Welcome to the 4th Annual UCF Urban and Regional Planning Distinguished Lecture Series

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1 UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA ORLANDO SCHOOL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Welcome to the 4th Annual UCF Urban and Regional Planning Distinguished Lecture Series - April 24, 2016

2 UCF SCHOOL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Thank You to Our Sponsors! Series Sponsors Endowed Sponsor In-Kind Sponsor UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA ORLANDO

3 How Should Planners Think About Autonomous Cars? Presented at University of Central Florida April 14, 2016 David A. King Columbia University

4 What Do We Call Autonomous Cars? Autonomous Self-driving Driverless Robot

5 Two Types of Technology Self-Driving Vehicle (e.g., Google) AI located within the vehicle Outward-facing in that sensors blast outward from the vehicle to collect information without receiving data inward from other sources AI used to make autonomous decisions on what is best for the individual driver AI not shared with other entities beyond the vehicle A more Capitalistic set-up Connected Vehicle AI wirelessly connected to an external communications network Inward-facing with the vehicle receiving external environment information through wireless connectivity, and operational commands from an external entity Used in cooperation with other pieces of information to make decisions on what is best from a system optimal standpoint AI shared across multiple vehicles A more Socialistic set-up (Bhat 2014)

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9 Promise of Autonomous Cars Safety improvements 33,000 deaths annually on the road Congestion reduction Reduced parking demand Reduced parking supply Shared rides/taxis More productive travel time

10 How Did We Get Here? DARPA Grand Challenge: 2004: Winning car completed 7.3 miles of 150 mile course 2005: 22 of 23 teams finished course 2007 Urban Challenge: Cars didn t know course Google employs team that won DARPA challenge, announces autonomous car project

11 AVs on the Road: Trucks in Europe

12 Self Driving Campus Shuttles

13 CES: New Entrants to Planning

14 Autonomous Drone People Carrier

15 What will driverless cars do to cities? New technologies don t do anything Adoption and use of new technologies depends on multiple factors: Cost Ease of use Usefulness Solves a problem that can t otherwise be solved

16 Focus on Private Vehicles We re looking at the broader urban effects and urban opportunities of this technology, says Illinois Tech architect Marshall Brown, one of the team members in the Chicago school s Driverless Cities Project. It s in the news a lot, but nobody s been discussing what it will actually do to cities. Wired April 6, 2016

17 Engineering Streets

18 Planners Realm Street design Road pricing Parking requirements

19 Implications for Wayfinding

20 Street Designation Autonomous cars and routing software are optimized for either shortest distance or shortest time Routing through residential (or other) neighborhoods may diminish quality of life? Return of the cul-de-sac? Private streets?

21 Street Hierarchy

22 Allocating space

23 Competition at the curb

24 Street Design Designate street type Street engineering and design Support cars (orderly) Support people (not orderly) Continuous sidewalks

25 Street Types: Transport for London

26 Physical Adaptations to Streets

27 Continuous Sidewalks

28 Pricing Key Point: Until we know how much autonomous cars will cost to buy and operate, we do not know how they will be adopted or used Planners do not have influence on production costs, but are able to use road prices to affect behavior

29 The Low, Low Cost of Automobility Parking is required everywhere, which causes the price for off street parking to be free in most places Road access is free in most cases Gas taxes have lagged inflation and investment needs for decades If driving remains cheap, then people will still drive everywhere

30 If driving remains cheap? People may buy autonomous cars No reduction in traffic, though flow may improve on the margins People may favor longer distance commutes No stress of driving

31 Should driving be expensive? Road access fees Vehicle miles traveled fee Parking fees Fuel taxes Carbon taxes

32 If driving is expensive? People will switch to other modes People will travel less Telecommuting E-commerce and delivery Satellite offices Will people share rides with strangers? What about complex trip chaining?

33 Plausible scenarios Smaller vehicles, not shared vehicles People value privacy

34 Looking forward Technological advances and financial constraints are changing travel options and costs Local planners are at the center of shifts in policy Transportation Demand Management Parking requirements Allocation of street space

35 What Should Planners Do? Reorder street hierarchy Implement street designs that a robot can understand Design buildings and parking to be adaptable to new uses Changes in land use regulations based on service levels will be difficult Use prices to affect behavior

36 UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA ORLANDO SCHOOL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Welcome to the 4th Annual UCF Urban and Regional Planning Distinguished Lecture Series - How Should Planners Prepare for Shared and Autonomous Cars? Dr. David A. King, PhD Columbia University - April 24, 2016

37 UCF SCHOOL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Thank You for Coming! To log you AICP Credits for this event please visit UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA ORLANDO

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