Tanker Insight. Hoping for a manageable future. Our view. contents

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1 Tanker Insight Monthly Analysis of the Tanker Market issue 54 february 8 Radarwatch Atlantic basin refinery maintenance season starts Opec rules out production increase Tight refining margins pressurising crude runs Start of Chinese New Year holiday period Economic growth in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East supporting oil demand OECD crude and product stocks considerably low and need to be replenished Hoping for a manageable future Over the past couple of months, the tanker industry has been constantly hit by widespread announcements on hull restrictions from charterers and flag administrations, post the unfortunate oil-spill from the single hull tanker Hebei Spirit off the South Korean coast. Following the South Korean government s decision to impose a ban on single hull tankers from 211, two major Korean refiners, GS Caltex and SK Energy announced that they will phase-out the usage of single hull tankers from 29 and 21 respectively. Recently, the Philippines have also brought forward their phase-out plan by placing a ban on single hulls as early as April this year. Such decisions are likely to coerce other major importers like China and India to also follow suit. TCE Rates ($pd) 27/ Dec Jan AG-Japan (TD3) 41,85 8,1 149, 8,1 W. Africa-Car/USES (TD5) 37,858 4,9 12, 4,9 NWE-NWE (TD7) 36,875 47,8 61,9 47,8 NWE-Car/USES (TD12) 25,183 26,4 36,8 26,4 AG-Japan (TC1) 21,58 31,9 31,2 31,9 Sing-Japan (TC4) 15,783 12,1 17,6 12,1 Drewry Tanker Earnings Index Jan 6 Jan 7 Index (Jan = 1) Average (of months shown) Jan 8 Looking ahead, with the alarm bell for the single hull tankers ringing and in the likely incidence of strict adherence of a ban on single hull tankers by the far eastern countries, the next two years might not be as dull for the tanker freight markets as anticipated previously. Moreover, with some shipowners opting for conversions to dry bulk carriers and storage vessels, projected tanker supply could still be manageable. According to our estimates, about 12m dwt is likely to be converted through 28 to 21 (~2 tankers during 28). Meanwhile, of the active Vlcc and Suezmax fleet of 23.m dwt, about 45.m dwt is single hulled which if removed from the fleet by 21 (accelerated phase-out), assuming the Marpol deadline is strictly followed by flag administrations and port authorities, would just leave an excess supply of ~1.5mdwt, (accounting for the probable deliveries to the tune of 67.5m dwt during 28-1). Our view During 25 (post the 5 th April Cat 1 phase-out deadline), there was anticipation that the markets would soar, however the date passed almost unnoticed. The possibility of dealing with a similar fate again should not be discounted. Conversions of tankers to dry bulk carriers is unlikely to stem the flow of additional tonnage entering the tanker sector. The phase-out of single-hulled ships holds the key to the market, and on this point the jury is still out. Market Barometer MARKET POSITION Previous contents Summary 1 Oil Focus 2 Fleet Focus 3 Panamax 7 Product Tankers 8 Financials 1 Current Vlcc 4 Market Summaries 11 WEAK MARKET DIRECTION STRONG Suezmax 5 Aframax 6 Contacts 13 Methodology Notes 13 Based on Drewry Hire Index 1

2 oilfocus Market Indicators Low High Oil demand Oil supply Oil prices Oil stocks World Oil Market (Mbpd) (1) 2Q7 3Q7 4Q7 (P) Oil Demand Oil Supply Opec Saudi Arabia Non-Opec FSU Stock Change (1) IEA, Drewry Estimate for the Year (P) Provisional Data Opec s side of the story At its recent meeting on 1 st February, Opec decided to leave the output targets unchanged, citing uncertainties over a potential global economic slowdown (led by a possible recession in the US) and an expected build in inventories in 1Q8 as the chief reasons behind its decision. The (obvious) decision came at a time when oil prices were softening prices declined by about 12% through the month to settle at ~$88/bbl by month s close. Further, the cartel has stated that it will be keenly eyeing the oil market fundamentals before deciding on production levels at its next scheduled meet on 5 th March. The cartel finally seems to have learnt from its past mistakes and is cautiously making decisions regarding production levels. The decision to leave targets unchanged in February amid an increase in US crude oil stocks (to the tune of 1.2m barrels over the month), to 293.m barrels by the final week of January also seems to be well founded. While, the US crude stocks are lower by about 28m barrels from year ago levels, a steady build-up in the first quarter appears inevitable - firstly, the preliminary estimates from Oil Movements point towards a rise in Middle East westbound liftings in January by.3m bpd from last year; secondly, low product demand has considerably cut down refining margins in the US and Europe, necessitating run cuts and maintenances across the Atlantic basin. Additionally, the IMF has revised down the latest economic growth rate for the US from 2.2% in 27 to 1.5% in 28. If at all US falls into a recession in the backdrop of an oil production increase, oil prices are bound to falter severely which is not a situation Opec would want to be faced with. Hence, it was only prudent that Opec adopt a wait and watch approach and leave targets unchanged at its Feb meeting. february 8 Crude Price Arbitrage ($/bbl) Crude Price Differential ($/bbl) Average 26 4 WTI vs Brent Jan 7 Apr 7 Jul 7 Average 27 Oct 7 Jan 8 Average 26.6 Brent 1st vs 2nd Month Jan 7 Apr 7 Jul 7 Average 27 Oct 7 Jan 8 Crude Oil Prices $/bbl Dubai 1 WTI Products Oil Prices $/bbl Brent Opec Basket Price 12 Gasoil Gasoline YEAR RANGE MAX YEAR RANGE MAX 2 Jan 7 Apr 7 MIN Jul 7 Oct 7 Jan 8 2 Jan 7 Apr 7 Jul 7 MIN Oct 7 Jan 8 2

3 fleetfocus Total Tanker Fleet: January 28 Size Total (' dwt) No. Dwt Fleet Size , , , , , ,5 Total 2, ,31 Rising deliveries a reason to worry After a record ordering spell during March and November last year, the newbuilding market seems to be finally mellowing down, though not before adding an average 1.7m dwt to the orderbook every month. In contrast, deliveries are also on a rise and hence the total orderbook (in terms of number of vessels) is on a decline from 1,74 vessels in November to 1,62 in December and further 1,42 vessels in January this year. This increase in deliveries does not bode well for the current tanker markets which have had to deal with additional supplies at a time when demand looks weak. Looking ahead, short term freight rate prospects also look bleak, in view of probable firm deliveries entering trading life amidst Atlantic basin refinery maintenances followed by seasonally slow second quarter demand. february 8 Tanker Demand Index New Orders & % Fleet (Dwt) 114 Index Jan2 = 1 1 New Orders (Right axis) Dec 6 Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Dec 7 Jan 7 Mar 7 May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Nov 7 32 Jan 8 Fleet Age Profile and Delivery Schedule (M dwt) 1-5, 5-8, 8-12, Fleet: No. of Vessels (Right axis) , : M dwt 2-32, 32,+ : No. of Vessels (Right axis) <= Total Tanker Fleet & : January 28 Size Existing Fleet* Total % of Fleet (' dwt) No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt Dwt , , , , , ,97 6 3, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,6 4 1, , Total 2, , , , , ,431 1,42 132, * Actual fleet less 1-5, dwt crude tankers built before 1st July

4 vlcc2,+dwt Market Indicators Rates Demand Supply New orders Scrapping SH sales NB prices SH values Vlcc Demand Low High 124 Index Jan2 = 1 What goes up, comes down rather fast! The hectic pace of activity in December, gave way to a rather subdued start in January. The low level of activity had a two way impact first, tonnage started accumulating at the main trading regions and secondly, even when enquiry levels rebounded, the easy tonnage availability prevented rates from sizing up immediately. Freight rates for Vlccs doing AG-Japan went from a high WS285 (last trading week in December) to a low WS7 by the fourth week of January, essentially slashing shipowner earnings by almost $2,pd during this period. The situation turned around only towards the end of the month, when the continued pace of activity absorbed excess tonnage, and paved the way for a mild recovery in Vlcc freight rates. On an average, rates for vessels doing AG-Far East dropped by WS1 points, to WS13 in January. AG-Caribs/US slipped by WS75 points, to peg at WS85 during the month. Looking ahead, with the start of the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays, Far Eastern charterers are expected to stay away from the trading arena for some time. Meanwhile, early refinery maintenances in the Atlantic basin is also expected to keep demand from US and Europe restrained during February. Vlcc Rates ($pd) /8 AG-Japan (TCE) 41,85 8,1 3,9 149, 8,1 AG-S. Korea (TCE) 38,18 8,9 42,6 137,3 8,9 AG-N. Europe (TCE) 37,383 13,1 47,3 132,1 13,1 february k, 5yr old (TC 1yr) 53,333 62, 53, 62, 62, 28k, 1yr old (TC 1yr) 48,633 5, 47,5 49,5 5, 114 Dec 6 Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Dec 7 28k, 5yr old (TC 3yr) 47,358 5, 48, 5,5 5, Vlcc Fleet Development - m dwt Newbuild, Secondhand Scrap Values Deliveries Deletions Fleet (Right axis) /8 NB Price - $M SH Price (5yr) - $M SH 5yr % of NB 91.2% 91.8% 89.3% 89.% 91.8% -.2 May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Nov Jan 8 Scrap Value - $M Vlcc Earnings ($pd) 75, 6, 45, 3, 15, 4Q6 TC rate 1Q7 2Q7 3Q7 NB* SH-5yr* 4Q7 Nov 27/8 Dec * Required rate for 1% IRR (For IRR assumptions : refer to page 13) Jan Investment Returns Jan 28 Newbuild Secondhand (5yr) Cost - $M Operating Costs $pd 1,31 1,31 Required TC Rate - for 1% IRR $pd 63,9 53,2 Current Rate - T/C $pd 62, 62, Current Rate of Return (IRR) % 9.62% 12.76% Sensitivity (+/- $1, T/C rate).2%.31% 4

5 suezmax12-2,dwt Market Indicators Rates Demand Supply New orders Scrapping SH sales NB prices SH values Low High Down goes the spot market The Suezmax market also withstood a similar downfall, with activity in the sector failing to match the amount of available tonnage. Additionally, the volatile geopolitical situation in Nigeria meant that the benchmark trading arena for these tankers also had to deal with a situation of constrained cargo supplies during January. In fact, the leading rebel group, MEND rejected governments attempt at a peace pact, threatening to disrupt all of Nigerian oil exports this year. While state run NNPC expects to re-start production at its 125,bpd Warri refinery in February and its 11,bpd Kaduna refinery in March, the situation in the country appears far from congenial. Also, with Opec deciding to keep targets unchanged for the time being, and non-opec output faltering, cargo supplies are expected to remain restrained in the short term. Meanwhile, demand from US and China is also likely to lack momentum as the regions head for maintenances and festivities respectively. february 8 Despite the weak freight markets, the S&P arena continues to witness firm interests from buyers for conversion deals. One such sale was that of the 1991 built Ishwari (159,898dwt) to Nexus at $54.5m for an FPSO conversion. Suezmax Demand Index 114 Index Jan2= Suezmax Rates ($pd) /8 Med-Med (TCE) 44,833 66,9 48, 13,9 66,9 W. Afr-Car/USES (TCE) 37,858 4,9 28,9 12, 4,9 15k, 5yr old (TC 1yr) 43,42 42, 41, 45, 42, 15k, 1yr old (TC 1yr) 4,467 41,5 38,3 42, 41,5 16 Dec 6 Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Dec 7 15k, 5yr old (TC 3yr) 37,867 38,5 37, 38,5 38,5 Suezmax Fleet Development - m dwt Newbuild, Secondhand Scrap Values.6 Deliveries Deletions Fleet (Right axis) / New Building Price $M SH Price (5yr) $M SH 5yr % of NB 11.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.7% 11.1% -.2 May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Nov 7 52 Jan 8 Scrap Value $M Suezmax Earnings ($pd) Investment Returns 5, TC rate NB* SH-5yr* 27/8 Jan 28 Newbuild Secondhand (5yr) 4, Cost - $M Operating Costs $pd 8,31 8,31 3, Required TC Rate - for 1% IRR $pd 41,5 37,6 2, Current Rate - T/C $pd 42, 42, 1, 4Q6 1Q7 2Q7 3Q7 4Q7 Nov Dec Jan * Required rate for 1% IRR (For IRR assumptions : refer to page 13) Current Rate of Return (IRR) % 1.14% 12.4% Sensitivity (+/- $1, T/C rate).31%.46% 5

6 aframax8-12,dwt Market Indicators Rates Demand Supply New orders Scrapping Low High Dull activity causes rates to dwindle The Aframax tanker markets were also not spared the downfall in rates during January. The hectic December fixing of a number of Middle Eastern cargoes for discharge in US, gave way to an almost negligible activity month. High crude oil prices amidst tight margins forced US refiners to cut crude runs. Meanwhile, higher-than-average temperatures across the Atlantic basin also did little to support heating fuel demand from Europe and US. In view of these factors, a number of refineries have decided to embark on early spring maintenances, which has further squeezed the demand for crude. february 8 SH sales NB prices SH values Aframax Demand Index 16 Index Jan2= Freight rates as a result fell sharply for both transatlantic voyages between Med and Caribs/US and inter regional European and Caribs-US trade legs. Further, refinery turnarounds in Europe and US and the arrival of AG crudes on the US Gulf coast is expected to boost crude stocks in the region limiting chances of a complete recovery in activity during the next month. Also, the continued phase of lax activity is expected to cause tonnage to build up in the trading regions making it difficult for shipowners to raise their stakes as and when the market rebounds. Aframax Rates ($pd) /8 Med-Med (TCE) 27,95 37,4 24, 45,4 37,4 NWE-NWE (TCE) 36,875 47,8 34,9 61,9 47,8 Caribs-USES (TCE) 32,7 38,1 25,7 67,7 38,1 95k, 5yr old (TC 1yr) 33,413 33, 33, 34, 33, 98 Dec 6 Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Dec 7 95k, 1yr old (TC 1yr) 27,796 27, 27,5 28, 27, Aframax Fleet Development - m dwt 95k, 5yr old (TC 3yr) 29,28 29, 28,5 29, 29, Deliveries Deletions Fleet (Right axis) Newbuild, Secondhand Scrap Values /8 New Building Price $M SH Price (5yr) $M SH 5yr % of NB 96.4% 88.5% 93.8% 87.8% 88.5% -.2 May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Nov 7 71 Jan 8 Scrap Value $M Aframax Earnings ($pd) TC rate 4, 3, NB* SH-5yr* 27/8 Investment Returns Jan 28 Newbuild Secondhand (5yr) (1yr) Cost $M Operating Costs $pd 7,775 7,775 7,775 2, Required TC Rate - for 1% IRR $pd 36,6 3, 28,25 1, Current Rate - T/C $pd 33, 33, 27, 4Q6 1Q7 2Q7 3Q7 4Q7 Nov Dec Jan * Required rate for 1% IRR (For IRR assumptions : refer to page 13) Current Rate of Return (IRR) % 8.67% 11.83% 9.4% Sensitivity (+/- $1, T/C rate).39%.6%.79% 6

7 panamax5-8,dwt Market Indicators Rates Demand Supply New orders Scrapping SH sales NB prices SH values Low High And so we all fall down... Limited enquiry for Panamax tankers in the Caribs and Europe amidst easily available prompt loading tonnage pulled down freight rates during January. High product stocks in US in the early part of the month weakened US gasoline prices making the trans-atlantic arbitrage trade from Europe unattractive. Also, the steady weakening in gasoline prices amidst soaring crude prices caused the gasoline production margins to fall sharply. This steady narrowing of margins prompted US refiners to cut crude runs leading to a further decline in activity levels. Consequent to this dull activity, freight rates across the Panamax segment fell by an average 3% m-o-m. Of particular mention is the benchmark Caribs-US trade route which declined sharply from an average WS334 (in December) to about WS194 in January, down 42% m-o-m. On the other hand, prospective owners overlooked the current weakness in the freight environment, and remained hopeful for the future. A total of eight vessels were traded in the S&P market against two conducted in December. While, Finaval bought four 28 built 51,dwt tankers for $57.5m each, SOCATRA bought an under-construction (ex-28) 5,3dwt vessel for $6m. february 8 Panamax Demand Index Index Jan2=1 Panamax Rates ($pd) /8 Car-USES (TCE) 34,95 31,2 24,2 66,6 31,2 NWE-Car/USES (TCE) 25,183 26,4 18,2 36,8 26,4 75k, 5yr old (TC 1yr) 3,48 29,5 3, 3,2 29,5 75k, 1yr old (TC 1yr) 24,68 24, 24, 24,2 24, 98 Dec 6 Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Dec 7 75k, 5yr old (TC 3yr) 26,42 26, 26, 26, 26, Panamax Fleet Development - m dwt Deliveries Deletions Fleet (Right axis) Newbuild, Secondhand Scrap Values /8 New Building Price $M SH Price (5yr) $M SH 5yr % of NB 98.2% 92.2% 92.7% 92.2% 92.2% Scrap Value $M May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Nov 7 25 Jan 8 Investment Returns Panamax Earnings ($pd) TC rate 4, NB* SH-5yr* 27/8 Jan 28 Newbuild Secondhand (5yr) (1yr) Cost $M , Operating Costs $pd 6,98 6,98 6,98 2, Required TC Rate - for 1% IRR $pd 3,55 25,9 23,7 1, Current Rate - T/C $pd 29,5 29,5 24, 4Q6 1Q7 2Q7 3Q7 4Q7 Nov Dec Jan * Required rate for 1% IRR (For IRR assumptions : refer to page 13) Current Rate of Return (IRR) % 9.54% 12.57% 1.3% Sensitivity (+/- $1, T/C rate).45%.71%.95% 7

8 productfocus Drewry Product Earnings Index 3 Index Jan 7 Apr 7 Product Imports OECD (Mt) Jul 7 Oct 7 Jan 8 5 North America Europe Pacific A dip in product tanker rates Last month s buoyant activity gave way to a rather subdued trading month in January. Activity on the East of Suez trade legs in particular fell down sharply in view of weak heating fuel purchases for the northeast Asian winter season. Demand for distillate rich crudes and lighter refined products also remained weak following mild winter temperatures in Japan. Moreover, arbitrage for moving jet fuel to the US WC also remained unfavourable, leading to a build up of supplies in the Asia Pacific region. Brief support came from rising Indian gasoil demand, which helped in countering the fall in Chinese demand (following record high imports in December). Freight rates nonetheless, slipped as available tonnage more than offset the brief spurts in enquiry levels. While rates for MR tankers doing AG-India fell from an average WS338 in December to WS236 in January, MR tankers doing Singapore-Far East voyages averaged at WS287, down WS35 points m-o-m. february Oct 6 Jan 7 Apr 7 Jul 7 Oct 7 Reducing delays in transiting the Bosporus Straits, amidst a weak demand from the Mediterranean markets caused tonnage to build progressively in the region. As a result, despite the spurt in demand towards the end of the month, freight rates tended to remain restrained. On an average, rates for MR tankers doing Cross Med voyages fell by almost WS9 points over the month to peg at WS196. Inter-European voyages also slipped by ~WS4 points, to average WS221 in January. Arbitrage Differential ($/bbl) US Gasoline Production & Imports (mbpd) Dec 6 Med-Sing Gasoline Mar 7 Jun 7 Sep 7 Med-Sing Naphtha Dec Jan 7 Mar 7 Production May 7 Jul 7 Imports (Right axis) Sep 7 Nov Jan 8 The Product Tanker Fleet & : January 28 Size Existing Fleet Total % of Fleet (' dwt) No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt Dwt , , , , , , , , , ,63 3 1, , , , , , , , Total 1,53 56, , , , , ,

9 producttankers Market Indicators Low High Rates Demand Supply New orders Scrapping SH sales NB prices SH values Product Tanker Rates ($pd) TCE /8 Med-Med (25-35, dwct) 2,4 12,7 2,8 24,3 12,7 Sing-Japan (25-35, dwct) 15,783 12,1 7,8 17,6 12,1 Car-USES (25-35, dwct) 18,175 15,9 9,7 14,6 15,9 Med-NWE (25-35, dwct) 2,58 13,2 21,9 26,2 13,2 NWE-USES (35-4, dwct) 24,683 21,2 18,7 2,6 21,2 AG-Japan (5-6, dwct) 23,98 29, 17,7 31,9 29, AG-Japan (7-8, dwct) 21,58 31,9 14, 31,2 31,9 Time Charter (1yr) Handy (3, dwt 5 yrs) 22,2 22,5 21,65 22, 22,5 MR (45, dwt 5 yrs) 25,367 25, 25, 25, 25, LR (75, dwt 5 yrs) 3,48 29,5 3, 3,2 29,5 Time Charter (3yr) Handy (3, dwt 5 yrs) 2,363 21,25 2,65 21, 21,25 MR (45, dwt 5 yrs) 22,146 22,5 22,25 22,25 22,5 february 8 Clean Demand Index 13 Index Jan= Jan 7 Apr 7 Jul 7 Oct 7 Jan 8 Newbuild, Secondhand Scrap Values New Building Price $M /8 Handy MR LR SH Price (5yr) $M Handy MR Handy Fleet Development - m dwt Deliveries Deletions May 7 Jul 7 Sep 7 Fleet (Right axis) Nov 7 Jan 8 LR SH 5yr % of NB Handy 95.8% 9.2% 94.3% 92.4% 9.2% MR 11.2% 97.2% 98.1% 96.3% 97.2% LR1 98.2% 92.2% 92.7% 92.2% 92.2% Scrap Value $M Handy MR LR MR Earnings ($pd) MR Investment Returns 4, 3, TC rate NB* SH-5yr* 27/8 Jan 28 Newbuild Secondhand (5yr) (1yr) Cost $M Operating Costs $pd 6,84 6,84 6,84 2, Required TC Rate - for 1% IRR $pd 26,75 23,75 22,5 1, Current Rate - T/C $pd 25, 25, 24, 4Q6 1Q7 2Q7 3Q7 4Q7 Nov Dec Jan * Required rate for 1% IRR (For IRR assumptions : refer to page 13) Current Rate of Return (IRR) % 9.8% 11.3% 12.2% Sensitivity (+/- $1, T/C rate).55%.82% 1.3% 9

10 financials Tanker Stocks - Snapshot february 8 Company Country Price* % Monthly 52 Week 52 Week P/E Last week Market Cap Change High Low Ratio Avg Vol (M USD) AP Moeller - Maersk A/S Denmark 48, % 74,1. 43, ,747 B&H Ocean Carriers USA % ,16 91 Berlian Laju Tankers, PT Indonesia 2, % 2,7. 1, ,324,9 1,161 Bonheur ASA Norway % ,53 1,637 Brostrom Sweden % , Concordia Maritime AB Sweden % , Euronav Navigation** Belgium % ,79 1,98 Fisher, James & Sons PLC UK % , Frontline Ltd Norway % ,149 3,148 Frontline Ltd USA % ,61,266 3,6 GangerRolf, AS Norway % ,479 1,36 General Maritime USA % , HumpussIntermoda Transportasi Tbk Indonesia % ,277 n/a IM Skaugen Norway % , Knightsbridge Tankers USA % , Kyoei Tanker Japan % ,8 115 Mitsui OSK Lines Japan 1, % 2,4. 1, ,691,6 14,735 Navigazione Montanari SpA Italy % n/a 324, Nepline Bhd Malaysia.27 8.%.4.18 n/a 25,76 6 Nordic AmericanTanker Shipping USA % , NYK Lines Japan % 1, ,64,8 8,322 Overseas Shipholding Group Inc USA % ,233,344 2,43 Taiheiyo Kaiun Japan % ,837, 14 Teekay USA % ,9 3,419 Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited USA % ,689 1,334 * All prices as on 1 st February 28 in local currencies except for "**" companies, which are traded in EUR Three most active companies - by the number of shares traded in the last week irrespective of the price and market cap OECD North America Oil Stocks (mbbl) Crude Motor Gasoline Middle Distillate Residual Fuel Oil Total* (Right axis) 1,31 1,3 1,29 1,28 1,27 1,26 1,25 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 * Total includes NGLs, refinery feedstocks, addtives/oxygenates and other hydrocarbons OECD Europe Oil Stocks (mbbl) Crude Motor Gasoline Middle Distillate Residual Fuel Oil Total* (Right axis) Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 * Total includes NGLs, refinery feedstocks, addtives/oxygenates and other hydrocarbons OECD Pacific Oil Stocks (mbbl) Crude Motor Gasoline Middle Distillate Residual Fuel Oil Total* (Right axis) Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 * Total includes NGLs, refinery feedstocks, addtives/oxygenates and other hydrocarbons Global Refinery Crude Throughput (mbpd) Total OECD Total Non-OECD Total Crude Runs (Right axis) Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Jan 8 Feb 8 Mar

11 marketsummaries february 8 Fleet Supply Dec No ' Dwt No ' Dwt No ' Dwt No ' Dwt No ' Dwt Fleet Size - End period 1-5, , , , , , , , , , , , , 74 71, , , , , , 35 52, , , , ,673 2, , , , , ,3 Total 2, ,762 2, ,898 2, ,31 2, ,898 2, ,31 Average Age % Double Hull - End period 1-5, % 24 1, % 237 1, % 217 9, % 237 1, % 217 9, , , , , , , , , , , , , , 17 16, , , , ,245 2, , , , , ,25 Total ,27 1,62 132,148 1,42 132,36 1,62 132,148 1,42 132,36 % Fleet 37.4% 39.3% 39.3% 39.3% 39.3% New orders 1-5, 287 9, , , 171 1, , , , , , 87 13, , , , , Total , , , , ,749 Deliveries * 1-5, 57 2, , , 67 4, , , 47 5, , , 31 3, , ,+ 19 5, , Total , ,56 2 1, , ,55 Deletions 1-5, 42 1, , , , , ,+ Total 59 2, , Secondhand Sales 1-5, 166 4, , , 44 2, , , 48 4, , , , 37 5, , , , , , Total 338 3, , , , ,229 * Provisional deliveries for January 28 Jan Drewry Prices Newbuilding Price (US$m) Scrap Price $/ldt Dec Jan Dec Jan Jan Type of Vessel MR Panamax Aframax Suezmax Vlcc Secondhand Value (US$m, 1 year old) Scrap Value (US$m) Secondhand Value (US$m, 5 year old) Dec Jan Dec Jan Average* Type of Vessel MR Panamax n/a Aframax Suezmax n/a n/a Vlcc n/a * for the month BSPA 11

12 marketsummaries Freight Rates february 8 Vlcc Dec Jan Panamax Dec Jan TCE Rate ($/day) TCE Rate ($/day) AG-Japan 47,317 41,85 8,1 149, 8,1 Caribs-Uses 32,98 34,95 31,2 66,6 31,2 AG-South Korea 43,7 38,18 8,9 137,3 8,9 N.Europe-Car/Uses 26,142 25,183 26,4 36,8 26,4 AG-N.Europe 47,864 37,383 13,1 132,1 13,1 Average 45,846 39,114 88,33 139,467 88,33 Average 29,525 3,67 28,8 51,7 28,8 TC Rate - 1 yr ($/day) TC Rate - 1 yr ($/day) 28k dwt 5 Yr Old 55,992 53,333 62, 62, 62, 75k dwt 5 Yr Old n/a 3,48 29,5 27,7 29,5 28k dwt 1 Yr Old n/a 48,633 5, 49,5 5, 75k dwt 1 Yr Old n/a 24,68 24, 21,5 24, TC Rate - 3 yr ($/day) TC Rate - 3 yr ($/day) 28k dwt 5 Yr Old 48,617 47,358 5, 5,5 5, 75k dwt 5 Yr Old 25,7 26,42 26, 26, 26, Suezmax Dec Jan Product Dec Jan TCE Rate ($/day) TCE Rate ($/day) Med-Med 52,833 44,833 66,9 13,9 66,9 Med-Med (Handy) 17,375 2,4 12,7 24,3 12,7 W.Africa-Car/Uses 42,3 37,858 4,9 12, 4,9 Sing-Japan (MR) 13,117 15,783 12,1 17,6 12,1 Average 47,567 41,346 53,9 12,95 53,9 Caribs-Uses (MR) 19,917 18,175 15,9 14,6 15,9 TC Rate - 1 yr ($/day) Med-N.Europe (MR) 8,45 2,58 13,2 26,2 13,2 15k dwt 5 Yr Old 42,667 43,42 42, 45, 42, N.Europe-Uses (MR) 13,392 24,683 21,2 2,6 21,2 15k dwt 1 Yr Old n/a 4,467 41,5 42, 41,5 AG-Japan (LR1) 26,117 23,98 29, 31,9 29, TC Rate - 3 yr ($/day) AG-Japan (LR2) 23,975 21,58 31,9 31,2 31,9 15k dwt 5 Yr Old 37,158 37,867 38,5 38,5 38,5 Average 17,477 2,581 19,429 23,771 19,429 TC Rate - 1 yr ($/day) 3k dwt 5 Yr Old 21,417 22,2 22,5 22, 22,5 Aframax Dec Jan 3k dwt 1 Yr Old 15,83 15,15 15, 14,9 15, TCE Rate ($/day) 45k dwt 5 Yr Old 26,792 25,367 25, 25, 25, Med-Med 29,383 27,95 37,4 45,4 37,4 45k dwt 1 Yr Old 19,775 22,121 24, 22,2 24, N.Europe-N.Europe 4,475 36,875 47,8 61,9 47,8 TC Rate - 3 yr ($/day) Caribs-Uses 33,283 32,7 38,1 67,7 38,1 3k dwt 5 Yr Old 19,1 2,363 21,25 21, 21,25 Average 34,381 32,58 41,1 58,333 41,1 45k dwt 5 Yr Old 21,675 22,146 22,5 22,25 22,5 TC Rate - 1 yr ($/day) 95k dwt 5 Yr Old 35,15 33,413 33, 33,5 33, 95k dwt 1 Yr Old n/a 27,796 27, 22, 27, TC Rate - 3 yr ($/day) 95k dwt 5 Yr Old 28,183 29,28 29, 29, 29, Forward Freight Agreements* (FFA) Baltic Tanker Earnings Index Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Cal Cal AG-Japan (26, mt) W.Africa-USAC (13, mt) North Sea-Cont (8, mt) AG-Japan (55, mt) Cont-USAC (37, mt) Sing-Japan (3, mt) BDTI 2,5 BCTI * Worldscale prevailing at reported time of fixing Source: Baltic Exchange 1 st February 28 2, 1,5 1, 5 Jan 6 Jan 7 Jan 8 The Crude Tanker Fleet & : January 28 Size Existing Fleet* Total % of Fleet (' dwt) No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt No. Dwt Dwt , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,6 4 1, , Total 1, , , , , , , * Fleet less 1-5, dwt tankers built before 1st July

13 methodologynotes The Drewry Demand Index The Drewry demand Index is an attempt to measure demand for oil tankers - both crude and Clean. The Index is not designed to be an absolute measure of demand, rather provides an indication as to changes in demand and thus provides an accurate trend of tanker demand. The methodology employed utilises tracking of the tanker fleet and fixtures over an extended period of time (in this case two years) and thus grouping oil movements by vessel types. By relating vessel employment to oil production by country and region an assessment of tanker demand can be made, which is then converted to an Index using January 1998 as the 1 mark. Assumptions for Investment Return calculations Newbuilding - Delivery in 18 months, 25 year trading life. Secondhand - Prompt delivery five year-old, 2 year trading life. Residual value based on prevailing scrap rates. 28 operating costs. 36 trading days. Sensitivity implies for a $1,pd change in TCE, the given change in IRR is produced. Time charter rates are for 5 year old vessels. february 8 contactdetails Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd Telephone: +44 () Fax: +44 () Web Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd Drewry House, Meridian Gate - South Quay 213 Marsh Wall, London E14 9FJ United Kingdom Tanker Insight Contact: Parul Bhambri bhambri@drewry.co.uk COPYRIGHT NOTICE This report is copyright and is for the sole use of the purchaser and is not to be copied or distributed outside to any third party organisation. Reproduction, scanning into an electronic retrieval system, or copying to a database is strictly prohibited without written permission of the publisher. Contravention will result in a requirement to pay damages to the publisher and owner of the copyright, Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd. While the information is presented in good faith, the publisher cannot accept liability for any errors of fact or opinion contained in the report. 13