What is the potential of driver assistance technologies to reduce the number of road accidents?

Transcription

1 What is the potential of driver assistance technologies to reduce the number of road accidents? Stakeholders meeting on vehicle technologies to enhance road safety Brussels, 8 of March 2013 Thomas Lich, Robert Bosch GmbH Dr. Peter E. Rieth, Continental AG

2 Fatalities Target Reduction of Road Accidents and Fatalities 2009 Accidents w/ fatalities with slight or severe injuries est. ~ with Property Damage Only Source: Annual Statistical Report 2011 European Road Safety Observatory based on CARE/EC database D EU fatalities Target 2010 Target '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 3 rd Road Safety Action Programme Policy orientations on Road Safety EU target: Reduction of fatalities on roads between 2010 and 2020 by 50%.

3 CR/AEV1-Accident Research Accident situation in the EU 1) Accidents with injuries and fatalities by kind of accident % 28% AEB-City AEB-Inter Urban 20% AEB-Pedestrian 18% 14% 9% 4% n= % Collision with/between Turns into/ Crosses Fixed object / Leaving carriageway Parked/ Moving ahead or waiting Pedestrian Oncoming vehicle Moving laterally in same direction Another kind e.g. animal accidents w/ injuries and fatalities will be addressed by one of the AEB system - Considering accidents with property damage only e.g. additional accidents 2) are addressed in Germany. 1) Source: IRTAD 2003, Interpolation to 2010 using national statistics 2) 22% out of ~5 Mio. accidents w/ damage only; Bosch Accident Research Analysis 2009, AZT/Bosch database

4 CR/AEV1-Accident Research Distribution of the driver behaviour prior to rear-end crashes based on German data using GIDAS 1) Typical AEB-functions: 100% 20% Driver Warning 49% Braking support GIDAS analysis 1) n= % Automatic braking All rear-end collisions Emergency braking, but too late Insufficient braking force Inactive, no braking 1) Bosch Accident Research Analysis of GIDAS database, ESV 2009, Paper No GIDAS German In-Depth Accident study -

5 CR/AEV1-Accident Research Benefit of AEB (avoidance potential) with example on AEB Inter Urban based on German data using GIDAS 1) 100% Driver Warning Braking support Automatic braking 72% 38% 55% GIDAS analysis 1) n=1103 All rear-end collisions AEB systems have a high potential to reduce rear-end collision accidents. 1) Bosch Accident Research Analysis of GIDAS database, ESV 2009, Paper No Results shown assuming realistic driver model GIDAS German In-Depth Accident study -

6 Synergies and Additional Benefit using AEB technology City AEB Inter Urban Functions based on lidar/radar/video technology Pedestrian Benefits for the society Reduction of: (1)Rear-end collisions (2)Accidents involving vulnerable road users Reducing number of fatalities and injuries and property damage cost AEB Hardware enables additional Systems Adaptive Cruise Control (radar and/or video based) Speed Assist System (video based) Lane Departure Warning and Keeping System (video based) Additional reduction of: (3)CO 2 Emission (4)Traffic Jams (5)Risk of rear-end collision (6)Accidents caused by speeding (7)Accidents leaving carriagway and collisions with vehicle moving laterally in same direction

7 Assistant Sensor Fusion & Situation/Driver Intention Interpretation Decision Arbitration Driver Fusion & Situation Interpretation Decision Advanced Driver Assistance Function Logics Driving Task Sub-Task HMI Senses/ Sensors Instinct / Knowledge Actions/ Actuators HUD AFFP 120km/h! 50m! HUD 120kph AFFP! 50m! feel see GCC Brake Steering artificial voice hear / talk feel Artificial Intelligence Engine / Transm. Others Suspension/ Damping Airbag Safe Driving see Motorized Belt hear / talk Others Telematics

8 New Euro NCAP rating scheme Key Components >2014 AOP Adult Occupant Protection AEB City (starts 2014) Short Range Lidar Sensor SRL-Cam PP Pedestrian Protection AEB Pedestrian (starts 2016) Multi Function Stereo Camera SA Safety Assist SAS = Speed Assist System (starts 2013) AEB Inter-Urban (starts 2014) LDW / Lane Keeping (starts 2014) Camera SRL-Cam Radar

9 Advanced Driver Assistance Technologies Roadmap 2013 > Mono Camera Short/Mid Range Radar High Volume Color Stereo Camera Combined Short Range Lidar with Mono Camera V2X Intelligent Antenna Module, M2XPro Short Range Lidar Long Range Radar Prerequisite: Electronic Stability Control ESC * UDV Unfallforschung der Versicherer, Germany, 2011 Potential to reduce severe crashes by more than 40%*

10 Summary: AEB addresses high share of accidents (casualties as well property damage) AEB technologies entered the market LDW/LKD also have positive input on road safety, also entered the market Components of AEB & LDW/LKD support synergies to other safety and comfort functions for additional benefits to the society (e.g. Adaptive Cruise Control, Speed Assist Systems,Traffic Sign Recognition, Intelligent Headlamp Control)