecided Would not vote Refused Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 47.8% 49.4% 46.2% 64.9% 44.8% 36.1% 13.2% 26.8% 34.1% 81.9% 50.7% 72.9% 21.0% 53.8% 33.9% 52.8% 64.6% 54.0% 58.6% 48.3% 46.9% 46.3% 49.7% 42.8% 35.4% % 40.3% 42.3% 27.4% 40.8% 53.7% 80.4% 60.3% 50.1% 12.5% 36.9% 20.6% 67.8% 40.5% 59.2% 37.1% 29.8% 39.4% 33.8% 42.7% 42.4% 40.4% 34.4% 47.6% 47.3% % 8.1% 10.2% 7.0% 11.2% 8.9% 5.9% 11.8% 15.7% 5.7% 10.3% 6.4% 10.7% 5.7% 6.4% 9.5% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 6.4% 9.6% 10.8% 13.2% 9.2% 13.0% * * * 0.6% * - - * % * 4 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 3.1% 1.0% - 1.0% % * * - * * - 0.8% 0.7% 2.6% 1.1% 2.4% 2.7% * 3.5% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 8
9 Table 6 Q4. rmal weightings & likelihood to vote Q4. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question "Should be an Independent country?", how would you vote? Base: Likely to with undecided / refused removed Page 9 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 53.7% 55.1% 52.2% 70.3% 52.3% 40.2% 14.1% 30.8% 40.5% 86.8% 57.9% 78.0% 23.7% 57.0% 36.4% 58.7% 68.4% 57.8% 63.5% 53.1% 52.5% 53.4% 59.1% 47.3% 42.8% % 44.9% 47.8% 29.7% 47.7% 59.8% 85.9% 69.2% 59.5% 13.2% 42.1% 22.0% 76.3% 43.0% 63.6% 41.3% 31.6% 42.2% 36.5% 46.9% 47.5% 46.6% 40.9% 52.7% 57.2% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 9
10 Table 7 Q5. rmal weightings Q5. Thinking back to the Holyrood Elections in May 2016, which party did you vote for in the constituency vote at those elections, or did you not vote? Base: All Respondents Page 10 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted SNP Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat Scottish Green Party Another Party Did not vote Can t remember Refused Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 34.2% 37.5% 31.1% 40.2% 36.0% 27.5% % % 9.4% 18.3% 39.5% 36.7% 25.9% 35.4% 42.3% 31.5% 30.3% 34.1% 39.7% 36.6% 24.4% % 17.4% 15.9% 10.1% 16.6% 22.0% % % 27.0% 12.4% 12.1% 22.0% 8.1% 17.5% 19.8% 25.9% 16.8% 15.9% 2.7% 17.6% 11.6% % 15.7% 16.7% 10.1% 17.2% 20.3% 100.0% % 29.6% 1.7% 23.8% 15.9% 7.0% 15.6% 10.8% 16.9% 18.0% 19.1% 7.5% 17.8% 21.5% % 4.3% 7.1% 3.9% 6.5% 6.4% % % 10.4% - 3.9% 7.4% 3.9% 2.4% 3.5% 2.3% 8.9% 2.0% 13.6% 8.8% 4.9% * * * * * * * 0.7% * * * * 0.6% * 0.6% - * 0.7% - * * - 0.7% * * 1 1 * * * * * * * * * * 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% * * * * * 1.0% 0.7% - * * % 12.9% 15.1% 25.6% 8.9% 9.3% % 10.7% 10.9% 58.3% 10.8% 8.6% 46.2% 18.3% 13.1% 10.6% 13.5% 10.8% 21.9% 8.5% 19.2% % 5.4% 6.2% 6.3% 5.6% 5.6% % 6.9% 7.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 4.6% 5.8% 3.1% 3.4% 9.2% 7.6% 5.0% 9.3% % 6.2% 7.2% 2.6% 8.4% 8.4% % 4.9% - 3.6% 3.1% 3.6% 5.2% 3.5% 9.5% 7.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.9% 8.5% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 10
11 Table 8 Q6. rmal weightings Q6. How did you vote in the Referendum in 2014, or did you not vote in that referendum? Base: All Respondents 18+ Page 11 Glasgow Lothian & Islands Unweighted Weighted Did not vote Can t remember Refused Gender Age Holyrood 2016 Past 44.9% 49.9% 40.2% 56.6% 39.9% 40.5% 19.1% 26.1% 23.4% 83.5% 35.5% 100.0% % 45.3% 45.5% 50.5% 55.0% 42.1% 42.4% 48.9% 38.0% 46.3% 33.2% % 38.7% 44.3% 31.7% 47.0% 44.2% 75.7% 66.6% 76.6% 11.4% 33.6% % % 45.8% 30.1% 37.8% 36.6% 45.2% 47.2% 36.6% 41.0% 42.8% 44.2% % 6.0% 5.8% 8.8% 4.8% 4.6% 0.6% 4.3% - 3.1% 25.4% % 3.6% 4.6% 17.8% 4.7% 5.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 13.2% 4.5% 11.9% % 2.1% 4.0% 1.8% 2.4% 4.7% 2.6% 2.5% - 1.8% 3.3% % 2.6% 3.8% 3.1% 0.8% 2.9% 2.1% 2.4% 0.9% 5.2% 6.4% % 3.3% 5.8% 1.0% 5.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.6% - * 2.2% % 1.6% 2.7% 3.8% 2.5% 6.1% 4.9% 8.5% 7.0% 1.2% 4.4% rth Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Daily Record/Daily Mirror Page 11
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