An energy revolution is needed to achieve our energy security and climate goals

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2 An energy revolution is needed to achieve our energy security and climate goals Gt CO Baseline emissions 57 Gt CCS 19% 50 Renewables 17% Nuclear 6% Power generation efficiency and fuel switching 5% 25 End-use fuel switching 15% WEO ppm case BLUE Map emissions 14 Gt ETP2010 analysis End-use fuel and electricity efficiency 38% A wide range of technologies will be necessary to reduce energy-related CO 2 emissions substantially. 2

3 Electricity Systems are evolving Smartening the grid is not a one 4me event

4 Smart Grid Technologies Smart grid technologies are applied across the en4re electricity system

5 1 Generation Problems: Inflexible large scale generation Transmission Demand (nuclear, Problems: Distribution side Problems: coal) Problems: combined Transmission Variable with bottlenecks, increased Aging infrastructure, increased demand, cascading variable management generation faults, integration demand of (CHP, for electricity, peak electricity of variable use wind and generation, renewables demand, in lack of outage increasing electricity remote locations notification, electricity theft Photovoltaic) Electric Vehicles: costs Potential to increase Smart Grid Solution: overall and peak Overall demand monitoring and management of problems electricity flow from generation to end use through Smart 2 way Grid flow Solution: of both information HVDC and and High power Temperature Superconducting transmission, Smart Grid Smart Solution: Smart Grid Solution: flexible Grid operation Solution: and better Demand response Integration and monitoring acceleration of large ICT infrastructure scale of overlay and with smart metering through EE through provision distributed embedded of electricity storage, and sensing equipment, outage sensing increase and control, demand Smart information Grid flexibility market Solution: ( enabled and of large technical by notification, scale detailed monitoring support for Smart Intelligent meters) generation charging and building/home of through electric and management of demand, regional intelligent trading vehicles, automation potential to control add automated switching and re-closers grid stability through V2G operation

6 Electricity Demand Growth from Smart grids can provide grid efficiency improvements, better asset utilisation, and foster growth and significantly reduce electricity system losses in emerging economies through construction of smart infrastructure. 3

7 Regional Electricity Demand 2007 Electricity demand [TWh] 2050 BLUE Map Electricity demand [TWh] BLUE Map Percent growth 2007 to 2050 World % OECD North America % OECD Europe % OECD Pacific % Economies in Transi4on % China % India % Other Developing Asia % Africa % La4n America % Middle East % Note: Electricity demand equals generation minus losses.

8 EV/PHEV Deployment Smart grids will facilitate effective management of EV/PHEV and avoid negative impacts on electricity system performance. 5

9 Sectoral Electricity Demand

10 Peak Demand Smart grids can reduce peak demand by deployment of advanced system operation and customer programmes 6

11 Electricity Genera4on Mix Baseline 50 BLUE Map PWh Coal and oil Natural gas Nuclear Non-varRE varre Variable renewables are becoming a significantly larger proportion of overall electricity generation

12 Deployment of Variable Genera4on % Variable Generation by Region Smart grids will enable high penetration of variable generation while maintaining system reliability and stability 4

13 What about Climate? Direct and enabled emission reduc4ons 1.20 World 1.00 Gt CO 2 / yr Smart Grids have the poten4al reduce global CO 2 emissions by over 2 gigatonnes per year by 2050 Direct reductions: energy savings from peak load management, continuous commissioning of service sector loads, accelerated deployment of energy efficiency programs, reduced line losses, and direct feedback on energy usage Enabled reductions: greater integration of renewable and facilitation of EV and PHEV deployment

14 The integra4ng nature of smart grids Smart grids will increase electricity system informa4on and transparency, improving the ability to make system investment decisions sharing costs and benefits with all stakeholders. Smart grid deployments must reflect regional needs and conditions. A one-size-fits-all does not apply to the deployment of smart grids. 7

15 Key Efforts Needed Technology Build up commercial scale demonstra4ons that operate across system sectors, incorpora4ng business models addressing cost, security and sustainability. Develop global technology standards to op4mise and accelerate development and deployment while reducing costs Integrate with exis4ng and new electricity infrastructure considera4ons needed Policy and Regula4on Evolve electricity system regula4on to address changing system needs and take advantage of new technology leadership given by governments and private sector Address system wide and cross sector barriers to enable prac4cal sharing of smart grids costs and benefits. Address cyber security issues proac4vely through both regula4on and applica4on of best prac4ce. Develop smart customers through codifying best prac4ce, demonstrate and deploy engaging pricing policies and usage tools, protec4on systems and approaches for data treatment and implement social safety nets

16 Key Efforts Needed con4nued Building Consensus Accelerate educa4on and improve understanding of electricity system customers and stakeholders (including energy u4li4es, regulators and consumer advocates) Interna4onal Collabora4on Expand smart grid collabora4on; par4cularly related to standards and sharing demonstra4on findings in technology, policy, regula4on and business model development. Link with electricity system technology areas that are not exclusively focused on smart grids. Expand capacity building efforts in rapidly developing countries tailored to contexts such as rural electrifica4on, island systems and alterna4ve billing approaches.

17 Smart grids in emerging economies and developing countries Under the right condi4ons emerging economies could leap frog directly to smart grid infrastructure Targeted analysis and roadmaps created collabora4vely with developed and developing countries are required to determine specific needs and solu4ons in technology and regula4on. Developing and emerging economies can use smart grids to build from household electrifica7on to community and regional systems

18 International Smart Grid Action Network (ISGAN) A mechanism for bringing high-level government attention and action to accelerate the development and deployment of smarter electricity grids around the world. Current Participants and expressions of interest: Plus more

19 ISGAN ini4al projects 1 Global Smart Grid Inventory of smart grid-enabling programs and policies ISGAN is not the only en4ty developing an inventory Smart Grid Case Studies using a common framework and metrics Benefit-Cost Analyses and Toolkits to inform smart grid regulatory and investment decisions from both top-down and bottom-up perspectives Synthesis of Insights for Decision Makers making projects results accessible and useful for advancing effective smart-grid enabling policies and programs 19 Several such efforts underway regionally ASGI EU SET Plan ENARD IA Etc. Although different drivers for each, there are opportuni4es for coopera4on

20 Current & Future smart grids work at the IEA Smart customers further study and policy recommenda4ons Benefit / Cost analysis for smart grid deployment System modeling high level regional basis Peak demand T&D systems analsysis Integra4on of variable renewable genera4on using DR Mone4ze the benefits and costs Energy Technology Perspec4ves 2012 Energy systems discussion and analysis Energy Systems in Emerging economies and developing countries Strong working support with the Interna4onal Smart Grid Ac4on Network (ISGAN)

21 Smart grids: Accelera4ng electricity system evolu4on to achieve shared goals for energy security, economic development and climate change mi4ga4on.

22 For more information: Thank you

23 What can smart grids do? Enables informed par4cipa4on by customers Accommodates all genera4on and storage op4ons (inc. varre) Enables new products, services and markets (inc. DR, EV s) Provides the power quality for the range of needs Op4mises asset u4lisa4on and opera4ng efficiency Provides resiliency to disturbances, aoacks and natural disasters Direct and enabled emission reduclons Gt CO 2 / yr World Smart Grids have the poten4al reduce global CO 2 emissions by over 2 gigatonnes per year by 2050 Direct reductions: energy savings from peak load management, continuous commissioning of service sector loads, accelerated deployment of energy efficiency programs, reduced line losses, and direct feedback on energy usage Enabled reductions: greater integration of renewable and facilitation of EV and PHEV deployment