The District Heating Barometer, why and how
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1 The District Heating Barometer, why and how European DHC statistics Towards better documentation and analysis, 30 March 2011, Brussels Stephan Orita Legal and European Affairs AGFW, Frankfurt a. Main AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW _Jahreshauptversammlung_FFI_luw Seite 1
2 » AGFW: A brief introduction URBAN DEVELOPMENT & KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT LEGAL & EUROPEAN AFFAIRS ENGINEERING & STANDARDIZATION»AGFWis an independent, neutral and effective Energy Efficiency Association for District Heating, Cooling and CHP.»AGFW, has over 400 members consisting of district heating utilities, industrial companies, manufacturers and research institutes. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT ENERGY POLICY & ECONOMY ORGANISATIONAL & OPERATIONAL SAFETY»AGFWrepresents the interests of 92 % of the total connected district heating load in Germany on a political level and has been doing so for 40 years. AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 2
3 » AGFW: A brief introduction AGFW promotes the development and extension of energy-efficient district heating, cooling and combined heat and power in Germany and internationally.» Key strength: Skilled work on a technical, economical and juridical level for the whole sector» Professional and competent contact for policy makers» Developing engineering standards and rules» Preserving specialist knowledge as well as qualifying the sector's employees» Basis for guaranteed quality standards» National and international tasks in the field of research and development» The sector's communication centre AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 3
4 » What is the District Heating Barometer?» The District Heating Barometer is a tool to measure the development of District Heating on national markets» The District Heating Barometer is a quick reaction tool, providing early access to the sentiment of the sector» The District Heating Barometer is meant to complement statistics on District Heating in Europe and on national markets» The District Heating Barometer provides data and assessments for policy makers AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 4
5 » Why develop a District Heating Barometer?» District Heating statistics are often not available in a timely and precise fashion» An overview of the development of the sector is important for policy makers when planning legislative measures» Such an overview is also beneficial for the sector itself, providing a quick and different insight» Tool provides flexibility and more possibilities for communication AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 5
6 » How to develop a District Heating Barometer?» Create a working group of national experts» Identify and define key parameters» Coordinate with other sectors and stakeholders» Develop a tool to collect and disseminate the information AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 6
7 » Challenges faced during development» Creating a working group of experts from different countries was not difficult, however incorporating those countries which do not already have a developed infrastructure proved difficult» Identifying and defining key parameters was very difficult» Data is gathered differently in different countries for historical reasons or due to different frameworks» Most participants as associations rely on voluntary contributions of their member companies» Data processing also differs from country to country» Striking a balance between hard facts and the sentiments of the sector» Time restrictions AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 7
8 » The key parameters identified for the first round Citizens served by District Heating 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Citizens without DH Citizens served by DH 0% Austria Czech Republic Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Latvia Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 8
9 » The key parameters identified for the first round Trench length (km) in Trench length Austria Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 9
10 » The key parameters identified for the first round District Heating sales to customers (TJ) in % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Services and other Industrial sector Residental sector 10% 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 10
11 » The key parameters identified for the first round Energy supply composition in % 80% 60% 40% 20% Other Direct Renewable Recycled heat 0% Austria Denmark France Finland Latvia Lithuania Norway AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 11
12 » The key parameters identified for the first round Business growth in the next 5 years 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% more 40% same 30% 20% 10% less do not know 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 12
13 » The key parameters identified for the first round Investments in the next 5 years 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% more same less do not know 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 13
14 » The key parameters identified for the first round RES investments in the next 5 years? 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Yes 30% No 20% Do not know 10% 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 14
15 » The key parameters identified for the first round District Cooling as a growing business? 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Yes No Do not know 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Norway Sweden AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 15
16 » The key parameters identified for the first round District Cooling as a growing business? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Austria Czech Rep. Denmark France Finland Italy Germany Lithuania Norway Sweden District Heating Provider Manufacturer Consultant Other Trade Association AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 16
17 » Lessons learned» Formulating questions needs to take into account translations into different languages, which might distort the original message» Tailoring questions towards stakeholders which are not utilities (science, industry, administration)» Possibility of adding remarks for further analysis AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 17
18 » Data collection (German example)» Around 1,500 recipients» Around 200 completed surveys within a full day» Over 10 % return rate» Over 80 % completion rate AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 18
19 » Investments in RES in the next 5 years? 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Yes No NC AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 19
20 » DC a growing business? 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Yes No NC AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 20
21 » Role in the DHC business? 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Utility Industry Consultant Other AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 21
22 » Future challenges» Increase compatibility within the sector» Increase comparability with other sectors» Develop the tool further» Follow-up on current development» Increase the coverage of the tool from the current 11 countries AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 22
23 Thank you for your attention! District Heating clean and smart heat for my home Stephan Orita Legal and European Affairs AGFW, Frankfurt a. Main Tel.: AGFW Der Energieeffizienzverband für Wärme, Kälte und KWK e. V. Source: AGFW Seite 23
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