Our Topics. Urban mobility = automobiles! Urban mobility Future of Mobility 3.0 Models for change

Transcription

1 Urban Mobility

2 Our Topics Urban mobility = automobiles! Urban mobility Future of Mobility 3.0 Models for change

3 Urban mobility = automobiles!

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6 Urban mobility Urban mobility considers the ease/difficulty of moving o individuals o groups of people o freight/goods into, out-of, around-in an urban environment.

7 Urban transportation modes o Individual people move by foot, bike, auto, taxi, bus, train o Groups of people move by auto, taxi, bus, train o Goods move by van, truck, train, bike Since these modes tend to operate independently, coordination is a major challenge. Many trade-offs are required.

8 Urban mobility safety challenges Specialized services exist to provide safety. o Police cars o Fire engines o Ambulances o Auto wreckers Challenges: o Disaster evacuation o Parades, marches, riots o Sporting events, concerts o Weather-related events, power outages

9 Future of Mobility ADLittle Maturity: 36 points max walking, cycling, public transport, initiatives for improvement Innovation: 24 points max car-sharing penetration, e-hail services, autonomous driving vehicles Performance: 40 points max efficiency, effectiveness, environmental impact, safety

10 Top Ten Cities globally

11 Some US city rankings Average: 28 San Francisco 38 New York Boston 46 Chicago 47 Washington DC 55 Portland OR 71 Los Angeles 38.6 Below average: 77 Miami Philadelphia 89 Dallas 93 Houston 99 Atlanta 32.5

12 Hypothetical best-in-class city o As affordable as Hong Kong o Air as pure as Stockholm s o Cycling like Amsterdam o As safe as Copenhagen o Bike sharing like Brussels and Paris o Public transport frequency like London Tube o Car sharing like Stuttgart o Minimum impact on environment like Wuhan o Short travel times like Nantes

13 Bottom Line Most cities are still badly equipped to cope with the challenges ahead.

14 Mobility sub-systems Diverse needs must be met effectively to implement a SUMP (sustainable urban mobility plan). Coordination of o Trains: local and suburban o Busses: local and long-haul o Taxis, limos, Uber-type o Private cars o Foot and bike traffic o Parking, repair, and maintenance services o Airports, seaports

15 Models for change o The Amazon model o The Apple model o The Dell model

16 Amazon Model o Aggregator of third-party services Ex. smart card for one-stop travel needs o Has potential for retro-fitting existing systems

17 Apple Model o Deep vertical integration of services o Very difficult to apply because of current state of development and operation o Good for brand new development

18 Dell Model o Improve existing (sub-)systems on an incremental basis o Fits well with existing situations o Can be integrated with an Amazon-type approach

19 Mobility is a top priority for urban economic development Urban mobility infrastructure is the number one priority area for cities in attracting investors. o Mobility: 27 * o Security: 9 o City management: 6 o ICT: 6 o Education: 6 * Measure of relative importance ICT: Info and Comm Technologies

20 Highest need for investment in cities o Mobility: 86% * o Education: 77% o Environment: 77% o Health: 74% o Security: 71% * % saying high need for investment

21 Mobility technology: vehicle automation State of automation (Sep.2015) Cars Drivers o Google: o Tesla: o Mercedes: 5 13 o Volkswagen: 3 30 o Nissan: 3 18 o Bosch, Delphi, Cruise: 2 12,9,6

22 Mobility technology: vehicle automation California leads the pack. Why? o Google: first to move to scale in cars and drivers move from highway to city build purposed vehicles o Hi-tech venture capital o Hi-tech engineers, roboticists o GoMentum Station test center (state) o Development-minded government

23 Mobility technology: vehicle automation Earlier this year, a Google-branded self-driving car was involved in its first and only at-fault accident when it hit a public transit bus while attempting to navigate around a sandbag in the middle of the road. This latest incident wasn t the autonomous car s fault, though. In a statement issued to 9to5Google, the company revealed that the traffic light was green for at least six seconds before the vehicle entered the intersection.

24 Mobility technology: vehicle automation It then went on to add that thousands of crashes happen everyday on U.S. roads, and red-light running is the leading cause of urban crashes in the U.S. Human error plays a role in 94% of these crashes, which is why we re developing fully self-driving technology to make our roads safer.

25 Mobility sub-systems: financing Which of these have a financial incentive for improvement? o Trains: local and suburban o Busses: local and long-haul o Taxis, limos, Uber o Car sharing o Bike use o Street grid and traffic lights o Parking o Air travel o Pedestrians

26 New technology could be a game-changer

27 Summing up urban mobility Urban mobility plays a critical role in urban economic development. It involves a large number of subsystems, typically independent. Mature cities often have an existing situation that can make steps toward integration difficult. Financing is a problem.

28 Thanks for listening with joy