COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE COUNCIL

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1 EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, COM(2017) 622 final COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE COUNCIL European Development Fund (EDF): forecasts of commitments, payments and contributions from Member States for 2017, 2018, 2019 and non-binding forecast for the years EN EN

2 1. FOREWORD In accordance with Article 7(1) of the 11 th EDF Internal Agreement 1 and Article 21(2) of the Council Regulation (EU) 2015/323 2 on the Financial Regulation applicable to the 11 th European Development Fund (hereinafter referred to as "11 th EDF Financial Regulation"), the Commission presents in this document estimates of commitments, payments and contributions for the period 2017 to 2019, taking into account the forecasts of the European Investment Bank (EIB). This document sets out the financial implementation forecasts of the EDFs (Eighth to 11 th ) for 2017 until In addition, this document draws a non-binding estimation, for the EDF contributions from the Member States, for the years 2020 and Member States contribute funds directly to the European Investment Bank (EIB) for the instruments which it manages under the Ninth, 10 th, and 11 th EDFs (the Investment Facility and interest-rate subsidies). 2. INTRODUCTION The Commission and the EIB have updated their commitment and payment forecasts for 2017, 2018 and 2019 for each of the ACP countries 3 and the OCTs 4. The payment forecasts in particular have been compiled with the aim of helping Member States to assess as accurately as possible the amounts they need to earmark in their national budgets while ensuring that sufficient financial resources are available for the EDF to avoid liquidity problems. In accordance with Article 7 of the 11 th EDF Internal Agreement 5 and Article 21(2) of the 11 th EDF Financial Regulation 6, the estimates of commitments and payments have been updated following the latest forecasts. The graph below shows the general evolution in gross commitments and payments since 1999 until 2016 and projections for the period (Commission and EIB cumulated amounts) Internal Agreement between the Representatives of the Governments of the Member States of the European Union, meeting within the Council, on the financing of European Union aid under the multiannual financial framework for the period 2014 to 2020, in accordance with the ACP-EU Partnership Agreement, and on the allocation of financial assistance for the Overseas Countries and Territories to which Part Four of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union applies (OJ L 210, , p. 1-14). Council Regulation (EU) 2015/323 of 2 March 2015 on the Financial Regulation applicable to the 11 th European Development Fund (OJ L 58, , p ). African, Caribbean and Pacific States. Overseas Countries and Territories. OJ L 210, OJ L 58,

3 Gross commitments and payments: trend (EUR Million) Note: Figures from implementation of the European Development Funds until 31 December 2016 (commitments and payments) and forecasts for FINANCIAL FORECASTS FOR (EUR MILLION) The following table provides an update of the commitments, the payments and of the contributions, based on the Commission's latest forecasts. Forecasts (*) Commitments Commission EIB Total Payments Commission EIB Total Contributions Commission EIB ** 300 Total * Gross amounts, i.e. no decommitments or recoveries/reflows have been deducted. This approach is in line with that used for the general budget of the Union. ** ref. EIB explanatory note for information of 17/11/2015, MD no: 151/15 ADD 1 ACP 3

4 4. NON-BINDING ESTIMATES OF CONTRIBUTIONS FOR (EUR MILLION) Forecasts (*) Contributions Commission EIB Total * Art.21 (2) 11 th EDF Financial Regulation (EU 2015/323): indicative, non-binding forecast based on a statistical approach for the expected annual amounts of contributions for the years n + 3 and n FINANCIAL IMPLEMENTATION FORECASTS FOR 2017, 2018 AND The updated forecasts are set out in attachments 1 to 3. The estimates for 2017 commitments and payments that were indicated in the June 2017 Communication have been revised upwards, based on the last forecasts. In 2017, record EDF payments are expected along with a high level of commitments. This would keep the 11 th EDF on track for full commitment at the end of the implementation period. However, coming as it does after a record of payment performance in 2016, the expected record payment performance in 2017 will add further pressure upon an already tight treasury, for the period , as shown in attachment 3 (with a negative or near-zero balance at year end for the Commission). Now that the 11 th EDF has reached cruising speed, there is less volatility in long-term payment forecasts. It is therefore easier for the Commission to propose a smoother profile for Member States' contributions from 2018 and onwards. This smoothing out of contributions ("lissage") is a key request from Member States. Attachments 1, 2 and 3 show respectively forecasts of commitments, forecasts of payments and the financial situation compared with previous forecasts for the period Attachments 4 and 5 show respectively contributions for 2017 and for 2018 per instalment and per Member State. Attachment 6 shows the yearly contributions for the period per Member State. 4

5 5.1. Attachment 1: forecasts for commitments 7 for 2017, 2018 and 2019 (EUR million) Communication June Communication Communication Communication October 2017 June 2017 October 2017 Communication October 2017 Regions East and Southern Africa West and Central Africa Latin America and Caribbean Pacific Sub-total* Other Peace Facility, Human rights EU-Africa, African Peace Facility Planet and Prosperity Resources, Evaluation, process DG ECHO, EACEA, DG EAC Sub-total* Total European Commission* Investment facility Interest rate subsidies (**) Total EIB* TOTAL European Commission + EIB* * Due to the rounding effects, the sum of individual rounded amounts shown may differ slightly from the corresponding totals ** Including interest rate subsidies under previous EDFs 7 Gross commitments, i.e. without de-commitments being deducted. 5

6 5.2. Attachment 2: forecasts for payments 8 for 2017, 2018 and 2019 (EUR million) Communication June Communication Communication Communication October 2017 June 2017 October 2017 Communication October 2017 Regions East and Southern Africa West and Central Africa Latin America and Caribbean Pacific Sub-total* Other Peace Facility, Human rights EU-Africa, African Peace Facility Planet and Prosperity Resources, Evaluation, process DG ECHO, EACEA, DG EAC Sub-total* Total European Commission* Investment facility Interest rate subsidies (**) Total EIB* TOTAL European Commission + EIB* * Due to the rounding effects, the sum of individual rounded amounts shown may differ slightly from the corresponding totals ** Including interest rate subsidies under previous EDFs 8 Gross payments, i.e. without recoveries being deducted. 6

7 Attachment 3: Financial situation, forecasts for and non-binding estimations for (EUR million): Communication June Communication October 2017 Commission EIB 5 TOTAL Commission EIB 5 TOTAL Balance 31/12/ Member States Contributions for 2017: st instalment nd instalment rd instalment Reflows Contrib. & Adjust received in Recoveries, interest and other incomes Total payments Balance at 31/12/ Member States Contributions for 2018: st instalment nd instalment rd instalment Reflows Recoveries, interest and other Total payments Balance at 31/12/ Member States Contributions for 2019: Reflows Recoveries, interest and other Total payments Balance at 31/12/ Member States Contributions for Member States Contributions for Funds available for operations as per Communication from the Commission to the Council; 2 Net of EIB management fees; 3 Including interest rates subsidies under the previous EDFs; 4 Art.21(2)(d) Financial Regulation: non-binding forecast based on a statistical approach for the expected annual contributions for the years n + 3 and n + 4; 5 Art.21(1), calls for contributions shall first use up the amounts laid down for previous EDFs, one after the other. Therefore calls under the 11th EDF to finance the IFE are further delayed. 6-7 The EDF treasury balance can never be negative. Any negative amounts in the table indicates a shortage of payment credits. 7

8 5.4. Attachment 4: Member States contributions for 2017 (EUR) MEMBER STATES Key 10 th EDF % Key 11 th EDF % 1st instalment 2nd instalment 3rd instalment EIB Commission EIB Commission Commission EIB Commission 10 th EDF 10 th EDF 10 th EDF 10 th EDF 11 th EDF 10 th EDF 11 th EDF Total EIB Total Commission Total 2017 BELGIUM BULGARIA CZECH REPUBLIC DENMARK GERMANY ESTONIA IRELAND GREECE SPAIN FRANCE CROATIA ITALY CYPRUS LATVIA LITHUANIA LUXEMBOURG HUNGARY MALTA NETHERLANDS AUSTRIA POLAND PORTUGAL ROMANIA SLOVENIA SLOVAKIA FINLAND SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM TOTAL EU

9 5.5. Attachment 5: Member States contributions for 2018 (EUR) MEMBER STATES Key 10th EDF % Key 11th EDF % 1st instalment 2nd instalment 3rd instalment EIB Commission EIB Commission EIB Commission 10th EDF 11th EDF 10th EDF 11th EDF 10th EDF 11th EDF Total EIB Total Commission Total 2018 BELGIUM BULGARIA CZECH REPUBLIC DENMARK GERMANY ESTONIA IRELAND GREECE SPAIN FRANCE CROATIA ITALY CYPRUS LATVIA LITHUANIA LUXEMBOURG HUNGARY MALTA NETHERLANDS AUSTRIA POLAND PORTUGAL ROMANIA SLOVENIA SLOVAKIA FINLAND SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM TOTAL EU

10 5.6. Attachment 6: Member States contributions for (EUR) MEMBER STATES COM 10th COM 11th EIB 10th COM 11th EIB 10th COM 11th EIB 10th COM 11th EIB 10th COM 11th EIB 10th EIB 11th BELGIUM BULGARIA CZECH REPUBLIC DENMARK GERMANY ESTONIA IRELAND GREECE SPAIN FRANCE CROATIA ITALY CYPRUS LATVIA LITHUANIA LUXEMBOURG HUNGARY MALTA NETHERLANDS AUSTRIA POLAND PORTUGAL ROMANIA SLOVENIA SLOVAKIA FINLAND SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM TOTAL EU

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