Strategic Approach for Shipping Modernization In the Thailand
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1 Strategic Approach for Shipping Modernization In the Thailand JETRO Singapore CAJS Japan Marine Science Inc. FEB
2 Ⅰ: Situation Summary Current Status and Issues Ⅱ: Key Elements for the development of Shipping Industry Ⅲ: Strategy for Shipping Development IV: Core Project Development of International Shipping Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding 2
3 Billion US$ Transport & Communication Ratio per GDP Nominal GDP Transport & Comm Ratio(%) e 2007f 2008f 2009f 2010f 2011f %
4 International Transport Mode (M.Ton Base) Domestic Transport Mode (M.Ton base) Air Air Rail Rail Sea Land Water Sea Land 0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% Source:Marine Department 4
5 Domestic Transport Mode (Ton-Km) Pipeline Air Sea/Water Rail Land 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 5
6 < >=30 Dry Cargo Liquid Cargo Marine Department
7 GRT & Nos. of ship in 2009 LRS Data Country GRTx1,000 (average) 1 Panama 165,385 (21,257) 2 Liberia 74,091 (29,530) 3 H.K. 39,634 (25,374) 16 Japan 12,989 (2,139) Nos. 7,780 2,509 1,562 6,071 GRT x 1,000 & Nos. 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 GRT Nos. GRT Average 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, GRT (Average) 38 Thailand 2,714 (2,979) World 757,922 (7,266) 104,305 7
8 Size and age of Thai Registered Ship (Marine Dept.2008) Type Age GRT (Average) DWT (Average) Container 16 6,038 4,209 Bulk Carrier ,209 General 28 10,679 7,321 Cargo Tanker 24 3,167 2,059 Others 30 2,270 1,929 8
9 Example: Trend of tanker by age in the world Composition of Tanker by Nos. LRS Statistics 2008 Composition of Tanker by GRT LRS Statistics ,000 70,000 2,500 60,000 2,000 50,000 40,000 1,500 30,000 1,000 20, , > >25 9
10 Example: Trend of tanker by age in the Thailand (Marine Department 2010) Composition of Thai tanker by Nos , , ,000 Composition of Thai tanker by DWT No.of Ship , , , ,
11 Thai Shipbuilding Statistic (TSRA 2010) New Building Revenue Repair Revenue 8,000 4,500 7,000 4,000 6,000 3,500 5,000 3,000 Million Baht 4,000 3,000 Million Baht 2,500 2,000 1,500 2,000 1,000 1, f New Building ,682 3,811 5,620 6,200 6,830 7, f Repair 1,157 1,761 2,210 2,014 3,560 3,900 3,470 3,650 4,180 11
12 Nos & GRT of New building 2008 (LRS) Rank Shipyard Nos. GRT 1 China 1,164 22,538,098 (19,363) 2 Japan ,028,251 (30,204) 3 S. Korea ,111,141 (54,823) 4 Malaysia ,693 (507) 5 Indonesia ,726 (962) Nos. & GRT of New building in the world 2008 (LRS) Rank Flag Nos. GRT 1 Panama ,239,664 (34,459) 2 Singapore 324 3,897,769 (12,030) 3 Indonesia , ) 4 Liberia 240 9,968,972 (41,537) 5 Hong Kong 183 6,642,776 36,299) 29 Thailand (975) 35 Thailand 22 25,538 (1,161) 12
13 Rank Country of shipbuilder No. of ship built by the country A No. of Registered ship B B/A= 1 Japan 27,072 6, USA 9,834 6, China 7,989 4, Indonesia 2,456 5, Malaysia 1,903 1, Singapore 1,835 2, Vietnam 1,059 1, Philippines 533 1, Thailand Total in the world 104,305 13
14 Small Scale Shipping Old and Obsolete Ship Low reliance on Sea/Water transportation Small Scale Shipbuilding Focal Points to be improved; Modernization of Thai Fleets (Ships) How to replace the fleet consisting of old, obsolete, and various sizes/types of ships with brand new, standardized and appropriate ships built in Thailand. 14
15 Key Elements Issues 1. Financial Resources Interest rate, loan security and depreciation 2. Economic Viability Profitability 3. Technical Capacity/Empirical knowledge Technology, empirical knowledge and engineering capacity required for shipping and shipbuilding 4. Administrative Capacity Safety standards (ISM code,etc) 5. Human Resources Supervision of shipping, Shipbuilding Engineering, Maritime administration required 15
16 Policy of Marine Department National Maritime Promotion Program 1) Expanding shipping ratios of Thai-registered ships 2) Promoting coastal and river transport 3) Developing the ports 4) Promoting shipbuilding industry 5) Enhancing the knowledge and skills of seamen 6) Developing human resources specialized in international physical distribution Policy of Ministry of Industry 1) Shipbuilding complex/industrial Park 2) Enhancing constructing and repairing abilities and capacities: construction and repairing of 20,000 DWT ships 3) Financial assistance 4) Education for human resources specialized in Shipbuilding 5) Tax policies including investment. 16
17 Core Projects are vital to achieve the strategy for shipping and shipbuilding development Core Project Budget Organization International Shipping Development Program MOF EXIM BANK Marine Department MOF Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Marine Department Ministry of Industry MOF 17
18 Core Projects are vital to achieve the strategy for shipping and shipbuilding development Paradigm Shift Insufficient environment for ship investment Appropriate Ship Finance Promotion of Procurement competitive ship Accumulation of non economical & non safe ship Procurement of old and cheap ship Maintain quality (ship asset) and stable business profit Reinvest to more competitive ship 18
19 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Object of the Program 1. Promotion of modernization of shipping 2. Security of energy transportation 3. Development of shipbuilding and related industry Key for implementation of the Program 1. Finance Scheme 2. Building Scheme 3. Cooperation between shipping and shipbuilding 19
20 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Status of Oil Transportation Oil Consumption in Thailand Transport Mode by Tanker Estimated Oil Volume carried by Tanker 33,170,000 KL/Year (91,000 KL/day) Approx. 55% 18,243,000 KL/Year (50,000 KL/day) 20
21 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding M. Litre 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Sales of Petro Product except LPG
22 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding DWT 800, , , , , , , ,000 0 Liquid Cargo Vessel in Thailand No. of Ship DWT No. of Vessel 22
23 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding 23
24 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Freight Fluctuation of International and domestic tanker Internatioanl Tanker Freight Index (LRS) Charter Rate of Domestic Black Oil Tanker Index VLCC Suezmax Aframax Handy Clean
25 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding To secure Ship Asset, Safety and Cost Management by ship management. Ship Management System to be considered as a security for finance. Bank Shipping Company Shipyard Ship Management Company 25
26 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Implementing Scheme Steering Shipping Committee MOT(MD) Company / MOI / MOF Shipping Company Technical Consultant Shipyard (Leader) Shipyard A Shipyard B Shipyard C 26
27 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Current status of Thailand registered tanker DWT < 999 1,000-1,999 10,000 2,000-3,000-4,000-5, ,999 3,999 4,999 9,999 49,999 >50, Age
28 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Tanker to be replaced according to Single hull tanker Phase out Regulation 2015 Age < 999 1,000-1,999 DWT 2,000-2,999 3,000-3,999 Nos Nos Age Average DWT , , , , ,228 Average DWT 2,777 Note : Average DWT excludes tankers of 30,000DWT or more 28
29 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding PTT Oil Terminal at Surat Thani Limitation for Tanker size Length for oil tanker: 77m Water Depth High tide : 10.5m Low tide : 5.0m Width of river : 150m Safety draft : 4.5m Cannel Length : 22km 29
30 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding Vol.(M.Litre) PTT OIL at Surat Thani Distribution Volume (M.Litre) / Year Shell, Exxon, Chevron 700,000KL/Year Deployment to Surat Thani For PTT : 4 tankers For Shell/Exxon/Shevron : 4 tankers No. of Voyage per year 2,000KL tanker : Apprx
31 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding 16.00% IRR (Ship 6 Mil.Yen) 12.00% IRR (Ship 8 Mil.Yen) 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% IRR (%) 1.00% 2.00% 4.00% Freight TB/Liter % 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 2.00% IRR (%) Freight TB/Litre 1.00% 2.00% 4.00% 31
32 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding IRR (%) 16.00% 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% IRR (Interest 2% 10 yrs) , , ,000 Ship Price (J.Yen x1,000) 32
33 Tanker Modernization Program for Development of Coastal Shipping and Shipbuilding To implement tanker modernization program for development of coastal shipping and shipbuilding industry, Financial and administrative support by Government Long term charter contract by Cargo Owner Building competitive ship Maintain ship asset, high quality and safety operation 33
34 Von Voyage Thank you JETRO Singapore CAJS Japan Marine Science Inc. FEB
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