A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils
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1 A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils 14 June 2011 ICIS Asian Base Oils and Lubricants Conference - Seoul, Republic of Korea Harry Kwon Marketing Manager
2 Contents 1. Engine Oil Future Trend 2. Base Oil Future Demand 3. SK s Future Expansion Plans 4. Conclusion 1
3 Engine Oil Requirements Long Drain Interval Fuel Economy Emission Control 2
4 Engine Oil Requirements Long Drain Interval Fuel Economy Oil + FM Stability High VI Base Oils Engine Protection High Temp Viscosity Maintain Optimum Viscosity Performance Demands Desirable Properties 3
5 Engine Oil Requirements Fuel Economy Low Volatility Lower SAE Viscosity Lower Friction Engines Low Temp Viscosity Easier startup/warm-up Performance Demands Desirable Properties 4
6 Engine Oil Requirements Emission Control Low Metal/P/S Lower SAPS Performance Demands Desirable Properties SAPS = Sulfated Ash, Phosphorus and Sulfur 5
7 Governments Lead Innovation USA Gasoline engine CAFE requirements by mile per gallon ( 15.1 km/l). U.S. Government 19 May 2009 Miles per gallon 2011 CAFE 2016 CAFE Cars Light duty trucks Combined Fleet % Increase CAFE = Corporate Average Fuel Economy 6
8 Governments Lead Innovation USA EPA & NHTSA : 25 October 2010 New HD Diesel Vehicles Program Fuel efficient HD diesel engine oils Lower operating viscosities: 5W-40, 5W-30, 0W-30 EPA = Environmental Protection Agency NHTSA = National Highway Traffic Safety Administration 7
9 Governments Lead Innovation Europe g CO 2 /km g CO 2 /km 8
10 New Global Standard ILSAC GF-5 First licensing date : 1 October 2010 Sequence VID : New fuel economy engine test - Aged oil low temperature viscosity limits - Stronger engine protection & stronger protection of emission control systems ILSAC = International Lubricant Standardization and Approval Committee 9
11 OEM Movement to Lower Viscosity OEM OW-20 5W-20 5W-30 Toyota 1.8L, 2.4L, 2.5L, 2.7L, 4.0L, 4.6L, 4.8L, 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) GM, Chevrolet Cars & Trucks Main Grade Honda Civic Hybrid: 1.3L, Insight Main Grade Nissan Altima Hybrid 2.5L Main Grade Hyundai Main Grade Chrysler Main Grade 2.4L turbo (xw-40) 3.5L (10W-30) Source: Motor Information Systems: 2009 and 2010 model years 10
12 Market Structure Western Europe Value Top Tier Premium market tier 5W-30 lower SAPS engine oils Group III Base Oil Only Mid SAPS OEM C2 Group III 5W-30 5W-40 Low SAPS C4 +OEM C1 Group III 5W-30 HIGH HTHS (>3.5cP) LOW HTHS (<3.5cP) Performance Source: The Lubrizol Corporation,
13 PCMO Demand Change by Viscosity Grade Western Europe Source: The Lubrizol Corporation,
14 HDEO Lube Quality Upgrade China Source: Infineum Trends 2010 High Tier : API CG-4 and above Low Tier : API CF-4 and below 13
15 PCMO Lube Quality Upgrade China High Tier : API SL and above Low Tier : API SJ and below Source: Infineum Trends
16 Contents 1. Engine Oil Future Trend 2. Base Oil Future Demand 3. SK s Future Expansion Plans 4. Conclusion 15
17 Global Demand for Base Oil UNIT : KTPA 35,000 Group III Demand 6,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Base Oil Total Global Group III Base Oil 16
18 Base Oil Demand North America UNIT : KTPA 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - Group III Demand 1,100 1, Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil 17
19 Base Oil Demand Western Europe UNIT : KTPA 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Group III Demand 1,100 1, Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil 18
20 Base Oil Demand Asia Pacific UNIT : KTPA 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - Group III Demand 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil 19
21 Motor Vehicles/Lubricant Demand China UNIT : MILLION Lubricant Demand UNIT : KTPA 12, ,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Motor Vehicles in Use Lubricant Demand Source: The Freedonia Group, Inc. 20
22 Motor Vehicles/Lubricant Demand India UNIT : MILLION 35.0 Lubricant Demand UNIT : KTPA 2, , , , Motor Vehicles in Use Lubricant Demand Source: The Freedonia Group, Inc. 21
23 Group III Base Oil Share Increase % 17.7% 36% 59.0% 45.3% 37.0% Group III Base Oil Group I Base Oil Others Group III Base Oil Group I Base Oil Others 22
24 Contents 1. Engine Oil Future Trend 2. Base Oil Future Demand 3. SK s Future Expansion Plans 4. Conclusion 23
25 Current Status & Future Expansion SK is the largest Group III Supplier in the world `14. 1Q `12. 2H Future Capacity = Current Capacity X 2 24
26 Production Capacity 2,750K MT TO-BE (2014) #5 +650K MT #4 +500K MT + 240K MT 1,360K MT AS-IS (2011) #3 Revamp #2 Revamp #1 Revamp `95 `01 `04 `06 `08 `12.1H `12.2H `14 ~ 25
27 YUBASE Global Network Amsterdam Seoul Tokyo Ulsan Houston Jakarta Indonesia Plants Branches Terminals Agents/Distributors 26
28 Contents 1. Base Oil Market Trend 2. Base Oil Future Demand 3. SK s Future Expansion Plans 4. Conclusion 27
29 Conclusion Long Drain Interval Group III Base Oil Fuel Economy Emission Control 28
30 Conclusion UNIT : KTPA 35,000 Group III Demand 6,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Base Oil Total Global Group III Base Oil 29
31 Conclusion The capacity of SK Lubricants will be more than double of current capacity and SK Lubricants will give more stable supply for customers. 30
32 Thank you for your attention 31
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