DG CLIMA studies on CO2 emissions from vehicles

Transcription

1 DG CLIMA studies on CO2 emissions from vehicles KICK-OFF MEETING of ERMES Group June 2010 Bruxelles Fabio Dalan DG CLIMA, Unit C2

2 Current areas of activities Passenger cars - Regulation (EC) 443/2009 Monitoring Derogations Eco-innovations (JRC) Modalities to reach the 2020 target (TNO) Impact of electric vehicles (CE Delft) Light commercial vehicles Commission proposal Heavy duty vehicles Market analysis and potential (AEA) CO2 certification procedure for whole vehicles (TU Graz)

3 Article 12 of Regulation (EC) 443/2009. The innovative technology has to be Accountable (manufacturer or supplier) Verifiable Not covered by the standard test cycle Eco-Innovations Eligibility Not covered mandatory provisions in EU law Efficiency improvements for air-conditioning systems; Tyre pressure monitoring systems falling within scope of Regulation (EC) No 661/2009; Tyre rolling resistance falling within the scope of Regulations (EC) No 661/2009 and 1222/2009; Gear shift indicators falling within the scope of Regulation (EC) No 661/2009; Use of bio fuels

4 Eco-innovation application and assessment Verifiable means: A testing methodology verified by an independent certification body Above signal to noise ratio Signal = CO2 emission of the vehicle Noise = repeatability of the test Not covered by the test cycle means: Not or marginally covered under the NEDC Impact on the CO2 emissions in real-world driving condition Baseline vehicle: vehicle without of the innovation modelling

5 HDV study LOT1 Task 1: Vehicle market and vehicle fleet Task 2: Fuel use and CO2 emissions Task 3: Technology Task 4: Policy assessment Started in January 2010 for 10 months (?)

6 market size and structure by type of application Existing fleet New sales HDV study LOT1 task 1 - market manufacturers: OEMs, body builders, and trailer builders, sales volumes and market shares in different vehicle segments. vehicle users: distribution by type of operator long-haul transport distribution, public authority size of transport operators Data on age and mileage and characteristic on the used vehicle market On board equipment and energy consumed

7 HDV study LOT1 task 2 - inventory Quantify the amount of fuel used and CO2 emitted in the EU Existing fleet New sales Indicate the likely future development of fuel use and CO2 emissions Existing fleet New sales

8 HDV study LOT1 task 3 - technology State of the art in technology (engine, drive-train, vehicle, ICT/ITS, any other), existing and planned technologies future technologies Identification of legislative boundary conditions and any regulatory obstacles Solutions to monitor and report fuel consumption Impact of vehicle speed on fuel consumption, operating costs, logistics Assessment of possible future reduction in total EU fuel consumption

9 HDV study LOT2 Task 1: Develop a certification method Task 2: Stakeholder consultation Started in January 2010 for 24 months

10 HDV study LOT2 task 1 Design a procedure for the certification of complete Heavy Duty Vehicles chassis-cab vehicles superstructures on-board energy-using equipment trailers and semitrailers Develop appropriate CO2 emission metrics for the different parts of the HDV Develop a methodology to combine the metrics to establish the total CO2 emission of the vehicle

11 HDV study LOT2 task 1 looking at all possible approaches coast-down testing roller bench testing computer modelling Portable Emission Measurement Systems (PEMS) Perform a verification of the procedure accuracy and repeatability indicate a classification scheme for labelling purposes

12 2020 target of 95 g/km Contract running since January 2010 for 16 months. Considering and analysing the following: technologies applied in today s lower emitters potential emission reduction until 2020 from new cars Considering the actual manufacturing cost of the technologies alternative utility parameter (footprint or other based on interior space, seats, load capacity, etc ) Evaluating the model cycle Evaluating the possibility to merge cars and vans legislation Take mileage and life cycle emissions into account

13 Electric Vehicle study Task 1: Current status of EV development and market introduction Task 2: Technological and economic aspects on the vehicle side Task 3: Business model and market Task 4: Electricity system Task 5: Scenario analysis Task 6: Policy implications

14 Thank you Fabio Dalan DG CLIMA, Unit C2

15 EV study task 1 Current status of EV development and market introduction Survey current activities by car makers, electricity utilities, parts suppliers summarise conclusions of the most important existing research projects Critically review these announcements and predictions

16 EV study task 2 Technological and economic aspects on the vehicle side Compare of EVs/PHEVs with their conventional competitors Costs Environmental performance (well to wheel) Describe technical features of all possible technologies of energy storage and management Assess implications of battery ageing on efficiency and GHG emissions

17 Business model and market EV study task 3 Describe possible approaches to deploying EVs and PHEVs Choice of battery technology- current and future; System characteristics (e.g. fixed battery vs. battery swap; standard charging versus quick charging; vehicle/infrastructure communication needs) Vehicle configuration: hybrid, PHEV, range extenders, full EV; possible role of PHEV as bridging technology between ICE and pure EV; Tax situation for conventional fuels/vehicles and for EVs (including impact of EV penetration on government revenues). Anticipated consumer behaviour in view of resale value fate of batteries after use in EV

18 EV study task 4 Electricity system Analyse the capacity of the EU electricity system to support EVs and PHEVs. Charging and system management requirements impact of EVs on the EU energy balance and the need of renewable energy generation

19 EV study task 6 Policy implications Rationale for policy intervention at EU or national levels, if any. Impact on CO2/cars legislation Impact on FQD Impact on the EU ETS and national non-ets effort sharing obligations Description of possible types of policy intervention; guidance for these and associated costs and benefits.