THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. Battleground 55 #14396: Weighted Marginals Aguust 23-28, 2014

Transcription

1 Statistics UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING IN UPCOMING ELECTION DIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN COUNTRY ARE GOING RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN COUNTRY ARE GOING/C GENCONG GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT RGENCONG GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C VTMOT LIKELY TO DRIVE YOUR VOTE FOR CONGRESS BHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C BOJA1 APPROVE OBAMA / ECONOMY RBOJA1 APPROVE OBAMA / ECONOMY/C BOJA2 APPROVE OBAMA / SOLVING PROBLEMS RBOJA2 APPROVE OBAMA / SOLVING PROBLEMS/C BOJA3 APPROVE OBAMA / WORKING WITH CONGRESS RBOJA3 APPROVE OBAMA / WORKING WITH CONGRESS/C BOJA4 APPROVE OBAMA / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING RBOJA4 APPROVE OBAMA / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING/C BOJA5 APPROVE OBAMA / JOBS RBOJA5 APPROVE OBAMA / JOBS/C BOJA6 APPROVE OBAMA / TAXES RBOJA6 APPROVE OBAMA / TAXES/C BOJA7 APPROVE OBAMA / FOREIGN POLICY RBOJA7 APPROVE OBAMA / FOREIGN POLICY/C BOJA8 APPROVE OBAMA / SOCIAL SECURITY RBOJA8 APPROVE OBAMA / SOCIAL SECURITY/C BOJA9 APPROVE OBAMA / MEDICARE RBOJA9 APPROVE OBAMA / MEDICARE/C BOJA10 APPROVE OBAMA / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS RBOJA10 APPROVE OBAMA / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS/C BOJA11 APPROVE OBAMA / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES RBOJA11 APPROVE OBAMA / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES/C BOJA12 APPROVE OBAMA / IMMIGRATION RBOJA12 APPROVE OBAMA / IMMIGRATION/C BOJACT OBAMA JOB APPROVAL COUNT CONJA CONGRESSIONAL JOB APPROVAL RCONJA CONGRESSIONAL JOB APPROVAL/C PARIH1 MORE CONFIDENCE / ECONOMY PARIH2 MORE CONFIDENCE / SOLVING PROBLEMS PARIH3 MORE CONFIDENCE / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING PARIH4 MORE CONFIDENCE / JOBS PARIH5 MORE CONFIDENCE / TAXES PARIH6 MORE CONFIDENCE / FOREIGN POLICY PARIH7 MORE CONFIDENCE / SOCIAL SECURITY (cont.) N Mean Median Std. Deviation Missing Page 1

2 Statistics PARIH8 MORE CONFIDENCE / MEDICARE PARIH9 MORE CONFIDENCE / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS PARIH10 MORE CONFIDENCE / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES PARIH11 MORE CONFIDENCE / IMMIGRATION PARIHCT ISSUE HANDLING BY PARTY COUNT PECSTA PERSONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION OVER PAST FOUR YEARS ECONB WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN BETTER ECONW WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN WORSE ECONS WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS ARE ABOUT THE SAME AGE RESPONDENT'S AGE RAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C RRAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C RAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C RAGEBG2 AGE/C EDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C IDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C RRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C PARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT/C RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT/C PARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C PARTISAN PARTISAN PARIDEOL PARTY / IDEOLOGY UNION MEMBER OF LABOR UNION RUNION MEMBER OF LABOR UNION/C MARITAL MARITAL STATUS RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C STATUS CHILD HAVE CHILDREN LIVING AT HOME RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN LIVING AT HOME/C MOMDAD PARENTS MOMMAR MOTHERS BY MARITAL STATUS BUNDY MARITAL STATUS / CHILDREN DENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C DENOMFRQ HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C (cont.) N Mean Median Std. Deviation Missing Page 2

3 Statistics ACTIVE ACTIVE CHURCH ATTENDEES BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL SEXBORN GENDER AND BORN AGAIN RACEVANG RACE / EVANGELICAL IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY / EVANGELICAL CHRISTIANS RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE HISP HISPANIC PROBE RRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C WHITE SENIORS ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS CLARAC ECONOMIC CLASS AND RACE CLARACM ECONOMIC CLSS, RACE, MARITAL STATUS SEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C SEX RESPONDENT'S SEX GENDER GENDER SEXED2 GENDER AND EDUCATION SEXEDWH NON-COLLEGE GRADUATES EMPSTAT GENRACE RACE BY GENDER GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL GENMAR2 GENDER, MARITAL, AND RACE R96 AGE / SEX RR96 AGE / SEX R96FL AGE / SEX RR96FL AGE / SEX RPTYID89 SEX / PARTY ID RPTYID90 AGE / PARTY ID RPTY90FL AGE / PARTY IDENTIFICATION RPTYID98 TARGET GROUPS RPTYD981 TARGET GROUPS R89 SEX / VOTE BEHAVIOR R90 AGE / VOTE BEHAVIOR R90FL AGE / VOTE BEHAVIOR R98 TARGET GROUPS R981 TARGET GROUPS R99 TURNOUT PROPENSITY RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO SENEL U.S. SENATE ELECTION STATUS BY STATE GOVEL GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION STATUS BY STATE COMPSEN COMPETITIVE SENATE RACES N Mean Median Std. Deviation Missing Page 3

4 UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING IN UPCOMING ELECTION 1 Extremely likely 2 Very likely 3 Somewhat likely Frequency Cumulative DIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN COUNTRY ARE GOING 1 Right direction / strongly 2 Right direction / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Wrong track / somewhat 5 Wrong track / strongly Frequency Cumulative RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN COUNTRY ARE GOING/C 1 Right direction 2 Unsure 3 Wrong track Frequency Cumulative GENCONG GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT 1 Republican 2 Lean Republican 3 Undecided 4 Lean Democrat 5 Democrat Frequency Cumulative RGENCONG GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C 1 Republican 2 Undecided 3 Democrat Frequency Cumulative Page 4

5 VTMOT LIKELY TO DRIVE YOUR VOTE FOR CONGRESS 1 Feelings about Obama 2 Obamacare 3 Economy 4 SS & Medicare 5 Women's issues 6 Behavior of your MOC 7 Combo / other 8 None 9 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative BHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA1 APPROVE OBAMA / ECONOMY 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative Page 5

6 RBOJA1 APPROVE OBAMA / ECONOMY/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA2 APPROVE OBAMA / SOLVING PROBLEMS 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA2 APPROVE OBAMA / SOLVING PROBLEMS/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA3 APPROVE OBAMA / WORKING WITH CONGRESS 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA3 APPROVE OBAMA / WORKING WITH CONGRESS/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative Page 6

7 BOJA4 APPROVE OBAMA / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA4 APPROVE OBAMA / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA5 APPROVE OBAMA / JOBS 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA5 APPROVE OBAMA / JOBS/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative Page 7

8 BOJA6 APPROVE OBAMA / TAXES 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA6 APPROVE OBAMA / TAXES/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA7 APPROVE OBAMA / FOREIGN POLICY 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA7 APPROVE OBAMA / FOREIGN POLICY/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative Page 8

9 BOJA8 APPROVE OBAMA / SOCIAL SECURITY 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA8 APPROVE OBAMA / SOCIAL SECURITY/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA9 APPROVE OBAMA / MEDICARE 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA9 APPROVE OBAMA / MEDICARE/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative Page 9

10 BOJA10 APPROVE OBAMA / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA10 APPROVE OBAMA / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJA11 APPROVE OBAMA / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA11 APPROVE OBAMA / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative Page 10

11 BOJA12 APPROVE OBAMA / IMMIGRATION 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative RBOJA12 APPROVE OBAMA / IMMIGRATION/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative BOJACT OBAMA JOB APPROVAL COUNT 1 Approve on issues 2 Approve on 7-9 issues 3 Approve on 4-6 issues 4 Approve on 1-3 issues 5 Approve on 0 issues Frequency Cumulative CONJA CONGRESSIONAL JOB APPROVAL 1 Approve / strongly 2 Approve / somewhat 3 Unsure 4 Disapprove / somewhat 5 Disapprove / strongly Frequency Cumulative Page 11

12 RCONJA CONGRESSIONAL JOB APPROVAL/C 1 Approve 2 Unsure 3 Disapprove Frequency Cumulative PARIH1 MORE CONFIDENCE / ECONOMY 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH2 MORE CONFIDENCE / SOLVING PROBLEMS 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH3 MORE CONFIDENCE / FEDERAL BUDGET & SPENDING 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative Page 12

13 PARIH4 MORE CONFIDENCE / JOBS 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH5 MORE CONFIDENCE / TAXES 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH6 MORE CONFIDENCE / FOREIGN POLICY 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH7 MORE CONFIDENCE / SOCIAL SECURITY 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative Page 13

14 PARIH8 MORE CONFIDENCE / MEDICARE 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH9 MORE CONFIDENCE / STANDING UP FOR MIDDLE CLASS 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH10 MORE CONFIDENCE / REPRESENTING MIDDLE CLASS VALUES 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative PARIH11 MORE CONFIDENCE / IMMIGRATION 1 GOP 2 DEM 3 Both equal 4 Neither 5 Unsure Frequency Cumulative Page 14

15 PARIHCT ISSUE HANDLING BY PARTY COUNT 1 GOP on 9-11 issues 2 GOP on 6-8 issues 3 GOP on 3-5 issues 4 GOP on 0-2 issues Frequency Cumulative PECSTA PERSONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION OVER PAST FOUR YEARS 1 Gotten better 2 Gotten worse 3 Stayed the same 6 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative ECONB WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN BETTER Missing 1 Making enough money 2 Having a good job 3 National economy getting better 4 Your own personal improvement 5 Combo / other 6 None 7 Unsure / refused 9 Not asked Frequency Cumulative Page 15

16 ECONW WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN WORSE Missing 1 Retirement 2 Money to pay bills / rising cost of daily goods 3 Health care 4 Finding / keeping good job 5 Afford college / post-hs education 6 Increasing taxes 7 Combo / other 8 None 9 Unsure / refused 11 Not asked Frequency Cumulative ECONS WHAT MAKES YOU FEEL THINGS ARE ABOUT THE SAME Missing 1 Job security 2 Money to pay bills 3 Health care costs 4 Personal issues 5 Afford college / post-hs education 6 Increasing taxes 7 Combo / other 8 None 9 Unsure / refused 11 Not asked Frequency Cumulative Page 16

17 AGE RESPONDENT'S AGE or over 14 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative or over 5 Unsure / refused RAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C Frequency Cumulative RRAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C or over 7 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative Page 17

18 RAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C or over Frequency Cumulative Unsure / refused RAGEBG2 AGE/C Frequency Cumulative EDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION 1 Some grade school 2 Some high school 3 High school graduate 4 Technical / vocational 5 Some college 6 Graduated college 7 Grad / prof school 8 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C 1 Less than high school 2 High school graduate 3 Some college 4 College graduate Frequency Cumulative Page 18

19 IDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY 1 Very conservative 2 Somewhat conservative 3 Moderate 4 Somewhat liberal 5 Very liberal 6 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C 1 Conservative 2 Moderate 3 Liberal Frequency Cumulative RRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C 1 Very conservative 2 Somewhat conservative 3 Moderate / liberal Frequency Cumulative PARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION 1 Republican / strongly 2 Republican 3 Lean Republican 4 Independent 5 Lean Democrat 6 Democrat 7 Democrat / strongly 8 No preference 9 Other 10 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative Page 19

20 RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C 1 Republican 2 Independent 3 Democrat Frequency Cumulative TEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT 1 Yes / strongly 2 Yes 3 Unsure 4 No 5 No / strongly Frequency Cumulative RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT/C 1 Yes 2 Unsure 3 No Frequency Cumulative RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT/C 1 Yes / strongly 2 Yes 3 No / unsure Frequency Cumulative Page 20

21 PARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR 1 Straight GOP 2 Mostly GOP 3 More GOP than DEM 4 Ticket splitter 5 More DEM than GOP 6 Mostly DEM 7 Straight DEM 8 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C 1 Republican 2 Ticket splitter 3 Democrat Frequency Cumulative Hard GOP 2 Soft GOP 3 Ticket splitter 4 Soft DEM 5 Hard DEM PARTISAN PARTISAN Frequency Cumulative PARIDEOL PARTY / IDEOLOGY 1 Liberal DEM 2 Mod / conservative DEM 3 Independent 4 Mod / liberal GOP 5 Conservative GOP Frequency Cumulative Page 21

22 UNION MEMBER OF LABOR UNION 1 Labor union member 2 Labor union household 3 Non-union household 4 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative RUNION MEMBER OF LABOR UNION/C 1 Union household 2 Non-union household Frequency Cumulative Single 2 Married 3 Separated 4 Divorced 5 Widowed 6 Unsure / refused MARITAL MARITAL STATUS Frequency Cumulative RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C 1 Single 2 Married 3 No longer married Frequency Cumulative STATUS Missing 4 Married women 5 Unmarried women 6 Single women System Frequency Cumulative Page 22

23 CHILD HAVE CHILDREN LIVING AT HOME 1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN LIVING AT HOME/C 1 Yes 2 No Frequency Cumulative Missing 1 Dad 2 Mom 3 Non-parents MOMDAD PARENTS Frequency Cumulative MOMMAR MOTHERS BY MARITAL STATUS 1 Single mothers 2 Married mothers 3 No longer married mothers 4 Non-mothers Frequency Cumulative BUNDY MARITAL STATUS / CHILDREN 1 Married / children 2 Married / no children 3 Divorced / children 4 Divorced / no children 5 Single / children 6 Single / no children 7 Other / mixed Frequency Cumulative Page 23

24 DENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH 1 Roman Catholic 2 Baptist 3 Methodist 4 Episcopalian 5 Evangelical 6 Presbyterian 7 Lutheran 8 Other Protestant 9 Greek Orthodox 10 Jewish 11 Mormon / LDS 13 Other 14 None 15 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C Missing 1 Roman Catholic 2 Baptist / Evangelical 3 Mainline Protestant 4 Other 5 None System Frequency Cumulative DENOMFRQ HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH Missing 1 More than once a week 2 Once a week 3 Several times a month 4 Once a month 5 Several times a year 6 Only on holidays 7 Never / don't attend 8 Unsure / refused 10 Not asked Frequency Cumulative Page 24

25 RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C Missing 1 At least once a week 2 At least once a month 3 Infrequently 4 Never System Frequency Cumulative ACTIVE ACTIVE CHURCH ATTENDEES 1 Active Roman Catholics 2 Active Baptists / Evangelicals 3 Active Mainline Protestants 4 Active other 5 Other Frequency Cumulative BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL Missing 1 Born-again / evangelical 2 Not born-again 3 Refused 5 Not asked Frequency Cumulative SEXBORN GENDER AND BORN AGAIN 1 Male born again / evangelicals 2 Male not evangelical 3 Female born again / evangelicals 4 Female not evangelical Frequency Cumulative Page 25

26 RACEVANG RACE / EVANGELICAL Missing 1 White Evangelical 2 Non-white Evangelical System Frequency Cumulative IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY / EVANGELICAL CHRISTIANS Missing 1 White conservative Christians 2 Non-white conservative Christians 3 White non-conservative Christians 4 Non-white non-conservative Christians System Frequency Cumulative RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE 1 White 2 Black / African American 3 Hispanic / Latino 4 Asian / Pacific American 5 Native American 6 Other 7 Unsure / refused Frequency Cumulative Missing 1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 101 Not asked HISP HISPANIC PROBE Frequency Cumulative Page 26

27 RRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C 1 White 2 Black / African American 3 Hispanic / Latino 4 Other Frequency Cumulative White seniors 2 Other WHITE SENIORS Frequency Cumulative Upper class 2 Middle class 3 Low income 4 Working class 5 Unemployed 6 Refused ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS Frequency Cumulative CLARAC ECONOMIC CLASS AND RACE 1 Middle class whites 2 Middle class African Americans 3 Middle class Hispanics 4 Middle class other races 5 Other Frequency Cumulative Page 27

28 CLARACM ECONOMIC CLSS, RACE, MARITAL STATUS 1 Middle class white married 2 Middle class African American married 3 Middle class Hispanic married 4 Middle class other race married 5 Other Frequency Cumulative SEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT 1 Male / employed 2 Male / homemaker 3 Male / retired 4 Male / not in labor force 5 Female / employed 6 Female / homemaker 7 Female / retired 8 Female / not in labor force 9 Male / refused 10 Female / refused Frequency Cumulative RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C 1 Male / employed 2 Male / not employed 3 Female / employed 4 Female / not employed Frequency Cumulative Male 2 Female / home 3 Female / employed SEX RESPONDENT'S SEX Frequency Cumulative Page 28

29 GENDER GENDER 1 Male 2 Female Frequency Cumulative SEXED2 GENDER AND EDUCATION 1 Male college graduates 2 Male non-college graduates 3 Female college graduates 4 Female non-college graduates Frequency Cumulative SEXEDWH NON-COLLEGE GRADUATES 1 White non-college graduate 2 Minority non-college graduate 3 Others Frequency Cumulative Not employed 2 Employed 3 Retired 4 Refused EMPSTAT Frequency Cumulative Page 29

30 GENRACE RACE BY GENDER Missing 1 White men 2 White women 3 Black men 4 Black women 5 Hispanic men 6 Hispanic women 7 Other Frequency Cumulative GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL 1 Single women 2 Married women 3 No longer married women 4 Single men 5 Married men 6 No longer married men Frequency Cumulative GENMAR2 GENDER, MARITAL, AND RACE 1 White single men 2 White single women 3 White married men 4 White married women 5 White no longer married men 6 White no longer married women 7 Other Frequency Cumulative Page 30

31 R96 AGE / SEX 1 Male / under 45 2 Male / Female / home / under 45 4 Female / home / Female / work / under 45 6 Female / work / 45+ Frequency Cumulative Male / under 45 2 Male / Female / under 45 4 Female / 45+ RR96 AGE / SEX Frequency Cumulative Male / under 55 2 Male / Female / home / under 55 4 Female / home / Female / work / under 55 6 Female / work / 55+ R96FL AGE / SEX Frequency Cumulative Male / under 55 2 Male / Female / under 55 4 Female / 55+ RR96FL AGE / SEX Frequency Cumulative Page 31

32 RPTYID89 SEX / PARTY ID 1 Male / GOP 2 Female / GOP 3 Male / DEM 4 Female / DEM 5 Male / IND 6 Female / IND Frequency Cumulative Under 45 / GOP 2 45 & over / GOP 3 Under 45 / DEM 4 45 & over / DEM 5 Under 45 / IND 6 45 & over / IND RPTYID90 AGE / PARTY ID Frequency Cumulative RPTY90FL AGE / PARTY IDENTIFICATION 1 Under 55 / GOP 2 55 & over / GOP 3 Under 55 / DEM 4 55 & over / DEM 5 Under 55 / IND 6 55 & over / IND Frequency Cumulative RPTYID98 TARGET GROUPS 1 Republican 2 Independent 3 Conservative DEM 4 Mod / lib DEM Frequency Cumulative Page 32

33 RPTYD981 TARGET GROUPS 1 Republican 2 Independent 3 Conservative DEM 4 Mod / lib DEM 5 African American 6 Hispanic Frequency Cumulative Male / GOP 2 Female / GOP 3 Male / T-S 4 Female / T-S 5 Male / DEM 6 Female / DEM R89 SEX / VOTE BEHAVIOR Frequency Cumulative Under 45 / GOP 2 45 & over / GOP 3 Under 45 / T-S 4 45 & over / T-S 5 Under 45 / DEM 6 45 & over / DEM R90 AGE / VOTE BEHAVIOR Frequency Cumulative R90FL AGE / VOTE BEHAVIOR 1 Under 55 / GOP 2 55 & over / GOP 3 Under 55 / T-S 4 55 & over / T-S 5 Under 55 / DEM 6 55 & over / DEM Frequency Cumulative Page 33

34 R98 TARGET GROUPS 1 Republican 2 Ticket splitter 3 Conservative DEM 4 Mod / lib DEM Frequency Cumulative Republican 2 Ticket splitter 3 Conservative DEM 4 Mod / lib DEM 5 African American 6 Hispanic R981 TARGET GROUPS Frequency Cumulative Low 2 Medium 3 High R99 TURNOUT PROPENSITY Frequency Cumulative RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE 1 Northeast 2 Midwest 3 South 4 South Central 5 Central Plains 6 Mountain States 7 West Frequency Cumulative Page 34

35 RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO 1 California 2 Florida 3 Texas 4 New York 5 Rest of country Frequency Cumulative SENEL U.S. SENATE ELECTION STATUS BY STATE 1 GOP held seat up 2 DEM held seat up 3 No Senate election Frequency Cumulative GOVEL GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION STATUS BY STATE 1 GOP held seat up 2 DEM held seat up 3 No Gubernatorial election Frequency Cumulative COMPSEN COMPETITIVE SENATE RACES 1 States w/ competitive Senate race 2 States w/o competitive Senate race Frequency Cumulative Page 35