US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade

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1 US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade July 6, 218 Dr. Edward Yardeni Debbie Johnson Mali Quintana Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents US Merchandise Trade 1-3 Petroleum & 4-5 US Trade by Major Categories 6-7 US Trade By Major Regions 8-9 US Trade By Major Partners 1-12 Export Share By Regions West Coast Ports 15 Trade Deficits July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

3 US Merchandise Trade Figure 1. REAL MERCHANDISE EXPORTS (billions of 212 dollars, saar) Monthly Data GDP Data REAL MERCHANDISE IMPORTS (billions of 212 dollars, saar) Monthly Data GDP Data REAL MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE Monthly Data (billions of 212 dollars) GDP Accounts* (billions of 5 dollars) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau, and Haver Analytics. Q Page 1 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

4 US Merchandise Trade 19 Figure 2. US: MERCHANDISE EXPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Nominal 1 Real (212 dollars) Source: Bureau of the Census. 3 Figure 3. US MERCHANDISE EXPORTS (yearly percent change) Nominal (13.9) Real (8.3) Source: Bureau of the Census. -3 Page 2 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

5 Figure 4. US MERCHANDISE IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Source: Bureau of the Census. Nominal Real (212 dollars) US Merchandise Trade Figure 5. US MERCHANDISE IMPORTS (yearly percent change) Nominal (8.7) Real (4.7) Source: Bureau of the Census. -4 Page 3 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

6 2 2 Figure 6. Petroleum & US EXPORT & IMPORTS EX PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (billion dollars, saar) Figure 7. US IMPORTS MINUS EXPORTS (EX PETROLEUM PRODUCTS) (billion dollars, saar) Page 4 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

7 Figure 8. Petroleum & US CRUDE OIL & PETROLEUM PRODUCTS EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census Figure 9. US IMPORTS MINUS EXPORTS OF CRUDE OIL & PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (billion dollars, 12-month sum) Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Page 5 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

8 US Trade by Major Categories 75 7 Figure 1. US MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Consumer Goods Ex Autos Figure 11. US MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Capital Goods Ex Autos Page 6 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

9 35 Figure 12. US MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Automobile Vehicles, Parts and Engines US Trade by Major Categories Figure 13. US MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion dollars, saar) Industrial Materials & Supplies Ex Energy* * Excludes crude oil, fuel oil and petroleum products, other. Page 7 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

10 US Trade By Major Regions 7 65 Figure 14. US MERCHANDISE TRADE: EXPORTS & IMPORTS (6-month average, billion dollars, annual rate, nsa) North America Europe Euro Area Page 8 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

11 Figure 15. US MERCHANDISE TRADE: EXPORTS & IMPORTS (6-month moving average, billions of US dollars, nsa) Pacific Rim US Trade By Major Regions Latin America Middle East Page 9 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

12 6 Figure 16. US Trade By Major Partners US MERCHANDISE TRADE: EXPORTS & IMPORTS (6-month average, billion dollars, annual rate, nsa) 6 China Mexico Brazil Page 1 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

13 US Trade By Major Partners 8 6 Figure 17. US MERCHANDISE TRADE: EXPORTS & IMPORTS (6-month average, billions dollars, annual rate, nsa) G6 Countries Canada France Germany Page 11 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

14 6 5 4 Figure 18. US MERCHANDISE TRADE: EXPORTS & IMPORTS (6-month average, billion dollars, annual rate, nsa) Italy US Trade By Major Partners Japan United Kingdom Page 12 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

15 Export Share By Regions 4 39 Figure 19. SHARE OF US EXPORTS (6-month average, percent, nsa) North America Europe Euro Area Page 13 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

16 Figure 2. SHARE OF US EXPORTS (6-month average, percent, nsa) Export Share By Regions Pacific Rim Latin America Page 14 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

17 Figure 21. WEST COAST PORTS CONTAINER TRAFFIC (TEUs, thousands) Inbound* (766.6) West Coast Ports Outbound* (311.1) * Sum of Port of Los Angeles and Port of Long Beach Loaded Containers. Source: Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach Figure 22. WEST COAST PORTS CONTAINER TRAFFIC (TEUs, millions, 12-month sum) Inbound* (8.7) Outbound* (3.4) * Sum of Port of Los Angeles and Port of Long Beach Loaded Containers. TEUs=2-foot equivalent units. Source: Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Page 15 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

18 Trade Deficits 95 9 Figure 23. US MERCHANDISE TRADE DEFICIT (billion dollars, 12-month sum) Minus Minus (ex Petroleum Products) Figure 24. US IMPORTS MINUS EXPORTS OF CRUDE OIL & PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (billion dollars, 12-month sum) Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Page 16 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

19 Trade Deficits 35 Figure 25. US MERCHANDISE TRADE DEFICITS: BY COUNTRY (billion dollars, 12-month sum) China (389.3) Eurozone (143.2) Japan (69.8) Mexico (71.4) Figure 26. US MERCHANDISE TRADE DEFICITS: BY PRODUCT CATEGORY (billion dollars, 12-month sum) Consumer Goods Ex Autos (418.5) Capital Goods Ex Autos (121.1) Automobile Vehicles, Parts, & Engines (.2) Page 17 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

20 Figure 27. Trade Deficits US INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS: BALANCE ON GOODS & SERVICES (billion dollars, 4-quarter sum) Q1 Goods (-829.7) Services (256.7) - - Q Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Page 18 / July 6, 218 / US Economic Indicators: Merchandise Trade www.

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