Three Technologies That Will Change The World

Transcription

1 Three Technologies That Will Change The World Barrie Kirk, P.Eng. Executive Director, Canadian Automated Vehicles Centre of Excellence Chair, ITS Canada s Autonomous Vehicles Task Force Presentation to IEEE Vehicular Technology Conference September 16, 2014

2 Three Events on September 16 that changed the World 1620 The Mayflower starts her voyage to North America 1908 General Motors Corporation is founded The first successful photocopier, the Xerox 914, is introduced in a demonstration on live television from New York City. IEEE VTC, September 16,

3 Automated Vehicles Connected Vehicles Electric Vehicles ACE Vehicles IEEE VTC, September 16,

4 Agenda Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Connected Vehicles (CVs) Electric Vehicles (EVs) Benefits and synergies between the above IEEE VTC, September 16,

5 Agenda Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Connected Vehicles (CVs) Electric Vehicles (EVs) Benefits and synergies between the above IEEE VTC, September 16,

6 First Generation of AVs are here Semi-autonomous cars: Mercedes S- Class, Infiniti Q50 Intelligent cruise control (acceleration and braking) Lane-keeping Automatic parking IEEE VTC, September 16,

7 7IEEE VTC, September 16, 2014 Induct Navia

8 8IEEE VTC, September 16, 2014 Suncor: Automated Dump Truck

9 Trial of fully-automated taxis planned for Milton Keynes, UK, in 2015 IEEE VTC, September 16,

10 AV Rollout Rollout will be incremental; two versions Low-speed, electric, fully-automated Then add capability, speed, etc. Google, RDM, Induct Add Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) to familiar models Intelligent cruise control (acceleration and braking), lane-keeping, auto parking Then evolve to full automation Most major car manufacturers IEEE VTC, September 16,

11 AV Rollout (cont d) 2014: first generation AVs : first commercial fullyautonomous, highway capable cars : major penetration of AVs in US, Canada and around the world IEEE VTC, September 16,

12 Agenda Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Connected Vehicles (CVs) Electric Vehicles (EVs) Benefits and synergies between the above IEEE VTC, September 16,

13 Connected Vehicles Vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) Vehicle-to-roadside infrastructure (V2I) Vehicle-to-other systems/servers (V2X) E.g. Internet IEEE VTC, September 16,

14 CV: Current Applications Infotainment: Traffic, weather, restaurants, concierge service Music, movies, games, social networking Vehicle remote access Vehicle health reports Usage Based Insurance (UBI) Fleet management for trucks IEEE VTC, September 16,

15 CV: Future Applications Safety / collision avoidance Fleet management for Transportation-as-a- Service (TaaS) Enhanced integration of smartphones into vehicles Updating car s OS, AV control software Scanning web for conditions on road ahead Road-trains / platooning IEEE VTC, September 16,

16 CV Technologies 3G, 4G, LTE mobile phone technology Wi-Fi, WiMAX Dedicated Short Range Communications (DSRC) at 5.9 GHz By 2020: 5G mobile phone technology IEEE VTC, September 16,

17 Agenda Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Connected Vehicles (CVs) Electric Vehicles (EVs) Benefits and synergies between the above IEEE VTC, September 16,

18 Electric Vehicles Many models of all-electric vehicles commercially available now Nissan Leaf, Ford Focus Electric, Tesla, etc. IEEE VTC, September 16,

19 All-Electric Prototype AVs RDM (UK) Google IEEE VTC, September 16,

20 AV + EV Prototypes Nissan has added AV technology to all-electric Nissan Leaf IEEE VTC, September 16,

21 EV Features Positives: energy efficient; zero emissions; great acceleration; less maintenance Negatives: range anxiety; recharge time; battery cost; battery size and weight IEEE VTC, September 16,

22 Agenda Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) Connected Vehicles (CVs) Electric Vehicles (EVs) Benefits and synergies between the above IEEE VTC, September 16,

23 Transportation-as-a-Service Fully-automated taxis Replacement for car ownership, regular taxis, some transit, car rental Call one via smartphone 80+% decrease in collisions Uses AV, CV and EV technology IEEE VTC, September 16,

24 TaaS (cont d) AV: No driver significantly reduced costs Safer (less safety equipment) ultra-lightweight more efficient more sustainable CV: Passengers summon A-taxi via smartphone Use e-payments Fleet owners know locations, receive vehicle/battery health reports V2V extra layer of collision avoidance IEEE VTC, September 16,

25 EV: TaaS (cont d) Low energy costs + low maintenance costs = low fares In total: Personalized mass transit Cost competitive with transit Much lower cost than regular taxis IEEE VTC, September 16,

26 TaaS (cont d) Used mainly for urban trips: Greener cities; less pollution Substantially reduced need for parking Changes in urban planning Changes in where people live and work: more intensification and more sprawl Reduced focus on transit-oriented development Improved mobility for seniors, handicapped Change in design of homes Improvements to ranking on liveability index IEEE VTC, September 16,

27 Other impacts Economy and GDP TaaS (cont d) Government plans, policies and regulations Most departments / agencies in all levels of government, e.g. health-care, policing, transit Corporate business plans: taxis, trucking, delivery, car manufacturers, oil industry, electricity generation and distribution IEEE VTC, September 16,

28 Conclusions Convergence of AVs, CVs & EVs will lead to significant transformative changes Transportation-as-a-Service a key outcome Our cities and our world will look very different in 2030 compared to today because of AVs, CVs & EVs IEEE VTC, September 16,

29 Questions? IEEE VTC, September 16,

30 Contact: Follow-up Barrie Kirk CAVCOE publishes AV Update, a free monthly e-newsletter To subscribe, give me your business card with Newsletter on it IEEE VTC, September 16,