Data Current Through: March, Seattle (All Areas) RESIDENTIAL & CONDOMINIUM. Active, Pending, & Months Supply of Inventory 1,709 1,069 1,111 1.
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- Marilynn Fowler
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1 March, 2017 MTD MARKET UPDATE Data Current Through: March, 2017 Active, Pending, & Months Supply of Inventory 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 3, , ,659 2,775 Active Listings at End of Month Pending Sales MTD Months Supply of Inventory (Act. Listings EoM / Pend. Sales MTD) 6 mo. 5 mo. 4 mo. 2,500 2, ,709 3 mo. 1,500 1, , , ,069 1,111 1,044 1, ,214 1, ,064 2 mo. 1 mo. 0 03/08 03/09 03/10 03/11 03/12 03/13 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 0 mo. 700, ,000 Median Closed Sales Price for Current Month Closings $552,000 $630, , ,000 $425,000 $350,000 $361,500 $357,500 $359,500 $409,850 $416,000 $489, , , ,000-18% 3% Year 0 Rank (Multiple Items) -1% 1% 14% 2% 18% 13% 14% Current Year Yes 03/08 03/09 03/10 03/11 03/12 03/13 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17
2 March MTD MARKET UPDATE Data Current Through: March, 2017 What Are The Odds of Selling? 20,000 18,000 16,000 18,398 16,369 15,539 81% 80% 80% 88% 94% 100% 90% 80% 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 57% 10,522 42% 6,813 13,643 64% 11,200 50% 51% 7,714 6,945 7,145 10,631 8,558 12,407 12,293 12,225 12,306 11,507 10,790 9,927 9,889 70% 60% 50% 40% 6,000 30% 4,000 20% 2,000 10% 0 03/08 03/09 03/10 03/11 03/12 03/13 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 New Listings (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Vs. New Listings 0% Percentage of Pending Sales that do not Close 14,000 30% 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 10,729 10,522 8,013 6, % 25 % 10,334 7,714 8, % 6,945 9, % 7,145 10, % 8,558 11,989 12,169 9,927 9, % 17 % 12,549 12,391 11,507 10, % 25% 20% 15% 4,000 2, % 2 % 03/08 03/09 03/10 03/11 03/12 03/13 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Vs. Pending Listings 10% 5% 0%
3 PERCENTAGE OF LISTINGS SOLD ABOVE, AT, BELOW LIST PRICE AND WITH A PRICE CHANGE 17% 22% 14% 11% 19% -Mar % 13% 17% 11% -Feb- -Mar- 48% % 17% SAME MONTH LAST YEAR LAST MONTH CURRENT MONTH MARCH 2017 SOLD ABOVE LIST PRICE SOLD AT LIST PRICE SOLD BELOW LIST PRICE PRICE CHANGE BEFORE SALE AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET NUMBER OF IN MONTH MEDIAN DIFFERENCE FROM LIST PRICE 10% 0% -2% N/A
4 Months Area Inventory Area Inventory Months SELLER'S ADVANTAGE BALANCED ADVANTAGE 3 YEARS AGO BUYER'S ADVANTAGE Months Supply of Inventory CURRENT MONTH KING & SNOHOMISH COUNTY RESIDENTIAL & CONDOMINIUM 800 Tacoma 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO Edmonds Seattle Burien 130 Federal Way 100 Mountlake Terrace Puyallup Kirkland Renton 340 Kent Auburn 310 Arlington Marysville 530 Bellevue Woodinville Redmond Sammamish Monroe Enumclaw 300 North Bend 770 Arlington 770 Arlington 770 Arlington Marysville Marysville Marysville Monroe Monroe Monroe 730 Edmonds Mountlake Edmonds Mountlake Edmonds Mountlake Woodinville Woodinville Woodinville Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Burien Renton 340 North Bend 800 Burien Renton 340 North Bend 800 Burien Renton 340 North Bend Kent Kent Kent Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Puyallup Puyallup Puyallup Created by Windermere Real Estate/East Inc. using NWMLS data. Months Supply of Inventory is active inventory on the last day of the month divided by the number of properties that went pending, signed agreement between buyers and sellers, during the month.
5 Monthly Payments Vs. Appreciation Trendline King County (RESIDENTIAL ONLY) Monthly Payments (principal + interest) based on average price and interest rate King County Annual Average Residential Closed Sales Price (with interest rate in bars) Appreciation Trend Line represents Seattle Consumer PRice Index: all items, all urban consumers $3,244 $3,509 $3,172 $3,183 $3,310 $800,000 $700,000 $1,995 $2,312 $2,144 $2,151 $2,078 $2,302 $2,695 $2,459 $2,398 $2,136 $2,020 $2,357 $2,642 $2,747 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $1,275 $1,587 $1,466 $1,389 $1,271 $1,485 $1,477 $1,518 $1,626 $1,714 $300,000 $200, % 10.1 % 9.3 % 8.4 % 7.3 % 8.4 % 7.9 % 7.8 % 7.6 % 6.9 % 7.4 % 8.1 % 7.0 % 6.5 % 5.8 % 5.8 % 5.9 % 6.4 % 6.3 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 4.7 % 4.5 % 3.7 % 4.0 % 4.2 % 3.9 % 4.2 % 4.2 % $100,000 $0 The Cost of Waiting a Year Sales Price to List Price based on Market Time King County Median Price Rate 30-Year-Fixed P&I Principal & Interest Market Time (DOM) Median SP to Original LP % Median SP to Last LP % Total Units % of Total March, 2017 $630, % $3,085 < % 105.8% % March, 2016 $552, % $2, % 100.0% % $78, % $547 Per Month $6,565 Per Year % 99.4% % % 99.2% % % 98.4% % Totals %
6 2017 PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC YTD $0 to $249, $250,000 to $499, $500,000 to $749, $750,000 to $999, $1,000,000 to $1,499, $1,500,000 to $2,499, $2,500,000 and above Grand Total , PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC YTD $0 to $249, $250,000 to $499, $500,000 to $749, $750,000 to $999, $1,000,000 to $1,499, $1,500,000 to $2,499, $2,500,000 and above Grand Total ,025 1,258 1,001 1,022 1,084 1, ,915 YOY % CHANGE PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC YTD $0 to $249,999-49% -54% -57% -53% $250,000 to $499,999 0% -36% -25% -23% $500,000 to $749,999 39% 20% 24% 27% $750,000 to $999,999 32% 21% 63% 42% $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 38% 21% 9% 18% $1,500,000 to $2,499,999 89% 6% 65% 45% $2,500,000 and above 150% 0% 20% 86% Grand Total 18% -7% 7% 6%
7 Statistics To Know Residential March, 2017 March, 2016 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month % Pending Sales MTD % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 8,995 8, % Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 8,091 7, % Closed Sales Price (Median) $700,000 $640,000 $60,000 9% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate 4.2% 3.7% 0.5% 14% Monthly Payments (P&I) $3,423 $2,942 $481 16% Condominium March, 2017 March, 2016 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month % Pending Sales MTD % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 3,396 3, % Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 3,416 3, % Closed Sales Price (Median) $434,000 $380,000 $54,000 14% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate % 14% Monthly Payments (P&I) $2,122 $1,747 $375 21% Residential & Condominium March, 2017 March, 2016 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month % Pending Sales MTD 1,064 1, % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 12,391 12, % Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 11,507 10, % Closed Sales Price (Median) $630,800 $552,000 $78,800 14% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rates 4.2% 3.7% 0.5% 14% Monthly Payments (P&I) $3,085 $2,538 $547 22%
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9 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MTD % Change YTD Summary π YTD % Change 2017 Active Listings (EOM) % 507 AVG -23% # of Pending Transactions ,064-7% 2,539 YTD -5% Months Supply of Inventory % 0.6 AVG -20% # of Closed Sales % 2,030 YTD 6% Median Closed Price 594, , ,800 14% 614,476 WA 12% 2016 Active Listings (EOM) , % 659 AVG -16% # of Pending Transactions ,144 1,149 1,367 1,273 1,140 1,205 1,142 1, % 2,660 YTD -7% Months Supply of Inventory % 0.8 AVG -9% # of Closed Sales ,027 1,263 1,171 1,169 1,074 1, % 1,923 YTD 5% Median Closed Price 538, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 13% 549,179 WA 17% 2015 Active Listings (EOM) , % 785 AVG -24% # of Pending Transactions ,214 1,424 1,336 1,336 1,204 1,102 1,106 1, % 2,852 YTD 6% Months Supply of Inventory % 0.9 AVG -27% # of Closed Sales ,099 1,181 1,189 1, % 1,824 YTD 0% Median Closed Price 464, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 18% 468,673 WA 11% 2014 Active Listings (EOM) 1,026 1,036 1,044 1,169 1,382 1,429 1,492 1,363 1,478 1,312 1, % 1,035 AVG 1% # of Pending Transactions ,079 1,127 1,214 1,221 1,131 1,093 1,071 1, % 2,702 YTD -1% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.2 AVG 2% # of Closed Sales ,008 1, % 1,818 YTD 3% Median Closed Price 423, , , , , , , , , , , ,500 2% 421,281 WA 10% MONTHLY AVERAGES BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Annual Totals π Active Listings (EOM) 1,962 2,078 2,179 2,340 2,453 2,488 2,542 2,491 2,607 2,451 2,115 1,659 2,280 AVG % of 12 Month Avg. 86% 91% 96% 103% 108% 109% 111% 109% 114% 107% 93% 73% # of Pending Transactions ,034 1,094 1,097 1, ,792 T % of 12 Month Avg. 74% 90% 115% 122% 122% 120% 109% 106% 102% 101% 80% 59% Months Supply of Inventory AVG % of 12 Month Avg. 113% 99% 81% 83% 86% 89% 100% 101% 110% 104% 114% 121% # of closed units ,015 T % of 12 Month Avg. 65% 67% 96% 104% 120% 128% 121% 114% 104% 105% 89% 88% AVG = Average, YTD = Year to Date, WA = Weighted Average, T = Total
10 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MTD % Change YTD Summary π YoY % Change 2013 Active Listings (EOM) 978 1,040 1,069 1,146 1,389 1,511 1,581 1,671 1,709 1,567 1, % 1,029 AVG -41% # of Pending Transactions ,111 1,134 1,190 1,208 1,197 1,070 1,062 1, % 2,736 YTD 5% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.2 AVG -46% # of Closed Sales , ,054 1, % 1,759 YTD 18% Median Closed Price 356, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 14% 384,484 WA 14% 2012 Active Listings (EOM) 1,832 1,730 1,709 1,722 1,733 1,773 1,718 1,664 1,781 1,510 1, % 1,757 AVG -36% # of Pending Transactions ,071 1,069 1, % 2,603 YTD 13% Months Supply of Inventory % 2.1 AVG -42% # of Closed Sales % 1,494 YTD 5% Median Closed Price 318, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 1% 338,482 WA -5% 2011 Active Listings (EOM) 2,711 2,799 2,775 2,954 2,927 2,999 2,931 2,801 2,788 2,561 2,256 1,826-24% 2,762 AVG -17% # of Pending Transactions % 2,294 YTD -11% Months Supply of Inventory % 3.7 AVG -7% # of Closed Sales % 1,427 YTD -10% Median Closed Price 363, , , , , , , , , , , ,000-1% 356,333 WA -4% 2010 Active Listings (EOM) 2,973 3,297 3,659 3,960 3,999 4,076 4,227 4,171 4,068 3,788 3,321 2,611 0% 3,310 AVG -5% # of Pending Transactions ,109 1, % 2,583 YTD 52% Months Supply of Inventory % 4.0 AVG -37% # of Closed Sales % 1,592 YTD 45% Median Closed Price 390, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 3% 372,412 WA 3% 2009 Active Listings (EOM) 3,220 3,555 3,641 3,670 3,716 3,667 3,788 3,697 3,685 3,599 3,169 2,553-7% 3,472 AVG -5% # of Pending Transactions % 1,702 YTD -21% Months Supply of Inventory % 6.2 AVG 21% # of Closed Sales % 1,097 YTD -38% Median Closed Price 380, , , , , , , , , , , ,000-18% 362,117 WA -13% 2008 Active Listings (EOM) 3,426 3,650 3,935 4,321 4,588 4,388 4,366 4,228 4,290 4,128 3,777 3,082 61% 3,670 AVG 63% # of Pending Transactions % 2,163 YTD -25% Months Supply of Inventory % 5.2 AVG 116% # of Closed Sales % 1,778 YTD -25% Median Closed Price 403, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 2% 415,773 WA 3% 2007 Active Listings (EOM) 2,086 2,223 2,442 2,737 3,061 3,314 3,428 3,465 4,091 4,197 3,776 2,963 50% 2,250 AVG 39% # of Pending Transactions ,160 1,186 1,308 1,253 1, % 2,881 YTD -2% Months Supply of Inventory % 2.4 AVG 42% # of Closed Sales ,010 1,060 1,209 1,191 1,112 1, % 2,368 YTD 2% Median Closed Price 379, , , , , , , , , , , ,950 3% 403,109 WA 3% AVG = Average, YTD = Year to Date, WA = Weighted Average
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